Modern warfare demands weapons capable of penetrating substantial structures,which presents sig-nificant challenges to the reliability of the electronic devices that are crucial to the weapon's perfor-mance.Due to...Modern warfare demands weapons capable of penetrating substantial structures,which presents sig-nificant challenges to the reliability of the electronic devices that are crucial to the weapon's perfor-mance.Due to miniaturization of electronic components,it is challenging to directly measure or numerically predict the mechanical response of small-sized critical interconnections in board-level packaging structures to ensure the mechanical reliability of electronic devices in projectiles under harsh working conditions.To address this issue,an indirect measurement method using the Bayesian regularization-based load identification was proposed in this study based on finite element(FE)pre-dictions to estimate the load applied on critical interconnections of board-level packaging structures during the process of projectile penetration.For predicting the high-strain-rate penetration process,an FE model was established with elasto-plastic constitutive models of the representative packaging ma-terials(that is,solder material and epoxy molding compound)in which material constitutive parameters were calibrated against the experimental results by using the split-Hopkinson pressure bar.As the impact-induced dynamic bending of the printed circuit board resulted in an alternating tensile-compressive loading on the solder joints during penetration,the corner solder joints in the edge re-gions experience the highest S11 and strain,making them more prone to failure.Based on FE predictions at different structural scales,an improved Bayesian method based on augmented Tikhonov regulariza-tion was theoretically proposed to address the issues of ill-posed matrix inversion and noise sensitivity in the load identification at the critical solder joints.By incorporating a wavelet thresholding technique,the method resolves the problem of poor load identification accuracy at high noise levels.The proposed method achieves satisfactorily small relative errors and high correlation coefficients in identifying the mechanical response of local interconnections in board-level packaging structures,while significantly balancing the smoothness of response curves with the accuracy of peak identification.At medium and low noise levels,the relative error is less than 6%,while it is less than 10%at high noise levels.The proposed method provides an effective indirect approach for the boundary conditions of localized solder joints during the projectile penetration process,and its philosophy can be readily extended to other scenarios of multiscale analysis for highly nonlinear materials and structures under extreme loading conditions.展开更多
海冰密集度数据是开展全球海洋监测和应对气候变化研究的重要数据源,为了研制出分辨率更高,误差更小的北极海冰密集度融合资料,本文使用了多源海冰密集度资料,以OSTIA(Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Ice Analysis)数据集为...海冰密集度数据是开展全球海洋监测和应对气候变化研究的重要数据源,为了研制出分辨率更高,误差更小的北极海冰密集度融合资料,本文使用了多源海冰密集度资料,以OSTIA(Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Ice Analysis)数据集为融合背景场,采用以下方案开展融合研究。首先,对现有5种海冰资料进行质量控制;其次,以OSI SAF(Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Application Facility)资料为基准,采用概率密度匹配法订正各资料的系统误差;然后,利用小波分解将各资料分解为低频信息和高频信息,对低频信息和高频信息分别计算融合权重和卡尔曼滤波处理;最后,利用小波重构将各资料进行融合,生成0.05°分辨率的北极逐日海冰密集度融合资料。通过对比国际上广泛认可的OISST(Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature)、OSTIA海冰密集度资料,验证结果显示:融合资料与OISST、OSTIA海冰密集度资料在北极的空间分布上高度一致,相关系数均超过0.967。相对于前人的研究,本融合资料与OISST的偏差由–1.170%减少到–0.108%,与OSTIA的偏差由0.276%减少到–0.156%;与OISST和OSTIA的均方根误差分别由9.835%减少为8.010%以及由7.427%减少为5.140%。本融合资料的偏差以及均方根误差都得到了显著的提升,具有较高的质量。展开更多
The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of ...The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of APS were studied. Thereafter, aiming to build up a multi-step APS forecasting model that provides richer information than a conventional one-step model, the largest Lyapunov exponents(largest LEs) method was introduced into PGS. By experimental tests conducted using the same dataset, its prediction performance was compared with traditional wavelet neural network(WNN) method in both one-step and multi-step processes. Based on the results, a new multi-step forecasting model called WNN-LE method was proposed, where WNN, which enjoys a more accurate performance along with a better learning ability in short-term forecasting, was applied in the early forecast steps while the Lyapunov exponent prediction method in the latter steps precisely reflect the chaotic feature in latter forecast period. The MSE of APS forecasting for one hour time period can be reduced from 83.1 to 27.1(in a parking building with 492 berths) by using largest LEs method instead of WNN and further reduced to 19.0 by conducted the new method.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52475166,52175148)the Regional Collaboration Project of Shanxi Province(Grant No.202204041101044).
文摘Modern warfare demands weapons capable of penetrating substantial structures,which presents sig-nificant challenges to the reliability of the electronic devices that are crucial to the weapon's perfor-mance.Due to miniaturization of electronic components,it is challenging to directly measure or numerically predict the mechanical response of small-sized critical interconnections in board-level packaging structures to ensure the mechanical reliability of electronic devices in projectiles under harsh working conditions.To address this issue,an indirect measurement method using the Bayesian regularization-based load identification was proposed in this study based on finite element(FE)pre-dictions to estimate the load applied on critical interconnections of board-level packaging structures during the process of projectile penetration.For predicting the high-strain-rate penetration process,an FE model was established with elasto-plastic constitutive models of the representative packaging ma-terials(that is,solder material and epoxy molding compound)in which material constitutive parameters were calibrated against the experimental results by using the split-Hopkinson pressure bar.As the impact-induced dynamic bending of the printed circuit board resulted in an alternating tensile-compressive loading on the solder joints during penetration,the corner solder joints in the edge re-gions experience the highest S11 and strain,making them more prone to failure.Based on FE predictions at different structural scales,an improved Bayesian method based on augmented Tikhonov regulariza-tion was theoretically proposed to address the issues of ill-posed matrix inversion and noise sensitivity in the load identification at the critical solder joints.By incorporating a wavelet thresholding technique,the method resolves the problem of poor load identification accuracy at high noise levels.The proposed method achieves satisfactorily small relative errors and high correlation coefficients in identifying the mechanical response of local interconnections in board-level packaging structures,while significantly balancing the smoothness of response curves with the accuracy of peak identification.At medium and low noise levels,the relative error is less than 6%,while it is less than 10%at high noise levels.The proposed method provides an effective indirect approach for the boundary conditions of localized solder joints during the projectile penetration process,and its philosophy can be readily extended to other scenarios of multiscale analysis for highly nonlinear materials and structures under extreme loading conditions.
基金Project(2012CB725402)supported by the National Key Basic Research Program of ChinaProjects(51338003,50908051)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of APS were studied. Thereafter, aiming to build up a multi-step APS forecasting model that provides richer information than a conventional one-step model, the largest Lyapunov exponents(largest LEs) method was introduced into PGS. By experimental tests conducted using the same dataset, its prediction performance was compared with traditional wavelet neural network(WNN) method in both one-step and multi-step processes. Based on the results, a new multi-step forecasting model called WNN-LE method was proposed, where WNN, which enjoys a more accurate performance along with a better learning ability in short-term forecasting, was applied in the early forecast steps while the Lyapunov exponent prediction method in the latter steps precisely reflect the chaotic feature in latter forecast period. The MSE of APS forecasting for one hour time period can be reduced from 83.1 to 27.1(in a parking building with 492 berths) by using largest LEs method instead of WNN and further reduced to 19.0 by conducted the new method.
