Uncertainty on the geological contacts and the block volumes of the models along boundaries is often a major part of the global uncertainty of reserve estimation.This work introduces a geostatistical technique that ha...Uncertainty on the geological contacts and the block volumes of the models along boundaries is often a major part of the global uncertainty of reserve estimation.This work introduces a geostatistical technique that has been developed and tested in an iron ore deposit at Bafq mining district,in central Iran,and that,based on a probability criterion,helps to objectively model the geometry of this iron ore deposit.The main problem in reserve estimation of this ore body is its geometrical modeling and uncertainty in geological boundaries.This work deals with the geostatistical method of multiple indicator kriging,which is used to determine the real boundaries of ore body in different categories.This approach has potential to improve project performance and decrease operational risk.For this purpose,the ore body is separated into two categories including rich iron zone(w(Fe)>45%)and poor iron zone(20%<w(Fe)<45%).It significantly benefits to decrease the risk of reserve evaluation in the deposit.This case study also highlights the value of multiple indicator kriging as a tool for estimates the position of grade boundaries within the deposit.Comparison of the resultant probability maps with the real ore/waste contacts on the extracted levels shows that the first indicator model could separate the whole ore body(poor plus rich)from the waste zone by probability of more than 0.35,which concludes the total reserve of 53 million tons.The second indicator model applied to separate the rich and poor domains and the results show that the blocks with the estimated probability of equal to or more than 0.4 lay within the rich ore zone consisting of 15.8 million tons reserve.展开更多
指示克里格法(Indicator Kriging,IK)应用的关键是阈值的合理选择。本文以黄淮海平原盐渍土改良区典型县域禹城市为研究区域,在1.0 g kg-1、2.0 g kg-1、3.0 g kg-1等3个盐分阈值下,对0～20 cm耕地土壤盐分的变异函数、预测概率、预测...指示克里格法(Indicator Kriging,IK)应用的关键是阈值的合理选择。本文以黄淮海平原盐渍土改良区典型县域禹城市为研究区域,在1.0 g kg-1、2.0 g kg-1、3.0 g kg-1等3个盐分阈值下,对0～20 cm耕地土壤盐分的变异函数、预测概率、预测概率空间分布的变化规律进行了研究。结果表明,(1)不同阈值下土壤盐分含量均具有中等强度的自相关性,随着阈值的减小,土壤盐分的空间结构性增强,变异函数的模型精度增大,因此从指示变异函数模型精度考虑,1.0 g kg-1盐分含量为研究区域盐渍化风险评价的最佳阈值;(2)土壤盐分的预测概率最大值和预测概率均值随盐分阈值的减小而增大,可为不同土壤盐渍化风险评价目标下的阈值选择提供参考;(3)不同阈值下土壤盐分的概率预测分布存在空间上的规律性与相似性,高概率区域主要集中在研究区域的西部,低概率区域主要集中在研究区域的东部。研究区域土壤盐分含量的概率分布与地形地貌特征和河流的分布状况有着密切的关系。展开更多
基金supported by Iron Ore Research Center of Yazd University
文摘Uncertainty on the geological contacts and the block volumes of the models along boundaries is often a major part of the global uncertainty of reserve estimation.This work introduces a geostatistical technique that has been developed and tested in an iron ore deposit at Bafq mining district,in central Iran,and that,based on a probability criterion,helps to objectively model the geometry of this iron ore deposit.The main problem in reserve estimation of this ore body is its geometrical modeling and uncertainty in geological boundaries.This work deals with the geostatistical method of multiple indicator kriging,which is used to determine the real boundaries of ore body in different categories.This approach has potential to improve project performance and decrease operational risk.For this purpose,the ore body is separated into two categories including rich iron zone(w(Fe)>45%)and poor iron zone(20%<w(Fe)<45%).It significantly benefits to decrease the risk of reserve evaluation in the deposit.This case study also highlights the value of multiple indicator kriging as a tool for estimates the position of grade boundaries within the deposit.Comparison of the resultant probability maps with the real ore/waste contacts on the extracted levels shows that the first indicator model could separate the whole ore body(poor plus rich)from the waste zone by probability of more than 0.35,which concludes the total reserve of 53 million tons.The second indicator model applied to separate the rich and poor domains and the results show that the blocks with the estimated probability of equal to or more than 0.4 lay within the rich ore zone consisting of 15.8 million tons reserve.
文摘指示克里格法(Indicator Kriging,IK)应用的关键是阈值的合理选择。本文以黄淮海平原盐渍土改良区典型县域禹城市为研究区域,在1.0 g kg-1、2.0 g kg-1、3.0 g kg-1等3个盐分阈值下,对0～20 cm耕地土壤盐分的变异函数、预测概率、预测概率空间分布的变化规律进行了研究。结果表明,(1)不同阈值下土壤盐分含量均具有中等强度的自相关性,随着阈值的减小,土壤盐分的空间结构性增强,变异函数的模型精度增大,因此从指示变异函数模型精度考虑,1.0 g kg-1盐分含量为研究区域盐渍化风险评价的最佳阈值;(2)土壤盐分的预测概率最大值和预测概率均值随盐分阈值的减小而增大,可为不同土壤盐渍化风险评价目标下的阈值选择提供参考;(3)不同阈值下土壤盐分的概率预测分布存在空间上的规律性与相似性,高概率区域主要集中在研究区域的西部,低概率区域主要集中在研究区域的东部。研究区域土壤盐分含量的概率分布与地形地貌特征和河流的分布状况有着密切的关系。
