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Rural Power System Load Forecast Based on Principal Component Analysis 被引量:7
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作者 Fang Jun-long Xing Yu +2 位作者 Fu Yu Xu Yang Liu Guo-liang 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2015年第2期67-72,共6页
Power load forecasting accuracy related to the development of the power system. There were so many factors influencing the power load, but their effects were not the same and what factors played a leading role could n... Power load forecasting accuracy related to the development of the power system. There were so many factors influencing the power load, but their effects were not the same and what factors played a leading role could not be determined empirically. Based on the analysis of the principal component, the paper forecasted the demands of power load with the method of the multivariate linear regression model prediction. Took the rural power grid load for example, the paper analyzed the impacts of different factors on power load, selected the forecast methods which were appropriate for using in this area, forecasted its 2014-2018 electricity load, and provided a reliable basis for grid planning. 展开更多
关键词 LOAD principal component analysis FORECAST rural power system
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Independent component analysis approach for fault diagnosis of condenser system in thermal power plant 被引量:6
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作者 Ajami Ali Daneshvar Mahdi 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第1期242-251,共10页
A statistical signal processing technique was proposed and verified as independent component analysis(ICA) for fault detection and diagnosis of industrial systems without exact and detailed model.Actually,the aim is t... A statistical signal processing technique was proposed and verified as independent component analysis(ICA) for fault detection and diagnosis of industrial systems without exact and detailed model.Actually,the aim is to utilize system as a black box.The system studied is condenser system of one of MAPNA's power plants.At first,principal component analysis(PCA) approach was applied to reduce the dimensionality of the real acquired data set and to identify the essential and useful ones.Then,the fault sources were diagnosed by ICA technique.The results show that ICA approach is valid and effective for faults detection and diagnosis even in noisy states,and it can distinguish main factors of abnormality among many diverse parts of a power plant's condenser system.This selectivity problem is left unsolved in many plants,because the main factors often become unnoticed by fault expansion through other parts of the plants. 展开更多
关键词 CONDENSER fault detection and diagnosis independent component analysis independent component analysis (ICA) principal component analysis (PCA) thermal power plant
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SAR tomography imaging via higher-order spectrum analysis 被引量:2
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作者 Wang Jinfeng Pi Yiming 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第4期748-754,共7页
To deal with the non-Caussian noise in standard 2-D SAR images, the deramped signal in imaging plane, and the possible symmetric distribution of complex noise, the fourth-order cumulant of complex process is introduce... To deal with the non-Caussian noise in standard 2-D SAR images, the deramped signal in imaging plane, and the possible symmetric distribution of complex noise, the fourth-order cumulant of complex process is introduced into SAR tomography. With the estimated AR parameters of ARMA model of noise through Yule-Walker equation, the signal series of height is pre-filtered. Then, through ESPRIT, the spectrum is obtained and the aperture in height direction is synthesized. Finally, the SAR tomography imaging of scene is achieved. The results of processing on signal with non-Gaussian noise demonstrate the robustness of the proposed method. The tomography imaging of the scenes shows that the higher-order spectrum analysis is feasible in the application. 展开更多
关键词 synthetic aperture radar 3-D imaging TOMOGRAPHY high-order spectrum analysis nongaussian
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Sparse flight spotlight mode 3-D imaging of spaceborne SAR based on sparse spectrum and principal component analysis 被引量:2
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作者 ZHOU Kai LI Daojing +7 位作者 CUI Anjing HAN Dong TIAN He YU Haifeng DU Jianbo LIU Lei ZHU Yu ZHANG Running 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第5期1143-1151,共9页
The spaceborne synthetic aperture radar(SAR)sparse flight 3-D imaging technology through multiple observations of the cross-track direction is designed to form the cross-track equivalent aperture,and achieve the third... The spaceborne synthetic aperture radar(SAR)sparse flight 3-D imaging technology through multiple observations of the cross-track direction is designed to form the cross-track equivalent aperture,and achieve the third dimensionality recognition.In this paper,combined with the actual triple star orbits,a sparse flight spaceborne SAR 3-D imaging method based on the sparse spectrum of interferometry and the principal component analysis(PCA)is presented.Firstly,interferometric processing is utilized to reach an effective sparse representation of radar images in the frequency domain.Secondly,as a method with simple principle and fast calculation,the PCA is introduced to extract the main features of the image spectrum according to its principal characteristics.Finally,the 3-D image can be obtained by inverse transformation of the reconstructed spectrum by the PCA.The simulation results of 4.84 km equivalent cross-track aperture and corresponding 1.78 m cross-track resolution verify the effective suppression of this method on high-frequency sidelobe noise introduced by sparse flight with a sparsity of 49%and random noise introduced by the receiver.Meanwhile,due to the influence of orbit distribution of the actual triple star orbits,the simulation results of the sparse flight with the 7-bit Barker code orbits are given as a comparison and reference to illuminate the significance of orbit distribution for this reconstruction results.This method has prospects for sparse flight 3-D imaging in high latitude areas for its short revisit period. 展开更多
关键词 principal component analysis(PCA) spaceborne synthetic aperture radar(SAR) sparse flight sparse spectrum by interferometry 3-D imaging
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A Contribution to the Analysis of Frequency Response and Impedance Measurements to Evaluation and Diagnosis of Power Transformers
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作者 Helvio J. A. Martins Cintia de Faria Ferreira Bruno Urbani 《高电压技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第12期2655-2661,共7页
This paper has an objective to show a developed quantitative criterion,based in two mathematical variables that explicit the deviation degree of a normal situation,applying simultaneously data from terminal impedances... This paper has an objective to show a developed quantitative criterion,based in two mathematical variables that explicit the deviation degree of a normal situation,applying simultaneously data from terminal impedances and frequency response.Based in more than 100-measured equipment,of different applications(step-up transformer,transmission transformer,etc.,),for a period of 10 years,the work presents some examples of practical application of this methodology in Brazilian Electrical System. 展开更多
关键词 变压器 评估 诊断 频响 阻抗 传输函数 关联系数
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静力弹塑性分析(Pushover Analysis)在多跨简支梁桥中的应用 被引量:3
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作者 王克海 季金文 叶英华 《世界地震工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2008年第1期132-136,共5页
阐述了静力弹塑性分析的基本原理与过程,介绍了该方法在桥梁工程中的应用与实践状况,并且结合一座6孔简支梁桥的抗震性能评估的工程实例,采用pushover方法对全桥模型进行了抗震性能的分析计算,结果表明该桥梁满足设防烈度下的抗震要求,... 阐述了静力弹塑性分析的基本原理与过程,介绍了该方法在桥梁工程中的应用与实践状况,并且结合一座6孔简支梁桥的抗震性能评估的工程实例,采用pushover方法对全桥模型进行了抗震性能的分析计算,结果表明该桥梁满足设防烈度下的抗震要求,同时也指出了采用pushover方法时应该注意计算模型和加载模式的选择等问题,为静力弹塑性分析方法在桥梁工程中的应用提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 静力弹塑性方法 能力谱方法 能力曲线 需求曲线
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Multi-Modality Medical Image Fusion Based on Wavelet Analysis and Quality Evaluation 被引量:3
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作者 Yu Lifeng & Zu Donglin Institute of Heavy Ion Physics, Peking University, 100871, P. R. China Wang Weidong General Hospital of PLA, Beijing 100853, P. R. China Bao Shanglian Institute of Heavy Ion Physics, Peking University, 100871, P. R. China 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2001年第1期42-48,共7页
Multi-modality medical image fusion has more and more important applications in medical image analysis and understanding. In this paper, we develop and apply a multi-resolution method based on wavelet pyramid to fuse ... Multi-modality medical image fusion has more and more important applications in medical image analysis and understanding. In this paper, we develop and apply a multi-resolution method based on wavelet pyramid to fuse medical images from different modalities such as PET-MRI and CT-MRI. In particular, we evaluate the different fusion results when applying different selection rules and obtain optimum combination of fusion parameters. 展开更多
关键词 Computer simulation Computerized tomography Image analysis Image quality Image understanding Magnetic resonance imaging Optical resolving power
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Computational mission analysis and conceptual system design for super low altitude satellite 被引量:1
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作者 Ming Xu Jinlong Wang Nan Zhou 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第1期43-58,共16页
This paper deals with system engineering and design methodology for super low altitude satel ites in the view of the com-putational mission analysis. Due to the slight advance of imaging instruments, such as the focus... This paper deals with system engineering and design methodology for super low altitude satel ites in the view of the com-putational mission analysis. Due to the slight advance of imaging instruments, such as the focus of camera and the image element of charge coupled device (CCD), it is an innovative and economical way to improve the camera’s resolution to enforce the satel ite to fly on the lower altitude orbit. DFH-3, the mature satel ite bus de-veloped by Chinese Academy of Space Technology, is employed to define the mass and power budgets for the computational mis-sion analysis and the detailed engineering design for super low altitude satel ites. An effective iterative algorithm is proposed to solve the ergodic representation of feasible mass and power bud-gets at the flight altitude under constraints. Besides, boundaries of mass or power exist for every altitude, where the upper boundary is derived from the maximum power, while the minimum thrust force holds the lower boundary before the power reaching the initial value. What’s more, an analytical algorithm is employed to numerical y investigate the coverage percentage over the altitude, so that the nominal altitude could be selected from al the feasi-ble altitudes based on both the mass and power budgets and the repetitive ground traces. The local time at the descending node is chosen for the nominal sun-synchronous orbit based on the average evaluation function. After determining the key orbital ele-ments based on the computational mission analysis, the detailed engineering design on the configuration and other subsystems, like power, telemetry telecontrol and communication (TT&amp;C), and attitude determination and control system (ADCS), is performed based on the benchmark bus, besides, some improvements to the bus are also implemented to accommodate the flight at a super low altitude. Two operation strategies, drag-free closed-loop mode and on/off open-loop mode, are presented to maintain the satel-lite’s altitude. Final y, a flight planning schedule for the satel ite is demonstrated from its launch into the initial altitude at the very beginning to its decay to death in the end. 展开更多
关键词 super low altitude computational mission analysis drag free control mass and power budget.
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Test and Analysis for Spraying Ammonia in Diesel Engine
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作者 周华祥 刘敬平 +4 位作者 贺力克 陈方 申奇志 骆锐 周正 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第4期193-196,共4页
A certain amount of ammonia reducer were directly injected into the 4102BZLQ Diesel engine's combustion chamber when the combustion temperature decreases to 1573-1073K, NOx generated could be reduced to 1.11g/(kW&... A certain amount of ammonia reducer were directly injected into the 4102BZLQ Diesel engine's combustion chamber when the combustion temperature decreases to 1573-1073K, NOx generated could be reduced to 1.11g/(kW·h). Based on PRF combustion mechanism, NO was tested by using the heavy-duty diesel engine test cycle of ESC thirteen conditions[1], the ammonia spray angle and amount were tested and optimized in different conditions. The test results show that the thermal efficiency of Diesel engine does not decrease while NO exhaust decreases. 展开更多
关键词 power machinery engineering diesel engine direct injection of ammonium TEST analysis
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Fatigue Analysis and Life Prediction of Dumpers with Cumulative Fatigue Damage Approach
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作者 LI Shouju LIU Yingxi SUN Huiling 《上海交通大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2004年第z2期96-100,共5页
A fatigue damage model is developed for evaluating accumulative fatigue damage of dumpers. The loading spectrums acted on dumpers are created according to measured strain data in field. The finite element analysis is ... A fatigue damage model is developed for evaluating accumulative fatigue damage of dumpers. The loading spectrums acted on dumpers are created according to measured strain data in field. The finite element analysis is carried out for assessing stress distribution and strength characteristics of dumpers. Fatigue damage indexes and service life are calculated by a modified Palmgren-Miner rule. The investigation shows that fatigue notch factor has a significant influence on the calculation of fatigue damage of dumpers. 展开更多
关键词 FATIGUE life prediction dumper miner's RULE FINITE ELEMENT analysis LOADING spectrums
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Resolution performance analysis of cumulants-based rank reduction estimator in presence of unexpected modeling errors
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作者 王鼎 吴瑛 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第11期3116-3130,共15页
Compared to the rank reduction estimator (RARE) based on second-order statistics (called SOS-RARE), the RARE employing fourth-order cumulants (referred to as FOC-RARE) is capable of dealing with more sources and... Compared to the rank reduction estimator (RARE) based on second-order statistics (called SOS-RARE), the RARE employing fourth-order cumulants (referred to as FOC-RARE) is capable of dealing with more sources and mitigating the negative influences of the Gaussian colored noise. However, in the presence of unexpected modeling errors, the resolution behavior of the FOC-RARE also deteriorate significantly as SOS-RARE, even for a known array covariance matrix. For this reason, the angle resolution capability of the FOC-RARE was theoretically analyzed. Firstly, the explicit formula for the mathematical expectation of the FOC-RARE spatial spectrum was derived through the second-order perturbation analysis method. Then, with the assumption that the unexpected modeling errors were drawn from complex circular Gaussian distribution, the theoretical formulas for the angle resolution probability of the FOC-RARE were presented. Numerical experiments validate our analytical results and demonstrate that the FOC-RARE has higher robustness to the unexpected modeling en'ors than that of the SOS-RARE from the resolution point of view. 展开更多
关键词 performance analysis rank reduction estimator (RARE) fourth-order cumulants (FOC) spatial spectrum angle resolution probability unexpected modeling errors
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Clustering Analysis of Black-start Decision-making with a Large Group of Decision-makers
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作者 Liu, Weijia Lin, Zhenzhi +4 位作者 Wen, Fushuan Xue, Yusheng Dai, Yan Sun, Weizhen Wang, Chao 《电力系统自动化》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第8期154-160,共7页
The optimization of black-start decision-making plays an important role in the rapid restoration of a power system after a major failure/outage.With the introduction of the concept of smart grids and the development o... The optimization of black-start decision-making plays an important role in the rapid restoration of a power system after a major failure/outage.With the introduction of the concept of smart grids and the development of real-time communication networks,the black-start decision-makers are no longer limited to only one or a few power system experts such as dispatchers,but rather a large group of professional people in practice.The overall behaviors of a large decision-making group of decision-makers/experts are more complicated and unpredictable.However,the existing methods for black-start decision-making cannot handle the situations with a large group of decision-makers.Given this background,a clustering algorithm is presented to optimize the black-start decision-making problem with a large group of decision-makers.Group decision-making preferences are obtained by clustering analysis,and the final black-start decision-making results are achieved by combining the weights of black-start indexes and the preferences of the decision-making group.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated by a practical case.This work extends the black-start decision-making problem to situations with a large group of decision-makers. 展开更多
关键词 决策者 聚类分析 黑启动 大集 实时通信网络 决策问题 电力系统 电源系统
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音乐治疗对孤独症谱系障碍儿童干预效果的Meta分析 被引量:1
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作者 张勇 蔡增 +2 位作者 徐凤萍 刘丹 常红娟 《中国康复理论与实践》 北大核心 2025年第4期423-430,共8页
目的探讨音乐治疗对孤独症谱系障碍(ASD)儿童的干预效果。方法系统检索中国知网、万方数据库、维普数据库、PubMed、Elsevier Science Direct、Google Scholar等数据库中关于音乐治疗对ASD儿童干预效果的随机对照试验。检索期限从建库至... 目的探讨音乐治疗对孤独症谱系障碍(ASD)儿童的干预效果。方法系统检索中国知网、万方数据库、维普数据库、PubMed、Elsevier Science Direct、Google Scholar等数据库中关于音乐治疗对ASD儿童干预效果的随机对照试验。检索期限从建库至2024年4月。对照组采用非音乐治疗手段进行干预,包括药物治疗、教育治疗、认知行为治疗、结构化治疗等常规干预模式,观察组采用音乐治疗方法。按照Cochrane系统评价手册对纳入研究进行系统评价,由2名研究人员独立筛选文献、提取资料并评价纳入研究的偏倚风险后,采用Review Manager 5.4进行统计学分析。结果共纳入9篇文献,涉及828例患者,来自法国、中国、挪威、伊朗、美国和澳大利亚,干预类型主要涉及音乐治疗、亲子合作式音乐治疗、奥尔夫音乐治疗、组内音乐治疗、即兴音乐治疗、基于Orff-Schulwerk的音乐治疗、音乐干预和以家庭为中心的音乐治疗。Meta分析显示,观察组的总体治疗结果(SMD=-0.30,95%CI-0.55~-0.04,P=0.02)、语言功能(MD=-2.09,95%CI-2.89~-1.30,P<0.001)和躯体行为改善(SMD=-0.27,95%CI-0.53~-0.01,P=0.040)更优。结论音乐治疗能够提升ASD儿童的总体治疗效果,有效改善患儿的语言功能和躯体行为。 展开更多
关键词 孤独症谱系障碍 儿童 音乐治疗 META分析
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直流微网系统小干扰稳定性分析及有源阻尼控制 被引量:4
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作者 刘欣 李佳燏 《电网技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期323-332,I0101-I0102,共12页
直流微电网包含众多变流器,结构复杂。为了简化直流微电网的稳定性分析,该文首先将系统分为各变流器和线路网络两个部分,结合变流器的端口阻抗和线路网络的节点导纳矩阵建立了直流微电网的开环传递函数矩阵,然后基于此开环传递函数矩阵... 直流微电网包含众多变流器,结构复杂。为了简化直流微电网的稳定性分析,该文首先将系统分为各变流器和线路网络两个部分,结合变流器的端口阻抗和线路网络的节点导纳矩阵建立了直流微电网的开环传递函数矩阵,然后基于此开环传递函数矩阵,使用特征值法分析了系统稳定性关于不同变流器的灵敏度,最后根据灵敏度对不稳定贡献最大的变流器进行附加有源阻尼以增强系统阻尼,提升系统稳定性。结合Matlab/Simulink仿真算例,验证了稳定性分析方法及控制策略的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 直流微电网 稳定性分析 灵敏度分析 有源阻尼方法 恒功率负荷
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图数据库与图计算在电力系统调度运行应用综述 被引量:1
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作者 张沛 杨马婧 +6 位作者 张放 谢桦 刘广一 李文云 路学刚 王珍意 翟苏巍 《中国电力》 北大核心 2025年第3期119-131,共13页
随着新能源的广泛接入和大电网的互联,电力系统运行方式发生变革,数据量激增,对信息处理的时效性要求更高,系统关联性也更为复杂。为满足新型电力系统大规模、瞬时性、关联复杂等特征,实现高效的数据分析与计算,需要探索更先进的技术手... 随着新能源的广泛接入和大电网的互联,电力系统运行方式发生变革,数据量激增,对信息处理的时效性要求更高,系统关联性也更为复杂。为满足新型电力系统大规模、瞬时性、关联复杂等特征,实现高效的数据分析与计算,需要探索更先进的技术手段。对图数据库和图计算在电力系统中的应用进行了深入调研和综述。首先介绍图数据库和图计算的基本概念及其发展历程,然后系统梳理这些技术在电力系统中的具体应用案例,并进行分类概括。调研发现,图数据库和图计算在电力系统中的应用已初见成效,能够有效处理大规模、复杂关联的数据,提升电力系统数据分析与计算的效率和准确性,且在电力系统中应用前景广阔。随着技术的不断发展和完善,图数据库和图计算将在电力系统的智能化、自动化和高效化运行中发挥更加重要的作用。 展开更多
关键词 图数据库 图计算 电网一张图 电力系统分析 能量管理系统
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基于GO法的地铁供变电系统可靠性分析 被引量:2
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作者 王开康 雷崇 +3 位作者 刘琛 何俊文 王瑞恒 刘佳成 《铁道标准设计》 北大核心 2025年第4期190-198,共9页
供变电系统作为地铁中的动力环节,若其发生故障,轻则影响地铁的运行效率,产生一定的经济损失,重则会造成重大的灾难性事故,危及地铁乘客的生命安全。随着可靠性技术的发展,将可靠性技术应用到地铁供变电系统可以有效提升地铁供变电系统... 供变电系统作为地铁中的动力环节,若其发生故障,轻则影响地铁的运行效率,产生一定的经济损失,重则会造成重大的灾难性事故,危及地铁乘客的生命安全。随着可靠性技术的发展,将可靠性技术应用到地铁供变电系统可以有效提升地铁供变电系统可靠性。为保证地铁供变电系统长期稳定运行,将GO法引入整个地铁供变电系统的可靠性分析中,提出一种基于GO法的地铁供变电系统可靠性分析方法。首先对系统结构进行分析,将整个地铁供变电系统分为主变电所、环网电缆和牵引/降压变电所三个子系统模块,了解其结构组成和工作原理;然后对主变电所、环网电缆、牵引/降压变电所依次以成功供电为目标,建立相应子系统GO图模型,并根据GO法计算原理编写程序;其次依据地铁供变电系统的整体接线图,确定每个子系统的可靠性连接端口,再依次定量计算子系统的可靠性数据,并根据连接端口向下一个子系统传递;最后计算分析得到不同位置地铁供变电系统对接触网和低压配电系统供电的可靠性数据,为后续其他地铁供变电系统的设计优化提供可靠性数据支撑。通过GO法计算确定了系统中的薄弱环节,可为运营维护决策提供依据。 展开更多
关键词 地铁 供变电系统 变电所 环网电缆 GO法 可靠性分析
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市场力量评估中的买方势力:理论逻辑与实践展开 被引量:1
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作者 侯利阳 李瑾 《广东财经大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期49-60,共12页
具有市场力量的买卖双方在博弈或合作中能引发上下游市场力量的异化,因此,在垄断案件分析中必须考虑买方势力,将之纳入市场力量的评估因素。在反垄断语境下,买方势力特指结构性的买方垄断势力,不含场景性的买方议价能力。在不同策略情境... 具有市场力量的买卖双方在博弈或合作中能引发上下游市场力量的异化,因此,在垄断案件分析中必须考虑买方势力,将之纳入市场力量的评估因素。在反垄断语境下,买方势力特指结构性的买方垄断势力,不含场景性的买方议价能力。在不同策略情境中,买方势力既能强化或抵消上游卖方的市场力量,也能直接强化或间接抵消买方在下游的市场力量,进而实质性且持续地影响市场竞争。买方势力对市场力量的影响是其策略行为与势力水平综合作用的结果。将买方势力纳入市场力量的评估框架需要消解规范与实施层面的制度障碍。在规范依据上,需要在反垄断法中增补买方势力因素;在法律实施上,需要执法机构就买方势力问题开展常态化市场研究。 展开更多
关键词 买方势力 议价能力 市场力量 反垄断法 个案分析
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基于气象数据外推法和显著性分析的光伏自适应功率预测模型 被引量:1
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作者 王丽婕 张青山 +3 位作者 郝颖 周颖 邱敏 孙冲 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期317-325,共9页
分布式光伏电站装机容量较小,一般不进行实时功率统计,难以直接建立功率预测模型。针对分布式光伏电站间光伏组件安装型号和安装方式多样性的问题,基于气象数据外推法和显著性分析提出一种自适应功率预测模型。首先,利用显著性分析筛选... 分布式光伏电站装机容量较小,一般不进行实时功率统计,难以直接建立功率预测模型。针对分布式光伏电站间光伏组件安装型号和安装方式多样性的问题,基于气象数据外推法和显著性分析提出一种自适应功率预测模型。首先,利用显著性分析筛选光伏组件标称参数和气象数据外推法特征参数之间的相关性,确定与特征参数显著相关的标称参数集合;然后,建立最小二乘支持向量机模型,拟合标称参数集合和特征参数之间的自适应函数关系;最后,建立自适应功率预测模型,基于光伏组件安装方式将环境温度和辐照度转换为板面温度和辐照度,基于自适应函数选择适合当前光伏组件型号的特征参数,根据气象数据外推法得到预测功率。利用光伏电站实际数据进行验证,结果显示,自适应功率预测模型能够为不同型号的光伏组件选择合适的特征参数,通用性更强,相比于目前流行的简化功率预测模型,多云天气下的预测精度提升约2.34%。 展开更多
关键词 光伏发电 功率预测 外推法 显著性分析 自适应函数
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基于两阶段聚类和MCMC算法的风光出力序列建模方法 被引量:1
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作者 郭红霞 邹桂林 +3 位作者 王子强 陈凌轩 马骞 陈亦平 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期491-502,共12页
针对风光出力的随机性建模问题,提出一种基于两阶段聚类和双层马尔科夫链模型的风光相关出力序列建模方法。首先采用两阶段聚类得到不同的风光典型日出力模式,第1阶段采用自组织映射聚类方法识别不同气象条件下的光伏出力类型;第2阶段... 针对风光出力的随机性建模问题,提出一种基于两阶段聚类和双层马尔科夫链模型的风光相关出力序列建模方法。首先采用两阶段聚类得到不同的风光典型日出力模式,第1阶段采用自组织映射聚类方法识别不同气象条件下的光伏出力类型;第2阶段采用近邻传播聚类方法对不同光伏出力类型对应的风电出力样本进行聚类。其次,建立双层马尔科夫链模型描述风光出力的相依变化,上层建立单变量马尔科夫链模型描述风光出力模式的日间转移,下层建立双变量马尔科夫链模型描述风光出力日内相邻时刻的状态转移。最后,采用MCMC模拟方法得到指定时间长度的风光出力序列。仿真算例表明,所提方法在各项评价指标上均优于传统MCMC方法及Copula模型,能生成更符合风光实际相关性的出力序列。 展开更多
关键词 时间序列 风电场 光伏电站 聚类分析 马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛方法 时空相关性
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快艇螺旋桨线谱特性分析及检测
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作者 陈新华 李嶷 +2 位作者 郑恩明 方华 杨鹤 《哈尔滨工程大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期660-666,共7页
为了获得目标声纹特征,本文对快艇的湖上试验数据进行分析。利用低频分析记录图研究实际工作中目标线谱在图中的表现,同时针对快艇工况稳定和转向时的2种情况,研究快艇螺旋桨各时刻的线谱特性。采用长时间数据和短时间数据做快速傅里叶... 为了获得目标声纹特征,本文对快艇的湖上试验数据进行分析。利用低频分析记录图研究实际工作中目标线谱在图中的表现,同时针对快艇工况稳定和转向时的2种情况,研究快艇螺旋桨各时刻的线谱特性。采用长时间数据和短时间数据做快速傅里叶变换的方法对线谱进行检测,验证不同试验场景下这2种方法检测线谱的性能优劣,提出对长时间数据做快速傅里叶变换的工程实现方法。研究表明:目标线谱会随着目标工况的变化而发生漂移;低频分析记录图中线谱的基频和谐波信号强度具有随机性;在目标工况稳定或变化剧烈时宜分别采用长时间或短时间傅里叶变换进行线谱检测。本文为目标检测和识别提供理论和实践指导。 展开更多
关键词 信号处理 频谱分析 信号检测 水下声信号 螺旋桨 舰船噪声 线谱 低频分析记录图
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