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Weibull分布中BP参数优化的刮板输送机可靠性寿命预测分析 被引量:3
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作者 张永强 马宪民 杨洁 《煤炭工程》 北大核心 2017年第1期106-109,共4页
刮板输送机作为采煤工作面一种主要的机电设备,其可靠性运行对安全生产有重要的意义。传统的Weibull分布模型在刮板输送机可靠性寿命分析中,应用一般的线性方法估计可靠性寿命参数,由于故障数据的非线性特征,预测结果误差较大。针对此... 刮板输送机作为采煤工作面一种主要的机电设备,其可靠性运行对安全生产有重要的意义。传统的Weibull分布模型在刮板输送机可靠性寿命分析中,应用一般的线性方法估计可靠性寿命参数,由于故障数据的非线性特征,预测结果误差较大。针对此问题提出了采用非线性神经网络BP算法来优化模型参数,进行可靠性寿命预测。研究结果表明,应用BP算法优化后的参数得到的可靠性寿命与实际给定的设备寿命指标误差较小,提高了刮板输送机可靠性寿命预测的准确性。 展开更多
关键词 WEIBULL分布 刮板输送机 机电设备 BP算法 可靠性寿命预测
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HX_D2B电力机车变流器C6修程关键器件寿命研究 被引量:3
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作者 刘立刚 张修同 《铁道机车车辆》 北大核心 2018年第2期93-99,共7页
电力机车变流器产品在C6修程中,为达到科学检修,优化全寿命周期运行成本,更好地保证变流装置运行的可靠性,需要对变流器零部件的疲劳寿命及可靠性进行准确的预测。主要从失效机理和故障统计等方面入手对机车变流产品关键零部件进行寿命... 电力机车变流器产品在C6修程中,为达到科学检修,优化全寿命周期运行成本,更好地保证变流装置运行的可靠性,需要对变流器零部件的疲劳寿命及可靠性进行准确的预测。主要从失效机理和故障统计等方面入手对机车变流产品关键零部件进行寿命预测研究,实现对关键零部件的可靠性寿命预测,为机车变流器产品C6修程提供理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 C6修程 失效机理 故障统计 可靠性寿命预测
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Lifetime prediction for tantalum capacitors with multiple degradation measures and particle swarm optimization based grey model 被引量:2
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作者 黄姣英 高成 +1 位作者 崔嵬 梅亮 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第5期1302-1310,共9页
A lifetime prediction method for high-reliability tantalum (Ta) capacitors was proposed, based on multiple degradation measures and grey model (GM). For analyzing performance degradation data, a two-parameter mode... A lifetime prediction method for high-reliability tantalum (Ta) capacitors was proposed, based on multiple degradation measures and grey model (GM). For analyzing performance degradation data, a two-parameter model based on GM was developed. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the two-parameter model, parameter selection based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) was used. Then, the new PSO-GM(1, 2, co) optimization model was constructed, which was validated experimentally by conducting an accelerated testing on the Ta capacitors. The experiments were conducted at three different stress levels of 85, 120, and 145℃. The results of two experiments were used in estimating the parameters. And the reliability of the Ta capacitors was estimated at the same stress conditions of the third experiment. The results indicate that the proposed method is valid and accurate. 展开更多
关键词 accelerated degradation test CAPACITOR multiple degradation measure particle swarm optimization grey model
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Reliability-based service life prediction of existing concrete structures under marine environment 被引量:2
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作者 吴灵杰 周拥军 +1 位作者 寇新建 蒋萌 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第9期3608-3614,共7页
Chloride-induced corrosion of the reinforcement is considered as one of the major mechanisms resulting in the reduction of structural resistance of reinforced concrete structural elements located in marine and other a... Chloride-induced corrosion of the reinforcement is considered as one of the major mechanisms resulting in the reduction of structural resistance of reinforced concrete structural elements located in marine and other aggressive environments. A study of reinforced concrete structures located at the Fangcheng dock in the Beibu Gulf port, China, was present. The result from field survey indicates that the concrete cover depth and chloride diffusion coefficient fit best normal distribution and lognormal distribution, respectively. The service life of structure is about 55 a, while initiation time is 45 a. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the most influential factor of the structure service life prediction is concrete cover, followed by diffusion coefficient, diffusion decay index, critical chloride concentration, surface chloride concentration, current density and localized pitting corrosion. Finally, the effects of diffusion decay index and critical chloride concentration on structure service life prediction are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 CHLORIDE existing concrete structure service life marine environment
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