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近57年营口市农耕期界限温度变化特征分析 被引量:4
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作者 曲岩 金巍 +1 位作者 郝宏伟 吕一杰 《安徽农业科学》 CAS 北大核心 2009年第5期2086-2087,2138,共3页
对1951~2007年营口市稳定通过0℃、10℃积温和积温日数及其变率的分析表明:(1)近57年来营口市稳定通过0℃和10℃积温及积温日数呈递增趋势,其中稳定通过10℃积温、积温日数比通过0℃的递增趋势要强。(2)各阶段稳定通过O℃和10℃... 对1951~2007年营口市稳定通过0℃、10℃积温和积温日数及其变率的分析表明:(1)近57年来营口市稳定通过0℃和10℃积温及积温日数呈递增趋势,其中稳定通过10℃积温、积温日数比通过0℃的递增趋势要强。(2)各阶段稳定通过O℃和10℃积温变化趋势不同,第1个和第2个30年呈现递增趋势较弱、第3个30年和最近30年呈强递增趋势。(3)近57年营口市稳定通过0℃和10℃积温日数递增变化中,后期递增趋势较前期更为显著:最近30年营口市稳定通过0℃和10℃积温递增趋势显著加强趋势与全球变暖的大背景进一步加强趋势相一致。 展开更多
关键词 积温 积温日数 变率分析 营口市
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1850-2008年中国及世界主要国家的碳排放--碳排放与社会发展Ⅰ 被引量:33
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作者 朱江玲 岳超 +1 位作者 王少鹏 方精云 《北京大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第4期497-504,共8页
人类活动排放CO2包括3个重要时期,即1850年第二次工业革命至今,1950年战后世界经济迅速发展期至今,以及以1990年签署《联合国气候变化框架公约》为标志的人类关注碳排放时期至今。作者利用1850—2008年世界化石燃料CO2排放量和人口数据... 人类活动排放CO2包括3个重要时期,即1850年第二次工业革命至今,1950年战后世界经济迅速发展期至今,以及以1990年签署《联合国气候变化框架公约》为标志的人类关注碳排放时期至今。作者利用1850—2008年世界化石燃料CO2排放量和人口数据,得到3个时期全球主要国家及我国的累计碳排放量与人均累计碳排放量。结果表明:过去近160年全球历史累计碳排放量为345PgC(1PgC=10亿tC);发达国家历史累计排放量与人均累计排放量均远远高于发展中国家,1850—2008年,前者是后者的2.9倍(250和87PgC)和11.2倍(257和23tC);1950—2008年,分别是2.3倍(193和85PgC)和7.7倍(169和22tC);1990—2008年,分别为1.9倍(75和54PgC)和5.3倍(58和11tC)。尽管发展中国家与发达国家历史排放量的差距有缩小趋势,但发达国家的排放量一直远高于发展中国家,是大气CO2浓度升高的主要贡献者。对1850年以来中国的碳排放分析表明,3个时期历史累计排放量和人均累计排放量分别为31PgC与29tC,31PgC与28tC,21PgC与16tC。1980—2008年我国碳排放总量和人均排放量均呈快速增加趋势,平均年增量分别为0.05PgC和0.04tC。这表明,我国正在失去历史碳排放量较低的优势,节能减排是我国实现可持续发展战略的必由之路。 展开更多
关键词 累计碳排放 人均累计排放 减排 变率分析
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上海市全社会月用电量预测模型 被引量:13
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作者 穆海振 孙兰东 侯依玲 《中国电力》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第6期146-150,共5页
较为准确的中短期用电量预测是制定科学合理电网运行计划的前提。利用2004—2014年上海市各月全社会用电量、气温、历年GDP、人口和单位GDP能耗等数据,采用年际同比变率分析方法,分析了影响月用电量的主要因子,建立了上海市逐月用电量... 较为准确的中短期用电量预测是制定科学合理电网运行计划的前提。利用2004—2014年上海市各月全社会用电量、气温、历年GDP、人口和单位GDP能耗等数据,采用年际同比变率分析方法,分析了影响月用电量的主要因子,建立了上海市逐月用电量预测模型。结果表明:采用年际同比变率分析方法能有效剔除气温、用电量等年际变化趋势对相关关系分析结果的影响,所得结论物理意义更为清晰;上海市月用电量呈现冬季和夏季双峰型特征,受经济总量增加等因素的影响,各月用电量都呈现出增加趋势;冬季和夏季的月用电量同比变化率与气温变化相关最为密切,春季和秋季的用电量同比变化率主要与经济总量增长和产业结构调整相关;综合考虑各影响因子建立的预测模型能够实现对各月用电量较精确的预测,也可用来研判经济走势。 展开更多
关键词 上海 月用电量 预测模型 同比变率分析
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Strain rate effects on sand and its quantitative analysis 被引量:1
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作者 李福林 彭芳乐 +1 位作者 李建中 KONGKITKUL W 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2009年第4期658-662,共5页
Strain rate effects on the stress-strain behavior of sand were investigated by performing special plane strain and triaxial compression tests on saturated and air-dried sand specimens. In these tests, the loading stra... Strain rate effects on the stress-strain behavior of sand were investigated by performing special plane strain and triaxial compression tests on saturated and air-dried sand specimens. In these tests, the loading strain rate was changed many times by a factor of up to 1 000 during otherwise monotonous loading at a constant axial strain rate. Test results show that the stress jump upon a stepwise change in the strain rate decays with an increase in the irreversible strain when monotonous loading continues at the changed strain rate and the amount of stress jump is essentially proportional to the instantaneous stress. Based on the amount of these stress jumps, a parameter fl called the rate-sensitivity coefficient is introduced to represent the quantity of the observed viscous properties of sand, which equals 0.021 3 and 0.024 2 respectively for Hostun and Toyoura sands. Further analyses on the results indicate that the effect of the presence of pore water is deemed to be negligible with sand and the fl value is rather independent of loading method, wet condition and confining pressure. 展开更多
关键词 SAND strain rate viscous properties stress-strain relation
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Hydraulic bulging process with axial feedings and strain field of U-shaped metal bellows 被引量:2
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作者 HAO Zeng-liang XI Chen-yang +2 位作者 HUANG Zhi-heng ZHANG Chun-xiang LUO Jun-ting 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第11期2712-2721,共10页
Based on the traditional hydraulic bulging process,an improved hydraulic bulging process with axial feeding in the bulging process was proposed.The finite element simulation and experiment of bellows formed by the tra... Based on the traditional hydraulic bulging process,an improved hydraulic bulging process with axial feeding in the bulging process was proposed.The finite element simulation and experiment of bellows formed by the traditional and improved hydraulic bulging processes were conducted.The grid strain measurement system analysis results of strain and wall thickness distribution of the metal bellows,obtained from simulation and experiment,show that the maximum thinning rates of the wall thickness under the traditional and improved processes were 15%and 10%,respectively.And the wall thickness distribution of the metal bellows formed with improved process was more uniform.The strain values from the root to crown of the waveform increased gradually.However,the strain values were smaller than those of traditional process due to the axial feeding of the improved process in bulging process. 展开更多
关键词 hydraulic bulging process finite element simulation thinning rate of wall thickness grid strain measurement system
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Dynamic probabilistic analysis of stress and deformation for bladed disk assemblies of aeroengine 被引量:3
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作者 白斌 白广忱 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第10期3722-3735,共14页
In order to describe and control the stress distribution and total deformation of bladed disk assemblies used in the aeroengine, a highly efficient and precise method of probabilistic analysis which is called extremum... In order to describe and control the stress distribution and total deformation of bladed disk assemblies used in the aeroengine, a highly efficient and precise method of probabilistic analysis which is called extremum response surface method(ERSM) is produced based on the previous deterministic analysis results with the finite element model(FEM). In this work, many key nonlinear factors, such as the dynamic feature of the temperature load, the centrifugal force and the boundary conditions, are taken into consideration for the model. The changing patterns with time of bladed disk assemblies about stress distribution and total deformation are obtained during the deterministic analysis, and at the same time, the largest deformation and stress nodes of bladed disk assemblies are found and taken as input target of probabilistic analysis in a scientific and reasonable way. Not only their reliability, historical sample, extreme response surface(ERS) and the cumulative probability distribution function but also their sensitivity and effect probability are obtained. Main factors affecting stress distribution and total deformation of bladed disk assemblies are investigated through the sensitivity analysis of the model. Finally, compared with the response surface method(RSM) and the Monte Carlo simulation(MCS), the results show that this new approach is effective. 展开更多
关键词 bladed disk assemblies probabilistic analysis finite element model extremum response surface method sensitivity analysis transient dynamic analysis
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Relationship between hydrogen concentration and mechanical properties of 5Ni-16Cr-Mo steel
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作者 SUN Yong-wei CHEN Ji-zhi WANG Ling-shui 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第3期699-711,共13页
The qualitative relationship between hydrogen concentration and notch tensile strength has been investigated for 5Ni-16Cr-Mo steel with different strength.The notch tensile strength was determined by means of slow str... The qualitative relationship between hydrogen concentration and notch tensile strength has been investigated for 5Ni-16Cr-Mo steel with different strength.The notch tensile strength was determined by means of slow strain rate test(SSRT)on circumferentially notched round bar specimens with the notch root radius of 0.15 mm after hydrogen charging.Meanwhile,the hydrogen diffusion behaviors of various strength steel were studied by thermal desorption spectroscopy(TDS)analysis.The SSRT results show that the T460 steel has higher susceptibility of hydrogen embrittlement in contrast with T520 steel.The activation energies and microstructure indicate that the dislocations and interfaces of martensitic laths are hydrogen traps in 5Ni-16Cr-Mo steel.By SSRT,the elastic limit of charged specimen loaded in air is higher than the flow stress without hydrogen charging before unloading,while the difference is defined as hydrogen-induced stress.The value of hydrogen-induced stress σ*increases linearly with hydrogen concentration:σ*=−0.622+2.015C_(0).The finite element analysis results of stress distributions near the notch tip have shown that the maximum principal stress increases with the notch root radius decreasing. 展开更多
关键词 5Ni-16Cr-Mo steel slow strain rate test thermal desorption spectroscopy finite element analysis hydrogen embrittlement
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Hot-compression behavior of Al alloy 5182
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作者 唐建国 黄星星 张新明 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第8期2073-2080,共8页
Hot-compression of aluminum alloy 5182 was carried out on a Gleeble- 1500 thermo-simulator at deformation temperature ranging from 350 ℃ to 500 ℃ and at strain rate from 0.01 s^-1 to 10 s^-1 with strain range from 0... Hot-compression of aluminum alloy 5182 was carried out on a Gleeble- 1500 thermo-simulator at deformation temperature ranging from 350 ℃ to 500 ℃ and at strain rate from 0.01 s^-1 to 10 s^-1 with strain range from 0.7 to 1.9. The microstructures and macro-textures evolution under different conditions were investigated by polarized optical microscopy and X-ray diffraction analysis, respectively. The basic trend is that the hot-compression stress increases with the decrease of temperature and increase of strain rate, which is revealed and elucidated in terms of Zener-Hollomon parameter in the hyperbolic sine equation with the hot-deformation activation energy of 143.5 kJ/mol. An empirical constitutive equation is proposed to predict the hot-deformation behavior under different conditions. As deformation temperature increases up to 400 ℃, at strain rate over 1 s^-1, dynamic recrystallization (DRX) occurs. Cube orientation { 100} (001) is detected in the recrystallized sample after hot-compression. 展开更多
关键词 aluminum alloy 5182 hot-compression TEXTURE MICROSTRUCTURE
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