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Brittleness evaluation of gas-bearing coal based on statistical damage constitution model and energy evolution mechanism
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作者 XUE Yi WANG Lin-chao +5 位作者 LIU Yong RANJITH P G CAO Zheng-zheng SHI Xu-yang GAO Feng KONG Hai-ling 《Journal of Central South University》 2025年第2期566-581,共16页
Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a ... Accurate assessment of coal brittleness is crucial in the design of coal seam drilling and underground coal mining operations.This study proposes a method for evaluating the brittleness of gas-bearing coal based on a statistical damage constitutive model and energy evolution mechanisms.Initially,integrating the principle of effective stress and the Hoek-Brown criterion,a statistical damage constitutive model for gas-bearing coal is established and validated through triaxial compression tests under different gas pressures to verify its accuracy and applicability.Subsequently,employing energy evolution mechanism,two energy characteristic parameters(elastic energy proportion and dissipated energy proportion)are analyzed.Based on the damage stress thresholds,the damage evolution characteristics of gas bearing coal were explored.Finally,by integrating energy characteristic parameters with damage parameters,a novel brittleness index is proposed.The results demonstrate that the theoretical curves derived from the statistical damage constitutive model closely align with the test curves,accurately reflecting the stress−strain characteristics of gas-bearing coal and revealing the stress drop and softening characteristics of coal in the post-peak stage.The shape parameter and scale parameter represent the brittleness and macroscopic strength of the coal,respectively.As gas pressure increases from 1 to 5 MPa,the shape parameter and the scale parameter decrease by 22.18%and 60.45%,respectively,indicating a reduction in both brittleness and strength of the coal.Parameters such as maximum damage rate and peak elastic energy storage limit positively correlate with coal brittleness.The brittleness index effectively captures the brittleness characteristics and reveals a decrease in brittleness and an increase in sensitivity to plastic deformation under higher gas pressure conditions. 展开更多
关键词 gas pressure statistical damage constitutive model energy evolution mechanism brittleness evaluation gas bearing coal
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Ballistic response mechanism and resistance-driven evaluation method of UHMWPE composite
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作者 Yemao He Johnny Qing Zhou +3 位作者 Yanan Jiao Hongshuai Lei Zeang Zhao Daining Fang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第2期1-16,共16页
The use of ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene(UHMWPE)composite in the design of lightweight protective equipment,has gained a lot of interest.However,there is an urgent need to understand the ballistic response ... The use of ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene(UHMWPE)composite in the design of lightweight protective equipment,has gained a lot of interest.However,there is an urgent need to understand the ballistic response mechanism and theoretical prediction model of performance.This paper explores the ballistic response mechanism of UHMWPE composite through experimental and simulation analyses.Then,a resistance-driven modeling method was proposed to establish a theoretical model for predicting the bulletproof performance.The ballistic response mechanism of UHMWPE composite encompassed three fundamental modes:local response,structural response,and coupled response.The occurrence ratio of these fundamental response modes during impact was dependent on the projectile velocity and laminate thickness.The bulletproof performance of laminate under different response modes was assessed based on the penetration depth of the projectile,the bulging height on the rear face of the laminate,the thickness of remaining sub-laminate,and residual velocity of the projectile.The absolute deviations of bulletproof performance indicator between theoretical value and experimental value were well within 11.13%,demonstrating that the established evaluation model possessed high degree of prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 UHMWPE composite Ballistic response mechanism Theoretical model Performance evaluation
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基于24Model-D-ISM的地铁站火灾疏散影响因素研究 被引量:1
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作者 孙世梅 张家严 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期153-159,共7页
为预防地铁站火灾事故,深入了解地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素间的内在联系与层次结构,基于第6版“2-4”模型(24Model)分析63起地铁站火灾疏散事故,充分考虑各个因素之间的交互作用,提取19个影响地铁站人员疏散的关键因素,建立地铁站火灾... 为预防地铁站火灾事故,深入了解地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素间的内在联系与层次结构,基于第6版“2-4”模型(24Model)分析63起地铁站火灾疏散事故,充分考虑各个因素之间的交互作用,提取19个影响地铁站人员疏散的关键因素,建立地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素指标体系;采用算子客观赋权法(C-OWA)改进决策试验与评价实验法(DEMATEL),确定地铁站火灾人员疏散的重要影响因素;在此基础上,采用解释结构模型(ISM)分析各个因素间的层次结构及相互作用路径,构建地铁站火灾人员疏散影响因素的多级递阶结构模型。研究结果表明:疏散引导、恐慌从众行为、人员拥挤为地铁站火灾人员疏散的关键影响因素;地铁站火灾人员疏散受表层因素、中间层因素、深层因素共同作用的影响,其中,疏散教育与培训、设施维护与检查、疏散预案等因素是根源影响因素,重视根源影响因素的改善有利于从本质上预防和控制事故的发生。 展开更多
关键词 “2-4”模型(24model) 决策试验与评价实验法(DEMATEL) 解释结构模型(ISM) 地铁站 火灾疏散 影响因素
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Catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model for water and mud inrush and its application in karst tunnels 被引量:23
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作者 ZHU Jian-qun LI Tian-zheng 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1587-1598,共12页
This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the ... This paper presents a risk evaluation model of water and mud inrush for tunnel excavation in karst areas.The factors affecting the probabilities of water and mud inrush in karst tunnels are investigated to define the dangerousness of this geological disaster.The losses that are caused by water and mud inrush are taken into consideration to account for its harmfulness.Then a risk evaluation model based on the dangerousness-harmfulness evaluation indicator system is constructed,which is more convincing in comparison with the traditional methods.The catastrophe theory is used to evaluate the risk level of water and mud inrush and it has great advantage in handling problems involving discontinuous catastrophe processes.To validate the proposed approach,the Qiyueshan tunnel of Yichang-Wanzhou Railway is taken as an example in which four target segments are evaluated using the risk evaluation model.Finally,the evaluation results are compared with the excavation data,which shows that the risk levels predicted by the proposed approach are in good agreements with that observed in engineering.In conclusion,the catastrophe theory-based risk evaluation model is an efficient and effective approach for water and mud inrush in karst tunnels. 展开更多
关键词 risk evaluation model water and mud inrush catastrophe theory karst area TUNNELING
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Hierarchical hybrid testability modeling and evaluation method based on information fusion 被引量:4
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作者 Xishan Zhang Kaoli Huang +1 位作者 Pengcheng Yan Guangyao Lian 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第3期523-532,共10页
In order to meet the demand of testability analysis and evaluation for complex equipment under a small sample test in the equipment life cycle, the hierarchical hybrid testability model- ing and evaluation method (HH... In order to meet the demand of testability analysis and evaluation for complex equipment under a small sample test in the equipment life cycle, the hierarchical hybrid testability model- ing and evaluation method (HHTME), which combines the testabi- lity structure model (TSM) with the testability Bayesian networks model (TBNM), is presented. Firstly, the testability network topo- logy of complex equipment is built by using the hierarchical hybrid testability modeling method. Secondly, the prior conditional prob- ability distribution between network nodes is determined through expert experience. Then the Bayesian method is used to update the conditional probability distribution, according to history test information, virtual simulation information and similar product in- formation. Finally, the learned hierarchical hybrid testability model (HHTM) is used to estimate the testability of equipment. Compared with the results of other modeling methods, the relative deviation of the HHTM is only 0.52%, and the evaluation result is the most accu rate. 展开更多
关键词 small sample complex equipment hierarchical hybrid information fusion testability modeling and evaluation.
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Entropy weight coefficient model and its application in evaluation of groundwater vulnerability of the Sanjiang Plain 被引量:4
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作者 LIU Rentao FU Qiang GAI Zhaomei 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2007年第4期368-373,共6页
The research of groundwater vulnerability is the basic work to protect the groundwater. For utilizing groundwater resource continuably, groundwater vulnerability evaluation is necessary. Useful reference to protect, e... The research of groundwater vulnerability is the basic work to protect the groundwater. For utilizing groundwater resource continuably, groundwater vulnerability evaluation is necessary. Useful reference to protect, exploit and utilize on groundwater resource are provided rationally. According to the real condition of Sanjiang Plain, the indexes system is established based on the traditional DRASTIC model. The new system includes the following seven indexes: Depth of Water, Net Recharge, Aquifer Media, Soil Media, Conductivity of the Aquifer, Land Utilizing Ratio and Populace Density. The related analysis appears that the system is rather reasonable. Because traditional methods, such as analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy mathematics theory, can't be avoided human interference in selection of weights, they could lead to an imprecise result. In order to evaluate the groundwater vulnerability reasonably, entropy weight coefficient method is applied for the first time, which provides a new way to groundwater vulnerability evaluation. The method is a model whose weights are insured by the calculation process, so the artificial disturb can be avoided. It has been used to evaluate the groundwater vulnerability in Sanjiang Plain. The satisfied result is acquired. Comparably, the same result is acquired by the other method named projection pursuit evaluation based on real-coded accelerating genetic algorithm. It shows that entropy weight coefficient method is applicable on groundwater vulnerability evaluation. The evaluation result can provide reference on the decision-making departments. 展开更多
关键词 groundwater vulnerability entropy weight coefficient model indexes system evaluATION
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A novel model for cost performance evaluation of pulverized coal injected into blast furnace based on effective calorific value 被引量:5
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作者 徐润生 张建良 +3 位作者 左海滨 李克江 宋腾飞 邵久刚 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第10期3990-3998,共9页
The combustion process of pulverized coal injected into blast furnace involves a lot of physical and chemical reactions. Based on the combustion behaviors of pulverized coal, the conception of coal effective calorific... The combustion process of pulverized coal injected into blast furnace involves a lot of physical and chemical reactions. Based on the combustion behaviors of pulverized coal, the conception of coal effective calorific value representing the actual thermal energy provided for blast furnace was proposed. A cost performance evaluation model of coal injection was built up for the optimal selection of various kinds of coal based on effective calorific value. The model contains two indicators: coal effective calorific value which has eight sub-indicators and coal injection cost which includes four sub-indicators. In addition, the calculation principle and application of cost performance evaluation model in a Chinese large-scale iron and steel company were comprehensively introduced. The evaluation results finally confirm that this novel model is of great significance to the optimal selection of blast furnace pulverized coal. 展开更多
关键词 blast furnace pulverized coal injection effective calorific value cost performance evaluation model
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A general evaluation system for optimal selection performance of radar clutter model 被引量:2
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作者 YANG Wei ZHANG Liang +2 位作者 YANG Liru ZHANG Wenpeng SHEN Qinmu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第6期1520-1525,共6页
The optimal selection of radar clutter model is the premise of target detection,tracking,recognition,and cognitive waveform design in clutter background.Clutter characterization models are usually derived by mathemati... The optimal selection of radar clutter model is the premise of target detection,tracking,recognition,and cognitive waveform design in clutter background.Clutter characterization models are usually derived by mathematical simplification or empirical data fitting.However,the lack of standard model labels is a challenge in the optimal selection process.To solve this problem,a general three-level evaluation system for the model selection performance is proposed,including model selection accuracy index based on simulation data,fit goodness indexs based on the optimally selected model,and evaluation index based on the supporting performance to its third-party.The three-level evaluation system can more comprehensively and accurately describe the selection performance of the radar clutter model in different ways,and can be popularized and applied to the evaluation of other similar characterization model selection. 展开更多
关键词 radar clutter clutter characterization model model selection performance evaluation.
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A reliability evaluation method for embryonic cellular array based on Markov status graph model 被引量:2
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作者 WANG Tao CAI Jinyan +1 位作者 MENG Yafeng ZHU Sai 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2020年第2期432-446,共15页
Due to the limitations of the existing fault detection methods in the embryonic cellular array(ECA), the fault detection coverage cannot reach 100%. In order to evaluate the reliability of the ECA more accurately, emb... Due to the limitations of the existing fault detection methods in the embryonic cellular array(ECA), the fault detection coverage cannot reach 100%. In order to evaluate the reliability of the ECA more accurately, embryonic cell and its input and output(I/O) resources are considered as a whole, named functional unit(FU). The FU fault detection coverage parameter is introduced to ECA reliability analysis, and a new ECA reliability evaluation method based on the Markov status graph model is proposed.Simulation experiment results indicate that the proposed ECA reliability evaluation method can evaluate the ECA reliability more effectively and accurately. Based on the proposed reliability evaluation method, the influence of parameters change on the ECA reliability is studied, and simulation experiment results show that ECA reliability can be improved by increasing the FU fault detection coverage and reducing the FU failure rate. In addition, by increasing the scale of the ECA, the reliability increases to the maximum first, and then it will decrease continuously. ECA reliability variation rules can not only provide theoretical guidance for the ECA optimization design, but also point out the direction for further research. 展开更多
关键词 EMBRYONIC MARKOV STATUS graph model RELIABILITY FAULT detection evaluation
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Real-time lane departure warning system based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution and risk evaluation model 被引量:4
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作者 张伟伟 宋晓琳 张桂香 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第4期1633-1642,共10页
A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and... A technology for unintended lane departure warning was proposed. As crucial information, lane boundaries were detected based on principal component analysis of grayscale distribution in search bars of given number and then each search bar was tracked using Kalman filter between frames. The lane detection performance was evaluated and demonstrated in ways of receiver operating characteristic, dice similarity coefficient and real-time performance. For lane departure detection, a lane departure risk evaluation model based on lasting time and frequency was effectively executed on the ARM-based platform. Experimental results indicate that the algorithm generates satisfactory lane detection results under different traffic and lighting conditions, and the proposed warning mechanism sends effective warning signals, avoiding most false warning. 展开更多
关键词 lane departure warning system lane detection lane tracking principal component analysis risk evaluation model ARM-based real-time system
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3D Modeling Quantitative Evaluation for the Underground Space Resources in Beijing City
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作者 Yi Tian,Jianping Chen,Limei Wang School of Land Resources and Technology,China University of Geosciences(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China. 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期283-284,共2页
Recently,underground space evaluation has become fundamental for a city’s long term sustainable development planning.This paper,based on the 3D-GIS tools,adopts"multi-factors comprehensive evaluation"models... Recently,underground space evaluation has become fundamental for a city’s long term sustainable development planning.This paper,based on the 3D-GIS tools,adopts"multi-factors comprehensive evaluation"models to establish a practicable underground space resources quantitative evaluation system.It sets up 展开更多
关键词 CITY UNDERGROUND SPACE RESOURCES QUANTITATIVE evaluation 3D modelING
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Multiple-Attribute and Multilevel Synthetic Evaluation Model and Its Application
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作者 Wang Jianqiang & Gao Yang School of Business, Central South University, Changsha 410083, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2003年第4期95-98,105,共5页
On the basis of analyzing the flaws of present multiple-attribute and multilevel evaluation methods, concerning the problem of characteristics of the multiple-attribute and multilevel system s appraisal and the partic... On the basis of analyzing the flaws of present multiple-attribute and multilevel evaluation methods, concerning the problem of characteristics of the multiple-attribute and multilevel system s appraisal and the particular emphasis on the respective attributes in the evaluation process, as well as its relevance to the environment, an optimal attribute system is proposed, and the multiplicative analytic hierarchy process (MAHP) is used to obtain subjective weight coefficients and the objective weight coefficient evaluating method is given. The deviation between the index value of each level and the values of the same index of other levels are formulated, and an optimal model is gained, thus establishing the weight coefficients of the whole optimal attribute system. Furthermore, the detailed implementation procedure of this method is introduced. Besides, favorable results have been gained by applying the model to the practical problems of economic evaluation. 展开更多
关键词 synthetic evaluation model multiple-attribute and multilevel evaluation.
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Applying PP Model Based on RAGA in Water Environment Quality Evaluation
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作者 PANFeng FUQiang +1 位作者 LIANGChuan LIUDong 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2004年第2期171-175,共5页
Projection Pursuit (PP) model is a technique of falling high dimension. Real coding based on Accelerating Genetic Algorithm (RAGA) is a method of optimum. Through combining the PP model and RAGA, the paper applies the... Projection Pursuit (PP) model is a technique of falling high dimension. Real coding based on Accelerating Genetic Algorithm (RAGA) is a method of optimum. Through combining the PP model and RAGA, the paper applies the model in the water environment quality evaluation. The writer takes the water quality evaluated indexes of each sample as projection direction and turns high dimension data into low dimension projection value. Thus, the writer achieves on evaluating the grade of water samples and its optimum order. Based on this, the writer overcomes the jamming of weights calculated on fuzzy synthesize judge and gray system valuation. The paper can provide a new thought for water environment quality evaluation and other falling high dimension and optimum issue. 展开更多
关键词 RAGA PP model water environment quality evaluation
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Index Design and Comprehensive Evaluation of Germplasm Resources of Fruits Based on Mathematical Model of AHP and FCE:Sterculia nobilis Smith as a Case
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作者 Li Wen-yan Wei You Zhou Jing 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2021年第2期35-44,共10页
The mathematical model of analytic hierarchy process(AHP)-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE)was applied to comprehensively evaluate the germplasm resources of Sterculia nobilis Smith,and the scientific nature and rel... The mathematical model of analytic hierarchy process(AHP)-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE)was applied to comprehensively evaluate the germplasm resources of Sterculia nobilis Smith,and the scientific nature and reliability of the mathematical model was verified by calculating index weights and comprehensive evaluation scores.In this paper,11 indicators were selected to construct a comprehensive evaluation system from four dimensions of yields,resistances,contents of main inclusions in seeds and tree shapes.AHP method was applied to calculate the index weight of each dimension,after passing the consistency test,FCE method was applied to comprehensively evaluate germplasm resources of S.nobilis Smith.The index weights of the yields,resistances,contents of major inclusions in seeds and tree shapes were 0.5518,0.2554,0.1279 and 0.0649,respectively.The yield had the greatest influence on the comprehensive evaluation of germplasm resources of S.nobilis Smith,which was in line with the actual production demand of S.nobilis Smith as a food crop.However,resistances and contents of major inclusions in seeds had limited influence on it,while tree shapes had the least influence on it.After fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,the final evaluation score was 88.00,the corresponding evaluation score was between 4 and 5,and the evaluation results ranged from slight good to good,which indicated that the evaluation weights corresponding to the four dimensions were more scientific and reasonable.In this study,the mathematical model of AHP-FCE was used to establish and evaluate the comprehensive evaluation system of the germplasm resources of S.nobilis Smith.According to the values of index weights and the evaluation results,it showed that the mathematical model was scientific and reliable,and it could provide a new reference method for the comprehensive evaluation of germplasm resources of other fruits. 展开更多
关键词 Sterculia nobilis Smith comprehensive evaluation AHP-FCE mathematical model germplasm resource
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Risk transmission evaluation for parallel construction of warships based on IFCM and the cloud model
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作者 GONG Jun HU Tao YAO Lu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第6期1224-1237,共14页
To cope with multi-directional transmission coupling,spreading, amplification, and chain reaction of risks during multiproject parallel construction of warships, a risk transmission evaluation method is proposed, whic... To cope with multi-directional transmission coupling,spreading, amplification, and chain reaction of risks during multiproject parallel construction of warships, a risk transmission evaluation method is proposed, which integrates an intuitionistic cloud model with a fuzzy cognitive map. By virtue of expectancy Ex, entropy En, and hyper entropy He, the risk fuzziness and randomness of the knowledge of experts are organically combined to develop a method for converting bi-linguistic variable decision-making information into the quantitative information of the intuitionistic normal cloud(INC) model. Subsequently, the threshold function and weighted summation operation in the traditional fuzzy cognitive map is converted into the INC ordered weighted averaging operator to create the risk transmission model based on the intuitionistic fuzzy cognitive map(IFCM) and the algorithm for solving it. Subsequently, the risk influence sequencing method based on INC and the risk rating method based on nearness are proposed on the basis of Monte Carlo simulation in order to realize the mutual conversion of the qualitative and quantitative information in the risk evaluation results.Example analysis is presented to verify the effectiveness and practicality of the methods. 展开更多
关键词 risk evaluation multi-project parallel intuitionistic fuzzy cognitive map(IFCM) intuitionistic normal cloud(INC)model warship construction.
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Evaluation of Productive Plant Landscapes in Cold Regions Based on a Multiple Cropping Model
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作者 Wu Zhi-heng Zhang Jia-xin +2 位作者 Zhu Xuan-bo Pan Sheng-kai Yan Yong-qing 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 2023年第4期43-52,共10页
Four varieties of each rapeseed and buckwheat were planted in different sowing periods to explore a variety of planting patterns.A theoretical foundation was provided for the innovative application of cold region prod... Four varieties of each rapeseed and buckwheat were planted in different sowing periods to explore a variety of planting patterns.A theoretical foundation was provided for the innovative application of cold region productive plant landscapes.The analytic hierarchy process was employed to develop a model for the evaluation of multiple cropping systems.A comprehensive evaluation was conducted to study 10 indicators in plant type,flower color,flowering period,flower volume,branch coverage,plot average yield,number of grains per plant,yield per plant,thousand-grain quality and ecological adaptability in four different varieties of each rapeseed and buckwheat.The results indicated that flower color,ecological adaptability,plot average yield and flower volume were the most important indicators for the value of productive plant landscapes in cold regions.Concerning the sowing period,the optimal combination of varieties and planting times were March 31 for Qingza No.5(rapeseed)and July 18 for Xinong T1211(buckwheat). 展开更多
关键词 multiple cropping model RAPESEED BUCKWHEAT analytic hierarchy process comprehensive evaluation
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Study on the effect of four kinds of raw materials in hypertonic dehydration cell model
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作者 Yuanyuan Gao Qidan Tan +3 位作者 Chencan Cao Haifeng Chen Yuying Jia Lei Liu 《日用化学工业(中英文)》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第10期1218-1226,共9页
It aims to investigate the protective effects of sodium hyaluronate,panthenol,Portulaca oleracea L.and Calendula officinalis L.on hyperosmotic dehydration-induced injury of human immortalized keratinocytes(HaCaT).The ... It aims to investigate the protective effects of sodium hyaluronate,panthenol,Portulaca oleracea L.and Calendula officinalis L.on hyperosmotic dehydration-induced injury of human immortalized keratinocytes(HaCaT).The safety mass concentrations of four raw materials were screened by detecting cell viability,and the secretion of hyaluronic acid(HA)was determined using the ELISA method.The expression of HaCaT barrier function related genes(OVOL1,EREG,TGM1,TGM2,IVL,IRF6,THBS1,CASP14)was detected at the mRNA level to explore the regulatory effect of four raw materials on these genes.The results demonstrate that pretreatment with the four kinds of raw materials could increase the cell viability after hyperosmotic dehydration,promote the secretion of HA,and improve the expression of barrier function related genes after hyperosmotic dehydration,among which panthenol and Calendula officinalis L.are better.The results show that the four raw materials have a certain protective effect on the hyperosmotic dehydration cell model,which provides data support for its application in cosmetics. 展开更多
关键词 hypertonic dehydration cell model protective effect barrier repair efficacy evaluation of cosmetics soothing ingredients
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基于DEA模型的医院学科科研绩效评价探析 被引量:3
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作者 耿华 杨林 周丽 《中国医院》 北大核心 2025年第3期55-59,共5页
目的:通过新视角探析医院学科科研绩效,为管理机构制定学科管理政策及完善学科管理体系提供参考。方法:以SD医院学科建设为例,构建投入-产出相关联的绩效评价指标体系。采用数据包络分析(DEA)模型对SD医院优势学科建设的绩效进行评价,... 目的:通过新视角探析医院学科科研绩效,为管理机构制定学科管理政策及完善学科管理体系提供参考。方法:以SD医院学科建设为例,构建投入-产出相关联的绩效评价指标体系。采用数据包络分析(DEA)模型对SD医院优势学科建设的绩效进行评价,重点关注学科资源配置和利用的有效性,并进行静态和动态相结合的实证分析。结果:学科DEA有效个数总体上呈增长趋势,表明科研投入产出水平较高,科研资源大体上能够得到合理配置。学科科研全要素生产率近3年处于增长趋势,促进了科技的创新和发展。然而,部分学科存在规模报酬不合理、技术水平低的问题,导致全要素生产率较低。结论:医院应加强制度建设,不断完善学科绩效评价机制;加强科研经费的内部控制,促进经费使用更加科学;鼓励多学科协同,搭建共享平台和交叉平台,构建标准作业程序;强化科研成果转化,发挥价值驱动的引导与激励作用,以支持学科建设的持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 DEA模型 绩效评价 学科建设 科研经费
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大模型驱动科技创新评价若干问题的思考 被引量:5
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作者 张洋 吴婷婷 侯剑华 《图书情报知识》 北大核心 2025年第1期70-77,88,共9页
[目的/意义]大科学时代背景下,大模型驱动的科技创新评价范式正在发生深刻的变革。厘清大模型驱动的科技创新评价若干问题,有助于提升评价的实用价值和战略指导意义,为科技进步和社会发展提供强有力的支持。[研究设计/方法]基于科技创... [目的/意义]大科学时代背景下,大模型驱动的科技创新评价范式正在发生深刻的变革。厘清大模型驱动的科技创新评价若干问题,有助于提升评价的实用价值和战略指导意义,为科技进步和社会发展提供强有力的支持。[研究设计/方法]基于科技创新评价演化历程和大模型驱动科技创新评价的主要特征,深度剖析大模型应用于科技创新评价的主要维度,在此基础上思考大模型驱动科技创新评价所面临的若干挑战和未来发展趋势。[结论/发现]大模型驱动的科技创新评价将成为新时期科技评价范式变革和进步的关键力量。大模型使得科技创新评价更加智能化、精细化和个性化,其与科学研究、技术开发、科技评价、科技管理等领域的融合发展将成为必然趋势。[创新/价值]剖析了大模型应用于科技创新评价的若干问题,为构建以智能化、精细化、系统化和个性化为核心,以可持续和负责任的评价为导向的科技创新评价体系提供参考和依据。 展开更多
关键词 科技创新评价 大模型 数智驱动
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融合SVM-RFE与层次分析-信息量模型的地质灾害易发性评价 被引量:1
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作者 李文杰 巨能攀 +2 位作者 王栋 陈浩 解明礼 《自然灾害学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期99-109,共11页
我国地质灾害频发,严重威胁人民群众的生命及财产安全,开展地质灾害易发性评价工作对地质灾害防治起着重要的作用。目前,针对地质灾害易发性评价,其评价因子的选取多为单一定性分析,主观性较强,缺乏科学性,同时因子之间的相互关系考虑... 我国地质灾害频发,严重威胁人民群众的生命及财产安全,开展地质灾害易发性评价工作对地质灾害防治起着重要的作用。目前,针对地质灾害易发性评价,其评价因子的选取多为单一定性分析,主观性较强,缺乏科学性,同时因子之间的相互关系考虑较少。文中以林芝市为例,选取高程、坡度、坡向等14个初始影响因子,通过基于支持向量机的递归特征消除(support vector machine-recursive feature elimination,SVM-RFE)算法对因子进行重要性排序及筛选,采用皮尔逊相关性分析考虑因子之间的相互关系,结合重要性排序消除相关性较高的因子,从而确定出了12组易发性评价因子,并基于层次分析-信息量模型开展林芝市地质灾害易发性评价,采用成功率曲线进行结果精度检验。结果表明:研究区内地质灾害极高易发区和高易发区主要集中在主道路及其附近,以及主要水系延伸地区;高易发区是研究区内所占面积最广的区域,面积为45 312.16 km^(2),占林芝市总面积的30.37%。根据评价结果精度检验得到曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)值为0.846,表明本方法开展地质灾害易发性评价的准确率较高,可为林芝市地质灾害防治和经济建设提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 SVM-RFE 层次分析-信息量模型 地质灾害 评价因子 易发性评价
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