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弹性退休制度下谁更愿意延迟退休?——基于Option Value模型的微观模拟 被引量:5
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作者 郭秀云 李悦心 《人口与发展》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第4期132-144,共13页
人口老龄化背景下延迟退休年龄、建立弹性退休制度是大势所趋。养老金激励是弹性退休制度的重要内容。建立期权价值模型和养老金给付及奖惩因子模型,基于中国家庭收入调查项目(CHIP2018)的数据,对不同特征人群的养老金峰值、期权价值、... 人口老龄化背景下延迟退休年龄、建立弹性退休制度是大势所趋。养老金激励是弹性退休制度的重要内容。建立期权价值模型和养老金给付及奖惩因子模型,基于中国家庭收入调查项目(CHIP2018)的数据,对不同特征人群的养老金峰值、期权价值、内部报酬率进行模拟。研究发现:养老金总财富随退休年龄“先增后减”,男性的峰值年龄早于女性;引入养老金“奖惩”机制有助于提高最优退休年龄,激励劳动者延迟退休;考虑闲暇偏好的异质性,男性参保者更倾向于早退休,而女性参保者特别是女性较高收入群体更愿意延迟退休;厌恶风险的参保者更有可能选择早退休。建议尽早建立弹性退休年龄政策体系,增加劳动者的选择权和制度灵活性;引入精算调节因子构建养老金奖惩机制,完善养老保险待遇计发办法。 展开更多
关键词 延迟退休 养老金财富 Option value模型
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基于Valued ERGMs模型的核心技术网络成长机制研究——以量子计算领域为例 被引量:2
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作者 任海英 李真 《科技进步与对策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第4期1-11,共11页
对核心技术网络及其成长机制的研究有助于梳理核心技术之间的依赖和促进关系,为研究核心技术演化提供新的理论视角和方法。以技术演化相关理论为基础,归纳核心技术网络成长的影响因素,基于量子计算领域专利数据,识别以技术概念和技术关... 对核心技术网络及其成长机制的研究有助于梳理核心技术之间的依赖和促进关系,为研究核心技术演化提供新的理论视角和方法。以技术演化相关理论为基础,归纳核心技术网络成长的影响因素,基于量子计算领域专利数据,识别以技术概念和技术关系为基础的量子计算领域核心技术网络,并基于Valued ERGMs模型构建核心技术网络成长机制模型。结果表明,技术要素中心性、专利技术研发能力、与TRIZ进化法则匹配程度以及技术要素同配性对核心技术网络成长具有正向促进作用;在技术路径方面,核心技术网络成长受到技术要素路径依赖性和技术突破的双重影响。最后,根据量子计算领域核心技术网络成长机制的实证研究结果,从技术研发层面、企业层面、政府层面为相关领域技术发展提出策略建议。 展开更多
关键词 技术演化 核心技术网络 技术网络成长机制 valued ERGMs模型 量子计算
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Inquiry supervision,CSR reputation protection,and corporate value:Evidence from China
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作者 Jiuchang Wei Qin Jia Ruixue Jiang 《中国科学技术大学学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第10期1-13,I0006,共14页
This study analyses all A-share listed companies from 2015 to 2020 to empirically examine the impact of inquiry supervision on corporate value and the moderating influence of corporate social responsibility(CSR)on thi... This study analyses all A-share listed companies from 2015 to 2020 to empirically examine the impact of inquiry supervision on corporate value and the moderating influence of corporate social responsibility(CSR)on this relationship.Research has shown that inquiry supervision significantly reduces corporate value,and the corporate social responsibility previously performed by companies can weaken this negative impact.Furthermore,the heterogeneity test based on internal and external controls shows that the reputation protection effect of CSR is more significant for companies with a higher proportion of independent directors,companies with a higher proportion of institutional investors investing in stocks,regions with a higher degree of marketization,and regions with a higher level of rule of law.The research in this article validates the effectiveness of reputation protection and verifies that reputation protection,as an informal mechanism,is easier to fulfil a role in areas where formal mechanisms are perfect.In other words,formal and informal mechanisms appear to complement each other.These findings provide empirical insights into the governance of CSR. 展开更多
关键词 inquiry supervision reputation protection corporate social responsibility corporate value
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Empirical Analysis of Value-at-Risk Estimation Methods Using Extreme Value Theory
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作者 Zhao Yuanrui & Tian Hongwei School of Management, Finance Center, Tianjin University, 300072, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2001年第1期13-21,共9页
This paper investigates methods of value-at-risk (VaR) estimation using extreme value theory (EVT). It compares two different estimation methods, 'two-step subsample bootstrap' based on moment estimation and m... This paper investigates methods of value-at-risk (VaR) estimation using extreme value theory (EVT). It compares two different estimation methods, 'two-step subsample bootstrap' based on moment estimation and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), according to their theoretical bases and computation procedures. Then, the estimation results are analyzed together with those of normal method and empirical method. The empirical research of foreign exchange data shows that the EVT methods have good characters in estimating VaR under extreme conditions and 'two-step subsample bootstrap' method is preferable to MLE. 展开更多
关键词 value-at-risk (VaR) Extreme value theory (EVT) Generalized extreme value distribution Twr-step subsample bootstrap Maximum likelihood estimation.
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面向云端Key/Value存储系统的开销敏感的数据迁移方法 被引量:8
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作者 秦秀磊 张文博 +4 位作者 王伟 魏峻 赵鑫 钟华 黄涛 《软件学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2013年第6期1403-1417,共15页
Key/Value存储系统在大规模、高性能云应用支撑方面扮演了重要的角色,对云端Key/Value存储系统而言,数据迁移是实现节点动态扩展与弹性负载均衡的关键技术.如何降低迁移开销,是云服务提供商需着力解决的问题.已有研究工作大多针对非虚... Key/Value存储系统在大规模、高性能云应用支撑方面扮演了重要的角色,对云端Key/Value存储系统而言,数据迁移是实现节点动态扩展与弹性负载均衡的关键技术.如何降低迁移开销,是云服务提供商需着力解决的问题.已有研究工作大多针对非虚拟化环境下的数据迁移问题,这些方法对于云端Key/Value存储系统而言往往并不适用.为应对上述挑战,将数据迁移问题纳入负载均衡场景解决.提出一种基于面积的迁移开销模型,该模型可以有效感知底层VM性能干扰状况,权衡迁移时间与性能衰减值.进一步提出一种开销敏感的数据迁移算法,该算法基于开销模型与均衡度制订数据迁移计划,选取最优的迁移操作.基于雅虎的云服务基准测试工具YCSB验证了该方法的有效性. 展开更多
关键词 数据迁移 KEY value存储 VM性能干扰 迁移开销
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延迟退休对我国劳动者养老金收入的影响——基于Option Value模型的预测 被引量:27
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作者 林熙 林义 《人口与经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第6期12-21,共10页
养老保险制度的精算公平性是延迟退休的经济基础。根据Option Value模型的预测结果,在当前养老保险计发办法下,延迟退休可能对男性劳动者和低收入劳动者造成明显的经济损失。而延长女性劳动者的退休年龄,也可能在特定假设条件下使其遭... 养老保险制度的精算公平性是延迟退休的经济基础。根据Option Value模型的预测结果,在当前养老保险计发办法下,延迟退休可能对男性劳动者和低收入劳动者造成明显的经济损失。而延长女性劳动者的退休年龄,也可能在特定假设条件下使其遭受经济损失。鉴于此,我国养老保险制度亟须调整,以做到精算公平,为渐进延迟退休年龄改革打下基础。 展开更多
关键词 延迟退休 养老保险 OPTION value模型
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聚焦直接证据的美国本科学生学习成果评估——以美国大学联合会“VALUE项目”为例 被引量:16
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作者 李晓虹 朴雪涛 《外国教育研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第9期116-128,共13页
"本科学生学习有效评估项目"是近十年美国学生学习成果评估项目的典型代表,在其项目设置上体现了聚焦学生学习质量直接证据的评估理念、不依赖标准化测试的全国性本科学生学习评估的发展定位、凸显学习成果核心特征的关键性... "本科学生学习有效评估项目"是近十年美国学生学习成果评估项目的典型代表,在其项目设置上体现了聚焦学生学习质量直接证据的评估理念、不依赖标准化测试的全国性本科学生学习评估的发展定位、凸显学习成果核心特征的关键性评估标准、方法论与实际教学严谨平衡的评估方法、指向改进学生学习的多环节流程等特点。回顾十年发展,该项目历经三个重要阶段,已从一种"另类"的实践转变为主流的实践。项目之所以成功,除聚焦直接证据的特点之外,国家、州及院校将建立多州合作战略整合进项目的发展逻辑发挥着至关重要的作用。 展开更多
关键词 美国 本科教育 学生学习成果评估 直接证据 value标准
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中国人均CO_2排放水平地区差异的成因分析——基于GINI系数和回归的Shapley Value分解方法 被引量:1
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作者 柳亚琴 赵国浩 《生态经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第4期47-50,106,共5页
根据2000-2011年中国省际面板数据,以GINI系数为衡量指标,测算了人均CO2排放水平的地区差异,分析了人均CO2排放水平随时间的演变趋势,在此基础上采用基于回归的Shapley Value分解方法,对中国人均CO2排放水平地区差异形成原因进行了考察... 根据2000-2011年中国省际面板数据,以GINI系数为衡量指标,测算了人均CO2排放水平的地区差异,分析了人均CO2排放水平随时间的演变趋势,在此基础上采用基于回归的Shapley Value分解方法,对中国人均CO2排放水平地区差异形成原因进行了考察,探究各影响因素对差异程度的影响水平,从而为有效缩小地区差异和制定CO2减排政策提供有益的参考。结果表明:人均能源消费量因素的影响程度最大,平均贡献率为72.80%,各省份的经济发展水平和产业结构是人均CO2排放水平省际差异的第二大贡献因素,其平均贡献率依次为8.01%与10.20%,且在不同的时间段其结果有所不同。排在第四位和第五位的因素分别是城镇化水平和对外开放水平,二者都是影响人均CO2排放水平省际差异的重要因素,平均贡献率分别达到5.17%与3.81%。 展开更多
关键词 人均CO2排放水平 GINI系数 差异分解 Shapley value方法
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Modelling method with missing values based on clustering and support vector regression 被引量:2
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作者 Ling Wang Dongmei Fu Qing Li Zhichun Mu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2010年第1期142-147,共6页
Most real application processes belong to a complex nonlinear system with incomplete information. It is difficult to estimate a model by assuming that the data set is governed by a global model. Moreover, in real proc... Most real application processes belong to a complex nonlinear system with incomplete information. It is difficult to estimate a model by assuming that the data set is governed by a global model. Moreover, in real processes, the available data set is usually obtained with missing values. To overcome the shortcomings of global modeling and missing data values, a new modeling method is proposed. Firstly, an incomplete data set with missing values is partitioned into several clusters by a K-means with soft constraints (KSC) algorithm, which incorporates soft constraints to enable clustering with missing values. Then a local model based on each group is developed by using SVR algorithm, which adopts a missing value insensitive (MVI) kernel to investigate the missing value estimation problem. For each local model, its valid area is gotten as well. Simulation results prove the effectiveness of the current local model and the estimation algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 MODELING missing value K-means with soft constraints clustering missing value insensitive kernel.
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Prognostic value of C-reactive protein levels within 6 hours after the onset of acute anterior myocardial infarction with primary PCI
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作者 刘君 傅向华 马宁 《介入放射学杂志》 CSCD 2003年第S1期149-,共1页
Background Increased levels of inflammatory markers have been documented in various settings of coronary artery disease. The vulnerability of coronary lesions in acute myocardial infarction(AMI) at the time of onset m... Background Increased levels of inflammatory markers have been documented in various settings of coronary artery disease. The vulnerability of coronary lesions in acute myocardial infarction(AMI) at the time of onset may be related to serum levels of C reactive protein(CRP) on admission, before CRP levels are affected by myocardial damage.Objective This study assessed the predictive value of CRP levels within six hours after the onset of acute anterior myocardial infarction with primary percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods The plasma CRP of 76 patients with first acute anterior myocardial infarction was measured within 6 hours after onset. They were divided into 2 groups: group 1( n =20) with elevated CRP( ≥0.3mg/dl ) on admission within 6 hours after onset and group 2( n =56) with normal CRP( <0.3mg/dl ) within 6 hours after onset. All patients were treated by primary PCI. The primary combined end points, including death due to cardiac causes, re MI related to the infarction artery(RIA) and repeat intervention of the RIA, and the restenosis rate were assessed in relation to CRP levels within 6 hours after onset. Left ventricular end diastolic volume index(EDVI),end systolic volume index(ESVI),and ejection fraction(EF) on admission and 6 month after the onset were assessed by left ventriculography. Changes in EDVI(ΔEDVI),ESVI(ΔESVI), and EF(ΔEF) were obtained by subtracting respective on admission values from corresponding 6 month follow up values. Results There were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between the two groups. The primary combined end points were significantly more frequent in group 1(20%) than those in group 2( 1.79% , P <0.01 ).In addition, restenosis rates were significantly higher in group 1 than in group 2(41.18% vs 16.07%, P<0.05). Group 1 showed greater increases in left ventricular volume and less improvement in EF compared with group 2(ΔEDVI 6.31 ±2.17 vs 3.29 ±9.46ml/m 2 , ΔESVI 5.92 ±2.31 vs 3.86 ±1.08ml/m 2 , ΔEF 1.92 ±0.47 vs 4.79 ±1.73% , P <0.05 , respectively).Conclusions CRP levels within 6 hours after the onset of AMI might predict adverse outcome after primary PCI and progressive ventricular remodeling within 6 month of AMI. 展开更多
关键词 PCI 河北医科大学第二医院 Prognostic value of C-reactive protein levels within 6 hours after the onset of acute anterior myocardial infarction with primary PCI of with
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Complex Valued BP NN和Real BP NN应用于图像复原的比较
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作者 宋芬 郁春江 松井申之 《计算机工程与应用》 CSCD 北大核心 2005年第11期72-73,227,共3页
该文首先探讨了将ComplexValuedBP神经网络(NeuralNetwork)和RealBP神经网络用于图像复原的优势比较。其次,用图像数据训练网络,再利用训练好的网络实现不同图像的复原。最后,对图像进行像素空间分布的分析来寻找原因。
关键词 COMPLEX valueD BP REAL BP 像素空间
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基于HR Value Chain的农民工HRM实践研究
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作者 张永生 《安徽农业科学》 CAS 北大核心 2005年第12期2416-2417,2420,共3页
从价值链理论(Value Chain)发展而来的人力资源价值链(HR Value Chain)肯定了HRM实践是企业价值的来源。在概要介绍HR Value Chain的基础上,着重分析企业内部针对农民工的HRM实践所存在的问题,并提出了相应的改进措施。
关键词 HR value CHAIN 农民工 HRM实践
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Xi Jinping's Thought on Youth Values and Its Guidance to Contemporary Youth
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作者 Han Yongtao 《学术界》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第2期197-206,共10页
Xi Jinping's Thought on Youth Values and Its Guidance to Contemporary
关键词 valueS PATRIOTISM core SOCIALIST values(CSV) Chinese outstanding traditional culture ideals&beliefs
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The value of crop germplasm and value accounting system
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作者 WANG Xiaowei DING Guangzhou CHANG Ying 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2007年第2期168-175,共8页
The value evaluation and accounting of crop germplasm not only provides the theory and method for the price of germplasm, thus makes further lawful and fair transactions, but also ensures the benefits of crop germplas... The value evaluation and accounting of crop germplasm not only provides the theory and method for the price of germplasm, thus makes further lawful and fair transactions, but also ensures the benefits of crop germplasm owners and is also instructive in keeping the foodstuff safety. This paper founded a multidimensional value accounting system, which included physical accounting, value accounting and quality index accounting; individual accounting and total accounting; quantity accounting and quality accounting. 展开更多
关键词 crop germplasm value value accounting system
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Fuzzy Interval Value Logic and Fuzzy Distributed Value Logic
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作者 He Xingui(Beijing Institute of System Engineering (BISE),P. O. Box 9702, Beijing, 100101) 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1997年第2期60-65,共6页
In this paper, two kinds of fuzzy logic named “fuzzy intervalvalue logic” and “uzzy distributedvalue logic”with truth values in fuzzy intervals and probabilistic distribution functions are presented, respectively... In this paper, two kinds of fuzzy logic named “fuzzy intervalvalue logic” and “uzzy distributedvalue logic”with truth values in fuzzy intervals and probabilistic distribution functions are presented, respectively, and the syllogism (modus ponens) is given for each logic. It has been pointed out that they will have various applications in knowledgebased systems and other artificial intelligence fields. 展开更多
关键词 Fuzzy logic Fuzzy interval value logic Fuzzy distributed value logic.
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The Connotation and Path Choice of Socialist Core Value System
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作者 Zhou Hui Chen Li 《学术界》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第10期201-208,共8页
The socialist core value system(scVs)is a multi-layered systematic logical structure:with Marxism as the backbone which determines the fundamental nature of this value system;the common ideal of socialism with Chinese... The socialist core value system(scVs)is a multi-layered systematic logical structure:with Marxism as the backbone which determines the fundamental nature of this value system;the common ideal of socialism with Chinese characteristics as the embodiment of its goals;national spirit and the spirit of the times as its spiritual power;and the concept of honor as its moral foundation.SCVS construction focuss on practice,and its implementation includes the following three aspects;focusing on people's livelitood to increase the attractiveness of sCVs;vigorously developing productivity and expanding the material basis of the guiding functions of SCVS;and establishing an effective mechanism for publicity and education.While practicing SCVs,objective laws need to be followed and public enthusiasm need to be mobilized,path choice for development subjects and objective practice need to be highlighted,and policy system need to be improved gradually in practice,so that a linkage mechanism for all people to participate can be formed. 展开更多
关键词 socialist core value system(ScVS) value connotation connotation of path choice
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On Inspiration from Modality Value to the Teaching of College English
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作者 戈秀兰 《黑龙江生态工程职业学院学报》 2008年第6期117-118,共2页
This paper aims at examing how modality values are realized in native and non-native English news reporting and comparing the values they each take.By analyzing,the writer hopes to contribute to the awareness of forei... This paper aims at examing how modality values are realized in native and non-native English news reporting and comparing the values they each take.By analyzing,the writer hopes to contribute to the awareness of foreign language learners in terms of the importance of modality values in news analysis and make readers benefit from their reading,writing. 展开更多
关键词 MODALITY MODALITY value news REPORTS functional GRAMMAR
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Optimization approach of background value and initial item for improving prediction precision of GM(1,1) model 被引量:34
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作者 Yuhong Wang Qin Liu +2 位作者 Jianrong Tang Wenbin Cao Xiaozhong Li 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第1期77-82,共6页
A combination method of optimization of the back-ground value and optimization of the initial item is proposed. The sequences of the unbiased exponential distribution are simulated and predicted through the optimizati... A combination method of optimization of the back-ground value and optimization of the initial item is proposed. The sequences of the unbiased exponential distribution are simulated and predicted through the optimization of the background value in grey differential equations. The principle of the new information priority in the grey system theory and the rationality of the initial item in the original GM(1,1) model are ful y expressed through the improvement of the initial item in the proposed time response function. A numerical example is employed to il ustrate that the proposed method is able to simulate and predict sequences of raw data with the unbiased exponential distribution and has better simulation performance and prediction precision than the original GM(1,1) model relatively. 展开更多
关键词 background value initial item grey system theory grey prediction.
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一个高性能Key/Value数据库XDB的设计与实现
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作者 胡昊 卢凯 +3 位作者 李根 王小平 李旭 周旭 《计算机工程与科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2012年第12期140-143,共4页
传统SQL数据库在管理大数据、性能和扩展性等方面的不足使得其不能胜任如大规模数据挖掘、商务智能及社交网络等应用场景,而NoSQL数据库由于其在上述应用领域优良的特性近年来得到很快发展。本文在分析现有开源NoSQL数据库产品Kyoto Cab... 传统SQL数据库在管理大数据、性能和扩展性等方面的不足使得其不能胜任如大规模数据挖掘、商务智能及社交网络等应用场景,而NoSQL数据库由于其在上述应用领域优良的特性近年来得到很快发展。本文在分析现有开源NoSQL数据库产品Kyoto Cabinet和Tair的不足基础上,设计并实现了一个高性能的Key/Value数据库XDB。XDB分段流水并发处理Key/Value请求,并采用一致性算法保证在并发环境中对Key/Value记录读写的相关性,在随机写入和顺序写入实验中,相比于Kyoto Cabinet,XDB的性能分别提高6倍和15倍。 展开更多
关键词 KEY value数据库 并行处理 加速算法
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A novel model for cost performance evaluation of pulverized coal injected into blast furnace based on effective calorific value 被引量:5
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作者 徐润生 张建良 +3 位作者 左海滨 李克江 宋腾飞 邵久刚 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第10期3990-3998,共9页
The combustion process of pulverized coal injected into blast furnace involves a lot of physical and chemical reactions. Based on the combustion behaviors of pulverized coal, the conception of coal effective calorific... The combustion process of pulverized coal injected into blast furnace involves a lot of physical and chemical reactions. Based on the combustion behaviors of pulverized coal, the conception of coal effective calorific value representing the actual thermal energy provided for blast furnace was proposed. A cost performance evaluation model of coal injection was built up for the optimal selection of various kinds of coal based on effective calorific value. The model contains two indicators: coal effective calorific value which has eight sub-indicators and coal injection cost which includes four sub-indicators. In addition, the calculation principle and application of cost performance evaluation model in a Chinese large-scale iron and steel company were comprehensively introduced. The evaluation results finally confirm that this novel model is of great significance to the optimal selection of blast furnace pulverized coal. 展开更多
关键词 blast furnace pulverized coal injection effective calorific value cost performance evaluation model
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