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基于最大互信息系数和小波分解的多模型集成短期负荷预测 被引量:17
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作者 张振中 郭傅傲 +1 位作者 刘大明 唐飞 《计算机应用与软件》 北大核心 2021年第5期82-87,共6页
为提高负荷预测精度,提出一种基于小波分解的多模型集成短期负荷预测方法。由最大互信息系数(MIC)选出与负荷相关性高的特征候选集;为获得平稳的负荷序列,将小波分解集成到多预测模型中;小波分解后的负荷序列由多种预测模型(最小二乘支... 为提高负荷预测精度,提出一种基于小波分解的多模型集成短期负荷预测方法。由最大互信息系数(MIC)选出与负荷相关性高的特征候选集;为获得平稳的负荷序列,将小波分解集成到多预测模型中;小波分解后的负荷序列由多种预测模型(最小二乘支持向量回归、长短期记忆循环神经网络和极限梯度提升树)进行训练,这些模型在同一小时内提供不同的预测;在集成过程中采用二次学习来组合各时段预测结果并得到最终输出。真实电网数据实验对比结果表明,该方法具有更高的泛化能力和预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 最大互信息系数 小波变换 多预测模型 二次学习 短期负荷预测
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A hybrid decomposition-boosting model for short-term multi-step solar radiation forecasting with NARX neural network 被引量:4
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作者 HUANG Jia-hao LIU Hui 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第2期507-526,共20页
Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation c... Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation can ensure the safety of photovoltaic grids and improve the utilization efficiency of the solar energy systems.In the study,a new decomposition-boosting model using artificial intelligence is proposed to realize the solar radiation multi-step prediction.The proposed model includes four parts:signal decomposition(EWT),neural network(NARX),Adaboost and ARIMA.Three real solar radiation datasets from Changde,China were used to validate the efficiency of the proposed model.To verify the robustness of the multi-step prediction model,this experiment compared nine models and made 1,3,and 5 steps ahead predictions for the time series.It is verified that the proposed model has the best performance among all models. 展开更多
关键词 solar radiation forecasting multi-step forecasting smart hybrid model signal decomposition
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An improved constrained model predictive control approach for Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems 被引量:1
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作者 李妍 陈雪原 +1 位作者 毛志忠 袁平 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第3期926-932,共7页
Many industry processes can be described as Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems. In this work, an improved constrained model predictive control algorithm is presented for Hammerstein-Wiener systems. In the new approa... Many industry processes can be described as Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems. In this work, an improved constrained model predictive control algorithm is presented for Hammerstein-Wiener systems. In the new approach, the maximum and minimum of partial derivative for input and output nonlinearities are solved in the neighbourhood of the equilibrium. And several parameter-dependent Lyapunov functions, each one corresponding to a different vertex of polytopic descriptions models, are introduced to analyze the stability of Hammerstein-Wiener systems, but only one Lyapunov function is utilized to analyze system stability like the traditional method. Consequently, the conservation of the traditional quadratic stability is removed, and the terminal regions are enlarged. Simulation and field trial results show that the proposed algorithm is valid. It has higher control precision and shorter blowing time than the traditional approach. 展开更多
关键词 Hammerstein-Wiener nonlinear systems model predictive control parameter-dependent Lyapunov functions stability linear matrix inequalities (LMIs)
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Analysis of external noise spectrum of high-speed railway 被引量:13
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作者 邓永权 肖新标 +1 位作者 何宾 金学松 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第12期4753-4761,共9页
A schematic to make the spectra of the exterior noise of high speed railway was put forward. The exterior noise spectrum was defined based on the characteristics of the high-speed train exterior noise. Its characteris... A schematic to make the spectra of the exterior noise of high speed railway was put forward. The exterior noise spectrum was defined based on the characteristics of the high-speed train exterior noise. Its characteristics considered here include identifying the exterior main sources and their locations, their frequency components including the Doppler effect due to the noise sources moving at high speed, the sound field intensity around the train in high-speed operation, the sound radiation path out of the train, and the pressure level and frequency components of the noise at the measuring points specified by the International Organization for Standardization(ISO). The characteristics of the high-speed train exterior noise of the high speed railways in operation were introduced. The advanced measuring systems and their principles for clearly indentifying the exterior noise sources were discussed in detail. Based on the concerned noise results measured at sites, a prediction model was developed to calculate the sound level and the characteristics of the exterior noise at any point where it is difficult to measure and to help to make the exterior noise spectrums. This model was also verified with the test results. The verification shows that there is a good agreement between the theoretical and experimental results. 展开更多
关键词 high-speed train noise sound source identification noise control noise spectrum
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Real-time routing control design for traffic networks with multi-route choices
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作者 罗莉华 葛颖恩 +1 位作者 陈继红 张方伟 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第7期1807-1816,共10页
This work considers those road networks in which there are multi-route choices for bifurcation-destination(or origin-destination) pairs, and designs a real-time variable message sign(VMS)-based routing control strateg... This work considers those road networks in which there are multi-route choices for bifurcation-destination(or origin-destination) pairs, and designs a real-time variable message sign(VMS)-based routing control strategy in the model predictive control(MPC) framework. The VMS route recommendation provided by the traffic management authority is directly considered as the control variable, and the routing control model is established, in which a multi-dimensional control vector is introduced to describe the influence of route recommendations on flow distribution. In the MPC framework, a system optimum routing strategy with the constraints regarding drivers' acceptability with recommended routes is designed, which can not only meet the traffic management authority's control requirement but also improve drivers' satisfaction with the route guidance system. The simulation carried out shows that the proposed routing control can effectively mitigate traffic congestion, reduces followers' time delay, and improves drivers' satisfaction with routing control in road networks. 展开更多
关键词 real-time VMS-based routing control multi-route choices model predictive control (MPC) system optimum drivers'acceptability
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