Based on Bishop's model and by applying the first and second order mean deviations method, an approximative solution method for the first and second order partial derivatives of functional function was deduced acc...Based on Bishop's model and by applying the first and second order mean deviations method, an approximative solution method for the first and second order partial derivatives of functional function was deduced according to numerical analysis theory. After complicated multi-independent variables implicit functional function was simplified to be a single independent variable implicit function and rule of calculating derivative for composite function was combined with principle of the mean deviations method, an approximative solution format of implicit functional function was established through Taylor expansion series and iterative solution approach of reliability degree index was given synchronously. An engineering example was analyzed by the method. The result shows its absolute error is only 0.78% as compared with accurate solution.展开更多
The combat efficiency of mine obstacle is the focus of the present research. Based on the main effects that mine obstacle has on the target warship damage probability such as: features of mines with maneuverability, t...The combat efficiency of mine obstacle is the focus of the present research. Based on the main effects that mine obstacle has on the target warship damage probability such as: features of mines with maneuverability, the success rate of mine-laying, the hit probability, mine reliability and action probability, a calculation model of target warship mine-encounter probability is put forward under the condition that the route selection of target warships accords with even distribution and the course of target warships accords with normal distribution. And a damage probability model of mines with maneuverability to target warships is set up, a simulation way proved the model to be a high practicality.展开更多
Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can b...Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can be well characterized based on various stochastic excitations.A three-dimensional refined spatial random vibration analysis model of high-speed maglev train-bridge coupled system is established in this paper,in which multi-source uncertainty excitation can be considered simultaneously,and the probability density evolution method(PDEM)is adopted to reveal the system-specific uncertainty dynamic characteristic.The motion equation of the maglev vehicle model is composed of multi-rigid bodies with a total 210-degrees of freedom for each vehicle,and a refined electromagnetic force-air gap model is used to account for the interaction and coupling effect between the moving train and track beam bridges,which are directly established by using finite element method.The model is proven to be applicable by comparing with Monte Carlo simulation.By applying the proposed stochastic framework to the high maglev line,the random dynamic responses of maglev vehicles running on the bridges are studied for running safety and stability assessment.Moreover,the effects of track irregularity wavelength range under different amplitude and running speeds on the coupled system are investigated.The results show that the augmentation of train speed will move backward the sensitive wavelength interval,and track irregularity amplitude influences the response remarkably in the sensitive interval.展开更多
An algorithm to track multiple sharply maneuvering targets without prior knowledge about new target birth is proposed. These targets are capable of achieving sharp maneuvers within a short period of time, such as dron...An algorithm to track multiple sharply maneuvering targets without prior knowledge about new target birth is proposed. These targets are capable of achieving sharp maneuvers within a short period of time, such as drones and agile missiles.The probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter, which propagates only the first-order statistical moment of the full target posterior, has been shown to be a computationally efficient solution to multitarget tracking problems. However, the standard PHD filter operates on the single dynamic model and requires prior information about target birth distribution, which leads to many limitations in terms of practical applications. In this paper,we introduce a nonzero mean, white noise turn rate dynamic model and generalize jump Markov systems to multitarget case to accommodate sharply maneuvering dynamics. Moreover, to adaptively estimate newborn targets’information, a measurement-driven method based on the recursive random sampling consensus (RANSAC) algorithm is proposed. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves significant improvement in tracking multiple sharply maneuvering targets with adaptive birth estimation.展开更多
为解决风电机组故障诊断中故障样本不足而导致模型准确率不高的问题,将当下备受关注的数据增强方法-去噪扩散概率模型(denoising diffusion probability model,DDPM)引入到故障诊断领域以生成大量高质量的故障样本数据集。因此,结合Tran...为解决风电机组故障诊断中故障样本不足而导致模型准确率不高的问题,将当下备受关注的数据增强方法-去噪扩散概率模型(denoising diffusion probability model,DDPM)引入到故障诊断领域以生成大量高质量的故障样本数据集。因此,结合Transformer网络,提出了一种DDPM-Transformer风电机组故障样本生成方法。首先,将用于计算机视觉图像生成领域的DDPM模型应用于风电机组故障诊断领域中,通过前向加噪过程将数据逐渐转化为噪声,再通过逆向去噪过程将噪声逐步恢复为原始数据,实现从噪声中生成故障数据,解决数据不平衡问题;其次,通过对原始DDPM中使用的U-net模块进行改进,使用Transformer模型替换U-net网络,利用扩散后的数据和添加的噪声训练Transformer模型,实现噪声预测,以提高故障数据的生成质量;最后,使用多种生成模型评价指标对生成的故障数据进行评价,在监督控制和数据采集系统(supervisory control and data acquisition,SCADA)故障数据生成中论证改进DDPM-Transformer模型的性能。通过试验证明,所提DDPM-Transformer模型与现有的生成模型相比,最大均值异(maximum mean discrepancy,MMD)最大提升0.13,峰值信噪比(peak signal to noise ratio,PSNR)最大提升7.8。所提模型可以有效地生成质量更高的风电机组故障样本,从而基于该样本集辅助训练基于深度学习的故障诊断模型,可以使诊断模型具有更高精度和良好的稳定性。展开更多
局部线性嵌入算法采用欧氏距离选择邻域点,这通常会损失数据集本身的非线性特征,造成邻域点选取错误,且仅使用欧氏距离构造权重会导致信息挖掘不充分。针对以上问题,提出基于概率模型与信息熵的局部线性嵌入算法(Probability informatio...局部线性嵌入算法采用欧氏距离选择邻域点,这通常会损失数据集本身的非线性特征,造成邻域点选取错误,且仅使用欧氏距离构造权重会导致信息挖掘不充分。针对以上问题,提出基于概率模型与信息熵的局部线性嵌入算法(Probability information entropy-LLE,PIE-LLE)。首先,为了使邻域点选择更加合理,从数据集的概率分布角度出发,考虑样本点及其邻域的概率分布,为样本点构造符合局部分布的邻域集合。其次,为了充分提取样本的局部结构信息,在权重构造阶段,分别计算样本所属邻域概率以及每个样本的信息熵,融合二者信息重构低维样本。最后,在两个轴承故障数据集上的实验表明,所提方法故障识别准确度最高达到了100%,高于其他对比算法;在邻域点个数5~15范围内,PIE-LLE算法展现出良好的低维可视化效果;在参数敏感性实验中,该算法可以保持Fisher指标较大,有效提高了算法的分类准确度和稳定性。展开更多
基金Project(50378036) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(200503) supported by Foundation of Communications Department of Hunan Province, China
文摘Based on Bishop's model and by applying the first and second order mean deviations method, an approximative solution method for the first and second order partial derivatives of functional function was deduced according to numerical analysis theory. After complicated multi-independent variables implicit functional function was simplified to be a single independent variable implicit function and rule of calculating derivative for composite function was combined with principle of the mean deviations method, an approximative solution format of implicit functional function was established through Taylor expansion series and iterative solution approach of reliability degree index was given synchronously. An engineering example was analyzed by the method. The result shows its absolute error is only 0.78% as compared with accurate solution.
文摘The combat efficiency of mine obstacle is the focus of the present research. Based on the main effects that mine obstacle has on the target warship damage probability such as: features of mines with maneuverability, the success rate of mine-laying, the hit probability, mine reliability and action probability, a calculation model of target warship mine-encounter probability is put forward under the condition that the route selection of target warships accords with even distribution and the course of target warships accords with normal distribution. And a damage probability model of mines with maneuverability to target warships is set up, a simulation way proved the model to be a high practicality.
基金Project(2023YFB4302500)supported by the National Key R&D Program of ChinaProject(52078485)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProjects(2021-Major-16,2021-Special-08)supported by the Science and Technology Research and Development Program Project of China Railway Group Limited。
文摘Running safety assessment and tracking irregularity parametric sensitivity analysis of high-speed maglev train-bridge system are of great concern,especially need perfect refinement models in which all properties can be well characterized based on various stochastic excitations.A three-dimensional refined spatial random vibration analysis model of high-speed maglev train-bridge coupled system is established in this paper,in which multi-source uncertainty excitation can be considered simultaneously,and the probability density evolution method(PDEM)is adopted to reveal the system-specific uncertainty dynamic characteristic.The motion equation of the maglev vehicle model is composed of multi-rigid bodies with a total 210-degrees of freedom for each vehicle,and a refined electromagnetic force-air gap model is used to account for the interaction and coupling effect between the moving train and track beam bridges,which are directly established by using finite element method.The model is proven to be applicable by comparing with Monte Carlo simulation.By applying the proposed stochastic framework to the high maglev line,the random dynamic responses of maglev vehicles running on the bridges are studied for running safety and stability assessment.Moreover,the effects of track irregularity wavelength range under different amplitude and running speeds on the coupled system are investigated.The results show that the augmentation of train speed will move backward the sensitive wavelength interval,and track irregularity amplitude influences the response remarkably in the sensitive interval.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61773142)。
文摘An algorithm to track multiple sharply maneuvering targets without prior knowledge about new target birth is proposed. These targets are capable of achieving sharp maneuvers within a short period of time, such as drones and agile missiles.The probability hypothesis density (PHD) filter, which propagates only the first-order statistical moment of the full target posterior, has been shown to be a computationally efficient solution to multitarget tracking problems. However, the standard PHD filter operates on the single dynamic model and requires prior information about target birth distribution, which leads to many limitations in terms of practical applications. In this paper,we introduce a nonzero mean, white noise turn rate dynamic model and generalize jump Markov systems to multitarget case to accommodate sharply maneuvering dynamics. Moreover, to adaptively estimate newborn targets’information, a measurement-driven method based on the recursive random sampling consensus (RANSAC) algorithm is proposed. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves significant improvement in tracking multiple sharply maneuvering targets with adaptive birth estimation.
文摘为解决风电机组故障诊断中故障样本不足而导致模型准确率不高的问题,将当下备受关注的数据增强方法-去噪扩散概率模型(denoising diffusion probability model,DDPM)引入到故障诊断领域以生成大量高质量的故障样本数据集。因此,结合Transformer网络,提出了一种DDPM-Transformer风电机组故障样本生成方法。首先,将用于计算机视觉图像生成领域的DDPM模型应用于风电机组故障诊断领域中,通过前向加噪过程将数据逐渐转化为噪声,再通过逆向去噪过程将噪声逐步恢复为原始数据,实现从噪声中生成故障数据,解决数据不平衡问题;其次,通过对原始DDPM中使用的U-net模块进行改进,使用Transformer模型替换U-net网络,利用扩散后的数据和添加的噪声训练Transformer模型,实现噪声预测,以提高故障数据的生成质量;最后,使用多种生成模型评价指标对生成的故障数据进行评价,在监督控制和数据采集系统(supervisory control and data acquisition,SCADA)故障数据生成中论证改进DDPM-Transformer模型的性能。通过试验证明,所提DDPM-Transformer模型与现有的生成模型相比,最大均值异(maximum mean discrepancy,MMD)最大提升0.13,峰值信噪比(peak signal to noise ratio,PSNR)最大提升7.8。所提模型可以有效地生成质量更高的风电机组故障样本,从而基于该样本集辅助训练基于深度学习的故障诊断模型,可以使诊断模型具有更高精度和良好的稳定性。
文摘局部线性嵌入算法采用欧氏距离选择邻域点,这通常会损失数据集本身的非线性特征,造成邻域点选取错误,且仅使用欧氏距离构造权重会导致信息挖掘不充分。针对以上问题,提出基于概率模型与信息熵的局部线性嵌入算法(Probability information entropy-LLE,PIE-LLE)。首先,为了使邻域点选择更加合理,从数据集的概率分布角度出发,考虑样本点及其邻域的概率分布,为样本点构造符合局部分布的邻域集合。其次,为了充分提取样本的局部结构信息,在权重构造阶段,分别计算样本所属邻域概率以及每个样本的信息熵,融合二者信息重构低维样本。最后,在两个轴承故障数据集上的实验表明,所提方法故障识别准确度最高达到了100%,高于其他对比算法;在邻域点个数5~15范围内,PIE-LLE算法展现出良好的低维可视化效果;在参数敏感性实验中,该算法可以保持Fisher指标较大,有效提高了算法的分类准确度和稳定性。
