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筒形件强力旋压多回归模型与参数分步优化
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作者 张伟 王颖 《机械设计与制造》 北大核心 2025年第10期211-215,共5页
为了提高筒形件多道次强力旋压成形质量,建立了强力旋压参数与筒形件性能参数之间的多回归模型,并基于该模型实现了工艺参数多目标优化。以减小筒形件壁厚偏差和圆柱度偏差为目标,以参数取值范围为约束,建立了强力旋压多目标优化模型。... 为了提高筒形件多道次强力旋压成形质量,建立了强力旋压参数与筒形件性能参数之间的多回归模型,并基于该模型实现了工艺参数多目标优化。以减小筒形件壁厚偏差和圆柱度偏差为目标,以参数取值范围为约束,建立了强力旋压多目标优化模型。基于正交实验数据,拟合了强力旋压工艺参数与筒形件质量参数之间的回归模型。首先使用精度较高的二阶模型,基于极值原理得到各工艺参数取值范围;而后基于线性模型系数的敏感方向与程度分析,在前一步优化范围内确定最优值。综合圆柱度偏差和壁厚偏差多回归模型的优化结果,得到最优工艺参数。经强力旋压机的试生产验证,产品的壁厚偏差均值由0.10mm减小为0.07mm,圆柱度偏差均值由0.26mm减小为0.14mm。实验结果证明了这里方法的可行性和优越性。 展开更多
关键词 筒形件 多回归模型 极值原理 多目标优化 强力旋压
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列昂节夫逆阵在解决多重共线问题中的应用
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作者 魏波 《统计与决策》 北大核心 2003年第3期15-16,共2页
关键词 投入产出理论 多回归模型 列昂节夫逆阵 多得共线问题
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Quantitative evaluation of urban park cool island factors in mountain city 被引量:7
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作者 卢军 李春蝶 +2 位作者 杨永川 张歆晖 靳鸣 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第6期1657-1662,共6页
Evaluating how park characteristics affect the formation of a park cool island(PCI) is the premise of guiding green parks planning in mountain cities.The diurnal variation of PCI intensity was achieved,and correlation... Evaluating how park characteristics affect the formation of a park cool island(PCI) is the premise of guiding green parks planning in mountain cities.The diurnal variation of PCI intensity was achieved,and correlations between PCI intensity and park characteristics such as park area,landscape shape index(LSI),green ratio and altitude were analyzed,using 3 010 temperature and humidity data from measurements in six parks with typical park characteristics in Chongqing,China.The results indicate that:1) the main factor determining PCI intensity is park area,which leads to obvious cool island effect when it exceeds 14 hm2;2) there is a negative correlation between PCI intensity and LSI,showing that the rounder the park shape is,the better the cool island effect could be achieved;3) regression analysis of humidity and PCI intensity proves that photosynthesis midday depression(PMD) is an important factor causing the low PCI intensity at 13:00;4) the multivariable linear regression model proposed here could effectively well predict the daily PCI intensity in mountain cities. 展开更多
关键词 park cool island park characteristics regression analysis photosynthesis midday depression statistical model
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Damage alarming for bridge expansion joints using novelty detection technique based on long-term monitoring data 被引量:4
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作者 缪长青 邓扬 +1 位作者 丁幼亮 李爱群 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第1期226-235,共10页
Damage alarming and safety evaluation using long-term monitoring data is an area of significant research activity for long-span bridges. In order to extend the research in this field, the damage alarming technique for... Damage alarming and safety evaluation using long-term monitoring data is an area of significant research activity for long-span bridges. In order to extend the research in this field, the damage alarming technique for bridge expansion joints based on long-term monitoring data was developed. The effects of environmental factors on the expansion joint displacement were analyzed. Multiple linear regression models were obtained to describe the correlation between displacements and the dominant environmental factors. The damage alarming index was defined based on the multiple regression models. At last, the X-bar control chart was utilized to detect the abnormal change of the displacements. Analysis results reveal that temperature and traffic condition are the dominant environmental factors to influence the displacement. When the confidence level of X-bar control chart is set to be 0.003, the false-positive indications of damage can be avoided. The damage sensitivity analysis shows that the proper X-bar control chart can detect 0.1 cm damage-induced change of the expansion joint displacement. It is reasonably believed that the proposed technique is robust against false-positive indication of damage and suitable to alarm the possible future damage of the expansion joints. 展开更多
关键词 damage alarming expansion joint TEMPERATURE traffic condition control chart suspension bridge
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Estimation of surface tension of organic compounds using quantitative structure-property relationship 被引量:2
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作者 戴益民 刘又年 +3 位作者 李浔 曹忠 朱志平 杨道武 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第1期93-100,共8页
A novel quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) model for estimating the solution surface tension of 92 organic compounds at 20℃ was developed based on newly introduced atom-type topological indices. Th... A novel quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) model for estimating the solution surface tension of 92 organic compounds at 20℃ was developed based on newly introduced atom-type topological indices. The data set contained non-polar and polar liquids, and saturated and unsaturated compounds. The regression analysis shows that excellent result is obtained with multiple linear regression. The predictive power of the proposed model was discussed using the leave-one-out (LOO) cross-validated (CV) method. The correlation coefficient (R) and the leave-one-out cross-validation correlation coefficient (Rcv) of multiple linear regression model are 0.991 4 and 0.991 3, respectively. The new model gives the average absolute relative deviation of 1.81% for 92 substances. The result demonstrates that novel topological indices based on the equilibrium electro-negativity of atom and the relative bond length are useful model parameters for QSPR analysis of compounds. 展开更多
关键词 surface tension quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) topological indice organic compound
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Characteristics of ventilation coefficient and its impact on urban air pollution 被引量:1
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作者 路婵 邓启红 +2 位作者 刘蔚巍 黄柏良 石灵芝 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第3期615-622,共8页
The temporal variation of ventilation coefficient was estimated and a simple model for the prediction of urban ventilation coefficient in Changsha was developed. Firstly, Pearson correlation analysis was used to inves... The temporal variation of ventilation coefficient was estimated and a simple model for the prediction of urban ventilation coefficient in Changsha was developed. Firstly, Pearson correlation analysis was used to investigate the relationship between meteorological parameters and mixing layer height during 2005-2009 in Changsha, China. Secondly, the multi-linear regression model between daytime and nighttime was adopted to predict the temporal ventilation coefficient. Thirdly, the validation of the model between the predicted and observed ventilation coefficient in 2010 was conducted. The results showed that ventilation coefficient significantly varied and remained high during daytime, while it stayed relatively constant and low during nighttime. In addition, the diurnal ventilation coefficient was distinctly negatively correlated with PM10 (particle with the diameter less than 10 μm) concentration in Changsha, China. The predicted ventilation coefficient agreed well with the observed values based on the multi-linear regression models during daytime and nighttime. The urban temporal ventilation coefficient could be accurately predicted by some simple meteorological parameters during daytime and nighttime. The ventilation coefficient played an important role in the PM10 concentration level. 展开更多
关键词 ventilation coefficient mixing layer height particulate matter multi-linear regression
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Estimation of thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides by means of novel local and global descriptors
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作者 DAI Yi-min NIU Lan-li +2 位作者 ZOU Jia-qi LIU Dan-yang LIU Hui 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第7期1535-1544,共10页
The thermal decomposition temperature is one of the most important parameters to evaluate fire hazard of organic peroxide. A quantitative structure-property relationship model was proposed for estimating the thermal d... The thermal decomposition temperature is one of the most important parameters to evaluate fire hazard of organic peroxide. A quantitative structure-property relationship model was proposed for estimating the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. The entire set of 38 organic peroxides was at random divided into a training set for model development and a prediction set for external model validation. The novel local molecular descriptors of AT1, AT2, AT3, AT4, AT5, AT6 and global molecular descriptor of ATC have been proposed in order to character organic peroxides’ molecular structures. An accurate quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) equation is developed for the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. The statistical results showed that the QSPR model was obtained using the multiple linear regression (MLR) method with correlation coefficient (R), standard deviation (S), leave-one-out validation correlation coefficient (RCV) values of 0.9795, 6.5676 ℃ and 0.9328, respectively. The average absolute relative deviation (AARD) is only 3.86% for the experimental values. Model test by internal leave-one-out cross validation and external validation and molecular descriptor interpretation were discussed. Comparison with literature results demonstrated that novel local and global descriptors were useful molecular descriptors for predicting the thermal decomposition temperatures of organic peroxides. 展开更多
关键词 organic peroxide thermal decomposition temperature multiple linear regression model validation quantitative structure-property relationship
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A new group contribution-based method for estimation of flash point temperature of alkanes
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作者 戴益民 刘辉 +5 位作者 陈晓青 刘又年 李浔 朱志平 张跃飞 曹忠 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第1期30-36,共7页
Flash point is a primary property used to determine the fire and explosion hazards of a liquid. New group contribution-based models were presented for estimation of the flash point of alkanes by the use of multiple li... Flash point is a primary property used to determine the fire and explosion hazards of a liquid. New group contribution-based models were presented for estimation of the flash point of alkanes by the use of multiple linear regression(MLR)and artificial neural network(ANN). This simple linear model shows a low average relative deviation(AARD) of 2.8% for a data set including 50(40 for training set and 10 for validation set) flash points. Furthermore, the predictive ability of the model was evaluated using LOO cross validation. The results demonstrate ANN model is clearly superior both in fitness and in prediction performance.ANN model has only the average absolute deviation of 2.9 K and the average relative deviation of 0.72%. 展开更多
关键词 flash point alkane group contribution artificial neural network(ANN) quantitative structure-property relationship(QSPR)
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