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Research on Test Data Distribution of Strapdown Inertial Measurement Unit Based on Bayesian Method 被引量:1
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作者 徐军辉 汪立新 钱培贤 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2008年第3期214-217,共4页
Aiming at that the successive test data set of the strapdown inertial measurement unit is always small,a Bayesian method is used to study its statistical characteristics.Its prior and posterior distributions are set u... Aiming at that the successive test data set of the strapdown inertial measurement unit is always small,a Bayesian method is used to study its statistical characteristics.Its prior and posterior distributions are set up by the method and the pretest,sample and population information.Some statistical inferences can be made based on the posterior distribution.It can reduce the statistical analysis error in the case of small sample set. 展开更多
关键词 战术导弹 数学统计学 惯性测量 技术性能
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Validation methodology for distribution-based degradation model 被引量:1
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作者 Yunxia Chen Zhiguo Zeng Rui Kang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第4期553-559,共7页
Distribution-based degradation models (or graphical approach in some literature) occur in a wide range of applications. However, few of existing methods have taken the validation of the built model into consideratio... Distribution-based degradation models (or graphical approach in some literature) occur in a wide range of applications. However, few of existing methods have taken the validation of the built model into consideration. A validation methodology for distribution-based models is proposed in this paper. Since the model can be expressed as consisting of assumptions of model structures and embedded model parameters, the proposed methodology carries out the validation from these two aspects. By using appropriate statistical techniques, the rationality of degradation distributions, suitability of fitted models and validity of degradation models are validated respectively. A new statistical technique based on control limits is also proposed, which can be implemented in the validation of degradation models' validity. The case study on degradation modeling of an actual accelerometer shows that the proposed methodology is an effective solution to the validation problem of distribution-based de qradation models. 展开更多
关键词 degradation model distribution-based degradationmodel graphical method model validation control limits.
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Estimation for constant-stress accelerated life test from generalized half-normal distribution 被引量:5
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作者 Liang Wang Yimin Shi 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第4期810-816,共7页
In the constant-stress accelerated life test, estimation issues are discussed for a generalized half-normal distribution under a log-linear life-stress model. The maximum likelihood estimates with the corresponding fi... In the constant-stress accelerated life test, estimation issues are discussed for a generalized half-normal distribution under a log-linear life-stress model. The maximum likelihood estimates with the corresponding fixed point type iterative algorithm for unknown parameters are presented, and the least square estimates of the parameters are also proposed. Meanwhile, confidence intervals of model parameters are constructed by using the asymptotic theory and bootstrap technique. Numerical illustration is given to investigate the performance of our methods. 展开更多
关键词 accelerated life test maximum likelihood estimation least square method bootstrap technique asymptotic distribution
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Fragment spatial distribution of prismatic casing under internal explosive loading 被引量:5
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作者 Tianbao Ma Xinwei Shi +1 位作者 Jian Li Jianguo Ning 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第4期910-921,共12页
Non-cylindrical casings filled with explosives have undergone rapid development in warhead design and explosion control.The fragment spatial distribution of prismatic casings is more complex than that of traditional c... Non-cylindrical casings filled with explosives have undergone rapid development in warhead design and explosion control.The fragment spatial distribution of prismatic casings is more complex than that of traditional cylindrical casings.In this study,numerical and experimental investigations into the fragment spatial distribution of a prismatic casing were conducted.A new numerical method,which adds the Lagrangian marker points to the Eulerian grid,was proposed to track the multi-material interfaces and material dynamic fractures.Physical quantity mappings between the Lagrangian marker points and Eulerian grid were achieved by their topological relationship.Thereafter,the fragment spatial distributions of the prismatic casing with different fragment sizes,fragment shapes,and casing geometries were obtained using the numerical method.Moreover,fragment spatial distribution experiments were conducted on the prismatic casing with different fragment sizes and shapes,and the experimental data were compared with the numerical results.The effects of the fragment and casing geometry on the fragment spatial distributions were determined by analyzing the numerical results and experimental data.Finally,a formula including the casing geometry parameters was fitted to predict the fragment spatial distribution of the prismatic casing under internal explosive loading. 展开更多
关键词 Fragment spatial distribution Prismatic casing Internal explosive loading Numerical fitting formula Marker-point weighted method
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Reliability analysis for aeroengine turbine disc fatigue life with multiple random variables based on distributed collaborative response surface method 被引量:2
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作者 高海峰 白广忱 +1 位作者 高阳 鲍天未 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第12期4693-4701,共9页
The fatigue life of aeroengine turbine disc presents great dispersion due to the randomness of the basic variables,such as applied load,working temperature,geometrical dimensions and material properties.In order to am... The fatigue life of aeroengine turbine disc presents great dispersion due to the randomness of the basic variables,such as applied load,working temperature,geometrical dimensions and material properties.In order to ameliorate reliability analysis efficiency without loss of reliability,the distributed collaborative response surface method(DCRSM) was proposed,and its basic theories were established in this work.Considering the failure dependency among the failure modes,the distributed response surface was constructed to establish the relationship between the failure mode and the relevant random variables.Then,the failure modes were considered as the random variables of system response to obtain the distributed collaborative response surface model based on structure failure criterion.Finally,the given turbine disc structure was employed to illustrate the feasibility and validity of the presented method.Through the comparison of DCRSM,Monte Carlo method(MCM) and the traditional response surface method(RSM),the results show that the computational precision for DCRSM is more consistent with MCM than RSM,while DCRSM needs far less computing time than MCM and RSM under the same simulation conditions.Thus,DCRSM is demonstrated to be a feasible and valid approach for improving the computational efficiency of reliability analysis for aeroengine turbine disc fatigue life with multiple random variables,and has great potential value for the complicated mechanical structure with multi-component and multi-failure mode. 展开更多
关键词 complicated mechanical structure reliability analysis multiple random variables multi-component and multi-failure mode distributed collaborative response surface method
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Bayesian inference for ammunition demand based on Gompertz distribution 被引量:6
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作者 ZHAO Rudong SHI Xianming +2 位作者 WANG Qian SU Xiaobo SONG Xing 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2020年第3期567-577,共11页
Aiming at the problem that the consumption data of new ammunition is less and the demand is difficult to predict,combined with the law of ammunition consumption under different damage grades,a Bayesian inference metho... Aiming at the problem that the consumption data of new ammunition is less and the demand is difficult to predict,combined with the law of ammunition consumption under different damage grades,a Bayesian inference method for ammunition demand based on Gompertz distribution is proposed.The Bayesian inference model based on Gompertz distribution is constructed,and the system contribution degree is introduced to determine the weight of the multi-source information.In the case where the prior distribution is known and the distribution of the field data is unknown,the consistency test is performed on the prior information,and the consistency test problem is transformed into the goodness of the fit test problem.Then the Bayesian inference is solved by the Markov chain-Monte Carlo(MCMC)method,and the ammunition demand under different damage grades is gained.The example verifies the accuracy of this method and solves the problem of ammunition demand prediction in the case of insufficient samples. 展开更多
关键词 ammunition demand prediction Bayesian inference Gompertz distribution system contribution Markov chain-Monte Carlo(MCMC)method
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Debris cloud structure and hazardous fragments distribution under hypervelocity yaw impact 被引量:2
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作者 Chenyang Wu Qi-Guang He +2 位作者 Xiaowei Chen Chunbo Zhang Zebin Shen 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第9期169-183,共15页
This study investigates how the debris cloud structure and hazardous fragment distribution vary with attack angle by simulating a circular cylinder projectile hypervelocity impinging on a thin plate using the finite e... This study investigates how the debris cloud structure and hazardous fragment distribution vary with attack angle by simulating a circular cylinder projectile hypervelocity impinging on a thin plate using the finite element-smoothed particle hydrodynamics(FE-SPH)adaptive method.Based on the comparison and analysis of the experimental and simulation results,the FE-SPH adaptive method was applied to address the hypervelocity yaw impact problem,and the variation law of the debris cloud structure with the attack angle was obtained.The screening criterion of the hazardous fragment at yaw impact is given by analyzing the debris formation obtained by the FE-SPH adaptive method,and the distribution characteristics of hazardous fragments and their relationship with the attack angle are given.Moreover,the velocity space was used to evaluate the distribution range and damage capability of asymmetric hazardous fragments.The maximum velocity angle was extended from fully symmetrical working conditions to asymmetrical cases to describe the asymmetrical debris cloud distribution range.In this range,the energy density was calculated to quantitatively analyze how much damage hazardous fragments inflict on the rear plate.The results showed that the number of hazardous fragments generated by the case near the 35°attack angle was the largest,the distribution range was the smallest,and the energy density was the largest.These results suggest that in this case,debris cloud generated by the impact had the strongest damage to the rear plate. 展开更多
关键词 Debris cloud Hypervelocity yaw impact FE-SPH adaptive method Velocity space Hazardous fragments distribution
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A distribution prior model for airplane segmentation without exact template 被引量:1
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作者 DAI Ming ZHOU Zhiheng GUO Yongfan 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2020年第1期56-63,共8页
In many practical applications of image segmentation problems,employing prior information can greatly improve segmentation results.This paper continues to study one kind of prior information,called prior distribution.... In many practical applications of image segmentation problems,employing prior information can greatly improve segmentation results.This paper continues to study one kind of prior information,called prior distribution.Within this research,there is no exact template of the object;instead only several samples are given.The proposed method,called the parametric distribution prior model,extends our previous model by adding the training procedure to learn the prior distribution of the objects.Then this paper establishes the energy function of the active contour model(ACM)with consideration of this parametric form of prior distribution.Therefore,during the process of segmenting,the template can update itself while the contour evolves.Experiments are performed on the airplane data set.Experimental results demonstrate the potential of the proposed method that with the information of prior distribution,the segmentation effect and speed can be both improved efficaciously. 展开更多
关键词 image segmentation active contour model(ACM) prior distribution level set method
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Modified OMP method for multi-target parameter estimation in frequency-agile distributed MIMO radar 被引量:4
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作者 XING Wenge ZHOU Chuanrui WANG Chunlei 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第5期1089-1094,共6页
Introducing frequency agility into a distributed multipleinput multiple-output(MIMO)radar can significantly enhance its anti-jamming ability.However,it would cause the sidelobe pedestal problem in multi-target paramet... Introducing frequency agility into a distributed multipleinput multiple-output(MIMO)radar can significantly enhance its anti-jamming ability.However,it would cause the sidelobe pedestal problem in multi-target parameter estimation.Sparse recovery is an effective way to address this problem,but it cannot be directly utilized for multi-target parameter estimation in frequency-agile distributed MIMO radars due to spatial diversity.In this paper,we propose an algorithm for multi-target parameter estimation according to the signal model of frequency-agile distributed MIMO radars,by modifying the orthogonal matching pursuit(OMP)algorithm.The effectiveness of the proposed method is then verified by simulation results. 展开更多
关键词 distributed multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO)radar multi-target parameter estimation frequency agility modified orthogonal matching pursuit(OMP)method
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Distributed collaborative extremum response surface method for mechanical dynamic assembly reliability analysis 被引量:7
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作者 费成巍 白广忱 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第9期2414-2422,共9页
To make the dynamic assembly reliability analysis more effective for complex machinery of multi-object multi-discipline(MOMD),distributed collaborative extremum response surface method(DCERSM)was proposed based on ext... To make the dynamic assembly reliability analysis more effective for complex machinery of multi-object multi-discipline(MOMD),distributed collaborative extremum response surface method(DCERSM)was proposed based on extremum response surface method(ERSM).Firstly,the basic theories of the ERSM and DCERSM were investigated,and the strengths of DCERSM were proved theoretically.Secondly,the mathematical model of the DCERSM was established based upon extremum response surface function(ERSF).Finally,this model was applied to the reliability analysis of blade-tip radial running clearance(BTRRC)of an aeroengine high pressure turbine(HPT)to verify its advantages.The results show that the DCERSM can not only reshape the possibility of the reliability analysis for the complex turbo machinery,but also greatly improve the computational speed,save the computational time and improve the computational efficiency while keeping the accuracy.Thus,the DCERSM is verified to be feasible and effective in the dynamic assembly reliability(DAR)analysis of complex machinery.Moreover,this method offers an useful insight for designing and optimizing the dynamic reliability of complex machinery. 展开更多
关键词 complex machinery dynamic assembly reliability (DAR) blade-tip radial running clearance (BTRRC) radial deformation reliability analysis distributed collaborative extremum response surface method (DCERSM) multi-object multidiscipline (MOMD)
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Modeling bidirectional reflection distribution function of microscale random rough surfaces
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作者 王爱华 HSU P.F. 蔡九菊 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第2期228-234,共7页
The radiative properties of three different materials surfaces with one-dimensional microscale random roughness were obtained with the finite difference time domain method(FDTD) and near-to-far-field transformation.Th... The radiative properties of three different materials surfaces with one-dimensional microscale random roughness were obtained with the finite difference time domain method(FDTD) and near-to-far-field transformation.The surface height conforms to the Gaussian probability density function distribution.Various computational modeling issues that affect the accuracy of the predicted properties were discussed.The results show that,for perfect electric conductor(PEC) surfaces,as the surface roughness increases,the magnitude of the spike reduces and eventually the spike disappears,and also as the ratio of root mean square roughness to the surface correlation distance increases,the retroreflection becomes evident.The predicted values of FDTD solutions are in good agreement with the ray tracing and integral equation solutions.The overall trend of bidirectional reflection distribution function(BRDF) of PEC surfaces and silicon surfaces is the same,but the silicon's is much less than the former's.The BRDF difference from two polarization modes for the gold surfaces is little for smaller wavelength,but it is much larger for the longer wavelength and the FDTD simulation results agree well with the measured data.In terms of PEC surfaces,as the incident angle increases,the reflectivity becomes more specular. 展开更多
关键词 bidirectional reflection distribution fimction random rough surfaces Maxwell equations finite difference time domain method
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基于对等架构的虚拟电厂-配电网双层电碳协同调度模型 被引量:2
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作者 孙国强 王力予 +3 位作者 周亦洲 卫志农 陈胜 臧海祥 《电力自动化设备》 北大核心 2025年第1期42-50,共9页
为使虚拟电厂更好地适应多种低碳能源并存的碳市场,建立了一种基于对等架构的虚拟电厂-配电网协同调度双层模型。引入碳排放流理论,结合电网潮流确定节点碳排放责任。建立双层模型,上层为配电网最优潮流模型,下层为虚拟电厂点对点交易... 为使虚拟电厂更好地适应多种低碳能源并存的碳市场,建立了一种基于对等架构的虚拟电厂-配电网协同调度双层模型。引入碳排放流理论,结合电网潮流确定节点碳排放责任。建立双层模型,上层为配电网最优潮流模型,下层为虚拟电厂点对点交易模型。上、下层模型间使用目标级联分析法构建对等架构,并通过共识变量实现协同调度。下层模型使用基于共识的自适应步长交替方向乘子法处理虚拟电厂间点对点交易问题,促进资源消纳的同时实现了隐私保护。以IEEE 33节点配电网为例,对调度结果进行多种分析,验证了所提模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 虚拟电厂 碳排放流理论 目标级联分析法 配电网 交替方向乘子法 点对点交易
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基于概率的震级完备度方法评估云南地震台网的监测能力 被引量:1
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作者 杨周胜 杨晶琼 +2 位作者 刘鹏飞 吕帅 姚远 《地震研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期61-70,共10页
为了科学评估云南地震台网的监测能力,分析云南地区的地震监测能力时空分布特征,采用基于概率的震级完备度(PMC)方法,利用2009-2023年云南地震台网地震目录、震相和台站信息等数据,计算了云南地震台网在云南地区的平均地震监测能力和在... 为了科学评估云南地震台网的监测能力,分析云南地区的地震监测能力时空分布特征,采用基于概率的震级完备度(PMC)方法,利用2009-2023年云南地震台网地震目录、震相和台站信息等数据,计算了云南地震台网在云南地区的平均地震监测能力和在不同深度的监测能力,得到滇中、滇西局部地区的基于概率的完备性震级M_(P)=1.5,云南全境基本都能监测到2.5级地震。评估了研究时段内云南地震台网台站监测能力的演变,发现部分台站的监测能力持续下降。但自2018年增加20个台站后,云南2.0及2.5级地震的监测范围有一定的扩大,但微震监测能力提升不明显,可能是因为2018年以来云南一直处于小震弱活动状态。最后,对应用PMC方法规划提升台网监测能力进行了展望。 展开更多
关键词 完备震级 地震监测能力 PMC方法 云南地震台网 检测概率 空间分布
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基于2D-3D电磁场-路耦合新计算方法的百万千瓦级半速汽轮发电机端部区域多物理场研究 被引量:1
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作者 韩继超 王昕宇 +1 位作者 邱家玉 戈宝军 《中国电机工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期217-227,I0018,共12页
核能相对于传统火电具有更加广阔的应用前景,发展高效安全的核电半速汽轮发电机是核电技术发展的关键。作为电力系统的核心装备,随着百万千瓦级核电半速汽轮发电机单机容量的不断提高,其端部区域损耗和发热问题日趋严重。为了提高核电... 核能相对于传统火电具有更加广阔的应用前景,发展高效安全的核电半速汽轮发电机是核电技术发展的关键。作为电力系统的核心装备,随着百万千瓦级核电半速汽轮发电机单机容量的不断提高,其端部区域损耗和发热问题日趋严重。为了提高核电半速汽轮发电机端部电磁场和损耗的计算精度,提出一种2D-3D电磁场-路耦合新计算方法,研究1 407 MV·A核电半速汽轮发电机端部区域内电磁场和端部构件损耗的分布规律,采用磁场储能法和解析法计算得到定子端部漏抗,将定子端部漏抗应用于核电半速汽轮发电机外电路中,对二维瞬态电磁场、三维端部瞬态电磁场以及负载外电路进行了耦合计算,考虑转子旋转、材料特性以及复杂端部构件实际尺寸等因素,研究核电半速汽轮发电机端部电磁场、端部构件磁密和涡流密度的分布情况,确定核电半速汽轮发电机端部构件的损耗。建立了核电半速汽轮发电机三维端部区域流固耦合模型,将新计算方法得到的端部结构件损耗值作为热源,流体网络计算得到端部区域入口速度和出口压力值作为边界条件,计算得到端部区域内复杂流体流动和端部构件温度的分布规律,并与实测值进行对比,验证了所提计算方法的可行性。 展开更多
关键词 半速汽轮发电机 新计算方法 端部电磁场 损耗 温度分布
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煤系典型岩石受载全过程光−电−声波多参数响应特征 被引量:1
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作者 张平松 刘畅 《煤田地质与勘探》 北大核心 2025年第1期204-214,共11页
【目的】岩石在载荷作用下的变形与断裂会引起潜在参数信息的变化,通过参数的动态捕捉可表征裂隙生成、扩展、闭合过程,是一种岩石健康评价的重要方法。【方法】基于搭建的多参数测试系统,开展单轴加载条件下岩石试件的分布式光纤应变... 【目的】岩石在载荷作用下的变形与断裂会引起潜在参数信息的变化,通过参数的动态捕捉可表征裂隙生成、扩展、闭合过程,是一种岩石健康评价的重要方法。【方法】基于搭建的多参数测试系统,开展单轴加载条件下岩石试件的分布式光纤应变、电极电流、纵波波速的同步采集,进一步构建强度−参数特征关系图谱以及参数层析成像结果,精细描述了砂岩、灰岩、泥岩3类典型岩石受载全过程多参数的时空演化特征。【结果和结论】试验结果表明:时间−压力曲线和多参数响应曲线具有较好的一致性,螺旋布设的分布式光纤应变在试件的原生孔隙压缩和线弹性阶段表现为缓慢、稳定的增长,在裂隙生成、扩展阶段表现为突然、快速的增长。试验中,砂岩、灰岩、泥岩的临破裂分布式光纤应变值分别为933×10−6,401×10−6和3790×10−6;电极电流在原生孔隙压缩和线弹性阶段变化微小,在裂隙生成、扩展阶段明显地降低、裂隙闭合时有一定回升;在原生孔隙压缩、线弹性、破裂阶段,砂岩的纵波波速分别为4.31、4.39、1.26 km/s,灰岩的纵波波速分别为4.80、4.93、3.10 km/s,泥岩的纵波波速分别为3.65、3.57、1.71 km/s。通过获得的岩石受载全过程能量值,构建了损伤变量D来评价岩石试件的损伤演化程度,砂岩的D值经历了缓增−降低−突增3个阶段,灰岩的D值经历了缓慢增大−快增−停滞−突增4个阶段,泥岩的D值经历了缓慢增大−快增−突增3个阶段。基于分布式光纤应变测试结果,探究了不同岩性岩石试件的破裂模式,为载荷下次生裂隙生成、扩展以及潜在破裂面位置预测提供支持。 展开更多
关键词 岩石受载 响应特征 分布式光纤 并行电法 数字超声波 含煤地层
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中国石化煤层气资源分布特征与勘探开发前景
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作者 周德华 陈刚 +5 位作者 赵石虎 申宝剑 刘曾勤 叶金诚 陈新军 张嘉琪 《煤炭科学技术》 北大核心 2025年第3期19-30,共12页
自2019年鄂尔多斯盆地实现深层煤层气勘探突破以来,我国煤层气产业加速向深层领域拓展。针对中国石化探区煤层气资源类型复杂多样、储层禀赋空间异质性强等特征,基于“典型区块解剖—参数体系构建—区域外推应用”3级递进评价流程,系统... 自2019年鄂尔多斯盆地实现深层煤层气勘探突破以来,我国煤层气产业加速向深层领域拓展。针对中国石化探区煤层气资源类型复杂多样、储层禀赋空间异质性强等特征,基于“典型区块解剖—参数体系构建—区域外推应用”3级递进评价流程,系统开展探区内煤层气资源评价与分布特征研究,旨在支撑产业战略布局优化,主要取得以下认识:①中国石化探区内埋深4000 m以浅的煤层气地质资源量达到10.31×10^(12)m^(3),可采资源量为3.07×10^(12)m^(3),主要分布于鄂尔多斯、川南黔北、准噶尔、渤海湾及滇东黔西等盆地(群);②74.6%的资源量(7.69×10^(12)m^(3))分布于山地、沙漠和黄土塬等复杂地貌单元,导致勘探开发面临显著地表工程挑战;③中高阶煤层气资源丰富,地质资源量8.95×10^(12)m^(3),占比达86.9%,集中分布于鄂尔多斯、川南黔北、渤海湾和滇东黔西等含气盆地(群);④深层煤层气(埋深>1500 m)勘探潜力大,地质资源量7.59×10^(12)m^(3),占比达到73.6%,其中中高煤阶深层煤层气地质资源量达6.95×10^(12)m^(3),主要分布于鄂尔多斯和川南黔北盆地(群);⑤建议沿“基础理论深化—核心技术攻关—开发策略优化—产业基地建设”路径推进,重点构建深层煤层气差异化开发技术体系,驱动产业高质量发展。以上成果认识不仅为中国石化煤层气勘探开发战略布局提供了定量决策依据,更为行业资源勘探开发提供了可推广的技术范式。 展开更多
关键词 煤层气 地质资源量 可采资源量 分布特征 体积法 可采系数法
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社会调查中收入信息缺失的填补逻辑与方法研究
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作者 高艳云 段囡 《统计研究》 北大核心 2025年第7期147-160,共14页
定量研究收入分配需要收入信息的支撑,而收入信息常常由于各种原因缺失。使用含缺失收入信息的样本进行不平等、贫困分析会有偏差,因此科学处理社会调查中的收入缺失信息非常重要。本文对收入信息缺失的原因进行梳理概括,系统整理收入... 定量研究收入分配需要收入信息的支撑,而收入信息常常由于各种原因缺失。使用含缺失收入信息的样本进行不平等、贫困分析会有偏差,因此科学处理社会调查中的收入缺失信息非常重要。本文对收入信息缺失的原因进行梳理概括,系统整理收入研究常用的分布,提出基于不同数据基础填补收入缺失信息的逻辑,对填补方法进行详细研究,包括加权调整法、单一插补法、多重插补法、计算机模拟数据生成法和分组数据细化法,并结合实际数据对不同方法的填补效果进行比较。结果表明,单一插补法效果较差;多重插补法、加权调整法和计算机模拟数据生成法都可以在一定程度上对调查数据中存在的高收入缺失现象进行修正;分组数据低估了组内个体差异,进而会低估不平等程度;而采用本文提出的分组数据细化法可以得到更精确的个体数据。后续研究应着力推进多源数据协同分析、探索统计推断与机器学习建模的协同框架。 展开更多
关键词 收入缺失信息 加权调整法 插补法 生成数据法 收入分布
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基于光散射法研究多元醇对加热卷烟烟雾光学特性的影响
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作者 朱龙杰 曹毅 +5 位作者 吴昌健 刘梦梦 王珂清 陈蕊 张媛 朱怀远 《中国烟草学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期10-21,共12页
【目的】掌握多元醇在加热卷烟中的烟气释放特性。【方法】使用基于光散射原理的烟气特性检测仪分析多元醇及复合多元醇加热卷烟的烟雾散射光强度,在甘油-丙二醇-丁二醇复合体系下,研究加热卷烟主要成分在不同部分中的质量分布规律及加... 【目的】掌握多元醇在加热卷烟中的烟气释放特性。【方法】使用基于光散射原理的烟气特性检测仪分析多元醇及复合多元醇加热卷烟的烟雾散射光强度,在甘油-丙二醇-丁二醇复合体系下,研究加热卷烟主要成分在不同部分中的质量分布规律及加热温度对加热卷烟烟雾散射光强度的影响。【结果】(1)在单一多元醇体系中,5种多元醇加热卷烟烟雾散射光强度的整体大小顺序为甘油>1,3-丁二醇>1,2-丙二醇>聚乙二醇(polyethylene glycol,PEG)400>PEG600。(2)在复合多元醇体系中,复合多元醇加热卷烟的烟雾散射光强度相较单一多元醇的烟雾散射光强度提升明显且在不同加热温度下,复合多元醇加热卷烟的烟雾散射光强度均明显大于甘油加热卷烟。(3)多元醇加热卷烟主要成分的质量分布差异明显,水分主要在烟气中,烟碱主要在滤嘴降温段和烟芯段,甘油主要在烟芯段,而1,2-丙二醇和1,3-丁二醇主要在滤嘴降温段。(4)复合多元醇的释放率和转移率较甘油均有较大提升,但与烟碱的释放协同性低于甘油。 展开更多
关键词 光散射法 加热卷烟 多元醇 散射光强度 主要成分 质量分布
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农产品电商供应链收益分配及优化策略研究
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作者 周向阳 沈辰 吴建寨 《价格月刊》 北大核心 2025年第5期34-41,共8页
以土豆为例,根据电商供应链实地调查,研究供应链各主体收益分配格局。结果表明,农产品电商供应链有效促进了中高端农产品供需匹配,实现了中高端农产品的品质溢价,显著提升了供应链整体收益水平。按照传统Shapley值法,电商企业收益分配... 以土豆为例,根据电商供应链实地调查,研究供应链各主体收益分配格局。结果表明,农产品电商供应链有效促进了中高端农产品供需匹配,实现了中高端农产品的品质溢价,显著提升了供应链整体收益水平。按照传统Shapley值法,电商企业收益分配比例从35.7%升至49.1%,而农户收益分配比例从35.7%降至28.5%,合作社收益分配比例从26.5%降至22.4%。从对合作收益贡献程度角度看,应将农户与合作社的部分收益补偿给电商企业。基于风险系数修正的Shapley值法优化后,农户收益分配比例从28.5%大幅升至40.2%,而电商企业收益分配比例从49.1%降至44.3%,合作社收益分配比例从22.4%继续降至15.5%。从风险补偿角度看,应将电商企业与合作社的部分收益补偿给农户。 展开更多
关键词 农产品电商 供应链 收益分配 SHAPLEY值法
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布里渊相移-增益比分布式光纤传感研究进展(特邀)
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作者 李宗雷 何海军 +3 位作者 周银 邹喜华 潘炜 闫连山 《红外与激光工程》 北大核心 2025年第4期49-63,共15页
布里渊光纤传感器利用布里渊频移与光纤的温度及应变之间的线性关系实现分布式温度及应变传感。布里渊相移-增益比技术通过布里渊频移与布里渊相移-增益比之间的线性关系直接映射布里渊频移,相比于常规的扫频拟合方法可大幅度降低扫频... 布里渊光纤传感器利用布里渊频移与光纤的温度及应变之间的线性关系实现分布式温度及应变传感。布里渊相移-增益比技术通过布里渊频移与布里渊相移-增益比之间的线性关系直接映射布里渊频移,相比于常规的扫频拟合方法可大幅度降低扫频次数和原始数据量,进而提升传感器实时性。布里渊相移-增益比技术的实施需要借助相干探测技术同时获得布里渊增益和相移,更高的增益及相移测量精度可以获得更高的传感精度。首先,回顾了过去十余年相干探测技术在实现高精度布里渊增益及相移测量方面的进展,包括光纤群速度色散抑制、光纤群时延波动消除、以及信号源幅度和相位噪声消除等。进一步,阐述了布里渊相移-增益比技术的主要优势,这些技术优势不仅提升了布里渊光纤传感的精度及可靠性,还大幅提升了测量速度。基于这些进展,布里渊相移-增益比技术为大型基础设施温度、应力应变的高精度实时监测提供了新途径,有望推动布里渊分布式光纤传感技术在各领域的实际应用。 展开更多
关键词 布里渊分布式光纤传感 布里渊相移-增益比 边沿辅助技术 相干探测
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