Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,su...Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies.展开更多
The graded density impactor(GDI)dynamic loading technique is crucial for acquiring the dynamic physical property parameters of materials used in weapons.The accuracy and timeliness of GDI structural design are key to ...The graded density impactor(GDI)dynamic loading technique is crucial for acquiring the dynamic physical property parameters of materials used in weapons.The accuracy and timeliness of GDI structural design are key to achieving controllable stress-strain rate loading.In this study,we have,for the first time,combined one-dimensional fluid computational software with machine learning methods.We first elucidated the mechanisms by which GDI structures control stress and strain rates.Subsequently,we constructed a machine learning model to create a structure-property response surface.The results show that altering the loading velocity and interlayer thickness has a pronounced regulatory effect on stress and strain rates.In contrast,the impedance distribution index and target thickness have less significant effects on stress regulation,although there is a matching relationship between target thickness and interlayer thickness.Compared with traditional design methods,the machine learning approach offers a10^(4)—10^(5)times increase in efficiency and the potential to achieve a global optimum,holding promise for guiding the design of GDI.展开更多
A typical Whipple shield consists of double-layered plates with a certain gap.The space debris impacts the outer plate and is broken into a debris cloud(shattered,molten,vaporized)with dispersed energy and momentum,wh...A typical Whipple shield consists of double-layered plates with a certain gap.The space debris impacts the outer plate and is broken into a debris cloud(shattered,molten,vaporized)with dispersed energy and momentum,which reduces the risk of penetrating the bulkhead.In the realm of hypervelocity impact,strain rate(>10^(5)s^(-1))effects are negligible,and fluid dynamics is employed to describe the impact process.Efficient numerical tools for precisely predicting the damage degree can greatly accelerate the design and optimization of advanced protective structures.Current hypervelocity impact research primarily focuses on the interaction between projectile and front plate and the movement of debris cloud.However,the damage mechanism of debris cloud impacts on rear plates-the critical threat component-remains underexplored owing to complex multi-physics processes and prohibitive computational costs.Existing approaches,ranging from semi-empirical equations to a machine learningbased ballistic limit prediction method,are constrained to binary penetration classification.Alternatively,the uneven data from experiments and simulations caused these methods to be ineffective when the projectile has irregular shapes and complicate flight attitude.Therefore,it is urgent to develop a new damage prediction method for predicting the rear plate damage,which can help to gain a deeper understanding of the damage mechanism.In this study,a machine learning(ML)method is developed to predict the damage distribution in the rear plate.Based on the unit velocity space,the discretized information of debris cloud and rear plate damage from rare simulation cases is used as input data for training the ML models,while the generalization ability for damage distribution prediction is tested by other simulation cases with different attack angles.The results demonstrate that the training and prediction accuracies using the Random Forest(RF)algorithm significantly surpass those using Artificial Neural Networks(ANNs)and Support Vector Machine(SVM).The RF-based model effectively identifies damage features in sparsely distributed debris cloud and cumulative effect.This study establishes an expandable new dataset that accommodates additional parameters to improve the prediction accuracy.Results demonstrate the model's ability to overcome data imbalance limitations through debris cloud features,enabling rapid and accurate rear plate damage prediction across wider scenarios with minimal data requirements.展开更多
Many digital platforms have employed free-content promotion strategies to deal with the high uncertainty levels regarding digital content products.However,the diversity of digital content products and user heterogenei...Many digital platforms have employed free-content promotion strategies to deal with the high uncertainty levels regarding digital content products.However,the diversity of digital content products and user heterogeneity in content preference may blur the impact of platform promotions across users and products.Therefore,free-content promotion strategies should be adapted to allocate marketing resources optimally and increase revenue.This study develops personal-ized free-content promotion strategies based on individual-level heterogeneous treatment effects and explores the causes of their heterogeneity,focusing on the moderating effect of user engagement-related variables.To this end,we utilize ran-dom field experimental data provided by a top Chinese e-book platform.We employ a framework that combines machine learning with econometric causal inference methods to estimate individual treatment effects and analyze their potential mechanisms.The analysis shows that,on average,free-content promotions lead to a significant increase in consumer pay-ments.However,the higher the level of user engagement,the lower the payment lift caused by promotions,as more-engaged users are more strongly affected by the cannibalization effect of free-content promotion.This study introduces a novel causal research design to help platforms improve their marketing strategies.展开更多
The accurate prediction of peak overpressure of explosion shockwaves is significant in fields such as explosion hazard assessment and structural protection, where explosion shockwaves serve as typical destructive elem...The accurate prediction of peak overpressure of explosion shockwaves is significant in fields such as explosion hazard assessment and structural protection, where explosion shockwaves serve as typical destructive elements. Aiming at the problem of insufficient accuracy of the existing physical models for predicting the peak overpressure of ground reflected waves, two physics-informed machine learning models are constructed. The results demonstrate that the machine learning models, which incorporate physical information by predicting the deviation between the physical model and actual values and adding a physical loss term in the loss function, can accurately predict both the training and out-oftraining dataset. Compared to existing physical models, the average relative error in the predicted training domain is reduced from 17.459%-48.588% to 2%, and the proportion of average relative error less than 20% increased from 0% to 59.4% to more than 99%. In addition, the relative average error outside the prediction training set range is reduced from 14.496%-29.389% to 5%, and the proportion of relative average error less than 20% increased from 0% to 71.39% to more than 99%. The inclusion of a physical loss term enforcing monotonicity in the loss function effectively improves the extrapolation performance of machine learning. The findings of this study provide valuable reference for explosion hazard assessment and anti-explosion structural design in various fields.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility mapping is a crucial tool for disaster prevention and management.The performance of conventional data-driven model is greatly influenced by the quality of the samples data.The random selection...Landslide susceptibility mapping is a crucial tool for disaster prevention and management.The performance of conventional data-driven model is greatly influenced by the quality of the samples data.The random selection of negative samples results in the lack of interpretability throughout the assessment process.To address this limitation and construct a high-quality negative samples database,this study introduces a physics-informed machine learning approach,combining the random forest model with Scoops 3D,to optimize the negative samples selection strategy and assess the landslide susceptibility of the study area.The Scoops 3D is employed to determine the factor of safety value leveraging Bishop’s simplified method.Instead of conventional random selection,negative samples are extracted from the areas with a high factor of safety value.Subsequently,the results of conventional random forest model and physics-informed data-driven model are analyzed and discussed,focusing on model performance and prediction uncertainty.In comparison to conventional methods,the physics-informed model,set with a safety area threshold of 3,demonstrates a noteworthy improvement in the mean AUC value by 36.7%,coupled with a reduced prediction uncertainty.It is evident that the determination of the safety area threshold exerts an impact on both prediction uncertainty and model performance.展开更多
Background Plant tissue culture has emerged as a tool for improving cotton propagation and genetics,but recalcitrance nature of cotton makes it difficult to develop in vitro regeneration.Cotton’s recalcitrance is inf...Background Plant tissue culture has emerged as a tool for improving cotton propagation and genetics,but recalcitrance nature of cotton makes it difficult to develop in vitro regeneration.Cotton’s recalcitrance is influenced by genotype,explant type,and environmental conditions.To overcome these issues,this study uses different machine learning-based predictive models by employing multiple input factors.Cotyledonary node explants of two commercial cotton cultivars(STN-468 and GSN-12)were isolated from 7–8 days old seedlings,preconditioned with 5,10,and 20 mg·L^(-1) kinetin(KIN)for 10 days.Thereafter,explants were postconditioned on full Murashige and Skoog(MS),1/2MS,1/4MS,and full MS+0.05 mg·L^(-1) KIN,cultured in growth room enlightened with red and blue light-emitting diodes(LED)combination.Statistical analysis(analysis of variance,regression analysis)was employed to assess the impact of different treatments on shoot regeneration,with artificial intelligence(AI)models used for confirming the findings.Results GSN-12 exhibited superior shoot regeneration potential compared with STN-468,with an average of 4.99 shoots per explant versus 3.97.Optimal results were achieved with 5 mg·L^(-1) KIN preconditioning,1/4MS postconditioning,and 80%red LED,with maximum of 7.75 shoot count for GSN-12 under these conditions;while STN-468 reached 6.00 shoots under the conditions of 10 mg·L^(-1) KIN preconditioning,MS with 0.05 mg·L^(-1) KIN(postconditioning)and 75.0%red LED.Rooting was successfully achieved with naphthalene acetic acid and activated charcoal.Additionally,three different powerful AI-based models,namely,extreme gradient boost(XGBoost),random forest(RF),and the artificial neural network-based multilayer perceptron(MLP)regression models validated the findings.Conclusion GSN-12 outperformed STN-468 with optimal results from 5 mg·L^(-1) KIN+1/4MS+80%red LED.Application of machine learning-based prediction models to optimize cotton tissue culture protocols for shoot regeneration is helpful to improve cotton regeneration efficiency.展开更多
Studies on ballistic penetration to laminates is complicated,but important for design effective protection of structures.Experimental means of study is expensive and can often be dangerous.Numerical simulation has bee...Studies on ballistic penetration to laminates is complicated,but important for design effective protection of structures.Experimental means of study is expensive and can often be dangerous.Numerical simulation has been an excellent supplement,but the computation is time-consuming.Main aim of this thesis was to develop and test an effective tool for real-time prediction of projectile penetrations to laminates by training a neural network and a decision tree regression model.A large number of finite element models were developed;the residual velocities of projectiles from finite element simulations were used as the target data and processed to produce sufficient number of training samples.Study focused on steel 4340tpolyurea laminates with various configurations.Four different 3D shapes of the projectiles were modeled and used in the training.The trained neural network and decision tree model was tested using independently generated test samples using finite element models.The predicted projectile velocity values using the trained machine learning models are then compared with the finite element simulation to verify the effectiveness of the models.Additionally,both models were trained using a published experimental data of projectile impacts to predict residual velocity of projectiles for the unseen samples.Performance of both the models was evaluated and compared.Models trained with Finite element simulation data samples were found capable to give more accurate predication,compared to the models trained with experimental data,because finite element modeling can generate much larger training set,and thus finite element solvers can serve as an excellent teacher.This study also showed that neural network model performs better with small experimental dataset compared to decision tree regression model.展开更多
A new parallel architecture for quantified boolean formula(QBF)solving was proposed,and the prediction model based on machine learning technology was proposed for how sharing knowledge affects the solving performance ...A new parallel architecture for quantified boolean formula(QBF)solving was proposed,and the prediction model based on machine learning technology was proposed for how sharing knowledge affects the solving performance in QBF parallel solving system,and the experimental evaluation scheme was also designed.It shows that the characterization factor of clause and cube influence the solving performance markedly in our experiment.At the same time,the heuristic machine learning algorithm was applied,support vector machine was chosen to predict the performance of QBF parallel solving system based on clause sharing and cube sharing.The relative error of accuracy for prediction can be controlled in a reasonable range of 20%30%.The results show the important and complex role that knowledge sharing plays in any modern parallel solver.It shows that the parallel solver with machine learning reduces the quantity of knowledge sharing about 30%and saving computational resource but does not reduce the performance of solving system.展开更多
提出了一种基于最小二乘支持向量机的织物剪切性能预测模型,并且采用遗传算法进行最小二乘支持向量机的参数优化,将获得的样本进行归一化处理后,将其输入预测模型以得到预测结果.仿真结果表明,基于最小二乘支持向量机的预测模型比BP神...提出了一种基于最小二乘支持向量机的织物剪切性能预测模型,并且采用遗传算法进行最小二乘支持向量机的参数优化,将获得的样本进行归一化处理后,将其输入预测模型以得到预测结果.仿真结果表明,基于最小二乘支持向量机的预测模型比BP神经网络和线性回归方法具有更高的精度和范化能力.
Abstract：
A new method is proposed to predict the fabric shearing property with least square support vector machines ( LS-SVM ). The genetic algorithm is investigated to select the parameters of LS-SVM models as a means of improving the LS- SVM prediction. After normalizing the sampling data, the sampling data are inputted into the model to gain the prediction result. The simulation results show the prediction model gives better forecasting accuracy and generalization ability than BP neural network and linear regression method.展开更多
Machine learning(ML) is well suited for the prediction of high-complexity,high-dimensional problems such as those encountered in terminal ballistics.We evaluate the performance of four popular ML-based regression mode...Machine learning(ML) is well suited for the prediction of high-complexity,high-dimensional problems such as those encountered in terminal ballistics.We evaluate the performance of four popular ML-based regression models,extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),artificial neural network(ANN),support vector regression(SVR),and Gaussian process regression(GP),on two common terminal ballistics’ problems:(a)predicting the V50ballistic limit of monolithic metallic armour impacted by small and medium calibre projectiles and fragments,and(b) predicting the depth to which a projectile will penetrate a target of semi-infinite thickness.To achieve this we utilise two datasets,each consisting of approximately 1000samples,collated from public release sources.We demonstrate that all four model types provide similarly excellent agreement when interpolating within the training data and diverge when extrapolating outside this range.Although extrapolation is not advisable for ML-based regression models,for applications such as lethality/survivability analysis,such capability is required.To circumvent this,we implement expert knowledge and physics-based models via enforced monotonicity,as a Gaussian prior mean,and through a modified loss function.The physics-informed models demonstrate improved performance over both classical physics-based models and the basic ML regression models,providing an ability to accurately fit experimental data when it is available and then revert to the physics-based model when not.The resulting models demonstrate high levels of predictive accuracy over a very wide range of projectile types,target materials and thicknesses,and impact conditions significantly more diverse than that achievable from any existing analytical approach.Compared with numerical analysis tools such as finite element solvers the ML models run orders of magnitude faster.We provide some general guidelines throughout for the development,application,and reporting of ML models in terminal ballistics problems.展开更多
Fault diagnosis technology plays an important role in the industries due to the emergency fault of a machine could bring the heavy lost for the people and the company. A fault diagnosis model based on multi-manifold l...Fault diagnosis technology plays an important role in the industries due to the emergency fault of a machine could bring the heavy lost for the people and the company. A fault diagnosis model based on multi-manifold learning and particle swarm optimization support vector machine(PSO-SVM) is studied. This fault diagnosis model is used for a rolling bearing experimental of three kinds faults. The results are verified that this model based on multi-manifold learning and PSO-SVM is good at the fault sensitive features acquisition with effective accuracy.展开更多
Machine picking in cotton is an emerging practice in India,to solve the problems of labour shortages and production costs increasing.Cotton production has been declining in recent years;however,the high density planti...Machine picking in cotton is an emerging practice in India,to solve the problems of labour shortages and production costs increasing.Cotton production has been declining in recent years;however,the high density planting system(HDPS)offers a viable method to enhance productivity by increasing plant populations per unit area,optimizing resource utilization,and facilitating machine picking.Cotton is an indeterminate plant that produce excessive vegeta-tive growth in favorable soil fertility and moisture conditions,which posing challenges for efficient machine picking.To address this issue,the application of plant growth retardants(PGRs)is essential for controlling canopy architecture.PGRs reduce internode elongation,promote regulated branching,and increase plant compactness,making cotton plants better suited for machine picking.PGRs application also optimizes photosynthates distribution between veg-etative and reproductive growth,resulting in higher yields and improved fibre quality.The integration of HDPS and PGRs applications results in an optimal plant architecture for improving machine picking efficiency.However,the success of this integration is determined by some factors,including cotton variety,environmental conditions,and geographical variations.These approaches not only address yield stagnation and labour shortages but also help to establish more effective and sustainable cotton farming practices,resulting in higher cotton productivity.展开更多
With the development of space exploration and space environment measurements,the numerous observations of solar,solar wind,and near Earth space environment have been obtained in last 20 years.The accumulation of multi...With the development of space exploration and space environment measurements,the numerous observations of solar,solar wind,and near Earth space environment have been obtained in last 20 years.The accumulation of multiple data makes it possible to better use machine learning technique,which has achieved unforeseen results in industrial applications in last decades,for developing new approaches and models in space weather investigation and prediction.In this paper,the efforts on the forecasting methods for space weather indices,events,and parameters using machine learning are briefly introduced based on the study works in recent years.These investigations indicate that machine learning,especially deep learning technique can be used in automatic characteristic identification,solar eruption prediction,space weather forecasting for solar and geomagnetic indices,and modeling of space environment parameters.展开更多
As the simplest hydrogen-bonded alcohol,liquid methanol has attracted intensive experimental and theoretical interest.However,theoretical investigations on this system have primarily relied on empirical intermolecular...As the simplest hydrogen-bonded alcohol,liquid methanol has attracted intensive experimental and theoretical interest.However,theoretical investigations on this system have primarily relied on empirical intermolecular force fields or ab initio molecular dynamics with semilocal density functionals.Inspired by recent studies on bulk water using increasingly accurate machine learning force fields,we report a new machine learning force field for liquid methanol with a hybrid functional revPBE0 plus dispersion correction.Molecular dynamics simulations on this machine learning force field are orders of magnitude faster than ab initio molecular dynamics simulations,yielding the radial distribution functions,selfdiffusion coefficients,and hydrogen bond network properties with very small statistical errors.The resulting structural and dynamical properties are compared well with the experimental data,demonstrating the superior accuracy of this machine learning force field.This work represents a successful step toward a first-principles description of this benchmark system and showcases the general applicability of the machine learning force field in studying liquid systems.展开更多
提出一种基于鲁棒最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)的控制图模式识别方法,并研究其应用于过程质量诊断的可行性、有效性.理论研究和仿真试验结果表明,该方法对于标准的6种控制图模式都具有很高的模式识别率,训练模式识别器所需样本少,且训练...提出一种基于鲁棒最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)的控制图模式识别方法,并研究其应用于过程质量诊断的可行性、有效性.理论研究和仿真试验结果表明,该方法对于标准的6种控制图模式都具有很高的模式识别率,训练模式识别器所需样本少,且训练结果泛化能力强,计算方法简单迅速.
Abstract：
A technique based on the robust least squares support vector machines(LS-SVM) used for control charts pattern recognition is proposed, the applied feasibility and validity of this technique in process quality diagnosis is also investigated. Theoretical research and experimental results show that this approach performs well upon the six typical control charts pattern recognition with high recognition accuracy, simple computation and fast training process, and the preeminent generalization ability on the condition of small sample size.展开更多
基金funded through India Meteorological Department,New Delhi,India under the Forecasting Agricultural output using Space,Agrometeorol ogy and Land based observations(FASAL)project and fund number:No.ASC/FASAL/KT-11/01/HQ-2010.
文摘Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies.
基金supported by the Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(Grant No.2021B0301030001)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2021YFB3802300)the Foundation of National Key Laboratory of Shock Wave and Detonation Physics(Grant No.JCKYS2022212004)。
文摘The graded density impactor(GDI)dynamic loading technique is crucial for acquiring the dynamic physical property parameters of materials used in weapons.The accuracy and timeliness of GDI structural design are key to achieving controllable stress-strain rate loading.In this study,we have,for the first time,combined one-dimensional fluid computational software with machine learning methods.We first elucidated the mechanisms by which GDI structures control stress and strain rates.Subsequently,we constructed a machine learning model to create a structure-property response surface.The results show that altering the loading velocity and interlayer thickness has a pronounced regulatory effect on stress and strain rates.In contrast,the impedance distribution index and target thickness have less significant effects on stress regulation,although there is a matching relationship between target thickness and interlayer thickness.Compared with traditional design methods,the machine learning approach offers a10^(4)—10^(5)times increase in efficiency and the potential to achieve a global optimum,holding promise for guiding the design of GDI.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12432018,12372346)the Innovative Research Groups of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12221002).
文摘A typical Whipple shield consists of double-layered plates with a certain gap.The space debris impacts the outer plate and is broken into a debris cloud(shattered,molten,vaporized)with dispersed energy and momentum,which reduces the risk of penetrating the bulkhead.In the realm of hypervelocity impact,strain rate(>10^(5)s^(-1))effects are negligible,and fluid dynamics is employed to describe the impact process.Efficient numerical tools for precisely predicting the damage degree can greatly accelerate the design and optimization of advanced protective structures.Current hypervelocity impact research primarily focuses on the interaction between projectile and front plate and the movement of debris cloud.However,the damage mechanism of debris cloud impacts on rear plates-the critical threat component-remains underexplored owing to complex multi-physics processes and prohibitive computational costs.Existing approaches,ranging from semi-empirical equations to a machine learningbased ballistic limit prediction method,are constrained to binary penetration classification.Alternatively,the uneven data from experiments and simulations caused these methods to be ineffective when the projectile has irregular shapes and complicate flight attitude.Therefore,it is urgent to develop a new damage prediction method for predicting the rear plate damage,which can help to gain a deeper understanding of the damage mechanism.In this study,a machine learning(ML)method is developed to predict the damage distribution in the rear plate.Based on the unit velocity space,the discretized information of debris cloud and rear plate damage from rare simulation cases is used as input data for training the ML models,while the generalization ability for damage distribution prediction is tested by other simulation cases with different attack angles.The results demonstrate that the training and prediction accuracies using the Random Forest(RF)algorithm significantly surpass those using Artificial Neural Networks(ANNs)and Support Vector Machine(SVM).The RF-based model effectively identifies damage features in sparsely distributed debris cloud and cumulative effect.This study establishes an expandable new dataset that accommodates additional parameters to improve the prediction accuracy.Results demonstrate the model's ability to overcome data imbalance limitations through debris cloud features,enabling rapid and accurate rear plate damage prediction across wider scenarios with minimal data requirements.
基金supported by the Anhui Postdoctoral Scientific Research Program Foundation(2022B579).
文摘Many digital platforms have employed free-content promotion strategies to deal with the high uncertainty levels regarding digital content products.However,the diversity of digital content products and user heterogeneity in content preference may blur the impact of platform promotions across users and products.Therefore,free-content promotion strategies should be adapted to allocate marketing resources optimally and increase revenue.This study develops personal-ized free-content promotion strategies based on individual-level heterogeneous treatment effects and explores the causes of their heterogeneity,focusing on the moderating effect of user engagement-related variables.To this end,we utilize ran-dom field experimental data provided by a top Chinese e-book platform.We employ a framework that combines machine learning with econometric causal inference methods to estimate individual treatment effects and analyze their potential mechanisms.The analysis shows that,on average,free-content promotions lead to a significant increase in consumer pay-ments.However,the higher the level of user engagement,the lower the payment lift caused by promotions,as more-engaged users are more strongly affected by the cannibalization effect of free-content promotion.This study introduces a novel causal research design to help platforms improve their marketing strategies.
文摘The accurate prediction of peak overpressure of explosion shockwaves is significant in fields such as explosion hazard assessment and structural protection, where explosion shockwaves serve as typical destructive elements. Aiming at the problem of insufficient accuracy of the existing physical models for predicting the peak overpressure of ground reflected waves, two physics-informed machine learning models are constructed. The results demonstrate that the machine learning models, which incorporate physical information by predicting the deviation between the physical model and actual values and adding a physical loss term in the loss function, can accurately predict both the training and out-oftraining dataset. Compared to existing physical models, the average relative error in the predicted training domain is reduced from 17.459%-48.588% to 2%, and the proportion of average relative error less than 20% increased from 0% to 59.4% to more than 99%. In addition, the relative average error outside the prediction training set range is reduced from 14.496%-29.389% to 5%, and the proportion of relative average error less than 20% increased from 0% to 71.39% to more than 99%. The inclusion of a physical loss term enforcing monotonicity in the loss function effectively improves the extrapolation performance of machine learning. The findings of this study provide valuable reference for explosion hazard assessment and anti-explosion structural design in various fields.
基金Project(G2022165004L)supported by the High-end Foreign Expert Introduction Program,ChinaProject(2021XM3008)supported by the Special Foundation of Postdoctoral Support Program,Chongqing,China+1 种基金Project(2018-ZL-01)supported by the Sichuan Transportation Science and Technology Project,ChinaProject(HZ2021001)supported by the Chongqing Municipal Education Commission,China。
文摘Landslide susceptibility mapping is a crucial tool for disaster prevention and management.The performance of conventional data-driven model is greatly influenced by the quality of the samples data.The random selection of negative samples results in the lack of interpretability throughout the assessment process.To address this limitation and construct a high-quality negative samples database,this study introduces a physics-informed machine learning approach,combining the random forest model with Scoops 3D,to optimize the negative samples selection strategy and assess the landslide susceptibility of the study area.The Scoops 3D is employed to determine the factor of safety value leveraging Bishop’s simplified method.Instead of conventional random selection,negative samples are extracted from the areas with a high factor of safety value.Subsequently,the results of conventional random forest model and physics-informed data-driven model are analyzed and discussed,focusing on model performance and prediction uncertainty.In comparison to conventional methods,the physics-informed model,set with a safety area threshold of 3,demonstrates a noteworthy improvement in the mean AUC value by 36.7%,coupled with a reduced prediction uncertainty.It is evident that the determination of the safety area threshold exerts an impact on both prediction uncertainty and model performance.
文摘Background Plant tissue culture has emerged as a tool for improving cotton propagation and genetics,but recalcitrance nature of cotton makes it difficult to develop in vitro regeneration.Cotton’s recalcitrance is influenced by genotype,explant type,and environmental conditions.To overcome these issues,this study uses different machine learning-based predictive models by employing multiple input factors.Cotyledonary node explants of two commercial cotton cultivars(STN-468 and GSN-12)were isolated from 7–8 days old seedlings,preconditioned with 5,10,and 20 mg·L^(-1) kinetin(KIN)for 10 days.Thereafter,explants were postconditioned on full Murashige and Skoog(MS),1/2MS,1/4MS,and full MS+0.05 mg·L^(-1) KIN,cultured in growth room enlightened with red and blue light-emitting diodes(LED)combination.Statistical analysis(analysis of variance,regression analysis)was employed to assess the impact of different treatments on shoot regeneration,with artificial intelligence(AI)models used for confirming the findings.Results GSN-12 exhibited superior shoot regeneration potential compared with STN-468,with an average of 4.99 shoots per explant versus 3.97.Optimal results were achieved with 5 mg·L^(-1) KIN preconditioning,1/4MS postconditioning,and 80%red LED,with maximum of 7.75 shoot count for GSN-12 under these conditions;while STN-468 reached 6.00 shoots under the conditions of 10 mg·L^(-1) KIN preconditioning,MS with 0.05 mg·L^(-1) KIN(postconditioning)and 75.0%red LED.Rooting was successfully achieved with naphthalene acetic acid and activated charcoal.Additionally,three different powerful AI-based models,namely,extreme gradient boost(XGBoost),random forest(RF),and the artificial neural network-based multilayer perceptron(MLP)regression models validated the findings.Conclusion GSN-12 outperformed STN-468 with optimal results from 5 mg·L^(-1) KIN+1/4MS+80%red LED.Application of machine learning-based prediction models to optimize cotton tissue culture protocols for shoot regeneration is helpful to improve cotton regeneration efficiency.
文摘Studies on ballistic penetration to laminates is complicated,but important for design effective protection of structures.Experimental means of study is expensive and can often be dangerous.Numerical simulation has been an excellent supplement,but the computation is time-consuming.Main aim of this thesis was to develop and test an effective tool for real-time prediction of projectile penetrations to laminates by training a neural network and a decision tree regression model.A large number of finite element models were developed;the residual velocities of projectiles from finite element simulations were used as the target data and processed to produce sufficient number of training samples.Study focused on steel 4340tpolyurea laminates with various configurations.Four different 3D shapes of the projectiles were modeled and used in the training.The trained neural network and decision tree model was tested using independently generated test samples using finite element models.The predicted projectile velocity values using the trained machine learning models are then compared with the finite element simulation to verify the effectiveness of the models.Additionally,both models were trained using a published experimental data of projectile impacts to predict residual velocity of projectiles for the unseen samples.Performance of both the models was evaluated and compared.Models trained with Finite element simulation data samples were found capable to give more accurate predication,compared to the models trained with experimental data,because finite element modeling can generate much larger training set,and thus finite element solvers can serve as an excellent teacher.This study also showed that neural network model performs better with small experimental dataset compared to decision tree regression model.
基金Project(61171141)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘A new parallel architecture for quantified boolean formula(QBF)solving was proposed,and the prediction model based on machine learning technology was proposed for how sharing knowledge affects the solving performance in QBF parallel solving system,and the experimental evaluation scheme was also designed.It shows that the characterization factor of clause and cube influence the solving performance markedly in our experiment.At the same time,the heuristic machine learning algorithm was applied,support vector machine was chosen to predict the performance of QBF parallel solving system based on clause sharing and cube sharing.The relative error of accuracy for prediction can be controlled in a reasonable range of 20%30%.The results show the important and complex role that knowledge sharing plays in any modern parallel solver.It shows that the parallel solver with machine learning reduces the quantity of knowledge sharing about 30%and saving computational resource but does not reduce the performance of solving system.
文摘提出了一种基于最小二乘支持向量机的织物剪切性能预测模型,并且采用遗传算法进行最小二乘支持向量机的参数优化,将获得的样本进行归一化处理后,将其输入预测模型以得到预测结果.仿真结果表明,基于最小二乘支持向量机的预测模型比BP神经网络和线性回归方法具有更高的精度和范化能力.
Abstract：
A new method is proposed to predict the fabric shearing property with least square support vector machines ( LS-SVM ). The genetic algorithm is investigated to select the parameters of LS-SVM models as a means of improving the LS- SVM prediction. After normalizing the sampling data, the sampling data are inputted into the model to gain the prediction result. The simulation results show the prediction model gives better forecasting accuracy and generalization ability than BP neural network and linear regression method.
文摘Machine learning(ML) is well suited for the prediction of high-complexity,high-dimensional problems such as those encountered in terminal ballistics.We evaluate the performance of four popular ML-based regression models,extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),artificial neural network(ANN),support vector regression(SVR),and Gaussian process regression(GP),on two common terminal ballistics’ problems:(a)predicting the V50ballistic limit of monolithic metallic armour impacted by small and medium calibre projectiles and fragments,and(b) predicting the depth to which a projectile will penetrate a target of semi-infinite thickness.To achieve this we utilise two datasets,each consisting of approximately 1000samples,collated from public release sources.We demonstrate that all four model types provide similarly excellent agreement when interpolating within the training data and diverge when extrapolating outside this range.Although extrapolation is not advisable for ML-based regression models,for applications such as lethality/survivability analysis,such capability is required.To circumvent this,we implement expert knowledge and physics-based models via enforced monotonicity,as a Gaussian prior mean,and through a modified loss function.The physics-informed models demonstrate improved performance over both classical physics-based models and the basic ML regression models,providing an ability to accurately fit experimental data when it is available and then revert to the physics-based model when not.The resulting models demonstrate high levels of predictive accuracy over a very wide range of projectile types,target materials and thicknesses,and impact conditions significantly more diverse than that achievable from any existing analytical approach.Compared with numerical analysis tools such as finite element solvers the ML models run orders of magnitude faster.We provide some general guidelines throughout for the development,application,and reporting of ML models in terminal ballistics problems.
基金Beijing Natural Science Foundation(KZ201211232039)National Natural Science Foundation of China(51275052)+1 种基金Funding Project for Academic Human Resources Development in Institutions of Higher Learning under the Jurisdiction of Beijing Municipalipality(PHR201106132)PXM2014_014224_000080
文摘Fault diagnosis technology plays an important role in the industries due to the emergency fault of a machine could bring the heavy lost for the people and the company. A fault diagnosis model based on multi-manifold learning and particle swarm optimization support vector machine(PSO-SVM) is studied. This fault diagnosis model is used for a rolling bearing experimental of three kinds faults. The results are verified that this model based on multi-manifold learning and PSO-SVM is good at the fault sensitive features acquisition with effective accuracy.
文摘Machine picking in cotton is an emerging practice in India,to solve the problems of labour shortages and production costs increasing.Cotton production has been declining in recent years;however,the high density planting system(HDPS)offers a viable method to enhance productivity by increasing plant populations per unit area,optimizing resource utilization,and facilitating machine picking.Cotton is an indeterminate plant that produce excessive vegeta-tive growth in favorable soil fertility and moisture conditions,which posing challenges for efficient machine picking.To address this issue,the application of plant growth retardants(PGRs)is essential for controlling canopy architecture.PGRs reduce internode elongation,promote regulated branching,and increase plant compactness,making cotton plants better suited for machine picking.PGRs application also optimizes photosynthates distribution between veg-etative and reproductive growth,resulting in higher yields and improved fibre quality.The integration of HDPS and PGRs applications results in an optimal plant architecture for improving machine picking efficiency.However,the success of this integration is determined by some factors,including cotton variety,environmental conditions,and geographical variations.These approaches not only address yield stagnation and labour shortages but also help to establish more effective and sustainable cotton farming practices,resulting in higher cotton productivity.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(41574181)。
文摘With the development of space exploration and space environment measurements,the numerous observations of solar,solar wind,and near Earth space environment have been obtained in last 20 years.The accumulation of multiple data makes it possible to better use machine learning technique,which has achieved unforeseen results in industrial applications in last decades,for developing new approaches and models in space weather investigation and prediction.In this paper,the efforts on the forecasting methods for space weather indices,events,and parameters using machine learning are briefly introduced based on the study works in recent years.These investigations indicate that machine learning,especially deep learning technique can be used in automatic characteristic identification,solar eruption prediction,space weather forecasting for solar and geomagnetic indices,and modeling of space environment parameters.
基金supported by the CAS Project for Young Scientists in Basic Research(YSBR-005)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22325304,22221003 and 22033007)We acknowledge the Supercomputing Center of USTC,Hefei Advanced Computing Center,Beijing PARATERA Tech Co.,Ltd.,for providing high-performance computing services。
文摘As the simplest hydrogen-bonded alcohol,liquid methanol has attracted intensive experimental and theoretical interest.However,theoretical investigations on this system have primarily relied on empirical intermolecular force fields or ab initio molecular dynamics with semilocal density functionals.Inspired by recent studies on bulk water using increasingly accurate machine learning force fields,we report a new machine learning force field for liquid methanol with a hybrid functional revPBE0 plus dispersion correction.Molecular dynamics simulations on this machine learning force field are orders of magnitude faster than ab initio molecular dynamics simulations,yielding the radial distribution functions,selfdiffusion coefficients,and hydrogen bond network properties with very small statistical errors.The resulting structural and dynamical properties are compared well with the experimental data,demonstrating the superior accuracy of this machine learning force field.This work represents a successful step toward a first-principles description of this benchmark system and showcases the general applicability of the machine learning force field in studying liquid systems.
文摘提出一种基于鲁棒最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)的控制图模式识别方法,并研究其应用于过程质量诊断的可行性、有效性.理论研究和仿真试验结果表明,该方法对于标准的6种控制图模式都具有很高的模式识别率,训练模式识别器所需样本少,且训练结果泛化能力强,计算方法简单迅速.
Abstract：
A technique based on the robust least squares support vector machines(LS-SVM) used for control charts pattern recognition is proposed, the applied feasibility and validity of this technique in process quality diagnosis is also investigated. Theoretical research and experimental results show that this approach performs well upon the six typical control charts pattern recognition with high recognition accuracy, simple computation and fast training process, and the preeminent generalization ability on the condition of small sample size.
