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基于高斯混合模型的采煤工作面冲击危险性评价 被引量:3
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作者 崔峰 李宜霏 +4 位作者 贾冲 陆长亮 何仕凤 张随林 田梦琪 《煤田地质与勘探》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第10期85-96,共12页
【目的】深入了解声发射或微震能量分布所蕴含的概率学信息,对于工作面回采过程中的冲击危险性评价具有重要意义。【方法】以陕西大佛寺煤矿4号煤层40111工作面作为工程背景,运用物理相似模拟实验、理论分析、现场监测等相关方法进行分... 【目的】深入了解声发射或微震能量分布所蕴含的概率学信息,对于工作面回采过程中的冲击危险性评价具有重要意义。【方法】以陕西大佛寺煤矿4号煤层40111工作面作为工程背景,运用物理相似模拟实验、理论分析、现场监测等相关方法进行分析,研究了声发射监测数据在回采过程中的演化规律,阐明了声发射能量概率分布呈现波动性的物理意义,提出了基于高斯混合模型(Gaussianminture model,GMM)及置信区间的冲击危险性评价指标模型,并由现场微震数据进行验证。【结果和结论】结果表明:回采过程中上覆岩层周期性垮落并伴随声发射能量的集中释放。总能量的概率密度函数呈现多自由度的非对称分布,通过对比残差平方和等多项拟合效果指标,确定高斯混合模型为最佳拟合模型。基于EM(expectation maximization)算法的GMM聚类分析,将声发射事件总能量分布划分为两类:高频低能型和低频高能型,其中低频高能型与冲击事件的突发性和高能量破坏特征一致。依据概率-能量梯度变化特征,对工作面开采过程中冲击危险性进行了评估。研究成果为采煤工作面冲击危险性评价提供了概率学上的创新思路,具有在冲击地压监测预警及后续防治中的潜在应用价值。 展开更多
关键词 高斯混合模型 概率密度分布法 聚类分析 冲击危险性评价 动力灾害预警
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Mechanism,prevention,and control of mining-induced dynamic disasters in underground metal mines in China:Challenges and solutions
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作者 LI Peng CAI Mei-feng +3 位作者 MIAO Sheng-jun REN Fen-hua GORJIAN Mostafa PENG Chao 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第8期2549-2606,共58页
Metal mineral resources play an indispensable role in the development of the national economy.Dynamic disasters in underground metal mines seriously threaten mining safety,which are major scientific and technological ... Metal mineral resources play an indispensable role in the development of the national economy.Dynamic disasters in underground metal mines seriously threaten mining safety,which are major scientific and technological problems to be solved urgently.In this article,the occurrence status and grand challenges of some typical dynamic disasters involving roof falling,spalling,collapse,large deformation,rockburst,surface subsidence,and water inrush in metal mines in China are systematically presented,the characteristics of mining-induced dynamic disasters are analyzed,the examples of dynamic disasters occurring in some metal mines in China are summarized,the occurrence mechanism,monitoring and early warning methods,and prevention and control techniques of these disasters are highlighted,and some new opinions,suggestions,and solutions are proposed simultaneously.Moreover,some shortcomings in current disaster research are pointed out,and the direction of efforts to improve the prevention and control level of dynamic disasters in China’s metal mines in the future is prospected.The integration of forward-looking key innovative theories and technologies in the abovementioned aspects will greatly enhance the cognitive level of disaster prevention and mitigation in China’s metal mining industry and achieve a significant shift from passive disaster relief to active disaster prevention. 展开更多
关键词 underground metal mines dynamic disasters MECHANISM monitoring and early warning prevention and control
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