期刊文献+
共找到1,958篇文章
< 1 2 98 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Launch dynamics modeling and simulation of box-type multiple launch rocket system considering plane clearance contact
1
作者 Jinxin Tang Guoping Wang +3 位作者 Genyang Wu Yutian Sun Lilin Gu Xiaoting Rui 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第5期105-123,共19页
As the performance of the box-type multiple launch rocket system(BMLRS)improves,its mechanical structures,particularly the plane clearance design between the slider on the rocket and the guide inside the launch canist... As the performance of the box-type multiple launch rocket system(BMLRS)improves,its mechanical structures,particularly the plane clearance design between the slider on the rocket and the guide inside the launch canister,have grown increasingly complex.However,deficiencies still exist in the current launch modeling theory for BMLRS.In this study,a multi-rigid-flexible-body launch dynamics model coupling the launch platform and rocket was established using the multibody system transfer matrix method and the Newton-Euler formulation.Furthermore,considering the bending of the launch canister,a detection algorithm for slider-guide plane clearance contact was proposed.To quantify the contact force and friction effect between the slider and guide,the contact force model and modified Coulomb model were introduced.Both the modal and launch tests were conducted.Additionally,the modal convergence was verified.By comparing the modal experiments and simulation results,the maximum relative error of the eigenfrequency is 3.29%.thereby verifying the accuracy of the developed BMLRS dynamics model.Furthermore,the launch test validated the proposed plane clearance contact model.Moreover,the study investigated the influence of various model parameters on the dynamic characteristics of BMLRS,including launch canister bending stiffness,slider and guide material,slider-guide clearance,slider length and layout.This analysis of influencing factors provides a foundation for future optimization in BMLRS design. 展开更多
关键词 Box-type multiple launch rocket system Launch dynamics Plane clearance contact Contact detection algorithm Multibody system transfer matrix method(MSTMM)
在线阅读 下载PDF
Reliability analysis for aeroengine turbine disc fatigue life with multiple random variables based on distributed collaborative response surface method 被引量:2
2
作者 高海峰 白广忱 +1 位作者 高阳 鲍天未 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第12期4693-4701,共9页
The fatigue life of aeroengine turbine disc presents great dispersion due to the randomness of the basic variables,such as applied load,working temperature,geometrical dimensions and material properties.In order to am... The fatigue life of aeroengine turbine disc presents great dispersion due to the randomness of the basic variables,such as applied load,working temperature,geometrical dimensions and material properties.In order to ameliorate reliability analysis efficiency without loss of reliability,the distributed collaborative response surface method(DCRSM) was proposed,and its basic theories were established in this work.Considering the failure dependency among the failure modes,the distributed response surface was constructed to establish the relationship between the failure mode and the relevant random variables.Then,the failure modes were considered as the random variables of system response to obtain the distributed collaborative response surface model based on structure failure criterion.Finally,the given turbine disc structure was employed to illustrate the feasibility and validity of the presented method.Through the comparison of DCRSM,Monte Carlo method(MCM) and the traditional response surface method(RSM),the results show that the computational precision for DCRSM is more consistent with MCM than RSM,while DCRSM needs far less computing time than MCM and RSM under the same simulation conditions.Thus,DCRSM is demonstrated to be a feasible and valid approach for improving the computational efficiency of reliability analysis for aeroengine turbine disc fatigue life with multiple random variables,and has great potential value for the complicated mechanical structure with multi-component and multi-failure mode. 展开更多
关键词 complicated mechanical structure reliability analysis multiple random variables multi-component and multi-failure mode distributed collaborative response surface method
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multiple linear system techniques for 3D finite element method modeling of direct current resistivity 被引量:3
3
作者 李长伟 熊彬 +1 位作者 强建科 吕玉增 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第2期424-432,共9页
The strategies that minimize the overall solution time of multiple linear systems in 3D finite element method (FEM) modeling of direct current (DC) resistivity were discussed. A global stiff matrix is assembled and st... The strategies that minimize the overall solution time of multiple linear systems in 3D finite element method (FEM) modeling of direct current (DC) resistivity were discussed. A global stiff matrix is assembled and stored in two parts separately. One part is associated with the volume integral and the other is associated with the subsurface boundary integral. The equivalent multiple linear systems with closer right-hand sides than the original systems were constructed. A recycling Krylov subspace technique was employed to solve the multiple linear systems. The solution of the seed system was used as an initial guess for the subsequent systems. The results of two numerical experiments show that the improved algorithm reduces the iterations and CPU time by almost 50%, compared with the classical preconditioned conjugate gradient method. 展开更多
关键词 finite element method modeling direct current resistivity multiple linear systems preconditioned conjugate gradient recycling Krylov subspace
在线阅读 下载PDF
A generalized cover renewal strategy for multiple crack propagation in two-dimensional numerical manifold method 被引量:2
4
作者 YU Chang-yi ZHENG Fei +1 位作者 GUO Bing-chuan LIU Qin-ya 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第8期2367-2381,共15页
Partition of unity based numerical manifold method can solve continuous and discontinuous problems in a unified framework with a two-cover system,i.e.,the mathematical cover and physical cover.However,renewal of the t... Partition of unity based numerical manifold method can solve continuous and discontinuous problems in a unified framework with a two-cover system,i.e.,the mathematical cover and physical cover.However,renewal of the topology of the two-cover system poses a challenge for multiple crack propagation problems and there are few references.In this study,a robust and efficient strategy is proposed to update the cover system of the numerical manifold method in simulation of multiple crack propagation problems.The proposed algorithm updates the cover system with a bottom-up process:1)identification of fractured manifold elements according to the previous and latest crack tip position;and 2)local topological update of the manifold elements,physical patches,block boundary loops,and non-persistent joint loops according to the scenario classification of the propagating crack.The proposed crack tracking strategy and classification of the renewal cases promote a robust and efficient cover renewal algorithm for multiple crack propagation analysis.Three crack propagation examples show that the proposed algorithm performs well in updating the cover system.This cover renewal methodology can be extended for numerical manifold method with polygonal mathematical covers. 展开更多
关键词 numerical manifold method multiple crack propagation physical cover renewal polygonal mathematical cover
在线阅读 下载PDF
Maximizing deviation method for multiple attribute decision making under q-rung orthopair fuzzy environment 被引量:2
5
作者 Jie Wang Gui-wu Wei +1 位作者 Cun Wei Jiang Wu 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1073-1087,共15页
Because of the uncertainty and subjectivity of decision makers in the complex decision-making environment,the evaluation information of alternatives given by decision makers is often fuzzy and uncertain.As a generaliz... Because of the uncertainty and subjectivity of decision makers in the complex decision-making environment,the evaluation information of alternatives given by decision makers is often fuzzy and uncertain.As a generalization of intuitionistic fuzzy set(IFSs)and Pythagoras fuzzy set(PFSs),q-rung orthopair fuzzy set(q-ROFS)is more suitable for expressing fuzzy and uncertain information.But,in actual multiple attribute decision making(MADM)problems,the weights of DMs and attributes are always completely unknown or partly known,to date,the maximizing deviation method is a good tool to deal with such issues.Thus,combine the q-ROFS and conventional maximizing deviation method,we will study the maximizing deviation method under q-ROFSs and q-RIVOFSs in this paper.Firstly,we briefly introduce the basic concept of q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets(q-ROFSs)and q-rung interval-valued orthopair fuzzy sets(q-RIVOFSs).Then,combine the maximizing deviation method with q-rung orthopair fuzzy information,we establish two new decision making models.On this basis,the proposed models are applied to MADM problems with q-rung orthopair fuzzy information.Compared with existing methods,the effectiveness and superiority of the new model are analyzed.This method can effectively solve the MADM problem whose decision information is represented by q-rung orthopair fuzzy numbers(q-ROFNs)and whose attributes are incomplete. 展开更多
关键词 multiple attribute decision making(MADM) q-rung orthopair fuzzy sets(q-ROFSs) q-rung interval-valued orthopair fuzzy sets (q-RIVOFSs) Maximizing deviation method Building materials
在线阅读 下载PDF
Free vibration of vibrating device coupling two pendulums using multiple time scales method
6
作者 李珺 刘初升 +1 位作者 彭利平 王宏 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第8期2134-2141,共8页
A model of vibrating device coupling two pendulums (VDP) which is highly nonlinear was put forward to conduct vibration analysis. Based on energy analysis, dynamic equations with cubic nonlinearities were established ... A model of vibrating device coupling two pendulums (VDP) which is highly nonlinear was put forward to conduct vibration analysis. Based on energy analysis, dynamic equations with cubic nonlinearities were established using Lagrange's equation. In order to obtain approximate solution, multiple time scales method, one of perturbation technique, was applied. Cases of non-resonant and 1:1:2:2 internal resonant were discussed. In the non-resonant case, the validity of multiple time scales method is confirmed, comparing numerical results derived from fourth order Runge-Kutta method with analytical results derived from first order approximate expression. In the 1:1:2:2 internal resonant case, modal amplitudes of Aa1 and Ab2 increase, respectively, from 0.38 to 0.63 and from 0.19 to 0.32, while the corresponding frequencies have an increase of almost 1.6 times with changes of initial conditions, indicating the existence of typical nonlinear phenomenon. In addition, the chaotic motion is found under this condition. 展开更多
关键词 free vibration coupling pendulums multiple time scales method nonlinear characteristic
在线阅读 下载PDF
Influence of dopant content on morphology and optical constants of ZnO:Na films by sol-gel method 被引量:4
7
作者 吕建国 曹春斌 +1 位作者 宋学萍 孙兆奇 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第1期42-47,共6页
Undoped and Na-doped ZnO films were deposited by sol-gel method.The effects of sodium incorporation on structure,surface morphology and optical constants of the films were investigated.X-ray diffraction patterns show ... Undoped and Na-doped ZnO films were deposited by sol-gel method.The effects of sodium incorporation on structure,surface morphology and optical constants of the films were investigated.X-ray diffraction patterns show the hexagonal wurtzite polycrystalline structure and that the sodium incorporation leads to the change in the structural characteristics of ZnO films.The SEM observations show that the surface morphology of the films is affected by the sodium incorporation.The transmission spectra show that the average transmittance of the films is above 85% in the visible range.The absorption edge initially blue-shifts and then red-shifts with the increase of Na doping content.The optical constants of these films were calculated using transmission spectra.Refractive indices of the films in the visible range decrease at first and then increase with increasing Na doping content. 展开更多
关键词 Na-doped ZnO sol-gel method transmission spectra optical constants
在线阅读 下载PDF
Reliability analysis of retaining walls with multiple failure modes 被引量:2
8
作者 张道兵 孙志彬 朱川曲 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第10期2879-2886,共8页
In order to reduce the errors of the reliability of the retaining wall structure in the establishment of function, in the estimation of parameter and algorithm, firstly, two new reliability and stability models of ant... In order to reduce the errors of the reliability of the retaining wall structure in the establishment of function, in the estimation of parameter and algorithm, firstly, two new reliability and stability models of anti-slipping and anti-overturning based on the upper-bound theory of limit analysis were established, and two kinds of failure modes were regarded as a series of systems with multiple correlated failure modes. Then, statistical characteristics of parameters of the retaining wall structure were inferred by maximal entropy principle. At last, the structural reliabilities of single failure mode and multiple failure modes were calculated by Monte Carlo method in MATLAB and the results were compared and analyzed on the sensitivity. It indicates that this method, with a high precision, is not only easy to program and quick in calculation, but also without the limit of nonlinear functions and non-normal random variables. And the results calculated by this method which applies both the limit analysis theory, maximal entropy principle and Monte Carlo method into analyzing the reliability of the retaining wall structures is more scientific, accurate and reliable, in comparison with those calculated by traditional method. 展开更多
关键词 retaining wall MAXIMAL entropy PRINCIPLE LIMIT analysis MONTE Carlo method multiple failure MODES reliability
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multiple optimal solutions to a sort of nonlinear optimization problem 被引量:2
9
作者 Xue Shengjia 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2007年第1期63-67,共5页
The optimization problem is considered in which the objective function is pseudolinear(both pseudoconvex and pseudoconcave) and the constraints are linear. The general expression for the optimal solutions to the pro... The optimization problem is considered in which the objective function is pseudolinear(both pseudoconvex and pseudoconcave) and the constraints are linear. The general expression for the optimal solutions to the problem is derived with the representation theorem of polyhedral sets, and the uniqueness condition of the optimal solution and the computational procedures to determine all optimal solutions (if the uniqueness condition is not satisfied ) are provided. Finally, an illustrative example is also given. 展开更多
关键词 Pseudolinear optimization problem Polyhedral set Representation theorem multiple optimal solutions Convex simplex method
在线阅读 下载PDF
Solution to multiple attribute group decision making problems with two decision makers 被引量:2
10
作者 Fangwei Zhang Wei Wang Xuedong Hua 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第2期329-333,共5页
A kind of multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problem is discussed from the perspective of statistic decision-making. Firstly, on the basis of the stability theory, a new idea is proposed to solve this ... A kind of multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problem is discussed from the perspective of statistic decision-making. Firstly, on the basis of the stability theory, a new idea is proposed to solve this kind of problem. Secondly, a con- crete method corresponding to this kind of problem is proposed. The main tool of our research is the technique o~ the jackknife method. The main advantage of the new method is that it can identify and determine the reliability degree of the existed decision making information. Finally, a traffic engineering example is given to show the effectiveness of the new method. 展开更多
关键词 multiple attribute group decision making(MAGDM) stability theory jackknife method credibility degree traffic engineering
在线阅读 下载PDF
Leader-following coordination of multiple UUVs formation under two independent topologies and time-varying delays 被引量:5
11
作者 严浙平 刘一博 +1 位作者 于长斌 周佳加 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第2期382-393,共12页
The new method which uses the consensus algorithm to solve the coordinate control problems of multiple unmanned underwater vehicles (multi-UUVs) formation in the case of leader-following is adapted. As the communica... The new method which uses the consensus algorithm to solve the coordinate control problems of multiple unmanned underwater vehicles (multi-UUVs) formation in the case of leader-following is adapted. As the communication between the UUVs is difficult and it is easy to be interfered under the water, time delay is assumed to be time-varying during the members communicate with each other. Meanwhile, the state feedback linearization method is used to transfer the nonlinear and coupling model of UUV into double-integrator dynamic. With this simplified double-integrator math model, the UUV formation coordinate control is regarded as consensus problem with time-varying communication delays. In addition, the position and velocity topologies are adapted to reduce the data volume in each data packet which is sent between members in formation. With two independent topologies designed, two cases of communication delay which are same and different are considered and the sufficient conditions are proposed and analyzed. The stability of the multi-UUVs formation is proven by using Lyapunov-Razumilkhin theorem. Finally, the simulation results are presented to confirm and illustrate the theoretical results. 展开更多
关键词 multiple unmanned underwater vehicles formation consensus algorithm Lyapunov-Razumikhin theory time-varying delay state feedback linearization method
在线阅读 下载PDF
A novel launch dynamics measurement system for multiple launch rocket system and comparative analysis with numerical simulations 被引量:3
12
作者 Li-lin Gu Xiao-ting Rui +3 位作者 Guo-ping Wang Yi An Fu-feng Yang Min Wei 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第2期671-681,共11页
In this paper,a novel launch dynamics measurement system based on the photoelectric sensor pair is built.The actual muzzle time(i.e.a time duration that originates from the initial movement to the rocket’s departure ... In this paper,a novel launch dynamics measurement system based on the photoelectric sensor pair is built.The actual muzzle time(i.e.a time duration that originates from the initial movement to the rocket’s departure from the muzzle)and the muzzle velocity are measured.Compared with the classical methods,the actual muzzle time is obtained by eliminating the ignition delay.The comparative analysis method is proposed with numerical simulations established by the transfer matrix method for multibody systems.The experiment results indicate that the proposed measurement system can effectively measure the actual muzzle time and reduce the error of classical methods,which match well with the simulation results showing the launch dynamics model is reliable and helpful for further analysis and design of the MLRS. 展开更多
关键词 multiple launch rocket system Photoelectric sensor Launch dynamics measurement system Model verification Transfer matrix method for multibody SYSTEMS
在线阅读 下载PDF
Synthesis of CaCu_3Ti_4O_(12)powders and ceramics by sol-gel method using decanedioic acid and its dielectric properties 被引量:2
13
作者 王茂华 周芙 +1 位作者 王秋丽 姚超 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第12期3385-3389,共5页
The CaCu3Ti4O12 xerogels, powders and ceramics were prepared through the sol-gel method using two kinds of organic acid (decanoic acid and decanedioic acid). The xerogels, powders and ceramics were characterized by ... The CaCu3Ti4O12 xerogels, powders and ceramics were prepared through the sol-gel method using two kinds of organic acid (decanoic acid and decanedioic acid). The xerogels, powders and ceramics were characterized by the methods of TG-DTG, FT-IR, XRD, SEM and TEM. The dielectric properties of the ceramics were also measured. The results indicated that the powders calcined at 850 ℃ for 2 h are both nanometer scale particles. After sintering, the ceramics mainly consist of the CaCu3Ti4O12 phase. Compared with the powders prepared using monoacid, the particle size of the powders prepared using diacid obviously increases, and the grain size, the relative density and the whole permittivity of the ceramics increase as well. Specially, the ceramic prepared using decanedioic acid has higher relative density (97.3%), dielectric constant (316 808) and lower dielectric loss (0.242 5) at 30 ℃ (10 kIaz) 展开更多
关键词 CACU3TI4O12 sol-gel method decanedioic acid PERMITTIVITY
在线阅读 下载PDF
Preparation and electrochemical performance of Li_2Mn_(0.5)Fe_(0.5)SiO_4 cathode material with sol-gel method for lithium ion batteries
14
作者 胡传跃 郭军 +1 位作者 文瑾 彭秧锡 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第4期1285-1289,共5页
Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 material was synthesized by a citric acid-assisted sol-gel method. The influence of the stoichiometric ratio value of n(citric acid) to n(Fe2+-Mn2+) on the electrochemical properties of Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5... Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 material was synthesized by a citric acid-assisted sol-gel method. The influence of the stoichiometric ratio value of n(citric acid) to n(Fe2+-Mn2+) on the electrochemical properties of Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 was studied. The final sample was identified as Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 with a Pmn21 monoclinic structure by X-ray diffraction analysis. The crystal phases components and crystal phase structure of the Li2Fe0.5Mn0.4SiO4 material were improved as the increase of the stoichiometric ratio value of n(citric acid) to n(Fe2+-Mn2+). Field-emission scanning electron microscopy verified that the Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 particles are agglomerates of Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 primary particles with a geometric mean diameter of 220 nm. The Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 sample was used as an electrode material for rechargeable lithium ion batteries, and the electrochemical measurements were carried out at room temperature. The Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 electrode delivered a first discharge capacity of 230.1 mAh/g at the current density of 10 mA/g in first cycle and about 162 mAh/g after 20 cycles at the current density of 20 mA/g. 展开更多
关键词 lithium ion battery Li2Fe0.5Mn0.5SiO4 citric acid assisted sol-gel method cathode
在线阅读 下载PDF
Study on stress intensity factor of multiple cracks at collinear holes
15
作者 ZHAO Jin-fang XIE Li-yang +1 位作者 LIU Jian-zhong ZHAO Qun 《材料与冶金学报》 CAS 2010年第4期285-289,共5页
在线阅读 下载PDF
船冰多次碰撞下极地航行船舶舷侧结构动态响应研究 被引量:1
16
作者 姜河蓉 姜金辉 +1 位作者 杨泽文 袁昱超 《舰船科学技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期8-13,共6页
近年来全球变暖的加剧使得北极航道的开放更具可行性,为分析极地船舶航行过程中的冰载荷及船体结构响应特性,本文针对船体舷侧结构与浮冰场多次碰撞的场景开展数值仿真研究。参考现阶段浮冰观测统计经验,建立船体舷侧结构-浮冰场相互作... 近年来全球变暖的加剧使得北极航道的开放更具可行性,为分析极地船舶航行过程中的冰载荷及船体结构响应特性,本文针对船体舷侧结构与浮冰场多次碰撞的场景开展数值仿真研究。参考现阶段浮冰观测统计经验,建立船体舷侧结构-浮冰场相互作用有限元数值模型,在不同碰撞角度与不同浮冰密集度下开展仿真计算,分析船冰连续多次碰撞过程中碰撞力、能量及响应数据,研究碰撞角度和浮冰场密集度对浮冰载荷及船体舷侧结构响应特性的影响规律。结果表明,船冰多次相互作用下的结构响应规律与船冰单次作用存在一定差异,碰撞角度与浮冰场密集度参数对船冰碰撞力与船体舷侧结构响应特征影响呈现出一定的规律。本文研究内容对极地航行船舶舷侧结构的安全性设计具有参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 船-冰多次碰撞 舷侧结构 结构响应 非线性有限元方法
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于云计算的多类型大规模激光图像快速识别研究
17
作者 李洋 张阳 陶锐 《激光杂志》 北大核心 2025年第2期149-153,共5页
大规模激光图像是指数量庞大、信息量丰富的激光扫描图像数据。这类图像在地理信息获取、城市规划、自动驾驶等领域的应用日益广泛,通常包含丰富的空间信息和细节特征,因此,存在处理复杂度高的问题,云计算作为一种新兴的计算模式,具有... 大规模激光图像是指数量庞大、信息量丰富的激光扫描图像数据。这类图像在地理信息获取、城市规划、自动驾驶等领域的应用日益广泛,通常包含丰富的空间信息和细节特征,因此,存在处理复杂度高的问题,云计算作为一种新兴的计算模式,具有强大的计算能力和灵活的资源配置优势,研究基于云计算的多类型大规模激光图像快速识别方法。通过非线性匹配方式处理激光图像,确定激光图像中目标点位姿变化矩阵;将处理后的激光图像,以机器算法作特征筛选,划分不同类型激光图像中的关键特征;采用云计算关联方法,构建快速识别模型,通过模型内目标函数,实现多类型大规模激光图像快速识别。实验结果表明:以两组不同类型的连续帧激光图像作为测试样本,所研究方法可以实现设计方案下的快速识别,具有应用价值。 展开更多
关键词 云计算 多类型 大规模 激光图像 快速识别 匹配方式 关键特征
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于3种时间序列模型的北京市每日花粉浓度预测
18
作者 张鑫 杨华 +1 位作者 董玲玲 张宏远 《北京林业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第6期90-100,共11页
【目的】分析花粉高峰期持续时间和浓度峰值,构建北京市每日花粉浓度的最优预测模型,为科学预测未来每日花粉浓度提供数据支持。【方法】采用多重插补法处理2015—2020年北京市每日花粉浓度时间序列中的缺失数据,2015—2019年数据用于建... 【目的】分析花粉高峰期持续时间和浓度峰值,构建北京市每日花粉浓度的最优预测模型,为科学预测未来每日花粉浓度提供数据支持。【方法】采用多重插补法处理2015—2020年北京市每日花粉浓度时间序列中的缺失数据,2015—2019年数据用于建立SARIMA、LSTM和Prophet 3种时间序列模型,预测未来一年(2020年,共计182 d)的花粉浓度变化。【结果】(1)随机森林法、贝叶斯线性回归法、观测值中随机取样法和加权预测均值匹配法4种多重插补法中,随机森林法的第3个插补数据集P值最小(P=0.002),为最优插补数据集。(2)2015—2020年每日平均花粉浓度数据显示,春季高峰期集中在3—6月,4月初达到峰值(792粒/(103 mm^(2)));秋季高峰期集中在8月至9月末,在9月初达到峰值(449粒/(103 mm^(2)))。2015—2019年花粉浓度总体呈逐年下降趋势,2020年呈现阶跃式上升;其中,2015年高峰期持续时间最长(春季107 d,秋季65 d),2018年最短(春季60 d,秋季46 d);2020年花粉浓度峰值达到最高水平,而2019年花粉浓度峰值最低。(3)3种时间序列模型中,LSTM模型对北京市每日花粉浓度时间序列的描述和预测效果最佳。当LSTM模型的时间步长(look_back)为60时,模型预测效果最佳,RMSE、MAE均为最小,R^(2)=0.78。相比之下,Prophet模型效果较差,无法灵敏捕捉浓度峰值,预测值存在负数情况,预测效果不佳。SARIMA模型拟合效果尚可,但预测效果不理想,预测值存在为负的情况。【结论】与SARIMA和Prophet模型相比,LSTM模型更适用于北京市每日花粉浓度时间序列模型的建立与长期预测。未来研究应完善花粉浓度数据,优化模型性能,以更准确地预测花粉高峰期的起止时间、持续时间及高峰浓度,为过敏性疾病的防控提供更可靠的依据。 展开更多
关键词 多重插补法 花粉浓度 长短期记忆神经网络 长期预测
在线阅读 下载PDF
某丙烷脱氢装置大型管道高频振动特性分析
19
作者 贺佳 梁浩华 +3 位作者 张国华 杨玉强 胡美妃 陈政清 《振动与冲击》 北大核心 2025年第4期144-150,共7页
大型石化管道服役期间,受复杂工作环境影响,可能发生高频剧烈振动,影响结构正常使用,并存在较大的安全隐患,因此,很有必要对此类振动现象开展相关研究。以某丙烷脱氢装置的大型管道为对象,基于现场实测数据,分析了管道振动特性,并利用... 大型石化管道服役期间,受复杂工作环境影响,可能发生高频剧烈振动,影响结构正常使用,并存在较大的安全隐患,因此,很有必要对此类振动现象开展相关研究。以某丙烷脱氢装置的大型管道为对象,基于现场实测数据,分析了管道振动特性,并利用传递矩阵法,获取了管道内部不同工况下的气柱固有频率。研究发现:管道振动的加速度幅值大、位移幅值小,振动频率较高,且卓越频率之间存在明显的倍数关系,即倍频现象,如26 Hz和52 Hz;气柱固有频率与管道固有频率接近,结合压缩机的激励频率,引发了管道的共振现象。该研究采用的方法简便高效,可用于分析丙烷脱氢装置大型管道的振动特性,探求管道振动的原因,并为类似管道的性能评估和减振方案设计提供参考依据。 展开更多
关键词 管道振动 倍频现象 气柱固有频率 传递矩阵法
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于大直径钻孔钻进多参量的煤体应力钻测方法
20
作者 赵同彬 赵志刚 +3 位作者 齐炎山 尹延春 牛旭 李淇凡 《煤炭科学技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期122-132,共11页
煤体高应力是冲击地压发生的必要条件,及时准确测量评估煤体应力是冲击地压预警工作的关键环节。大直径钻孔是煤矿冲击地压防治最常用的预卸压、卸压解危和应力调控方法,研发和应用基于大直径卸压钻孔的煤体应力随钻测量技术方法,可以... 煤体高应力是冲击地压发生的必要条件,及时准确测量评估煤体应力是冲击地压预警工作的关键环节。大直径钻孔是煤矿冲击地压防治最常用的预卸压、卸压解危和应力调控方法,研发和应用基于大直径卸压钻孔的煤体应力随钻测量技术方法,可以得到煤矿井下大量煤体应力数据。本文根据煤体钻削破坏特征,对钻头破煤进行了力学分析,以钻头钻削力为纽带,研究了钻头受力与煤体应力关系,建立了煤体钻削力学模型,给出了包含钻进多参量的煤体应力反演方程;开展不同强度和煤体应力的原煤室内钻进实验,验证了力学模型的准确性和适用性,自主研制了大直径卸压钻机配套的随钻测量装置,开展煤矿井下实测实验,获取钻头位移、转速、转矩随时间变化数据,计算得到不同钻孔深度的煤体应力,给出了卸压孔区应力场分布形态,并与钻进能量和钻进时间进行了比较分析。结果表明,室内钻进实验加载应力与钻削力学模型计算应力平均误差为4.9%、最大误差为15.7%;现场实测煤体应力随孔深呈现先上升后下降的趋势,与煤壁支承压力分布规律一致,同一钻孔的煤体应力、钻进时间和钻进能量随孔深变化曲线基本一致,表明高应力区钻孔消耗能量较多,所需钻进时间也较长;对比相邻钻孔应力发现,先施工钻孔的应力峰值较高,后施工钻孔应力峰值较低,且峰值位置向深部转移,表明先施工钻孔起到明显的卸压作用。通过建立钻进多参量和煤体应力的定量关系,进行基于大直径卸压钻孔钻进多参量的煤体应力原位测量,将大直径卸压钻孔从卸压工程孔拓展为应力测量孔,实现钻孔卸压与应力测量评估一体化。 展开更多
关键词 大直径卸压钻孔 钻削力学模型 煤体应力 钻进多参量 钻测方法
在线阅读 下载PDF
上一页 1 2 98 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部