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基于神经网络的二元混合液体自燃温度预测
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作者 胡双启 郭丙宇 +1 位作者 程泽会 吴薇 《安全与环境学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期1710-1716,共7页
自燃温度(Auto-Ignition Temperature,AIT)是防火防爆安全设计的关键临界参数之一。为解决目前多数采用试验方法测量混合物AIT费时费力且有一定危险性的问题,运用定量结构性质关系方法,使用反向传播神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Ne... 自燃温度(Auto-Ignition Temperature,AIT)是防火防爆安全设计的关键临界参数之一。为解决目前多数采用试验方法测量混合物AIT费时费力且有一定危险性的问题,运用定量结构性质关系方法,使用反向传播神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network,BPNN)和一维卷积神经网络(one-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network,1DCNN)技术建立二元混合液体AIT预测模型。以二元混合液体的分子描述符为输入、试验测得的AIT为输出,经多种方法对模型的拟合性、稳定性和预测能力评价验证。结果表明,BPNN模型和1DCNN模型均有良好的预测能力,其均方根误差分别为4.780℃和9.603℃,拟合度与5折交叉验证拟合度差值分别为0.058和0.040,表明BPNN模型有更好的拟合能力,1DCNN模型有良好的稳定性。 展开更多
关键词 安全工程 反传播神经网络(BPNN) 一维卷积神经网络(1DCNN) 二元混合液体 自燃温度
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大规模风电并网电力系统经济调度中风电场出力的短期预测模型 被引量:86
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作者 袁铁江 晁勤 +1 位作者 李义岩 吐尔逊.伊不拉音 《中国电机工程学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2010年第13期23-27,共5页
考虑到大规模风电并网电力系统经济调度中,对风电场出力的短期预测在时间尺度和精度尺度方面的要求,以传统的反传播神经网络(back propagation artificial neural network,BP-ANN)作为预测手段的基础,建立了风电场短期出力预预测模型。... 考虑到大规模风电并网电力系统经济调度中,对风电场出力的短期预测在时间尺度和精度尺度方面的要求,以传统的反传播神经网络(back propagation artificial neural network,BP-ANN)作为预测手段的基础,建立了风电场短期出力预预测模型。考虑到历史的预测误差与未来预测误差间的映射关系,利用传统的BP-ANN预测技术对未来的预测误差进行预测。通过算例仿真发现,误差预测变化趋势能跟踪预预测的误差变化,基于此并考虑到经济调度对风电场出力预测精度的要求,建立了对风电场出力短期预预测进行修正的风电场出力短期预测模型,进一步的算例仿真表明了该模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 风电 反传播神经网络 误差 预测 短期
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Prediction of Hot Deformation Behavior of 7Mo Super Austenitic Stainless Steel Based on Back Propagation Neural Network
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作者 WANG Fan WANG Xitao +1 位作者 XU Shiguang HE Jinshan 《材料导报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第17期165-171,共7页
The hot compression tests of 7Mo super austenitic stainless(SASS)were conducted to obtain flow curves at the temperature of 1000-1200℃and strain rate of 0.001 s^(-1)to 1 s^(-1).To predict the non-linear hot deformati... The hot compression tests of 7Mo super austenitic stainless(SASS)were conducted to obtain flow curves at the temperature of 1000-1200℃and strain rate of 0.001 s^(-1)to 1 s^(-1).To predict the non-linear hot deformation behaviors of the steel,back propagation-artificial neural network(BP-ANN)with 16×8×8 hidden layer neurons was proposed.The predictability of the ANN model is evaluated according to the distribution of mean absolute error(MAE)and relative error.The relative error of 85%data for the BP-ANN model is among±5%while only 42.5%data predicted by the Arrhenius constitutive equation is in this range.Especially,at high strain rate and low temperature,the MAE of the ANN model is 2.49%,which has decreases for 18.78%,compared with conventional Arrhenius constitutive equation. 展开更多
关键词 7Mo super austenitic stainless steel hot deformation behavior flow stress BP-ANN Arrhenius constitutive equation
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Optimization of processing parameters for microwave drying of selenium-rich slag using incremental improved back-propagation neural network and response surface methodology 被引量:4
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作者 李英伟 彭金辉 +2 位作者 梁贵安 李玮 张世敏 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第5期1441-1447,共7页
In the non-linear microwave drying process, the incremental improved back-propagation (BP) neural network and response surface methodology (RSM) were used to build a predictive model of the combined effects of ind... In the non-linear microwave drying process, the incremental improved back-propagation (BP) neural network and response surface methodology (RSM) were used to build a predictive model of the combined effects of independent variables (the microwave power, the acting time and the rotational frequency) for microwave drying of selenium-rich slag. The optimum operating conditions obtained from the quadratic form of the RSM are: the microwave power of 14.97 kW, the acting time of 89.58 min, the rotational frequency of 10.94 Hz, and the temperature of 136.407 ℃. The relative dehydration rate of 97.1895% is obtained. Under the optimum operating conditions, the incremental improved BP neural network prediction model can predict the drying process results and different effects on the results of the independent variables. The verification experiments demonstrate the prediction accuracy of the network, and the mean squared error is 0.16. The optimized results indicate that RSM can optimize the experimental conditions within much more broad range by considering the combination of factors and the neural network model can predict the results effectively and provide the theoretical guidance for the follow-up production process. 展开更多
关键词 microwave drying response surface methodology optimization incremental improved back-propagation neural network PREDICTION
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Application of neural network to prediction of plate finish cooling temperature
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作者 王丙兴 张殿华 +3 位作者 王君 于明 周娜 曹光明 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2008年第1期136-140,共5页
To improve the deficiency of the control system of finish cooling temperature (FCT), a new model developed from a combination of a multilayer perception neural network as the self-learning system and traditional mathe... To improve the deficiency of the control system of finish cooling temperature (FCT), a new model developed from a combination of a multilayer perception neural network as the self-learning system and traditional mathematical model were brought forward to predict the plate FCT. The relationship between the self-learning factor of heat transfer coefficient and its influencing parameters such as plate thickness, start cooling temperature, was investigated. Simulative calculation indicates that the deficiency of FCT control system is overcome completely, the accuracy of FCT is obviously improved and the difference between the calculated and target FCT is controlled between -15 ℃ and 15 ℃. 展开更多
关键词 PLATE heat transfer coefficient mathematical model back propagation (BP) neural network
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Auto recognition of carbonate microfacies based on an improved back propagation neural network
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作者 王玉玺 刘波 +4 位作者 高计县 张学丰 李顺利 刘建强 田泽普 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第9期3521-3535,共15页
Though traditional methods could recognize some facies, e.g. lagoon facies, backshoal facies and foreshoal facies, they couldn't recognize reef facies and shoal facies well. To solve this problem, back propagation... Though traditional methods could recognize some facies, e.g. lagoon facies, backshoal facies and foreshoal facies, they couldn't recognize reef facies and shoal facies well. To solve this problem, back propagation neural network(BP-ANN) and an improved BP-ANN with better stability and suitability, optimized by a particle swarm optimizer(PSO) algorithm(PSO-BP-ANN) were proposed to solve the microfacies' auto discrimination of M formation from the R oil field in Iraq. Fourteen wells with complete core, borehole and log data were chosen as the standard wells and 120 microfacies samples were inferred from these 14 wells. Besides, the average value of gamma, neutron and density logs as well as the sum of squares of deviations of gamma were extracted as key parameters to build log facies(facies from log measurements)-microfacies transforming model. The total 120 log facies samples were divided into 12 kinds of log facies and 6 kinds of microfacies, e.g. lagoon bioclasts micrite limestone microfacies, shoal bioclasts grainstone microfacies, backshoal bioclasts packstone microfacies, foreshoal bioclasts micrite limestone microfacies, shallow continental micrite limestone microfacies and reef limestone microfacies. Furthermore, 68 samples of these 120 log facies samples were chosen as training samples and another 52 samples were gotten as testing samples to test the predicting ability of the discrimination template. Compared with conventional methods, like Bayes stepwise discrimination, both the BP-ANN and PSO-BP-ANN can integrate more log details with a correct rate higher than 85%. Furthermore, PSO-BP-ANN has more simple structure, smaller amount of weight and threshold and less iteration time. 展开更多
关键词 carbonate microfacies quantitative recognition bayes stepwise discrimination backward propagation neural network particle swarm optimizer
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Developing energy forecasting model using hybrid artificial intelligence method
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作者 Shahram Mollaiy-Berneti 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第8期3026-3032,共7页
An important problem in demand planning for energy consumption is developing an accurate energy forecasting model. In fact, it is not possible to allocate the energy resources in an optimal manner without having accur... An important problem in demand planning for energy consumption is developing an accurate energy forecasting model. In fact, it is not possible to allocate the energy resources in an optimal manner without having accurate demand value. A new energy forecasting model was proposed based on the back-propagation(BP) type neural network and imperialist competitive algorithm. The proposed method offers the advantage of local search ability of BP technique and global search ability of imperialist competitive algorithm. Two types of empirical data regarding the energy demand(gross domestic product(GDP), population, import, export and energy demand) in Turkey from 1979 to 2005 and electricity demand(population, GDP, total revenue from exporting industrial products and electricity consumption) in Thailand from 1986 to 2010 were investigated to demonstrate the applicability and merits of the present method. The performance of the proposed model is found to be better than that of conventional back-propagation neural network with low mean absolute error. 展开更多
关键词 energy demand artificial neural network back-propagation algorithm imperialist competitive algorithm
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