Dominant technology formation is the key for the hightech industry to“cross the chasm”and gain an established foothold in the market(and hence disrupt the regime).Therefore,a stimulus-response model is proposed to i...Dominant technology formation is the key for the hightech industry to“cross the chasm”and gain an established foothold in the market(and hence disrupt the regime).Therefore,a stimulus-response model is proposed to investigate the dominant technology by exploring its formation process and mechanism.Specifically,based on complex adaptive system theory and the basic stimulus-response model,we use a combination of agent-based modeling and system dynamics modeling to capture the interactions between dominant technology and the socio-technical landscape.The results indicate the following:(i)The dynamic interaction is“stimulus-reaction-selection”,which promotes the dominant technology’s formation.(ii)The dominant technology’s formation can be described as a dynamic process in which the adaptation intensity of technology standards increases continuously until it becomes the leading technology under the dual action of internal and external mechanisms.(iii)The dominant technology’s formation in the high-tech industry is influenced by learning ability,the number of adopting users and adaptability.Therein,a“critical scale”of learning ability exists to promote the formation of leading technology:a large number of adopting users can promote the dominant technology’s formation by influencing the adaptive response of technology standards to the socio-technical landscape and the choice of technology standards by the socio-technical landscape.There is a minimum threshold and a maximum threshold for the role of adaptability in the dominant technology’s formation.(iv)The socio-technical landscape can promote the leading technology’s shaping in the high-tech industry,and different elements have different effects.This study promotes research on the formation mechanism of dominant technology in the high-tech industry,presents new perspectives and methods for researchers,and provides essential enlightenment for managers to formulate technology strategies.展开更多
Multi-agent systems often require good interoperability in the process of completing their assigned tasks.This paper first models the static structure and dynamic behavior of multiagent systems based on layered weight...Multi-agent systems often require good interoperability in the process of completing their assigned tasks.This paper first models the static structure and dynamic behavior of multiagent systems based on layered weighted scale-free community network and susceptible-infected-recovered(SIR)model.To solve the problem of difficulty in describing the changes in the structure and collaboration mode of the system under external factors,a two-dimensional Monte Carlo method and an improved dynamic Bayesian network are used to simulate the impact of external environmental factors on multi-agent systems.A collaborative information flow path optimization algorithm for agents under environmental factors is designed based on the Dijkstra algorithm.A method for evaluating system interoperability is designed based on simulation experiments,providing reference for the construction planning and optimization of organizational application of the system.Finally,the feasibility of the method is verified through case studies.展开更多
In this paper, the method based on uniform design and neural network is proposed to model the complex system. In order to express the system characteristics all round, uniform design method is used to choose the model...In this paper, the method based on uniform design and neural network is proposed to model the complex system. In order to express the system characteristics all round, uniform design method is used to choose the modeling samples and obtain the overall information of the system;for the purpose of modeling the system or its characteristics, the artificial neural network is used to construct the model. Experiment indicates that this method can model the complex system effectively.展开更多
A fuzzy modeling method for complex systems is studied. The notation of general stochastic neural network (GSNN) is presented and a new modeling method is given based on the combination of the modified Takagi and Suge...A fuzzy modeling method for complex systems is studied. The notation of general stochastic neural network (GSNN) is presented and a new modeling method is given based on the combination of the modified Takagi and Sugeno's (MTS) fuzzy model and one-order GSNN. Using expectation-maximization(EM) algorithm, parameter estimation and model selection procedures are given. It avoids the shortcomings brought by other methods such as BP algorithm, when the number of parameters is large, BP algorithm is still difficult to apply directly without fine tuning and subjective tinkering. Finally, the simulated example demonstrates the effectiveness.展开更多
In this paper, the structure characteristics of open complex giant systems are concretely analysed in depth, thus the view and its significance to support the meta synthesis engineering with manifold knowledge models...In this paper, the structure characteristics of open complex giant systems are concretely analysed in depth, thus the view and its significance to support the meta synthesis engineering with manifold knowledge models are clarified. Furthermore, the knowledge based multifaceted modeling methodology for open complex giant systems is emphatically studied. The major points are as follows: (1) nonlinear mechanism and general information partition law; (2) from the symmetry and similarity to the acquisition of construction knowledge; (3) structures for hierarchical and nonhierarchical organizations; (4) the integration of manifold knowledge models; (5) the methodology of knowledge based multifaceted modeling.展开更多
Different from the organization structure of complex projects in Western countries, the Liang Zong hierarchical organization structure of complex projects in China has two different chains, the chief-engineer chain an...Different from the organization structure of complex projects in Western countries, the Liang Zong hierarchical organization structure of complex projects in China has two different chains, the chief-engineer chain and the general-director chain,to handle the trade-off between technical and management decisions. However, previous works on organization search have mainly focused on the single-chain hierarchical organization in which all decisions are regarded as homogeneous. The heterogeneity and the interdependency between technical decisions and management decisions have been neglected. A two-chain hierarchical organization structure mapped from a real complex project is constructed. Then, a discrete decision model for a Liang Zong two-chain hierarchical organization in an NK model framework is proposed. This model proves that this kind of organization structure can reduce the search space by a large amount and that the search process should reach a final stable state more quickly. For a more complicated decision mechanism, a multi-agent simulation based on the above NK model is used to explore the effect of the two-chain organization structure on the speed, stability, and performance of the search process. The results provide three insights into how, compared with the single-chain hierarchical organization, the two-chain organization can improve the search process: it can reduce the number of iterations efficiently; the search is more stable because the search space is a smoother hill-like fitness landscape; in general, the search performance can be improved.However, when the organization structure is very complicated, the performance of a two-chain organization is inferior to that of a single-chain organization. These findings about the efficiency of the unique Chinese-style organization structure can be used to guide organization design for complex projects.展开更多
A complex geometric modeling method of a helical face gear pair with arc-tooth generated by an arc-profile cutting(APC)disc is proposed,and its tooth contact characteristics are analyzed.Firstly,the spatial coordinate...A complex geometric modeling method of a helical face gear pair with arc-tooth generated by an arc-profile cutting(APC)disc is proposed,and its tooth contact characteristics are analyzed.Firstly,the spatial coordinate system of an APC face gear pair is established based on meshing theory.Combining the coordinate transformation matrix and the tooth profile of the cutter,the equations of the curve envelope of the APC face gear pair are obtained.Then the surface equations are solved to extract the point clouds data by programming in MATLAB,which contains the work surface and the fillet surface of the APC face gear pair.And the complex geometric model of the APC face gear pair is built by fitting its point clouds.At last,through the analysis of the tooth surface contact,the sensitivity of the APC face gear to the different types of mounting errors is obtained.The results show that the APC face gear pair is the most sensitive to mounting errors in the tooth thickness direction,and it should be strictly controlled in the actual application.展开更多
Language is a special social phenomenon and is always on the changing process with the development of society. During the evolving process of language, new language varieties will continuously emerge due to the change...Language is a special social phenomenon and is always on the changing process with the development of society. During the evolving process of language, new language varieties will continuously emerge due to the changes of some social and cultural factors. Cyber language is universally accepted as one type of the social language varieties. Basically, cyber language can be treated as a complex adaptive system which is influenced by the interaction between users’ cognition, social culture and the surrounding environments. Thus it is safe to say that cyber language is always undergoing a dynamic evolving process. With the usage-based language model as the theoretical foundation, this paper proposes a Complex Adaptive System (CAS) approach to analyze the expression of Appreciation to explore the complex, dynamic and nonlinear development of cyber language from the angle of meaning construction, grammaticalization and functional adaption respectively. It is found that the expression of Appreciation is experiencing adaptively a semantic connotations development and a process of grammatical functions expansion as well. This paper suggests that the emergence and development of cyber language is a novel and trendy social language phenomenon. Network language can achieve its process and evolution under the huge impact of social changes and social promotions. When faced with the changing surroundings, cyber language itself enjoys a timely adaption and responsive development to keep up with the new environments, which reflects the basic principle of language development, namely, language changes with the development of society.展开更多
针对雨雾等复杂天气下无人机图像质量下降导致目标检测效果不佳的问题,提出基于上下文引导和提示学习的目标检测算法CGP-YOLO(context-guided and prompt-based YOLOv8)。构建一个多任务联合学习的检测网络,通过双分支结构达到平衡图像...针对雨雾等复杂天气下无人机图像质量下降导致目标检测效果不佳的问题,提出基于上下文引导和提示学习的目标检测算法CGP-YOLO(context-guided and prompt-based YOLOv8)。构建一个多任务联合学习的检测网络,通过双分支结构达到平衡图像检测和恢复的任务。提出基于提示学习的跨层注意力加权图像去噪分支,指导网络利用退化提示重构清晰的图像;模型主干设计基于上下文的残差采样模块,集成卷积注意力机制,综合目标的局部和全局信息;采用可分离大核多尺度特征提取模块,处理网络多尺度特征;引入小目标的专用检测头,增强小目标的检测精度。实验结果表明,在参数量仅为基线模型60%的情况下,该模型的检测精度提高了2.4个百分点,平均精度(mAP)提高了2.04个百分点,模型检测效果优于其他经典模型,具备卓越的性能。展开更多
传统时序预测模型通常仅关注捕捉复杂时序中的趋势和模式,而忽略了变量间的相互作用,限制了该模型在复杂时序预测中应用.提出一种Dualformer双模型并联方案,该模型并联iTransformer(inverted transformer)和PatchTST(patch time series ...传统时序预测模型通常仅关注捕捉复杂时序中的趋势和模式,而忽略了变量间的相互作用,限制了该模型在复杂时序预测中应用.提出一种Dualformer双模型并联方案,该模型并联iTransformer(inverted transformer)和PatchTST(patch time series transformer),通过激活函数替代前馈神经网络,并通过多层感知机计算输出结果.Dualformer利用注意力机制同时捕捉复杂时序中的时间维度和变量维度信息,关注时间趋势与多变量交互.实验结果显示,Dualformer在复杂时序预测效果上显著优于对比模型iTransformer、PatchTST和DLinear(decomposition linear),在实际应用中可显著提高复杂时序预测的准确度,具有广泛应用前景.展开更多
基金supported by the Shanghai Philosophy and Social Science Foundation(2022ECK004)Shanghai Soft Science Research Project(23692123400)。
文摘Dominant technology formation is the key for the hightech industry to“cross the chasm”and gain an established foothold in the market(and hence disrupt the regime).Therefore,a stimulus-response model is proposed to investigate the dominant technology by exploring its formation process and mechanism.Specifically,based on complex adaptive system theory and the basic stimulus-response model,we use a combination of agent-based modeling and system dynamics modeling to capture the interactions between dominant technology and the socio-technical landscape.The results indicate the following:(i)The dynamic interaction is“stimulus-reaction-selection”,which promotes the dominant technology’s formation.(ii)The dominant technology’s formation can be described as a dynamic process in which the adaptation intensity of technology standards increases continuously until it becomes the leading technology under the dual action of internal and external mechanisms.(iii)The dominant technology’s formation in the high-tech industry is influenced by learning ability,the number of adopting users and adaptability.Therein,a“critical scale”of learning ability exists to promote the formation of leading technology:a large number of adopting users can promote the dominant technology’s formation by influencing the adaptive response of technology standards to the socio-technical landscape and the choice of technology standards by the socio-technical landscape.There is a minimum threshold and a maximum threshold for the role of adaptability in the dominant technology’s formation.(iv)The socio-technical landscape can promote the leading technology’s shaping in the high-tech industry,and different elements have different effects.This study promotes research on the formation mechanism of dominant technology in the high-tech industry,presents new perspectives and methods for researchers,and provides essential enlightenment for managers to formulate technology strategies.
基金supported by the Key R&D Projects in Jiangsu Province(BE2021729)the Key Primary Research Project of Primary Strengthening Program(KYZYJKKCJC23001).
文摘Multi-agent systems often require good interoperability in the process of completing their assigned tasks.This paper first models the static structure and dynamic behavior of multiagent systems based on layered weighted scale-free community network and susceptible-infected-recovered(SIR)model.To solve the problem of difficulty in describing the changes in the structure and collaboration mode of the system under external factors,a two-dimensional Monte Carlo method and an improved dynamic Bayesian network are used to simulate the impact of external environmental factors on multi-agent systems.A collaborative information flow path optimization algorithm for agents under environmental factors is designed based on the Dijkstra algorithm.A method for evaluating system interoperability is designed based on simulation experiments,providing reference for the construction planning and optimization of organizational application of the system.Finally,the feasibility of the method is verified through case studies.
文摘In this paper, the method based on uniform design and neural network is proposed to model the complex system. In order to express the system characteristics all round, uniform design method is used to choose the modeling samples and obtain the overall information of the system;for the purpose of modeling the system or its characteristics, the artificial neural network is used to construct the model. Experiment indicates that this method can model the complex system effectively.
文摘A fuzzy modeling method for complex systems is studied. The notation of general stochastic neural network (GSNN) is presented and a new modeling method is given based on the combination of the modified Takagi and Sugeno's (MTS) fuzzy model and one-order GSNN. Using expectation-maximization(EM) algorithm, parameter estimation and model selection procedures are given. It avoids the shortcomings brought by other methods such as BP algorithm, when the number of parameters is large, BP algorithm is still difficult to apply directly without fine tuning and subjective tinkering. Finally, the simulated example demonstrates the effectiveness.
文摘In this paper, the structure characteristics of open complex giant systems are concretely analysed in depth, thus the view and its significance to support the meta synthesis engineering with manifold knowledge models are clarified. Furthermore, the knowledge based multifaceted modeling methodology for open complex giant systems is emphatically studied. The major points are as follows: (1) nonlinear mechanism and general information partition law; (2) from the symmetry and similarity to the acquisition of construction knowledge; (3) structures for hierarchical and nonhierarchical organizations; (4) the integration of manifold knowledge models; (5) the methodology of knowledge based multifaceted modeling.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(7157105771390522)the Key Lab for Public Engineering Audit of Jiangsu Province,Nanjing Audit University(GGSS2016-08)
文摘Different from the organization structure of complex projects in Western countries, the Liang Zong hierarchical organization structure of complex projects in China has two different chains, the chief-engineer chain and the general-director chain,to handle the trade-off between technical and management decisions. However, previous works on organization search have mainly focused on the single-chain hierarchical organization in which all decisions are regarded as homogeneous. The heterogeneity and the interdependency between technical decisions and management decisions have been neglected. A two-chain hierarchical organization structure mapped from a real complex project is constructed. Then, a discrete decision model for a Liang Zong two-chain hierarchical organization in an NK model framework is proposed. This model proves that this kind of organization structure can reduce the search space by a large amount and that the search process should reach a final stable state more quickly. For a more complicated decision mechanism, a multi-agent simulation based on the above NK model is used to explore the effect of the two-chain organization structure on the speed, stability, and performance of the search process. The results provide three insights into how, compared with the single-chain hierarchical organization, the two-chain organization can improve the search process: it can reduce the number of iterations efficiently; the search is more stable because the search space is a smoother hill-like fitness landscape; in general, the search performance can be improved.However, when the organization structure is very complicated, the performance of a two-chain organization is inferior to that of a single-chain organization. These findings about the efficiency of the unique Chinese-style organization structure can be used to guide organization design for complex projects.
基金Project(51805368)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2018QNRC001)supported by the Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program,China+1 种基金Project(DMETKF2021017)supported by the Fund of State Key Laboratory of Digital Manufacturing Equipment and Technology,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,ChinaProject(HTL-0-21G07)supported by the National key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Heicopter Transmission,China。
文摘A complex geometric modeling method of a helical face gear pair with arc-tooth generated by an arc-profile cutting(APC)disc is proposed,and its tooth contact characteristics are analyzed.Firstly,the spatial coordinate system of an APC face gear pair is established based on meshing theory.Combining the coordinate transformation matrix and the tooth profile of the cutter,the equations of the curve envelope of the APC face gear pair are obtained.Then the surface equations are solved to extract the point clouds data by programming in MATLAB,which contains the work surface and the fillet surface of the APC face gear pair.And the complex geometric model of the APC face gear pair is built by fitting its point clouds.At last,through the analysis of the tooth surface contact,the sensitivity of the APC face gear to the different types of mounting errors is obtained.The results show that the APC face gear pair is the most sensitive to mounting errors in the tooth thickness direction,and it should be strictly controlled in the actual application.
文摘Language is a special social phenomenon and is always on the changing process with the development of society. During the evolving process of language, new language varieties will continuously emerge due to the changes of some social and cultural factors. Cyber language is universally accepted as one type of the social language varieties. Basically, cyber language can be treated as a complex adaptive system which is influenced by the interaction between users’ cognition, social culture and the surrounding environments. Thus it is safe to say that cyber language is always undergoing a dynamic evolving process. With the usage-based language model as the theoretical foundation, this paper proposes a Complex Adaptive System (CAS) approach to analyze the expression of Appreciation to explore the complex, dynamic and nonlinear development of cyber language from the angle of meaning construction, grammaticalization and functional adaption respectively. It is found that the expression of Appreciation is experiencing adaptively a semantic connotations development and a process of grammatical functions expansion as well. This paper suggests that the emergence and development of cyber language is a novel and trendy social language phenomenon. Network language can achieve its process and evolution under the huge impact of social changes and social promotions. When faced with the changing surroundings, cyber language itself enjoys a timely adaption and responsive development to keep up with the new environments, which reflects the basic principle of language development, namely, language changes with the development of society.
文摘针对雨雾等复杂天气下无人机图像质量下降导致目标检测效果不佳的问题,提出基于上下文引导和提示学习的目标检测算法CGP-YOLO(context-guided and prompt-based YOLOv8)。构建一个多任务联合学习的检测网络,通过双分支结构达到平衡图像检测和恢复的任务。提出基于提示学习的跨层注意力加权图像去噪分支,指导网络利用退化提示重构清晰的图像;模型主干设计基于上下文的残差采样模块,集成卷积注意力机制,综合目标的局部和全局信息;采用可分离大核多尺度特征提取模块,处理网络多尺度特征;引入小目标的专用检测头,增强小目标的检测精度。实验结果表明,在参数量仅为基线模型60%的情况下,该模型的检测精度提高了2.4个百分点,平均精度(mAP)提高了2.04个百分点,模型检测效果优于其他经典模型,具备卓越的性能。
文摘传统时序预测模型通常仅关注捕捉复杂时序中的趋势和模式,而忽略了变量间的相互作用,限制了该模型在复杂时序预测中应用.提出一种Dualformer双模型并联方案,该模型并联iTransformer(inverted transformer)和PatchTST(patch time series transformer),通过激活函数替代前馈神经网络,并通过多层感知机计算输出结果.Dualformer利用注意力机制同时捕捉复杂时序中的时间维度和变量维度信息,关注时间趋势与多变量交互.实验结果显示,Dualformer在复杂时序预测效果上显著优于对比模型iTransformer、PatchTST和DLinear(decomposition linear),在实际应用中可显著提高复杂时序预测的准确度,具有广泛应用前景.
