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敏感设备电压暂降故障水平的多不确定性评估 被引量:29
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作者 肖先勇 陈武 杨洪耕 《中国电机工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2010年第10期36-42,共7页
敏感设备电压暂降故障水平评估的最大困难在于各影响因素的不确定性和评估建模。根据相关因素的内涵和外延不确定特征,对电压暂降强度、设备电压耐受能力、设备故障状态的不确定性进行研究,建立相应的数学模型。在此基础上,基于模糊安... 敏感设备电压暂降故障水平评估的最大困难在于各影响因素的不确定性和评估建模。根据相关因素的内涵和外延不确定特征,对电压暂降强度、设备电压耐受能力、设备故障状态的不确定性进行研究,建立相应的数学模型。在此基础上,基于模糊安全事件隶属函数的建立原则与模糊事件概率计算模型,构建能同时反映各影响因素不确定性的敏感设备电压暂降故障水平评估模型,并对相应算法和评估过程进行较详细的研究。对个人计算机进行评估,结果证明该方法的正确性和可行性,该方法不需专家经验或主观假设,能客观地反映实际情况,并可方便地推广应用于相关领域。 展开更多
关键词 电压暂降 敏感设备 故障水平 多不确定性 内涵不确定 外延不确定 模糊安全事件
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计及智能电网多不确定性的多目标储能优化 被引量:19
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作者 邱晓燕 沙熠 +1 位作者 宁雪姣 韩轩 《高电压技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第9期2715-2722,共8页
针对风力发电与电动汽车大规模地接入电网后电力系统的随机性特性愈发明显的问题,综合考虑风力发电、负荷与电动汽车的不确定性,建立了智能电网多不确定模型,并利用点估计法求解随机潮流,构造了以运行成本最小、供电可靠性最大及储能投... 针对风力发电与电动汽车大规模地接入电网后电力系统的随机性特性愈发明显的问题,综合考虑风力发电、负荷与电动汽车的不确定性,建立了智能电网多不确定模型,并利用点估计法求解随机潮流,构造了以运行成本最小、供电可靠性最大及储能投资最小为目标函数的储能优化模型,之后利用引入非线性递减惯性权重的改进粒子群算法,在随机潮流结果的基础上对储能装置24 h的出力进行寻优计算,得出最优储能调度方案,从而抑制系统的不确定性。最后进行了算例分析,结果表明两点估计法能有效求解包含多不确定性的潮流方程,验证了所提方案的合理性。 展开更多
关键词 风力发电 多不确定性 随机潮流 点估计法 储能优化
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Multi-objective planning model for simultaneous reconfiguration of power distribution network and allocation of renewable energy resources and capacitors with considering uncertainties 被引量:9
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作者 Sajad Najafi Ravadanegh Mohammad Reza Jannati Oskuee Masoumeh Karimi 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第8期1837-1849,共13页
This research develops a comprehensive method to solve a combinatorial problem consisting of distribution system reconfiguration, capacitor allocation, and renewable energy resources sizing and siting simultaneously a... This research develops a comprehensive method to solve a combinatorial problem consisting of distribution system reconfiguration, capacitor allocation, and renewable energy resources sizing and siting simultaneously and to improve power system's accountability and system performance parameters. Due to finding solution which is closer to realistic characteristics, load forecasting, market price errors and the uncertainties related to the variable output power of wind based DG units are put in consideration. This work employs NSGA-II accompanied by the fuzzy set theory to solve the aforementioned multi-objective problem. The proposed scheme finally leads to a solution with a minimum voltage deviation, a maximum voltage stability, lower amount of pollutant and lower cost. The cost includes the installation costs of new equipment, reconfiguration costs, power loss cost, reliability cost, cost of energy purchased from power market, upgrade costs of lines and operation and maintenance costs of DGs. Therefore, the proposed methodology improves power quality, reliability and security in lower costs besides its preserve, with the operational indices of power distribution networks in acceptable level. To validate the proposed methodology's usefulness, it was applied on the IEEE 33-bus distribution system then the outcomes were compared with initial configuration. 展开更多
关键词 optimal reconfiguration renewable energy resources sitting and sizing capacitor allocation electric distribution system uncertainty modeling scenario based-stochastic programming multi-objective genetic algorithm
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Risk reduction in Sechahun iron ore deposit by geological boundary modification using multiple indicator Kriging 被引量:1
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作者 S.Kasmaee F.M.Torab 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第5期2011-2017,共7页
Uncertainty on the geological contacts and the block volumes of the models along boundaries is often a major part of the global uncertainty of reserve estimation.This work introduces a geostatistical technique that ha... Uncertainty on the geological contacts and the block volumes of the models along boundaries is often a major part of the global uncertainty of reserve estimation.This work introduces a geostatistical technique that has been developed and tested in an iron ore deposit at Bafq mining district,in central Iran,and that,based on a probability criterion,helps to objectively model the geometry of this iron ore deposit.The main problem in reserve estimation of this ore body is its geometrical modeling and uncertainty in geological boundaries.This work deals with the geostatistical method of multiple indicator kriging,which is used to determine the real boundaries of ore body in different categories.This approach has potential to improve project performance and decrease operational risk.For this purpose,the ore body is separated into two categories including rich iron zone(w(Fe)>45%)and poor iron zone(20%<w(Fe)<45%).It significantly benefits to decrease the risk of reserve evaluation in the deposit.This case study also highlights the value of multiple indicator kriging as a tool for estimates the position of grade boundaries within the deposit.Comparison of the resultant probability maps with the real ore/waste contacts on the extracted levels shows that the first indicator model could separate the whole ore body(poor plus rich)from the waste zone by probability of more than 0.35,which concludes the total reserve of 53 million tons.The second indicator model applied to separate the rich and poor domains and the results show that the blocks with the estimated probability of equal to or more than 0.4 lay within the rich ore zone consisting of 15.8 million tons reserve. 展开更多
关键词 geological boundaries multiple indicator kriging risk assessment block model uncertainty Sechahun deposit
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