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美国金融危机压力测度及对我国金融市场的影响——基于多指标多原因MIMIC模型和VAR脉冲响应的实证
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作者 王之浩 姜怡舟 《青海金融》 2025年第1期36-44,共9页
硅谷银行(SiliconValleyBankSVB)为全美第16大银行,总资产超2000亿。2023年3月10日当地时间,硅谷银行宣布倒闭,成为美国历史上第二大倒闭银行,引发世界各国对美国金融危机压力传导的担忧。本文构建MIMIC结构方程,测度美国金融危机压力指... 硅谷银行(SiliconValleyBankSVB)为全美第16大银行,总资产超2000亿。2023年3月10日当地时间,硅谷银行宣布倒闭,成为美国历史上第二大倒闭银行,引发世界各国对美国金融危机压力传导的担忧。本文构建MIMIC结构方程,测度美国金融危机压力指数,并通过VAR脉冲响应,分析其对我国金融市场的影响程度,并从推动人民币国际化、稳房产以稳内循环、加强多方经贸合作、强化国内经济韧性和提高股、债市的流动性五个方面提出政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 多指标多原因模型 金融危机传染 压力测度 脉冲响应
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生态压力测度法在流域水资源生态压力空间格局分析中的应用研究 被引量:2
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作者 郭锐 《水利规划与设计》 2017年第11期78-81,共4页
文章以辽宁中部某流域为研究区域,采用生态压力测度方法对流域的水资源生态压力进行测算。测算结果表明:研究流域的水资源生态压力指数在1.08~2.39,平均压力指数为1.42,区域水资源生态压力受人类经济活动影响较大;区域的水资源生态压力... 文章以辽宁中部某流域为研究区域,采用生态压力测度方法对流域的水资源生态压力进行测算。测算结果表明:研究流域的水资源生态压力指数在1.08~2.39,平均压力指数为1.42,区域水资源生态压力受人类经济活动影响较大;区域的水资源生态压力全局Moran指数均值为-0.3419,呈现较为显著的空间变差性;区域水资源生态压力局部Moran指数为-0.3218,呈现较低的变异中心。研究成果可以为区域水资源生态保护提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 生态压力测度方法 生态压力测算 MORAN指数 生态空间格局
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Use of casing and its effect on pressure cells 被引量:4
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作者 AHANGARI K NOORZAD A 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第3期384-390,共7页
Although pressure cells have been produced and installed successfully for decades,the accuracy of measured pressure is often inadequate.Due to large differences between the stiffness of pressure cells and the surround... Although pressure cells have been produced and installed successfully for decades,the accuracy of measured pressure is often inadequate.Due to large differences between the stiffness of pressure cells and the surrounding media,there is a considerable difference between applied pressure and that measured from pressure cells.It is often difficult and expensive to make a pressure cell with stiffness(modulus of elasticity) similar to the surrounding material in which it will be embedded.In order to improve this situation,a casing material with proportional dimensions is recommended as a means to obtain reliable results.In our study,the effect of using casing in the installation of pressure cells is investigated,providing the characteristics of casing.Some practical recommendations are presented to improve the accuracy of the results using casing. 展开更多
关键词 INSTRUMENTATION stress measurement pressure cell CASING
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Application of artificial neural networks and multivariate statistics to estimate UCS using textural characteristics 被引量:15
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作者 Amin Manouchehrian Mostafa Sharifzadeh Rasoul Hamidzadeh Moghadam 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2012年第2期229-236,共8页
Before any rock engineering project,mechanical parameters of rocks such as uniaxial compressive strength and young modulus of intact rock get measured using laboratory or in-situ tests,but in some situations preparing... Before any rock engineering project,mechanical parameters of rocks such as uniaxial compressive strength and young modulus of intact rock get measured using laboratory or in-situ tests,but in some situations preparing the required specimens is impossible.By this time,several models have been established to evaluate UCS and E from rock substantial properties.Artificial neural networks are powerful tools which are employed to establish predictive models and results have shown the priority of this technique compared to classic statistical techniques.In this paper,ANN and multivariate statistical models considering rock textural characteristics have been established to estimate UCS of rock and to validate the responses of the established models,they were compared with laboratory results.For this purpose a data set for 44 samples of sandstone was prepared and for each sample some textural characteristics such as void,mineral content and grain size as well as UCS were determined.To select the best predictors as inputs of the UCS models,this data set was subjected to statistical analyses comprising basic descriptive statistics,bivariate correlation,curve fitting and principal component analyses.Results of such analyses have shown that void,ferroan calcitic cement,argillaceous cement and mica percentage have the most effect on USC.Two predictive models for UCS were developed using these variables by ANN and linear multivariate regression.Results have shown that by using simple textural characteristics such as mineral content,cement type and void,strength of studied sandstone can be estimated with acceptable accuracy.ANN and multivariate statistical UCS models,revealed responses with 0.87 and 0.76 regressions,respectively which proves higher potential of ANN model for predicting UCS compared to classic statistical models. 展开更多
关键词 Textural characteristicsUniaxial compressive strengthPredictive modelsArtificial neural networksMultivariate statistics
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Direct fitting measurement of gas content in coalbed and selection of reasonable sampling time 被引量:1
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作者 Yan Guoqiang Wang Gang +2 位作者 Xin Lin Du Wenzhou Huang Qiming 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第2期299-305,共7页
In this study, we selected 9 typical coal samples with different metamorphic grades as the study subjects,measured their initial 30-min gas desorption at 30℃ and different pressure using a self-developed gas adsorpti... In this study, we selected 9 typical coal samples with different metamorphic grades as the study subjects,measured their initial 30-min gas desorption at 30℃ and different pressure using a self-developed gas adsorption/desorption device. Based on the characteristics of gas desorption from coal samples, we proposed a direct fitting method for measurement of gas content in coalbed, analyzed the effects of sampling time on the measurement results and determined the reasonable sampling time of coal samples with different metamorphic grades at different gas adsorption pressure at equilibrium. The results show that (1)the error of gas contents obtained using the direct fitting method relative to that obtained using indirect method is less than 10%, which meets the actual on-site requirements and verifies the feasibility of the direct fitting method;(2) when the relative error is controlled within ±10%, the reasonable sampling time of coal samples is linearly related to the gas adsorption pressure at equilibrium;(3) the reasonable sampling time of coal samples with the same metamorphic grade exhibits a shortening trend with increasing gas adsorption pressure at equilibrium;(4) for coal samples with similar gas adsorption pressure at equilibrium, the reasonable sampling time of coal samples displays a shortening trend with increasing metamorphic grade. Overall, the study provides a basis for improving the measurement accuracy of gas content in coalbed. 展开更多
关键词 Gas content Fitting Desorption Metamorphic grade Sampling time
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