As part of a research program, an extensive study on the dispersion characteristics of eight different7.62 ? 51 mm ammunition types was conducted. The paper presents the main steps in the experimental and analytical p...As part of a research program, an extensive study on the dispersion characteristics of eight different7.62 ? 51 mm ammunition types was conducted. The paper presents the main steps in the experimental and analytical process carried out to evaluate, namely to measure and compare, the dispersion characteristics of the ammunitions; namely,(1) identify the number of rounds to fire in the trials,(2) establish a test plan and the setup for the precision trials,(3) fire the rounds, following an established protocol for the experiments,(4) collect the impact points, and measure the performance through statistical measures,(5) perform a statistical analysis of dispersion applied to the results obtained in the trials, and(6)conclude on the ammunition characteristics. In particular, the paper proposes a statistical method to evaluate the precision of ammunitions fired with precision(Mann) barrels. The practical method relies on comparison of confidence intervals and hypothesis testing on the standard deviation of samples,namely the impact points. An algorithm is proposed to compare the variances of two or more populations of ammunitions.展开更多
Designing a fuzzy inference system(FIS)from data can be divided into two main phases:structure identification and parameter optimization.First,starting from a simple initial topology,the membership functions and syste...Designing a fuzzy inference system(FIS)from data can be divided into two main phases:structure identification and parameter optimization.First,starting from a simple initial topology,the membership functions and system rules are defined as specific structures.Second,to speed up the convergence of the learning algorithm and lighten the oscillation,an improved descent method for FIS generation is developed.Furthermore, the convergence and the oscillation of the algorithm are system- atically analyzed.Third,using the information obtained from the previous phase,it can be decided in which region of the in- put space the density of fuzzy rules should be enhanced and for which variable the number of fuzzy sets that used to partition the domain must be increased.Consequently,this produces a new and more appropriate structure.Finally,the proposed method is applied to the problem of nonlinear function approximation.展开更多
With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects （alternatives） for obtaining the best environmental qua...With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects （alternatives） for obtaining the best environmental quality and economic benefits is an important problem for the decision makers. The purpose of this paper is to develop a decision-making model to rank a finite number of alternatives with several and sometimes conflicting criteria. A model for ranking the projects of municipal sewage treatment plants is proposed by using exports＇ information and the data of the real projects. And, the ranking result is given based on the PROMETHEE method. Furthermore, by means of the concept of the weight stability intervals （WSI）, the sensitivity of the ranking results to the size of criteria values and the change of weights value of criteria are discussed. The result shows that some criteria, such as “proportion of benefit to project cost”, will influence the ranking result of alternatives very strong while others not. The influence are not only from the value of criterion but also from the changing the weight of criterion. So, some criteria such as “proportion of benefit to project cost” are key critera for ranking the projects. Decision makers must be cautious to them.展开更多
In the case of unknown weights, theories of multi-attributed decision making based on interval numbers and grey related analysis were used to optimize mining methods. As the representative of independence for the indi...In the case of unknown weights, theories of multi-attributed decision making based on interval numbers and grey related analysis were used to optimize mining methods. As the representative of independence for the indicator, the smaller the correlation of indicators is, the greater the weight is. Hence, the weights of interval numbers of indicators were determined by using correlation coefficient. Relative closeness based on positive and negative ideal methods was calculated by introducing distance between interval numbers, which made decision making more rational and comprehensive. A new method of ranking interval numbers based on normal distribution was proposed for the optimization of mining methods, whose basic properties were discussed. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of this method were verified by theories and practice.展开更多
The aim of this paper is to discuss the approximate rea- soning problems with interval-valued fuzzy environments based on the fully implicational idea. First, this paper constructs a class of interval-valued fuzzy imp...The aim of this paper is to discuss the approximate rea- soning problems with interval-valued fuzzy environments based on the fully implicational idea. First, this paper constructs a class of interval-valued fuzzy implications by means of a type of impli- cations and a parameter on the unit interval, then uses them to establish fully implicational reasoning methods for interval-valued fuzzy modus ponens （IFMP） and interval-valued fuzzy modus tel- lens （IFMT） problems. At the same time the reversibility properties of these methods are analyzed and the reversible conditions are given. It is shown that the existing unified forms of α-triple I （the abbreviation of triple implications） methods for FMP and FMT can be seen as the particular cases of our methods for IFMP and IFMT.展开更多
When the attributes of unknown targets are not just numerical attributes,but hybrid attributes containing linguistic attributes,the existing recognition methods are not effective.In addition,it is more difficult to id...When the attributes of unknown targets are not just numerical attributes,but hybrid attributes containing linguistic attributes,the existing recognition methods are not effective.In addition,it is more difficult to identify the unknown targets densely distributed in the feature space,especially when there is interval overlap between attribute measurements of different target classes.To address these problems,a novel method based on intuitionistic fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model(IFCEM)is proposed.For numerical attributes,targets in the database are divided into individual classes and overlapping classes,and for linguistic attributes,continuous interval-valued linguistic term set(CIVLTS)is used to describe target characteristic.A cloud modelbased method and an area-based method are proposed to obtain intuitionistic fuzzy decision information of query target on numerical attributes and linguistic attributes respectively.An improved inverse weighted kernel fuzzy c-means(IWK-FCM)algorithm is proposed for solution of attribute weight vector.The possibility matrix is applied to determine the identity and category of query target.Finally,a case study composed of parameter sensitivity analysis,recognition accuracy analysis.and comparison with other methods,is taken to verify the superiority of the proposed method.展开更多
Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or h...Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or how to estimate the parameter. There are still some open problems,such as the error analysis of parameter estimation, the theoretical proof of the convergence of theiterative algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of parameters. The Yule-Simon distributionis a heavy-tailed distribution and the parameter is usually less than 2, so the variance does notexist. This makes it difficult to give an interval estimation of the parameter. Using the compressiontransformation, this paper proposes a method of interval estimation based on the centrallimit theorem. This method can be applied to many heavy-tailed distributions. The other twoasymptotic confidence intervals of the parameter are obtained based on the maximum likelihoodand the mode method. These estimation methods are compared in simulations and applications toempirical data.展开更多
针对智能交通系统中行程时间估计的不确定性量化的难题,提出一种全局-局部不确定性感知行程时间估计方法(global and local uncertainty-aware travel time estimation,GLUTTE)。首先,通过多任务学习策略建模整体路线与各局部路段的行...针对智能交通系统中行程时间估计的不确定性量化的难题,提出一种全局-局部不确定性感知行程时间估计方法(global and local uncertainty-aware travel time estimation,GLUTTE)。首先,通过多任务学习策略建模整体路线与各局部路段的行程时间关系及其不确定性。其次,采用多粒度分位数回归方法,综合考虑全局和局部特征,提供准确的置信区间估计。实验结果表明,所提方法能够有效量化不确定性,同时保证准确性并提供可靠的置信区间,从而提升结果的可用性和可信度。展开更多
文摘As part of a research program, an extensive study on the dispersion characteristics of eight different7.62 ? 51 mm ammunition types was conducted. The paper presents the main steps in the experimental and analytical process carried out to evaluate, namely to measure and compare, the dispersion characteristics of the ammunitions; namely,(1) identify the number of rounds to fire in the trials,(2) establish a test plan and the setup for the precision trials,(3) fire the rounds, following an established protocol for the experiments,(4) collect the impact points, and measure the performance through statistical measures,(5) perform a statistical analysis of dispersion applied to the results obtained in the trials, and(6)conclude on the ammunition characteristics. In particular, the paper proposes a statistical method to evaluate the precision of ammunitions fired with precision(Mann) barrels. The practical method relies on comparison of confidence intervals and hypothesis testing on the standard deviation of samples,namely the impact points. An algorithm is proposed to compare the variances of two or more populations of ammunitions.
基金Supported by National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(2007CB714006)
文摘Designing a fuzzy inference system(FIS)from data can be divided into two main phases:structure identification and parameter optimization.First,starting from a simple initial topology,the membership functions and system rules are defined as specific structures.Second,to speed up the convergence of the learning algorithm and lighten the oscillation,an improved descent method for FIS generation is developed.Furthermore, the convergence and the oscillation of the algorithm are system- atically analyzed.Third,using the information obtained from the previous phase,it can be decided in which region of the in- put space the density of fuzzy rules should be enhanced and for which variable the number of fuzzy sets that used to partition the domain must be increased.Consequently,this produces a new and more appropriate structure.Finally,the proposed method is applied to the problem of nonlinear function approximation.
基金Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (T0502)Shanghai Municipal Educational Commission Project (05EZ32).
文摘With the fast growth of Chinese economic, more and more capital will be invested in environmental projects. How to select the environmental investment projects （alternatives） for obtaining the best environmental quality and economic benefits is an important problem for the decision makers. The purpose of this paper is to develop a decision-making model to rank a finite number of alternatives with several and sometimes conflicting criteria. A model for ranking the projects of municipal sewage treatment plants is proposed by using exports＇ information and the data of the real projects. And, the ranking result is given based on the PROMETHEE method. Furthermore, by means of the concept of the weight stability intervals （WSI）, the sensitivity of the ranking results to the size of criteria values and the change of weights value of criteria are discussed. The result shows that some criteria, such as “proportion of benefit to project cost”, will influence the ranking result of alternatives very strong while others not. The influence are not only from the value of criterion but also from the changing the weight of criterion. So, some criteria such as “proportion of benefit to project cost” are key critera for ranking the projects. Decision makers must be cautious to them.
基金Project(50774095) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(200449) supported by the National Outstanding Doctoral Dissertations Special Funds of China
文摘In the case of unknown weights, theories of multi-attributed decision making based on interval numbers and grey related analysis were used to optimize mining methods. As the representative of independence for the indicator, the smaller the correlation of indicators is, the greater the weight is. Hence, the weights of interval numbers of indicators were determined by using correlation coefficient. Relative closeness based on positive and negative ideal methods was calculated by introducing distance between interval numbers, which made decision making more rational and comprehensive. A new method of ranking interval numbers based on normal distribution was proposed for the optimization of mining methods, whose basic properties were discussed. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of this method were verified by theories and practice.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60774100)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province of China(Y2007A15)
文摘The aim of this paper is to discuss the approximate rea- soning problems with interval-valued fuzzy environments based on the fully implicational idea. First, this paper constructs a class of interval-valued fuzzy implications by means of a type of impli- cations and a parameter on the unit interval, then uses them to establish fully implicational reasoning methods for interval-valued fuzzy modus ponens （IFMP） and interval-valued fuzzy modus tel- lens （IFMT） problems. At the same time the reversibility properties of these methods are analyzed and the reversible conditions are given. It is shown that the existing unified forms of α-triple I （the abbreviation of triple implications） methods for FMP and FMT can be seen as the particular cases of our methods for IFMP and IFMT.
基金supported by the Youth Foundation of the National Science Foundation of China(62001503)the Excellent Youth Scholar of the National Defense Science and Technology Foundation of China(2017-JCJQ-ZQ-003)the Special Fund for Taishan Scholar Project(ts201712072).
文摘When the attributes of unknown targets are not just numerical attributes,but hybrid attributes containing linguistic attributes,the existing recognition methods are not effective.In addition,it is more difficult to identify the unknown targets densely distributed in the feature space,especially when there is interval overlap between attribute measurements of different target classes.To address these problems,a novel method based on intuitionistic fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model(IFCEM)is proposed.For numerical attributes,targets in the database are divided into individual classes and overlapping classes,and for linguistic attributes,continuous interval-valued linguistic term set(CIVLTS)is used to describe target characteristic.A cloud modelbased method and an area-based method are proposed to obtain intuitionistic fuzzy decision information of query target on numerical attributes and linguistic attributes respectively.An improved inverse weighted kernel fuzzy c-means(IWK-FCM)algorithm is proposed for solution of attribute weight vector.The possibility matrix is applied to determine the identity and category of query target.Finally,a case study composed of parameter sensitivity analysis,recognition accuracy analysis.and comparison with other methods,is taken to verify the superiority of the proposed method.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11961035)Jiangxi Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.20224BCD41001).
文摘Yule-Simon distribution has a wide range of practical applications, such as in networkscience, biology and humanities. A lot of work focuses on the study of how well the empirical datafits Yule-Simon distribution or how to estimate the parameter. There are still some open problems,such as the error analysis of parameter estimation, the theoretical proof of the convergence of theiterative algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of parameters. The Yule-Simon distributionis a heavy-tailed distribution and the parameter is usually less than 2, so the variance does notexist. This makes it difficult to give an interval estimation of the parameter. Using the compressiontransformation, this paper proposes a method of interval estimation based on the centrallimit theorem. This method can be applied to many heavy-tailed distributions. The other twoasymptotic confidence intervals of the parameter are obtained based on the maximum likelihoodand the mode method. These estimation methods are compared in simulations and applications toempirical data.
文摘针对智能交通系统中行程时间估计的不确定性量化的难题,提出一种全局-局部不确定性感知行程时间估计方法(global and local uncertainty-aware travel time estimation,GLUTTE)。首先,通过多任务学习策略建模整体路线与各局部路段的行程时间关系及其不确定性。其次,采用多粒度分位数回归方法,综合考虑全局和局部特征,提供准确的置信区间估计。实验结果表明,所提方法能够有效量化不确定性,同时保证准确性并提供可靠的置信区间,从而提升结果的可用性和可信度。
