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集成“能力-时效-决策”的应急处置效果预评估模型 被引量:5
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作者 倪慧荟 姚晓晖 +1 位作者 初玉 石彪 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第12期148-156,共9页
为帮助应急指挥官优化任务调度和资源配置,首先,分析应急处置的基本模式,并定义包括行动目标、行动模块、应急资源、指挥者等基本元素在内的应急处置关系结构模型;其次,利用时效性评估、广义优先关系(GPRs)、C2组织架构(C2OS)等理论,建... 为帮助应急指挥官优化任务调度和资源配置,首先,分析应急处置的基本模式,并定义包括行动目标、行动模块、应急资源、指挥者等基本元素在内的应急处置关系结构模型;其次,利用时效性评估、广义优先关系(GPRs)、C2组织架构(C2OS)等理论,建立能力满足度、时效性、决策质量等单项评估函数;然后,组合得到集成"能力-时效-决策"的应急处置效果预评估模型;最后,结合算例对不同处置方案进行预评估和比较分析,并验证该模型的有效性。结果表明:集成"能力-时效-决策"的评估模型可满足通用的应急处置效果预评估需求;存在诸多途径可以增强应急处置预期效果,包括改良资源配置及赋能效率、优化处置行动及其GPRs结构、完善指挥层级架构等。 展开更多
关键词 能力-时效-决策 应急处置 效果预评估 广义优先关系(GPRs) 决策质量
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Analytical models for evaluating buoyancy-driven ventilation due to stack effect in a shaft considering heat transfer from shaft interior boundaries 被引量:1
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作者 阳东 李百战 +1 位作者 杜涛 李楠 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第3期651-656,共6页
Stack effect is a dominant driving force for building natural ventilation.Analytical models were developed for the evaluation of stack effect in a shaft,accounting for the heat transfer from shaft interior boundaries.... Stack effect is a dominant driving force for building natural ventilation.Analytical models were developed for the evaluation of stack effect in a shaft,accounting for the heat transfer from shaft interior boundaries.Both the conditions with constant heat flux from boundaries to the airflow and the ones with constant boundary temperature were considered.The prediction capabilities of these analytical models were evaluated by using large eddy simulation(LES) for a hypothetical shaft.The results show that there are fairly good agreements between the predictions of the analytical models and the LES predictions in mass flow rate,vertical temperatures profile and pressure difference as well.Both the results of analytical models and LES show that the neutral plane could locate higher than one half of the shaft height when the upper opening area is identical with the lower opening area.Further,it is also shown that the analytical models perform better than KLOTE's model does in the mass flow rate prediction. 展开更多
关键词 stack effect theoretical analysis large eddy simulation vertical temperature distribution heat transfer
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