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机械强度可靠性灵敏度分析的拟蒙特卡罗法 被引量:4
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作者 张艳林 朱丽莎 +1 位作者 张义民 张艳芳 《东北大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第11期1594-1598,共5页
虽然蒙特卡罗方法具有程序结构简单,计算效率与问题维数无关的优点,但工程结构的失效概率往往很小,要获得精确的结果就需要大量样本,因而计算效率低.针对这一问题,采用Halton序列代替伪随机数并结合重要抽样方法,提出计算可靠性灵敏度... 虽然蒙特卡罗方法具有程序结构简单,计算效率与问题维数无关的优点,但工程结构的失效概率往往很小,要获得精确的结果就需要大量样本,因而计算效率低.针对这一问题,采用Halton序列代替伪随机数并结合重要抽样方法,提出计算可靠性灵敏度的拟蒙特卡罗法.该方法与传统蒙特卡罗法相比显著减少了样本,提高了计算效率,并且误差是确定的.以齿轮为研究对象,通过对接触疲劳可靠性及可靠性灵敏度进行分析,证实了该方法在计算效率上的优势. 展开更多
关键词 拟蒙特卡罗法 可靠性灵敏度 低偏差点集 齿轮接触疲劳 重要抽样 可靠度
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方差缩减技巧与拟蒙特卡罗方法(英文) 被引量:2
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作者 王小群 《应用数学》 CSCD 1999年第2期90-96,共7页
"拟蒙特卡罗方法"是蒙特卡罗方法的确定性变形。方差缩减技巧被广泛用于提高蒙特卡罗方法的效率。本文探讨这此些技巧的确定性变形用于"拟随机"情形以减小变差(提高"拟蒙特卡罗方法"的效率的)的可能性... "拟蒙特卡罗方法"是蒙特卡罗方法的确定性变形。方差缩减技巧被广泛用于提高蒙特卡罗方法的效率。本文探讨这此些技巧的确定性变形用于"拟随机"情形以减小变差(提高"拟蒙特卡罗方法"的效率的)的可能性。构造了一系列对某一函数集会精确成立的"拟随机"积分公式。 展开更多
关键词 方差缩减 数值积分 拟蒙特卡罗法 蒙特卡罗
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贝叶斯网络推理的一种高精度仿真算法 被引量:1
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作者 袁晓峰 陈淑红 许化龙 《系统仿真学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第1期108-111,116,共5页
简要分析了贝叶斯网络推理算法的现状,提出了基于马氏链随机拟蒙特卡罗算法(MCRQMC)的推理方法。在给出高精度推理结果的同时,该推理算法亦能给出推理结果的标准偏差。从理论上对MCRQMC算法与现有的算法进行了比较分析,并采用随机Halto... 简要分析了贝叶斯网络推理算法的现状,提出了基于马氏链随机拟蒙特卡罗算法(MCRQMC)的推理方法。在给出高精度推理结果的同时,该推理算法亦能给出推理结果的标准偏差。从理论上对MCRQMC算法与现有的算法进行了比较分析,并采用随机Halton序列、Sobol序列和普通随机序列进行了推理实验。结果表明MCRQMC算法在同样样本数量的情况下,推理精度显著优于现有算法。 展开更多
关键词 贝叶斯网络 马氏链 随机拟蒙特卡罗法 低偏差序列
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基于低偏差序列的矿井供水管网可靠性 被引量:12
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作者 蒋仲安 王佩 +1 位作者 施蕾蕾 谭聪 《中南大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第5期1686-1691,共6页
综合考虑管网水力可靠性的影响因素,结合节点和管网整体2个方面确定管段管径、管长、故障率、修复时间以及节点用水量作为评价指标,建立矿井供水管网可靠性评价模型。运用管网平差软件EPANETH进行水力模拟得到各管段故障情况下的节点实... 综合考虑管网水力可靠性的影响因素,结合节点和管网整体2个方面确定管段管径、管长、故障率、修复时间以及节点用水量作为评价指标,建立矿井供水管网可靠性评价模型。运用管网平差软件EPANETH进行水力模拟得到各管段故障情况下的节点实际可用水量,然后采用低偏差序列代替伪随机序列的拟蒙特卡罗法仿真模拟求得各节点的可靠度,再以节点需水量占管网总流量的比例为权值,求得整个管网的水力可靠度。研究结果表明:采用该评价模型可确定管网中可靠性较低的节点和对管网水力可靠性影响较大的管段,该计算方法可作为管网优化设计的参考。 展开更多
关键词 矿井供水管网 水力可靠性 拟蒙特卡罗法 Sobol序列 EPANETH
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基于QMC的矿井防尘供水管网水力可靠性分析 被引量:8
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作者 蒋仲安 王佩 +1 位作者 施蕾蕾 谭聪 《煤炭学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第A02期399-404,共6页
为了提高矿山井下防尘供水管网水力可靠性,综合考虑机械故障和水力条件变化对管网可靠性的影响,从节点和管网整体两个方面确定评价指标,建立矿井防尘供水管网水力可靠性评价模型。评价模型求解采取管网平差软件EPANETH和拟蒙特卡罗法(Q... 为了提高矿山井下防尘供水管网水力可靠性,综合考虑机械故障和水力条件变化对管网可靠性的影响,从节点和管网整体两个方面确定评价指标,建立矿井防尘供水管网水力可靠性评价模型。评价模型求解采取管网平差软件EPANETH和拟蒙特卡罗法(QMC)仿真模拟求得各节点的可靠度,继而求得整个管网的水力可靠度。整个算法用Matlab结合VC#.NET计算机语言编程实现,这样可以通过不断仿真模拟观察收敛结果。将评价模型用于开滦集团林南仓矿,通过分析计算,可确定管网中可靠性较低的节点和对管网水力可靠性影响较大的管段,该计算方法可作为管网优化设计的参考。 展开更多
关键词 矿井防尘 供水管网 水力可靠性 拟蒙特卡罗法 Halton序列
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Elbow precision machining technology by abrasive flow based on direct Monte Carlo method 被引量:4
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作者 LI Jun-ye ZHU Zhi-bao +4 位作者 WANG Bin-yu ZHANG Xin-ming WANG Fei ZHAO Wei-hong XU Cheng-yu 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第12期3667-3683,共17页
The investigation was carried out on the technical problems of finishing the inner surface of elbow parts and the action mechanism of particles in elbow precision machining by abrasive flow.This work was analyzed and ... The investigation was carried out on the technical problems of finishing the inner surface of elbow parts and the action mechanism of particles in elbow precision machining by abrasive flow.This work was analyzed and researched by combining theory,numerical and experimental methods.The direct simulation Monte Carlo(DSMC)method and the finite element analysis method were combined to reveal the random collision of particles during the precision machining of abrasive flow.Under different inlet velocity,volume fraction and abrasive particle size,the dynamic pressure and turbulence flow energy of abrasive flow in elbow were analyzed,and the machining mechanism of particles on the wall and the influence of different machining parameters on the precision machining quality of abrasive flow were obtained.The test results show the order of the influence of different parameters on the quality of abrasive flow precision machining and establish the optimal process parameters.The results of the surface morphology before and after the precision machining of the inner surface of the elbow are discussed,and the surface roughness Ra value is reduced from 1.125μm to 0.295μm after the precision machining of the abrasive flow.The application of DSMC method provides special insights for the development of abrasive flow technology. 展开更多
关键词 precision machining by abrasive flow direct simulation Monte Carlo method abrasive particle collision processing technology
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Natural ventilation performance of single room building with fluctuating wind speed and thermal mass 被引量:3
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作者 TAN Gang 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第3期733-739,共7页
Natural ventilation is driven by either buoyancy forces or wind pressure forces or their combinations that inherit stochastic variation into ventilation rates. Since the ventilation rate is a nonlinear function of mul... Natural ventilation is driven by either buoyancy forces or wind pressure forces or their combinations that inherit stochastic variation into ventilation rates. Since the ventilation rate is a nonlinear function of multiple variable factors including wind speed, wind direction, internal heat source and building structural thermal mass, the conventional methods for quantifying ventilation rate simply using dominant wind direction and average wind speed may not accurately describe the characteristic performance of natural ventilation. From a new point of view, the natural ventilation performance of a single room building under fluctuating wind speed condition using the Monte-Carlo simulation approach was investigated by incorporating building facade thermal mass effect. Given a same hourly turbulence intensity distribution, the wind speeds with 1 rain frequency fluctuations were generated using a stochastic model, the modified GARCH model. Comparisons of natural ventilation profiles, effective ventilation rates, and air conditioning electricity use for a three-month period show statistically significant differences (for 80% confidence interval) between the new calculations and the traditional methods based on hourly average wind speed. 展开更多
关键词 natural ventilation fluctuating wind speed thermal mass GARCH model
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Reliability analysis of supporting pressure in tunnels based on three-dimensional failure mechanism 被引量:7
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作者 罗卫华 李闻韬 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第5期1243-1252,共10页
Based on nonlinear failure criterion,a three-dimensional failure mechanism of the possible collapse of deep tunnel is presented with limit analysis theory.Support pressure is taken into consideration in the virtual wo... Based on nonlinear failure criterion,a three-dimensional failure mechanism of the possible collapse of deep tunnel is presented with limit analysis theory.Support pressure is taken into consideration in the virtual work equation performed under the upper bound theorem.It is necessary to point out that the properties of surrounding rock mass plays a vital role in the shape of collapsing rock mass.The first order reliability method and Monte Carlo simulation method are then employed to analyze the stability of presented mechanism.Different rock parameters are considered random variables to value the corresponding reliability index with an increasing applied support pressure.The reliability indexes calculated by two methods are in good agreement.Sensitivity analysis was performed and the influence of coefficient variation of rock parameters was discussed.It is shown that the tensile strength plays a much more important role in reliability index than dimensionless parameter,and that small changes occurring in the coefficient of variation would make great influence of reliability index.Thus,significant attention should be paid to the properties of surrounding rock mass and the applied support pressure to maintain the stability of tunnel can be determined for a given reliability index. 展开更多
关键词 rectangular tunnel limit analysis failure mechanism reliability analysis
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