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Coupled hydro-mechanical analysis of slope under rainfall using modified elasto-plastic model for unsaturated soils 被引量:4
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作者 王柳江 刘斯宏 +1 位作者 傅中志 李卓 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第5期1892-1900,共9页
Two modifications for the basic Barcelona model(BBM) are present. One is the replacement of the net stress by the average skeleton stress in unsaturated soil modeling, and the other is the adoption of an expression fo... Two modifications for the basic Barcelona model(BBM) are present. One is the replacement of the net stress by the average skeleton stress in unsaturated soil modeling, and the other is the adoption of an expression for the load-collapse(LC) yield surface that can match flexibly the normal compression lines at different suctions. The predictions of the modified BBM for the controlled-suction triaxial test on the unsaturated compacted clay are presented and compared with the experimental results. A good agreement between the predicted and experimental results demonstrates the reasonability of the modified BBM. On this basis, the coupled processes of groundwater flow and soil deformation in a homogeneous soil slope under a long heavy rainfall are simulated with the proposed elasto-plastic model. The numerical results reveal that the failure of a slope under rainfall infiltration is due to both the reduction of soil suction and the significant rise in groundwater table. The evolution of the displacements is greatly related to the change of suction. The maximum collapse deformation happens near the surface of slope where infiltrated rainwater can quickly reach. The results may provide a helpful reference for hazard assessment and control of rainfall-induced landslides. 展开更多
关键词 unsaturated soils modified basic Barcelona model(BBM) numerical analysis rainfall infiltration model slope
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Influences of rainfall infiltration on stability of accumulation slope by in-situ monitoring test 被引量:9
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作者 周中 王宏贵 +1 位作者 傅鹤林 刘宝琛 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2009年第2期297-302,共6页
In order to improve the understanding of the fundamental mechanism of rainfall infiltration induced landslides in accumulation slope and to clarify some important characteristics of slope performance,artificial rainfa... In order to improve the understanding of the fundamental mechanism of rainfall infiltration induced landslides in accumulation slope and to clarify some important characteristics of slope performance,artificial rainfall simulation tests and field synthetic monitoring were carried out on a typical accumulation slope of Shangrui Freeway in Guizhou Province,China.The monitoring results show that the most accumulation landslides caused by rainfall infiltration are shallow relaxation failure,whose deformation zone lies within the top 0-4 m soil layer.The deformation of slope gradually reduces from the surface,where the greatest deformation lies in,to the deep part of slope.The average percentage of infiltration during the first 2 h is 86%,and then it reduces gradually with time because of the increase of the surface runoff.The average percentage of infiltration drop to a relatively stable value(50%)after 6 h.Rainfall infiltration causes obvious increase of pore-water pressure,which may result in a reduction of shear strength due to a decrease in effective stress and wetting-induced softening.The double-effect of rainfall infiltration is the main reason of rainfall infiltration induced landslides in accumulation slope. 展开更多
关键词 accumulation slope STABILITY rainfall infiltration in-situ monitoring
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Infiltration regulation and stability analysis of soil slope under sustained and small intensity rainfall 被引量:17
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作者 刘子振 言志信 +1 位作者 段建 邱战洪 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第9期2519-2527,共9页
Rainfall infiltration depth and mode can severely influence slope stability.With the sustained rainfall,the influenced region of slope gradually expands.By using the Green-Ampt model to the soil slope,infiltration reg... Rainfall infiltration depth and mode can severely influence slope stability.With the sustained rainfall,the influenced region of slope gradually expands.By using the Green-Ampt model to the soil slope,infiltration regulation was discussed under sustained and small intensity rainfall.And the infiltration rate of unsaturated soil was proposed according to the saturated infiltration theory.Because of the changing of initial moisture content in depth of slope,the saturated or unsaturated infiltration rate and depth could also be changeable with the sustained rainfall infiltration.Based on the principle of strength reduction,the calculation model of slope safety factor was established under different initial moisture contents and infiltration modes.Then,the slope stability was quantitatively analyzed through software FLAC3D.The calculation results of soil slope engineering show that there is a shorter period for slope stability under different initial moisture contents and unsaturated infiltration ways at the slope wetting front.The stability period of slope is 33.3%according to different initial moisture contents of wetting front less than that of the same initial moisture content of wetting front.And the slope is easier to fail under the unsaturated infiltration.The results agree well with the actual situation under sustained and small intensity rainfall. 展开更多
关键词 small intensity rainfall soil slope infiltration depth safety factor
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Forming condition of transient saturated zone and its distribution in residual slope under rainfall conditions 被引量:17
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作者 曾铃 卞汉兵 +1 位作者 史振宁 何忠明 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第8期1866-1880,共15页
Rainfall, as one of the most significant factors triggering the residual soil slope failure, leads to not only the reduction of soil shear strength, but also the increase of soil weight and the decrease of matric suct... Rainfall, as one of the most significant factors triggering the residual soil slope failure, leads to not only the reduction of soil shear strength, but also the increase of soil weight and the decrease of matric suction as well. All these modifications in soil properties have important influence on the slope stability. The water infiltration and redistribution inside the slope are the preconditions of the slope stability under rainfall conditions. Based on the numerical simulation via finite element method, the water infiltration process under rainfall conditions was studied in the present work. The emphases are the formation, distribution and dissipation of transient saturated zone. As for the calculation parameters, the SWCC and the saturated permeability have been determined by pressure plate test and variable head test respectively. The entire process(formation, development, dissipation) of the transient saturated zone was studied in detail. The variations of volumetric water content, matric suction and hydraulic gradient inside the slope, and the eventually raise of groundwater table were characterized and discussed, too. The results show that the major cause of the formation of transient saturated zone is ascribed to the fact that the exudation velocity of rainwater on the wetting front is less than the infiltration velocity of rainfall; as a result, the water content of the soil increases. On the other hand, the formation and extension of transient saturated zone have a close relationship with rainfall intensity and duration. The results can help the geotechnical engineers for the deeper understanding of the failure of residual slope under rainfall condition. It is also suggested that the proper drainage system in the slope may be the cost-effective slope failure mitigation method. 展开更多
关键词 slope stability residual soil slope rainfall infiltration numerical simulation transient saturated zone
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Effects of intense rainfall on stability of infinite terraced slope 被引量:5
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作者 马世国 韩同春 +2 位作者 徐日庆 吴渐 张杰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第4期1534-1545,共12页
For fully understanding the hydrological dynamics of an infinite terraced slope, the infiltration process was studied by employing the Green and Ampt infiltration model. The limit equilibrium method and the Mohr-Coulo... For fully understanding the hydrological dynamics of an infinite terraced slope, the infiltration process was studied by employing the Green and Ampt infiltration model. The limit equilibrium method and the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion were adopted to derive a stability model for the infinite terraced slope subjected to an intense rainfall. Numerical simulation was performed for verifying its applicability. The results of numerical simulation indicate that a set of stepped wetting fronts are found during infiltration, and the infiltration of terraced slope covered by coarse-textured soils can be approximated as one-dimensional infiltration. The potential sliding surfaces from the numerical method are all parallel to the slope line, and the proposed model and framework can provide an approximate method of estimating how the infiltration affects the stability of an infinite terraced slope. 展开更多
关键词 intense rainfall infiltration infinite terraced slope stability safety factor
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Slope stability of an unsaturated embankment with and without natural pore water salinity subjected to rainfall infiltration 被引量:1
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作者 SADEGHI Hamed KOLAHDOOZ Ali AHMADI Mohammad-Mehdi 《岩土力学》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2022年第8期2136-2148,共13页
Natural soils contain a certain amount of salt in the form of dissolved ions or electrically charged atoms,originated from the long-term erosion by acidic rainwater.The dissolved salt poses an extra osmotic water pote... Natural soils contain a certain amount of salt in the form of dissolved ions or electrically charged atoms,originated from the long-term erosion by acidic rainwater.The dissolved salt poses an extra osmotic water potential being normally neglected in laboratory measurements and numerical analyses.However,ignorance of salinity may result in overestimation of stability,and the design may not be as conservative as thought.Therefore,this research aims to first experimentally examine the influence of pore water salinity on water retention curve and saturated permeability of natural dispersive loess under saline and desalinated conditions.Second,the measured parameters are used for stability analyses of a railway embankment in an area subjected to regional rainfall incident.Eventually,a numerical parametric study is carried out to explore the significance of different rainfall schemes,construction patterns,and anisotropic permeability on the factor of safety.Results reveal that desalinization suppresses the water retention capability,which in turn results in a tremendous declination of unsaturated hydraulic conductivity.Despite the natural saline embankment,rainfall can hardly infiltrate into the desalinated embankment due to the lower conductivity.Therefore,the factor of safety for natural saline conditions drops notably,while only marginal changes occur in the case of the desalinated embankment. 展开更多
关键词 slope stability water salinity osmotic potential dispersive loess rainfall patterns
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The Influence of Sea Surface Temperatures on Uganda's Rainfall
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作者 Saul Daniel Ddumba 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期95-95,共1页
Uganda’s rainfall is controlled by large scale patterns and synoptic-scale weather features such as the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ), monsoons,meso-scale circulations,subtropical anticyclones and teleconnect... Uganda’s rainfall is controlled by large scale patterns and synoptic-scale weather features such as the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ), monsoons,meso-scale circulations,subtropical anticyclones and teleconnections.This study focused on the influence of sea surface temperatures(SSTs)on Uganda’s March-May(MAM)and September-November (SON)rains.The data used included 展开更多
关键词 SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES rainfall CLIMATE
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Statistical Analysis of Climatic Data:Case of Temperature and Rainfall
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作者 Gabriel Habiyaremye Jiwen Ge +2 位作者 Jean de la Paix Mupenzi Balogun Waheed Oyelola Jean de Dieu Bazimenyera 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期122-122,共1页
Climate is a general weather condition in the air above the Earth such as wind,temperature,humidity, rain...especially at a particular time over a particular area.It is said that there is interdependence between those... Climate is a general weather condition in the air above the Earth such as wind,temperature,humidity, rain...especially at a particular time over a particular area.It is said that there is interdependence between those elements.In order to check out this connectivity, a statistical analysis between rainfall and temperature was carried out by analyzing the correlation and linear regression as well as testing the 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE rainfall TEMPERATURE
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Analysis of Rainfall Trend and the Variation in Number of Rain Days in A Tropical Station
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作者 Nikhil Raj 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期105-105,共1页
Rainfall trend analysis has asupreme role for forecasting the rain events,which is very vital for tropics where the fluctuation in occurrence of rainfall is widespread.The local level rainfall trend analysis on the ot... Rainfall trend analysis has asupreme role for forecasting the rain events,which is very vital for tropics where the fluctuation in occurrence of rainfall is widespread.The local level rainfall trend analysis on the other side provides valuable information to cope up with the vehemence of global climate changes.The present study analyses the trend in the rainfall and number of rain days in a tropical town ship,Pattambi,located in the Bharathapuzha River basin of Kerala state of India.We used Man-Kendall rank correlation statistics to see the variations 展开更多
关键词 TREND ANALYSIS rainfall RAIN DAYS Pattambi Man-Kendall rank correlation
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Application of Wavelet Random Coupling Model in Monthly Rainfall Prediction
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作者 DONG Lili XU Shuqin LIU Yang WANG Yunhe 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2011年第4期65-69,共5页
A Trous algorithm of wavelet transform was used to decompose wavelet signal, and the cross-correlation analysis was used to analyze the sequence of each wavelet transform, and then the mathematical model correspond wi... A Trous algorithm of wavelet transform was used to decompose wavelet signal, and the cross-correlation analysis was used to analyze the sequence of each wavelet transform, and then the mathematical model correspond with wavelet transform sequence was established, finally wavelet random coupling model was obtained by wavelet reconstruction algorithm. Then, according to the rainfall data in crop growth period of Farm Chahayang from 1956 to 2008, the wavelet random coupling model was established to fit the model prediction test. The results showed that the prediction and fitting accuracy of the model was high, the model could reflect the rainfall variation regulation in the region, and it was a practical prediction model. It was very important for us to determine reasonably irrigation schedule and to use efficiency coefficient of precipitation resource. 展开更多
关键词 wavelet random coupling model Farm Chahayang rainfall forecast Trous algorithm
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Studies of Rainfall Induced Landslides Along NH-39 of Manipur,India
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作者 Th.Dolendro Singh 《地学前缘》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第S1期53-54,共2页
Landslide is one of the most frequently occurring natural hazards in Manipur which is a tectonically active area.Rainfall-induced landslides are studied along NH-39 to find out the impact of rainfall.Though rainfall-i... Landslide is one of the most frequently occurring natural hazards in Manipur which is a tectonically active area.Rainfall-induced landslides are studied along NH-39 to find out the impact of rainfall.Though rainfall-induced landslides are usually shallow slips in nature and the volume of slip mass is not very large, the damage caused to the properties and infrastructures can be quite serious due to their highly frequent occurrences.NH-39,which is one of the life lines of Manipur,is regularly affected by frequent landslides during rainy season and the frequency is increasing at present as compared to the recent past.Several lands- 展开更多
关键词 rainfall-induced LANDSLIDES hazards DEM GIS
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Rainfall-runoff modeling for storm events in a coastal forest catchmen t using neural networks
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作者 WANG Yi HE Bin 《成都理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第1期68-73,共6页
The process of transformation of rainfall into runoff over a catchment is very complex and highly nonlinear and exhibits both tempor al and spatial variabilities. In this article, a rainfall-runoff model using th e ar... The process of transformation of rainfall into runoff over a catchment is very complex and highly nonlinear and exhibits both tempor al and spatial variabilities. In this article, a rainfall-runoff model using th e artificial neural networks (ANN) is proposed for simula ting the runoff in storm events. The study uses the data from a coa stal forest catchment located in Seto Inland Sea, Japan. This article studies the accuracy of the short-term rainfall forecast obta ined by ANN time-series analysis techniques and using antecedent rainfa ll depths and stream flow as the input information. The verification results from the proposed model indicate that the approach of ANN rai nfall-runoff model presented in this paper shows a reasonable agreement in rainfall-runoff modeling with high accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 降雨径流模型 暴风雨 沿海林 集水 神经网络
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降雨和坡度对桂北岩溶石山地区水土流失的影响研究 被引量:1
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作者 顾展飞 魏海龙 +1 位作者 全鑫 刘之葵 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第3期251-262,共12页
【目的】为识别不同条件影响下土壤流失量的变化规律以及科学防治水土流失,【方法】以桂北岩溶石山地区坡面水土流失为研究对象,基于室内人工降雨模拟试验,系统分析了不同裂隙度、不同降雨强度以及不同坡度对岩溶石山地区坡面径流、产... 【目的】为识别不同条件影响下土壤流失量的变化规律以及科学防治水土流失,【方法】以桂北岩溶石山地区坡面水土流失为研究对象,基于室内人工降雨模拟试验,系统分析了不同裂隙度、不同降雨强度以及不同坡度对岩溶石山地区坡面径流、产沙的影响;并结合水土流失野外监测数据,验证了模拟试验的准确性和有效性。【结果】结果表明:(1)裂隙度恒定,降雨强度为15 mm/h时,与坡度为0°的土壤流失量相比,坡度为3°、6°、9°的土壤流失量平均增长率为70.13%;降雨强度为30 mm/h时,相较于坡度为0°的土壤流失量,坡度为3°、6°、9°的土壤流失量平均增长率为42.53%;降雨强度为60 mm/h时,与坡度为0°的土壤流失量相比,坡度3°、6°、9°的土壤流失量平均增长率为35.07%。坡度越大地表土壤流失量越多,但土壤流失量增长速率逐渐放缓,且放缓趋势较为明显。(2)坡度、降雨强度恒定时,裂隙度对土壤流失量的影响较小,随着裂隙度的增大,土壤流失量总体呈下降趋势,并且减少幅度比较小。坡度、裂隙度恒定时,降雨强度在15~30 mm/h时,降雨强度越大地表土壤流失量增长率越大;当降雨强度大于30 mm/h,土壤流失量仍然在增大,但增长速率放缓。(3)由Pearson相关系数计算结果可知,降雨强度对水土流失量的影响程度要大于坡度对水土流失量的影响程度。坡度为3°、6°时,野外实地监测结果与室内试验结果基本保持一致,可见室内人工降雨试验适用于研究岩溶地区坡面产流特征。【结论】该研究可为桂北岩溶石山地区水土流失的防治和生态恢复提供理论指导和技术支撑。 展开更多
关键词 降雨 降雨强度 径流 水土流失 地形坡度 桂北地区
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1961—2023年中国降雨侵蚀力变化特征及未来趋势预估 被引量:1
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作者 高歌 陈涛 徐沅鑫 《农业工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期50-58,共9页
为水土流失预防和科学治理提供参考,基于1961—2023年中国均一化逐日降水资料对降雨侵蚀力进行估算,并结合侵蚀性降雨特征开展降雨侵蚀力变化趋势和成因分析,并探讨降雨侵蚀力的极端变化,在此基础上,摸清中国及十大流域降雨侵蚀力变化... 为水土流失预防和科学治理提供参考,基于1961—2023年中国均一化逐日降水资料对降雨侵蚀力进行估算,并结合侵蚀性降雨特征开展降雨侵蚀力变化趋势和成因分析,并探讨降雨侵蚀力的极端变化,在此基础上,摸清中国及十大流域降雨侵蚀力变化危险状况,并基于Hurst方法预估未来变化趋势。结果表明:1)1961—2023年,中国及东南诸河、西北诸河流域年降雨侵蚀力呈现显著增加趋势,西南诸河流域则呈现显著减少趋势,其余大多数流域增加趋势不明显;2)中国及十大流域大多年侵蚀性降雨量、雨日、平均降雨强度增加,其中平均降雨强度和/或降雨量的变化为大多数流域年降雨侵蚀力变化的主要成因;3)中国大部地区年最大日降雨侵蚀力增加,10年一遇次降雨侵蚀力1961—2023年相比1961—1990年呈增加的站点比例多达64.3%;4)近60年来,中国大部地区降雨侵蚀力变化具有危险性,站点比例达80%,其中降雨侵蚀力总量及极端都呈增加变化的类型在各流域均最为突出、范围最大;5)除西南诸河流域外,预估大多数流域年降雨侵蚀力未来变化趋势将均以持续增加为主。目前和未来气候条件对中国水土流失治理不容乐观,需根据降雨侵蚀力变化特点,因地制宜制定长期规划和采取有效措施。 展开更多
关键词 降雨 侵蚀 变化 极端 趋势预估
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1981-2020年陕西省暖季不同历时强降水时空变化特征 被引量:1
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作者 蔡新玲 蔡依晅 +3 位作者 叶殿秀 李茜 户元涛 胡琳 《干旱区地理》 北大核心 2025年第1期1-10,共10页
利用1981—2020年陕西省暖季(5—9月)95个国家气象观测站小时降水量资料,结合多种数理统计方法分析4个历时(1h、3h、6h、12h)强降水的时空变化。结果表明:(1)陕西省短历时强降水主要集中在7—8月,4个历时强降水高发区均位于陕南秦巴山区... 利用1981—2020年陕西省暖季(5—9月)95个国家气象观测站小时降水量资料,结合多种数理统计方法分析4个历时(1h、3h、6h、12h)强降水的时空变化。结果表明:(1)陕西省短历时强降水主要集中在7—8月,4个历时强降水高发区均位于陕南秦巴山区,稀发区位于关中平原中部和陕北长城沿线。(2)各历时降水极值的空间差异均较大,历时越短,极值分布的局地性越强。(3)近40a,陕西省各历时强降水均呈增多增强趋势,尤以3h强降水的增加最为显著。(4)各历时强降水的趋势变化在空间上表现为非均一性,陕北黄河沿线和陕南中南部强降水呈增多趋势,陕北南部和关中平原中部呈减少趋势,且历时越短,强降水呈增多趋势的范围越大。(5)强降水日变化南北不同,历时越短,强降水的日变化越明显,特别是陕北短历时强降水日变化最为突出,且在傍晚或夜间易发生强降水事件,其危害更大。 展开更多
关键词 短历时强降水 变化趋势 时空分布 陕西省
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含降雨量修正的台风灾害下输电杆塔数据机理联合故障概率预测 被引量:1
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作者 侯慧 徐海峰 +3 位作者 王少华 谷山强 王振国 苏杰 《高电压技术》 北大核心 2025年第4期1654-1662,共9页
针对以往研究往往侧重台风或暴雨等单一灾害下的输电杆塔故障,忽视了台风灾害携带暴雨共同威胁输电杆塔安全。为此建立含降雨量修正的台风灾害下输电杆塔数据机理联合故障概率预测模型,以准确预测台风与暴雨复合作用下输电杆塔故障概率... 针对以往研究往往侧重台风或暴雨等单一灾害下的输电杆塔故障,忽视了台风灾害携带暴雨共同威胁输电杆塔安全。为此建立含降雨量修正的台风灾害下输电杆塔数据机理联合故障概率预测模型,以准确预测台风与暴雨复合作用下输电杆塔故障概率。首先,在数据驱动部分,通过生成对抗网络(generative adversarial network,GAN)解决数据量不足、数据信息不均衡等问题,并以支持向量回归、岭回归、随机森林、K近邻、极端随机树及自适应提升算法等6种机器学习算法预测输电杆塔故障概率。其次,在机理驱动部分,考虑降雨量对输电杆塔的影响,通过降雨雨压模型,计算降雨修正系数修正输电杆塔的故障概率。最后,以2022年登陆浙江省舟山市的台风“梅花”为例进行仿真验证,算例表明所提模型与实际情况更为相符,可精准地预测输电杆塔故障概率。 展开更多
关键词 台风灾害 降雨 输电杆塔 机器学习 生成对抗网络 故障概率预测
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大汶河流域2001-2022年暴雨洪水特征及其关系分析 被引量:3
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作者 贾本有 黎东洲 +5 位作者 杨帆 孙晓明 高瑾瑾 苏琨 毕峥峥 范子武 《水利水运工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期76-86,共11页
科学认识流域实际发生暴雨洪水特征,总结洪水特征及其对致洪暴雨特征响应关系和产汇流规律,对流域洪水精准精细模拟与预报具有重要意义。以大汶河流域为研究区域,基于2001-2022年实测降雨洪水时间序列资料,整理了场次暴雨洪水,选取降水... 科学认识流域实际发生暴雨洪水特征,总结洪水特征及其对致洪暴雨特征响应关系和产汇流规律,对流域洪水精准精细模拟与预报具有重要意义。以大汶河流域为研究区域,基于2001-2022年实测降雨洪水时间序列资料,整理了场次暴雨洪水,选取降水空间矩、洪水集中度等指标表征暴雨洪水特征,采用Kendall秩相关分析研究暴雨洪水响应关系,并对流域降水-径流关系进行统计分析。结果表明:(1)大汶河洪水的流域降雨量呈东多西少特征,洪水相应的暴雨事件常覆盖全流域1/3~1/2的面积,暴雨中心多集中在上游大中型水库附近;(2)北支牟汶河子流域洪水总量统计均值大,是大汶河洪水的主要来源,其洪水特征值与致洪暴雨强度呈弱正相关,但与一阶降水空间矩呈负相关,表明子流域内部具有较强的调蓄能力,而南支柴汶河子流域则相反;(3)大汶河流域洪水产流表现为蓄满产流为主、兼有超渗产流的特点,其中大戴区间近22年降雨事件中产流很少,这与其区间特殊的富水性地质条件及灌区引水密切相关,需在流域水文模拟与洪水预报时特别关注。 展开更多
关键词 场次暴雨洪水 Kendall秩相关分析 降雨径流关系 产流机制 大汶河流域
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集中降雨影响下辽南仙人洞国家级自然保护区滑坡灾害多因子风险评价 被引量:3
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作者 郑德凤 潘美伊 +3 位作者 高敏 闫成林 李媛媛 年廷凯 《地质科技通报》 北大核心 2025年第2期48-58,共11页
位于辽宁省南部的仙人洞国家级自然保护区及毗邻区域,近年来在集中降雨期间多次发生滑坡等地质灾害;然而,针对集中降雨影响下该区域滑坡灾害易发性与风险评价还很少探究,因此亟待开展深入研究,这对有效减轻保护区地质灾害危害、提升地... 位于辽宁省南部的仙人洞国家级自然保护区及毗邻区域,近年来在集中降雨期间多次发生滑坡等地质灾害;然而,针对集中降雨影响下该区域滑坡灾害易发性与风险评价还很少探究,因此亟待开展深入研究,这对有效减轻保护区地质灾害危害、提升地质灾害应急和风险防控能力具有重要意义。首先利用SMOTE-Tomek综合采样法、耦合XGBoost模型,对地形地貌、地质岩性、水文气象和人类工程活动因子等12个指标进行深入分析,以获取滑坡灾害易发性评价结果;其次,着重考虑短时间集中降雨和连续性降雨影响,利用研究区周围4个气象站的日降雨数据,计算2018-2023年平均暴雨强度和3 d累计降雨量,作为危险性评价指标,实现对滑坡灾害危险性的量化评估。在此基础上,考虑承灾体的易损性特点和区域防灾减灾能力,构建适用于研究区的多因子滑坡灾害风险评价模型,进而得到滑坡灾害风险评价分区图。结果表明:较高及以上等级风险区约占研究区总面积的10%,主要分布在仙人洞镇东北部、步云山乡北部、长岭镇北部和荷花山镇西南部。未来应重点关注滑坡地质灾害风险较高的仙人洞镇和步云山乡,加强监测和预警工作,为整个研究区的地质灾害防控提供决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 滑坡灾害 易发性评价 风险评价 SMOTE-Tomek算法 XGBoost模型 防灾减灾能力 自然保护区 集中降雨
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降雨类型对滇中桉树人工林降雨分配的影响
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作者 黄新会 陈奇伯 于福科 《水土保持研究》 北大核心 2025年第3期170-179,共10页
[目的]分析林外降雨特征,探究林外降雨类型,阐明降雨类型对生态公益型桉树人工林冠层降雨分配的影响,为森林生态水文研究和科学评价桉树人工林生态水文效应提供科学依据。[方法]通过3年的连续观测,分析了相距6 km的两林龄桉树人工林的... [目的]分析林外降雨特征,探究林外降雨类型,阐明降雨类型对生态公益型桉树人工林冠层降雨分配的影响,为森林生态水文研究和科学评价桉树人工林生态水文效应提供科学依据。[方法]通过3年的连续观测,分析了相距6 km的两林龄桉树人工林的林外降雨、林内穿透雨和树干流,发现降雨类型对降雨分配有显著影响。[结果](1)研究期两林龄林分降雨总量及分配情况相似,均为穿透雨最多(56%~58%),其次为林冠截留(41%~44%),树干流最少(0.4%~0.8%)。林外降雨量、降雨历时和最大30分钟雨强(I_(30))与次降雨分配相关性最强,平均相关系数超0.68。(2)采用聚类方法林外降雨可分为Ⅰ型、Ⅱ型、Ⅲ型和Ⅳ型降雨,分别代表中雨、大雨、暴雨和小雨,林外同类降雨在两种林龄间无显著差异(Ⅳ型除外)。(3)4种降雨类型中,暴雨的滞后效应和林冠截留率最低,中雨和大雨之间无显著差别(p>0.05);小雨的树干流量/率、穿透雨量/率及林冠截留量最低,而大雨和暴雨之间无显著差别(p>0.05);中雨更易在两林龄间产生降雨分配差异。[结论]滇中桉树人工林降雨分配在部分降雨类型间产生差异,与降雨分配特征指标有关;而林龄只对中雨的降雨分配施加影响。 展开更多
关键词 桉树人工林 降雨类型 降雨分配 滇中高原
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基于物联网和弱反射光栅阵列的地质灾害监测系统设计与应用 被引量:1
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作者 张晓飞 吕中虎 +1 位作者 孟庆佳 王晨辉 《现代电子技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期144-150,共7页
我国是世界上地质灾害类型最多、地质灾害最严重的国家之一,而雨量监测和形变监测在地质灾害监测中发挥着越来越重要的作用,因此确保地质灾害监测系统的长期运行以及在降雨期间的稳定运行尤为重要。文中基于STM32微控制器、LORA模块、4... 我国是世界上地质灾害类型最多、地质灾害最严重的国家之一,而雨量监测和形变监测在地质灾害监测中发挥着越来越重要的作用,因此确保地质灾害监测系统的长期运行以及在降雨期间的稳定运行尤为重要。文中基于STM32微控制器、LORA模块、4G模块设计了一款物联网数据采集控制板,并结合压电式雨量传感器、拉绳位移传感器研制了雨量智能监测仪、裂缝位移智能监测仪;结合物联网数据采集控制板和弱反射光栅阵列传感技术构建了基于物联网的弱反射光栅地质灾害监测系统,实现了对地质灾害体的定时监测和降雨期间的自动监测;最后将雨量智能监测仪、裂缝位移智能监测仪和弱反射光栅地质灾害监测系统应用于桐梓县大河镇新场火车站新场滑坡、崩塌的监测实验中。监测数据表明,弱反射光栅监测系统测得传感光缆41#弱反射光栅传感段的位移变化达5 mm,在其附近的位移监测仪也测到有位移变化,可有效实现对地质灾害的定时监测和降雨期间的自动监测。 展开更多
关键词 弱反射光栅 地质灾害 物联网 雨量监测 位移监测 光纤传感 光栅传感器 滑坡监测
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