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融合多源因素回归和ARIMA-LSTM的露天矿地表形变趋势分析
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作者 李如仁 李梦晨 +1 位作者 葛永权 刘明霞 《金属矿山》 北大核心 2025年第1期186-197,共12页
露天矿山大规模开采引发的地表形变严重威胁了周边基础设施的稳固性及附近民众生命财产安全,形变演化趋势的精准预测对于保障矿山安全运营具有重要意义。针对当前形变监测技术的时空采样率低、成本高,以及数据处理过程中影响因子筛选困... 露天矿山大规模开采引发的地表形变严重威胁了周边基础设施的稳固性及附近民众生命财产安全,形变演化趋势的精准预测对于保障矿山安全运营具有重要意义。针对当前形变监测技术的时空采样率低、成本高,以及数据处理过程中影响因子筛选困难、趋势预测精度欠佳等问题,以辽宁省鞍山市露天矿集中分布区为工程背景,提出了一种融合自回归差分移动平均(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average,ARIMA)模型—长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)模型的多源因素融合回归的露天矿地表形变演化趋势分析方法。首先,利用短基线子集干涉测量(Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar,SBAS-InSAR)技术开展2020年1月—2022年4月期间研究区地表形变的长时序监测,获取该时段内地表形变时空分布特征。然后,耦合因子分析及灰色关联分析法提取形变主影响因子,基于皮尔逊相关系数(Pearson)验证影响因子的筛选效果,同时考虑地表相邻点位形变的联动效应,构建了多源异构数据融合回归序列。在此基础上,引入自回归差分移动平均(ARIMA)模型改进的长短期记忆网络(LSTM)模型开展形变趋势预测,并采用平均绝对误差(Mean Absolute Error,MAE)、标准误差(Root Mean Square Error,RMSE)以及平均百分比误差(Mean Absolute Percentage Error,MAPE)评估所提方法的预测性能。结果表明:监测期内东鞍山矿东部、大孤山矿中部以及鞍千矿东部沉降相对严重,年均沉降速率最高达166.41 mm/a。耦合因子分析及灰色关联度法提取的影响因子合理可靠,融合高程、地形起伏度及累积降雨量等因子的形变序列更贴合矿区地表真实形变过程。与ARIMA-LSTM模型相比,基于多源因素融合回归模型的预测误差MAE、RMSE、MAPE分别降低了48.0%、16.7%和25.5%,预测精度有所改善且能够有效反映形变累积的整体趋势。 展开更多
关键词 露天矿 形变监测 多源数据融合 形变趋势预测 SBAS-InSAR ARIMA-LSTM
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Application of open-pit and underground mining technology for residual coal of end slopes 被引量:10
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作者 CHE, Zhaoxue YANG, Hong 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第2期266-270,共5页
Given the conditions of residual coal from the boundary of a flat dipping open-pit mine,which uses strip areas mining and inner dumping with slope-covering,we propose an open-pit and underground integrated mining tech... Given the conditions of residual coal from the boundary of a flat dipping open-pit mine,which uses strip areas mining and inner dumping with slope-covering,we propose an open-pit and underground integrated mining technology for residual coal of end slopes.In the proposal a conveyance road and ventilation conveyance near the slope are built,corresponding to the pit mining area and the surface coal mine dump,as well as an interval haulage tunnel and air-inlet tunnel.The outcome shows that such mining method may reduce the effect to slope stability from underground mining,it does not affect the dumping advance and has a high recovery rate of residual coal resources.The working face is timbered by single hydraulic props,transported by a scraper conveyor and supported by coal walls.This method of mining is one of layered top coal caving,with high resource recovery,low production cost where positive economic benefit can be realized. 展开更多
关键词 integrated open-pit and underground mining end-slope resource recovery economic benefit surface coal mine
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Stability analysis of the sliding process of the west slope in Buzhaoba Open-Pit Mine 被引量:1
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作者 Ning Fang Ji Changsheng Garmondyu E.Crusoe Jr. 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2016年第5期869-875,共7页
To study the stability of the west slope in Buzhaoba Open-Pit Mine and determine the aging stability coefficient during slide mass development, the deformation band of the west slope and the slide mass structure of th... To study the stability of the west slope in Buzhaoba Open-Pit Mine and determine the aging stability coefficient during slide mass development, the deformation band of the west slope and the slide mass structure of the 34,600 profile are obtained on the basis of hydrology, geology, and monitoring data.The residual thrust method is utilized to calculate the stability coefficients, which are 1.225 and 1.00 under sound and transfixion conditions, respectively. According to the rock damage and fragmentation and the principle of mechanical parameter degradation, the mechanical models of the slide mass development of the hard and soft rock slopes are established. An integrated model for calculating the slope stability coefficient is built considering water, vibration, and other external factors that pertain to the structural plane damage mechanism and the generating mechanism of the sliding mass. The change curve of the stability coefficient in the slide mass development is obtained from the relevant analyses,and afterwards, the stability control measures are proposed. The analysis results indicate that in the cracking stage of the hard rock, the slope stability coefficient decreases linearly with the increase in the length Lbof the hard rock crack zone. The linear slope is positively correlated to rock cohesion c. In the transfixion stage of the soft rock, the decrease speed of the stability coefficient is positively correlated to the residual strength of the soft rock. When the slope is stable, the stability coefficient is in a quadratic-linear relationship with the decreased height Dh of the side slope and in a linear relationship with anchoring force P. 展开更多
关键词 open-pit mine Side slope Sliding process Aging stability Crack zone
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Quantitative hazard assessment system(Has-Q) for open pit mine slopes 被引量:2
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作者 Tatiana Barreto dos Santos Milene Sabino Lana +1 位作者 Tiago Martins Pereira Ismet Canbulat 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 EI CSCD 2019年第3期419-427,共9页
Rock slope hazard assessment is an important part of risk analysis for open pit mines.The main parameters that can lead to rock slope failures are the parameters traditionally used in geomechanical classifications,the... Rock slope hazard assessment is an important part of risk analysis for open pit mines.The main parameters that can lead to rock slope failures are the parameters traditionally used in geomechanical classifications,the slope geometrical parameters and external factors like rainfall and blasting.This paper presents a methodology for a hazard assessment system for open pit mine slopes based on 88 cases collated around the world using principal components analysis,discriminant analysis and confidence ellipses.The historical cases used in this study included copper,gold,iron,diamond,lead and zinc,platinum and claystone mines.The variables used in the assessment methodology are uniaxial compressive strength of intact rock;spacing,persistence,opening,roughness,infilling and orientation of the main discontinuity set;weathering of the rock mass;groundwater;blasting method;and height and inclination of the pit.While principal component analysis was used to quantify the data,the discriminant analysis was used to establish a rule to classify new slopes about its stability condition.To provide a practical hazard assessment system,confidence ellipses were used to propose a hazard graph and generate the HAS-Q.The discriminant rule developed in this research has a high discrimination capacity with an error rate of 11.36%. 展开更多
关键词 Hazard assessment Risk analysis open pit mine slopes Multivariate statistics
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Calculation of slope-cover height under price fluctuation in open-pit mines 被引量:1
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作者 Ma Jinyan Cai Qingxiang +1 位作者 Liu Fuming Chen Shuzhao 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2014年第3期293-297,共5页
Leaving ditches between adjacent mining areas can effectively reduce re-stripping in the latter mining area and simultaneously lead to an increment in internal dumping costs in the former mining area. This paper estab... Leaving ditches between adjacent mining areas can effectively reduce re-stripping in the latter mining area and simultaneously lead to an increment in internal dumping costs in the former mining area. This paper establishes calculation models for these two marginal costs. The optimizing model for slope cover height can be determined by including marginal cost models in the objective function. The paper has two main contributions:(a) it fully considers redistribution of dumping space in the model;(b) it introduces price fluctuations and cash discounts in the model. We use the typical open-pit mine as an example to test and prove the model. We conclude that a completely covered slope is reasonable in Haerwusu open pit mine; in addition to an increasing price index, the slope cover height can be reduced; and that price changes are one of the most important influencing factors of slope cover height optimization in an open-pit mine. 展开更多
关键词 open pit Slope cover height Transport costs Re-stripping
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基于Bi-LSTM算法的露天矿山爆破振动速度预测
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作者 张伟 倪彬 +2 位作者 王立 谢伟 魏士钰 《矿冶工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期21-26,共6页
针对传统公式对爆破振动预测精度不高的问题,构建了基于Bi-LSTM(双向长短期记忆网络)算法的露天矿山爆破振动速度预测模型。该模型可以在两个方向上处理时间序列数据,同时捕获过去和未来的上下输入信息与输出数据之间的依赖关系。以马... 针对传统公式对爆破振动预测精度不高的问题,构建了基于Bi-LSTM(双向长短期记忆网络)算法的露天矿山爆破振动速度预测模型。该模型可以在两个方向上处理时间序列数据,同时捕获过去和未来的上下输入信息与输出数据之间的依赖关系。以马钢集团高村铁矿露天矿山爆破开采监测数据为依据,选取相关数据为输入参数,并将Bi-LSTM预测结果与萨道夫斯基公式预测结果进行对比。结果表明:萨道夫斯基公式预测的爆破振动速度平均误差为26.87%,Bi-LSTM算法预测的爆破振动速度平均误差为8.95%;Bi-LSTM模型预测结果与实测结果具有较高的吻合度。后期将以其他矿山的监测数据为依托对模型进行训练,以提高Bi-LSTM模型的泛化能力,并通过迁移学习植入矿山安全实时监测预警平台。 展开更多
关键词 露天矿山 爆破振动 振动速度 预测模型 Bi-LSTM 深度学习算法
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Geopolymer-based modification of blasting sealing materials and optimization of blasting block size in coal seams of open pit mines
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作者 Xiaohua Ding Zhongchen Ao +5 位作者 Wei Zhou Hao Qin Zhongao Yang Wen An Xiaoshuang Li Honglin Liu 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第12期1551-1562,共12页
This research proposes the utilization of a geopolymer-based blasting sealing material to improve the profitability of coal sales and reduce the rate of coal fragmentation during blasting in open pit mines.The study f... This research proposes the utilization of a geopolymer-based blasting sealing material to improve the profitability of coal sales and reduce the rate of coal fragmentation during blasting in open pit mines.The study first focused on optimizing the strength of the sealant material and reducing curing time.This was achieved by regulating the slag doping and sodium silicate solution modulus.The findings demonstrated that increasing slag content and improving the material resulted in an early rise in strength while increasing the modulus of the sodium silicate solution extended the curing time.The slag doping level was fixed at 80 g,and the sodium silicate solution modulus was set at 1.5.To achieve a strength of 3.12 MPa,the water/gel ratio was set at 0.5.The initial setting time was determined to be 33 min,meeting the required field test duration.Secondly,the strength requirements for field implementation were assessed by simulating the action time and force destruction process of the sealing material during blasting using ANSYS/LS-DYNA software.The results indicated that the modified material meets these requirements.Finally,the Shengli Open Pit Coal Mine served as the site for the field test.It was observed that the hole-sealing material’s hydration reaction created a laminated and flocculated gel inside it.This enhanced the density of the modified material.Additionally,the pregelatinized starch,functioning as an organic binder,filled the gaps between the gels,enhancing the cohesion and bonding coefficient of the material.Upon analyzing the post-blasting shooting effect diagram using the Split-Desktop software,it was determined that the utilization of the modified blast hole plugging material resulted in a decrease in the rate of coal fragmentation from 33.2%to 21.1%.This reduction exhibited a minimal error of 1.63%when compared to the field measurement,thereby providing further confirmation of the exceptional plugging capabilities of the modified material.This study significantly contributes to establishing a solid theoretical basis for enhancing the blasting efficiency of open pit mines and,in turn,enhancing their economic advantages. 展开更多
关键词 open pit coal mine Coal seam blasting Sealing materials Block size optimization Numerical simulation
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5G-A技术与露天矿的融合及其在生产上的创新发展
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作者 宋杰 田宇琼 《长江信息通信》 2025年第2期217-220,共4页
随着信息技术的快速发展,5G-A(5G-Advanced或5.5G)技术作为5G的演进和增强版本,在网络速度、延迟连接数等方面实现了显著提升,并引入了通感一体、无源物联、内生智能等全新技术,正在逐步推动各个行业的数字化转型。在露天矿这一传统而... 随着信息技术的快速发展,5G-A(5G-Advanced或5.5G)技术作为5G的演进和增强版本,在网络速度、延迟连接数等方面实现了显著提升,并引入了通感一体、无源物联、内生智能等全新技术,正在逐步推动各个行业的数字化转型。在露天矿这一传统而重要的工业领域,5G-A技术以其显著的网络性能提升,如速率、时延、连接数等方面的改进,为露天矿的生产效率、安全管理及智能化进程带来了革命性的变化。本文探讨了5G-A技术与露天矿的融合路径,分析其技术提升点,这些技术如何推动露天矿在生产上的创新发展。同时,通过具体案例分析,展示了5G-A技术在露天矿中的实际应用效果并展望其如何推动露天矿在生产上的创新发展。 展开更多
关键词 5G-A技术 露天矿 数字化转型
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基于InSAR-COMSOL的露天矿边坡稳定性分析及形变预测 被引量:9
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作者 李如仁 葛永权 +3 位作者 李梦晨 孙加瑶 王彦平 刘明霞 《金属矿山》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第3期172-182,共11页
露天矿地表形变特征的快速、准确分析及形变趋势精准预测是推进矿山绿色安全生产的重要保障。针对当前形变监测技术存在的时空采样率低、成本高,预测模型参数难确定等问题,以东鞍山露天铁矿为工程背景,提出了一种融合短基线子集干涉测量... 露天矿地表形变特征的快速、准确分析及形变趋势精准预测是推进矿山绿色安全生产的重要保障。针对当前形变监测技术存在的时空采样率低、成本高,预测模型参数难确定等问题,以东鞍山露天铁矿为工程背景,提出了一种融合短基线子集干涉测量(SBAS-InSAR)技术和COMSOL有限元模拟的边坡稳定性分析和形变预测一体化方法。首先,利用SBAS-InSAR技术处理2018年5月—2020年6月获取的62景Sentinel-1A升轨SAR数据,获取了该区域2 a内地表形变时间序列,分析了其形变时空演化特征。然后,采用COMSOL Multiphysics软件模拟外界强降雨影响下的典型沉降区域边坡稳定性状况,探讨了坡体损伤裂化规律及形变机理。基于此,利用粒子群算法(PSO)优化长短期时间记忆(LSTM)网络,搭建了形变时序预测最优模型,开展典型沉降区的形变时序预测,并引入平均绝对误差和均方根误差作为预测精度评价指标。结果表明:矿区西部沉降相对严重,年均沉降速率高达47.8 mm/a,形变速率与区域降雨量存在显著相关性。相较于传统形变预测模型,PSO-LSTM模型的2种误差至少降低了14%和36%,且能够有效反映采区地表形变波动趋势,为滑坡灾前预警提供了新思路。 展开更多
关键词 露天矿边坡 稳定性分析 SBAS-InSAR 沉降预测 PSO-LSTM
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基于ISSA-XGBoost模型的多特征融合露天矿卡车行程时间预测
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作者 顾清华 王燕 +1 位作者 王倩 魏瑾瑜 《有色金属(矿山部分)》 2024年第1期1-10,共10页
针对露天矿运输系统卡车行程时间预测问题,提出了一种基于特征选择及改进麻雀算法优化XGBoost的露天矿卡车行程时间预测模型。模型充分考虑了卡车特征、道路特征、气象特征以及时间特征对卡车行程时间的影响,并使用皮尔逊系数法深入分... 针对露天矿运输系统卡车行程时间预测问题,提出了一种基于特征选择及改进麻雀算法优化XGBoost的露天矿卡车行程时间预测模型。模型充分考虑了卡车特征、道路特征、气象特征以及时间特征对卡车行程时间的影响,并使用皮尔逊系数法深入分析影响因素的贡献度。针对麻雀算法中全局搜索能力薄弱的问题引入反向学习和螺旋搜索策略,以提高算法的收敛性能。最后,使用改进的麻雀算法对XGBoost的关键参数进行寻优,进而构建露天矿卡车行程时间预测模型。选取国内某大型露天矿卡车调度系统采集的数据进行仿真模拟,并将所提出模型与SVM、BP、RBF和RF等其他机器学习模型进行对比。结果表明:所提出模型的预测误差均低于其他模型,相关系数可达0.9819。开发的模型和分析结果可以极大地帮助决策者规划、运营和管理更高效的露天矿运输系统。 展开更多
关键词 行程时间预测 露天矿卡车 XGBoost 改进麻雀算法 均值滤波
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基于SSA-BP的爆破振动峰值速度预测研究 被引量:2
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作者 李攀云 高文学 +3 位作者 张小军 何茂林 葛晨雨 王林 《爆破》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期205-211,共7页
为了精准预测爆破振动峰值速度(PPV),有效降低爆破振动的危害,以星光一号露天矿山爆破工程为依托,选取爆心距、堵塞长度、最小抵抗线、炸药单耗、最大单孔装药量、总延期时间、最大单响药量等7个影响因素作为输入变量,采用灰色关联分析... 为了精准预测爆破振动峰值速度(PPV),有效降低爆破振动的危害,以星光一号露天矿山爆破工程为依托,选取爆心距、堵塞长度、最小抵抗线、炸药单耗、最大单孔装药量、总延期时间、最大单响药量等7个影响因素作为输入变量,采用灰色关联分析法评估各因素与PPV之间的相关性,构建麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化BP神经网络的爆破峰值振速预测模型,对三向峰值振动速度进行预测,并与BP神经网络模型预测结果进行对比分析,得到SSA-BP神经网络模型预测结果的平均误差分别为6.08%、7.34%、1.91%,BP神经网络模型预测结果的平均误差分别为22.19%、54.01%、25.29%。研究结果表明:SSA-BP神经网络模型全面考虑了多种爆破设计参数对振动峰值速度的影响;麻雀搜索优化算法有效解决了传统BP神经网络模型容易陷入局部最优的问题,预测结果更精确,与振速监测值吻合度更高、误差更小;并且极大地缩短了样本数据的学习训练时间,加快BP神经网络预测模型的收敛速度,可为类似露天爆破工程质点峰值振速的预测提供借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 爆破振动 露天矿山 质点峰值振速预测 BP神经网络 SSA-BP神经网络模型
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Optimization of transport passage with dragline system in thick overburden open pit mine 被引量:3
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作者 Zhang Weishi Cai Qingxiang Chen Shuzhao 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI 2013年第6期901-906,共6页
According to the characteristics of opencast coal resources and dragline technology system application in China,the structure and shifting step of transport passage are optimized in this paper.Typical coal transport p... According to the characteristics of opencast coal resources and dragline technology system application in China,the structure and shifting step of transport passage are optimized in this paper.Typical coal transport passage is analyzed in aspects such as the internal dump occupation,dragline operation efficiency,coal transport distance,upper stripping distance and shifting quantities.The middle passage should be given priority in thick overburden open pit mine because the dragline system is only responsible for part stripping task.According to characteristics of middle passage,the transport passage is divided into parallel climbing,vertical climbing and horizontal transport.In addition,the transport passage structure optimization model and shifting distance optimization model are established in this paper.The case study in Heidaigou open pit mine shows that,the parallel climbing height is accounted for about 60%of the total height,and reasonable shifting distances of the first mining area and the second mining area are 240 and 320 m.Sensitivity analysis shows that,the total passage height has important influence on the shifting step,so it is with the stripping height and passage construction cost to the passage structure. 展开更多
关键词 open pit mine DRAGLINE Transport passage Middle passage Internal dump
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Overburden management in open pits: options and limits in large limestone quarries 被引量:6
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作者 Claudio Oggeri Taddeo Maria Fenoglio +1 位作者 Alberto Godio Raffaele Vinai 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第2期217-228,共12页
The management of overburden is an important task in open pit exploitations. Site topography and morphology as well as geological and geotechnical properties of natural and remoulded materials are the most important f... The management of overburden is an important task in open pit exploitations. Site topography and morphology as well as geological and geotechnical properties of natural and remoulded materials are the most important factors affecting the disposal phase. Economic and environmental requirements must be followed in order to achieve the best reclamation results, keeping into account site constraints such as slope stability, hauling and dumping issues, and interactions with groundwater. This paper deals with the above mentioned issues, illustrating a rational approach applied on the case of a large limestone quarry where the thickness of the overburden is relevant and the spoil material has to be dumped in a flooded pit. The proposed multidisciplinary approach led to the selection of most suitable methods for excavation, transportation and disposal. The selection was based on a detailed laboratory and site characterisation that defined favorable and adverse factors to be considered during the preliminary study of a large quarrying project. 展开更多
关键词 open pit OVERBURDEN Soil TESTING LIMESTONE QUARRY Muck ON-SITE TESTING
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Dynamic management system of ore blending in an open pit mine based on GIS/GPS/GPRS 被引量:19
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作者 GU Qinghua LU Caiwu +1 位作者 GUO Jinping JING Shigun 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2010年第1期132-137,共6页
Using GIS, GPS and GPRS, a dynamic management system of ore blending in an open pit mine has been designed and developed. A linear program was established in a practical application. The system is very good at automat... Using GIS, GPS and GPRS, a dynamic management system of ore blending in an open pit mine has been designed and developed. A linear program was established in a practical application. The system is very good at automatically drawing up a daily production plan of ore blending and monitors and controls the process of mining production in real time. Experiments under real conditions show that the performance of this system is stable and can satisfy production standards of ore blending in open pit mines. 展开更多
关键词 GIS GPS GPRS linear programming ore blending open pit mine
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Monitoring dispatch information system of trucks and shovels in an open pit based on GIS/GPS/GPRS 被引量:18
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作者 GU Qing-hua LU Cai-wu +1 位作者 LI Fa-ben WAN Chang-yong 《Journal of China University of Mining and Technology》 EI 2008年第2期288-292,共5页
Using GIS,GPS and GPRS,an intelligent monitoring and dispatch system of trucks and shovels in an open pit has been designed and developed.The system can monitor and dispatch open-pit trucks and shovels and play back t... Using GIS,GPS and GPRS,an intelligent monitoring and dispatch system of trucks and shovels in an open pit has been designed and developed.The system can monitor and dispatch open-pit trucks and shovels and play back their historical paths.An intelligent data algorithm is proposed in a practical application.The algorithm can count the times of deliveries of trucks and load- ings of shovels.Experiments on real scenes show that the performance of this system is stable and can satisfy production standards in open pits. 展开更多
关键词 GIS GPS GPRS DISPATCH data processing open pit
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基于MD-PCA-BP模型的露天矿山爆破振动速度预测 被引量:2
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作者 赵茉溪 杨玉民 +4 位作者 周传波 张升 陈文忠 杨茂森 张玉琦 《爆破》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期203-211,共9页
为解决露天矿山爆破复杂场地地质条件的爆破振动预测问题,提出了一种基于马氏距离判别(MD)和主成分分析(PCA)的改进BP神经网络预测模型,即MD-PCA-BP模型。结合内蒙古长滩露天矿爆破振动监测数结果,利用马氏距离判别法剔除监测数据的离群... 为解决露天矿山爆破复杂场地地质条件的爆破振动预测问题,提出了一种基于马氏距离判别(MD)和主成分分析(PCA)的改进BP神经网络预测模型,即MD-PCA-BP模型。结合内蒙古长滩露天矿爆破振动监测数结果,利用马氏距离判别法剔除监测数据的离群值,并采用主成分分析法对爆破振动影响因素进行降维处理得到3个主成分因子,计算各主成分因子的得分,最终通过BP神经网络构建爆破振动与主成分得分的非线性关系,建立了基于MD-PCA-BP的爆破振动预测模型。结果表明:基于MD-PCA-BP模型建立的爆破振动速度预测模型预测结果与实测值的拟合度达到0.94,预测模型具有较高的预测精度;将预测结果与萨道夫斯基经验公式、2个改进的高程经验公式、MD-BP模型、PCA-BP模型以及BP模型进行比较,MD-PCA-BP模型的预测误差大部分在10%以内,相较于经验公式和未改进的BP预测模型具有更高的可靠度和准确度。基于MD-PCA-BP的爆破振动预测模型在复杂地形的爆破振动速度预测方面表现出了良好的预测效果,对复杂地形的爆破振动预测具有一定的参考作用。 展开更多
关键词 露天矿山 爆破振动 马氏距离 主成分分析 BP神经网络模型
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基于HA-RF-SHAP的露天煤矿粉尘浓度预测模型 被引量:2
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作者 金磊 杨晓伟 +4 位作者 张浩 杜勇志 李新鹏 戴春田 周伟 《西安科技大学学报》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第1期74-83,共10页
为了有效预测和控制煤矿粉尘浓度,保障煤矿工人健康及环境安全,以宝日希勒露天煤矿现场粉尘监测数据为基础,使用随机森林对粉尘浓度进行预测,提出了4种启发式智能优化算法优化随机森林超参数的方法,通过RMSE、MAE和皮尔逊相关系数R对模... 为了有效预测和控制煤矿粉尘浓度,保障煤矿工人健康及环境安全,以宝日希勒露天煤矿现场粉尘监测数据为基础,使用随机森林对粉尘浓度进行预测,提出了4种启发式智能优化算法优化随机森林超参数的方法,通过RMSE、MAE和皮尔逊相关系数R对模型进行评价,采用SHAP可解释模型分析影响露天煤矿粉尘浓度的因素。结果表明:PM2.5、PM10、TSP的最优模型分别为GWO-RF、WOA-RF和HHO-RF;超参数调整使模型整体RMSE指标提升约为1~3,MAE提升约为1~2.5,R提升约4%~6%;PM2.5的预测表现最好,训练集与测试集共同作用时,R为0.9463,MAE为3.059,RMSE为4.919,其次是PM10、TSP;单因素作用时,湿度对于该矿粉尘浓度影响最大,双因素同时影响下湿度和气压对粉尘浓度变化影响最大。研究提供了一个有效的粉尘浓度预测方法,可准确预测粉尘浓度并确定粉尘最影响因素,对矿山粉尘管控具有重要参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 露天煤矿 粉尘浓度预测 启发式算法 SHAP 模型可解释性
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Reserve estimation of an open pit mine under price uncertainty by real option approach 被引量:8
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作者 AKBARI Afshin Dehkharghani OSANLOO Morteza SHIRAZI Mohsen Akbarpour 《Mining Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第6期709-717,共9页
Reserve estimation is a key to find the correct NPV in a mining project. The most important factor in reserve estimation is the metal price. Metal price fluctuations in recent years were exaggerated, and imposed a hig... Reserve estimation is a key to find the correct NPV in a mining project. The most important factor in reserve estimation is the metal price. Metal price fluctuations in recent years were exaggerated, and imposed a high degree of uncertainty to the reserve estimation, and in consequence to the whole mine planning procedure. Real option approach is an efficient method of decision making in the uncertain conditions. This approach has been used for evaluation of defined natural resources projects until now. This study considering the metal price uncertainty used real option approach to prepare a methodology for reserve estimation in open pit mines. This study was done on a copper cylindrical deposit, but the achieved methodology can be adjusted for all kinds of deposits. This methodology was comprehensively described through the examples in such a manner that can be used by the mine planners. 展开更多
关键词 RESERVE open pit mining metal price uncertainty Real Option Approach (ROA) copper deposit
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NPV risk simulation of an open pit gold mine project under the O'Hara cost model by using Gas 被引量:1
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作者 Franco-Sepulveda Giovanni Campuzano Carlos Pineda Cindy 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第3期557-565,共9页
This paper analyzes an open pit gold mine project based on the O'Hara cost model. Hypothetical data is proposed based on different authors that have studied open pit gold projects, and variations are proposed acco... This paper analyzes an open pit gold mine project based on the O'Hara cost model. Hypothetical data is proposed based on different authors that have studied open pit gold projects, and variations are proposed according to the probability distributions associated to key variables affecting the NPV, like production level, ore grade, price of ore, and others, so as to see what if, in a gold open pit mine project of 3000 metric tons per day of ore. Two case scenarios were analyzed to simulate the NPV, one where there is low certainty data available, and the other where the information available is of high certainty. Results based on genetic algorithm metaheuristic simulations, which combine basically Montecarlo simulations provided by the Palisade Risk software, the O'Hara cost model, net smelter return and financial analysis tools offered by Excel are reported, in order to determine to which variables of the project is more sensitive the NPV. 展开更多
关键词 Genetic algorithms(GAs) O’Hara cost model Montecarlo simulation open pit gold mine NPV risk analysis
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露天矿无人驾驶自卸车横-纵向协同控制研究
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作者 潘国宇 鲍久圣 +6 位作者 胡德平 邹学耀 阴妍 王茂森 朱晨钟 张磊 杨瑞 《工矿自动化》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第10期68-79,共12页
露天矿无人驾驶自卸车面临道路等级低且坡道弯道多、车辆载质量大且变化范围宽等恶劣运输工况,现有车辆运动控制策略多面向普通道路环境,无法直接将现有车辆控制策略应用于矿山自卸车。针对上述问题,提出了一种基于预瞄误差与分层反馈... 露天矿无人驾驶自卸车面临道路等级低且坡道弯道多、车辆载质量大且变化范围宽等恶劣运输工况,现有车辆运动控制策略多面向普通道路环境,无法直接将现有车辆控制策略应用于矿山自卸车。针对上述问题,提出了一种基于预瞄误差与分层反馈的露天矿无人驾驶自卸车横-纵向协同控制系统。横向控制以线性二次型调节器(LQR)为基础,运用前馈控制器降低稳态误差,采用模糊控制器实现自适应调整预瞄距离,以提高路径跟踪控制精度;纵向控制建立分层反馈式纵向速度控制器,分别采用模型预测控制和模糊PID反馈控制,并建立车辆驱动及制动逆向模型,降低自卸车载质量与道路坡度改变对纵向速度追踪的影响。仿真结果表明:(1)车辆实际速度和期望速度误差在2%以内,说明自卸车在空载下坡与满载上坡2种工况下的速度跟踪效果能够满足要求。(2)由于横-纵向协同控制能够针对路径曲率的不同实时调节车辆速度,在2种工况下,自卸车横-纵向协同控制器相比于单一横向控制都获得了更高的路径跟踪精度,同时也提高了自卸车的操纵稳定性。实验结果表明:(1)空载下坡时的横向误差峰值为0.0199 m,方向误差峰值为0.1840 rad,误差增大均发生在弯道处,但误差波动范围较小,能够保证试验车对期望路径的跟踪。(2)负载上坡时的横向误差峰值为0.0168 m,方向误差峰值为0.0714 rad,误差变化趋势与空载下坡试验相反,但误差仍在合理范围内,试验车的跟踪效果良好。(3)2个误差峰值均小于空载下坡试验,验证了不同速度对横向控制精度的影响规律。 展开更多
关键词 露天矿自卸车 无人驾驶 横向运动控制 纵向速度控制 -纵向协同控制
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