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基于出行行为模型的出行感染风险评估——以新冠肺炎疫情期间江苏省地区为例 被引量:2
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作者 曹奇 任刚 +5 位作者 李大韦 朱茂莹 马景峰 宋建华 朱玉霖 何煜洪 《交通运输系统工程与信息》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2020年第6期63-70,共8页
为准确评估新冠肺炎疫情期间的出行感染风险,在对出行行为进行全出行链建模基础上提出出行风险评估模型.基于江苏省确诊病例流行病学调查报告和线上问卷调查数据,分别对病毒携带者和普通出行者出行行为模型进行参数标定,对比分析病毒携... 为准确评估新冠肺炎疫情期间的出行感染风险,在对出行行为进行全出行链建模基础上提出出行风险评估模型.基于江苏省确诊病例流行病学调查报告和线上问卷调查数据,分别对病毒携带者和普通出行者出行行为模型进行参数标定,对比分析病毒携带者和普通出行者出行行为的异同.进一步对疫情期间不同出行方式和出行活动进行感染风险评估.得到结论:交通管制措施可有效降低出行感染风险,就医出行风险明显高于其他出行活动,差旅在疫情传播初期风险较高,非机动车出行风险相对较低. 展开更多
关键词 交通工程 出行风险评估 出行行为模型 新冠肺炎疫情
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Understanding taxi driver's cruising behavior with ZIP model 被引量:1
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作者 宗芳 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第8期3404-3410,共7页
The taxi drivers' cruising pattern was learned using GPS trajectory data collected in Shenzhen,China.By employing zero-inflated Poisson model,the impacts of land use and previous pick-up experience on cruising dec... The taxi drivers' cruising pattern was learned using GPS trajectory data collected in Shenzhen,China.By employing zero-inflated Poisson model,the impacts of land use and previous pick-up experience on cruising decision were measured.The cruising strategies of different types of drivers as well as the top one driver were examined.The results indicate that both land use and previous pick-up experience affect travel behavior with the former's influence(7.07×10-4 measured by one of the coefficients in zero-inflated Poisson model) being greater than the latter's(4.58×10-5) in general,but the comparison also varies across the types of drivers.Besides,taxi drivers' day-to-day learning feature is also proved by the results.According to comparison of the cruising behavior of the most efficient and inefficient driver,an efficient cruising strategy was proposed,that is,obeying the distribution of land use in choice of cruising area,while learning from pick-up experience in selection of detailed cruising location.By learning taxi drivers' cruising pattern,the development of measures of regulating travel behaviors is facilitated,important factor for traffic organization and planning is identified,and an efficient cruising strategy for taxi drivers is provided. 展开更多
关键词 taxi driver GPS CRUISE land use objective information subjective information
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