The high-speed development of space defense technology demands a high state estimation capacity for spacecraft tracking methods.However,reentry flight is accompanied by complex flight environments,which brings to the ...The high-speed development of space defense technology demands a high state estimation capacity for spacecraft tracking methods.However,reentry flight is accompanied by complex flight environments,which brings to the uncertain,complex,and strongly coupled non-Gaussian detection noise.As a result,there are several intractable considerations on the problem of state estimation tasks corrupted by complex non-Gaussian outliers for non-linear dynamics systems in practical application.To address these issues,a new iterated rational quadratic(RQ)kernel high-order unscented Kalman filtering(IRQHUKF)algorithm via capturing the statistics to break through the limitations of the Gaussian assumption is proposed.Firstly,the characteristic analysis of the RQ kernel is investigated in detail,which is the first attempt to carry out an exploration of the heavy-tailed characteristic and the ability on capturing highorder moments of the RQ kernel.Subsequently,the RQ kernel method is first introduced into the UKF algorithm as an error optimization criterion,termed the iterated RQ kernel-UKF(RQ-UKF)algorithm by derived analytically,which not only retains the high-order moments propagation process but also enhances the approximation capacity in the non-Gaussian noise problem for its ability in capturing highorder moments and heavy-tailed characteristics.Meanwhile,to tackle the limitations of the Gaussian distribution assumption in the linearization process of the non-linear systems,the high-order Sigma Points(SP)as a subsidiary role in propagating the state high-order statistics is devised by the moments matching method to improve the RQ-UKF.Finally,to further improve the flexibility of the IRQ-HUKF algorithm in practical application,an adaptive kernel parameter is derived analytically grounded in the Kullback-Leibler divergence(KLD)method and parametric sensitivity analysis of the RQ kernel.The simulation results demonstrate that the novel IRQ-HUKF algorithm is more robust and outperforms the existing advanced UKF with respect to the kernel method in reentry vehicle tracking scenarios under various noise environments.展开更多
The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of ...The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of APS were studied. Thereafter, aiming to build up a multi-step APS forecasting model that provides richer information than a conventional one-step model, the largest Lyapunov exponents(largest LEs) method was introduced into PGS. By experimental tests conducted using the same dataset, its prediction performance was compared with traditional wavelet neural network(WNN) method in both one-step and multi-step processes. Based on the results, a new multi-step forecasting model called WNN-LE method was proposed, where WNN, which enjoys a more accurate performance along with a better learning ability in short-term forecasting, was applied in the early forecast steps while the Lyapunov exponent prediction method in the latter steps precisely reflect the chaotic feature in latter forecast period. The MSE of APS forecasting for one hour time period can be reduced from 83.1 to 27.1(in a parking building with 492 berths) by using largest LEs method instead of WNN and further reduced to 19.0 by conducted the new method.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.12072090.
文摘The high-speed development of space defense technology demands a high state estimation capacity for spacecraft tracking methods.However,reentry flight is accompanied by complex flight environments,which brings to the uncertain,complex,and strongly coupled non-Gaussian detection noise.As a result,there are several intractable considerations on the problem of state estimation tasks corrupted by complex non-Gaussian outliers for non-linear dynamics systems in practical application.To address these issues,a new iterated rational quadratic(RQ)kernel high-order unscented Kalman filtering(IRQHUKF)algorithm via capturing the statistics to break through the limitations of the Gaussian assumption is proposed.Firstly,the characteristic analysis of the RQ kernel is investigated in detail,which is the first attempt to carry out an exploration of the heavy-tailed characteristic and the ability on capturing highorder moments of the RQ kernel.Subsequently,the RQ kernel method is first introduced into the UKF algorithm as an error optimization criterion,termed the iterated RQ kernel-UKF(RQ-UKF)algorithm by derived analytically,which not only retains the high-order moments propagation process but also enhances the approximation capacity in the non-Gaussian noise problem for its ability in capturing highorder moments and heavy-tailed characteristics.Meanwhile,to tackle the limitations of the Gaussian distribution assumption in the linearization process of the non-linear systems,the high-order Sigma Points(SP)as a subsidiary role in propagating the state high-order statistics is devised by the moments matching method to improve the RQ-UKF.Finally,to further improve the flexibility of the IRQ-HUKF algorithm in practical application,an adaptive kernel parameter is derived analytically grounded in the Kullback-Leibler divergence(KLD)method and parametric sensitivity analysis of the RQ kernel.The simulation results demonstrate that the novel IRQ-HUKF algorithm is more robust and outperforms the existing advanced UKF with respect to the kernel method in reentry vehicle tracking scenarios under various noise environments.
基金Project(2012CB725402)supported by the National Key Basic Research Program of ChinaProjects(51338003,50908051)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of APS were studied. Thereafter, aiming to build up a multi-step APS forecasting model that provides richer information than a conventional one-step model, the largest Lyapunov exponents(largest LEs) method was introduced into PGS. By experimental tests conducted using the same dataset, its prediction performance was compared with traditional wavelet neural network(WNN) method in both one-step and multi-step processes. Based on the results, a new multi-step forecasting model called WNN-LE method was proposed, where WNN, which enjoys a more accurate performance along with a better learning ability in short-term forecasting, was applied in the early forecast steps while the Lyapunov exponent prediction method in the latter steps precisely reflect the chaotic feature in latter forecast period. The MSE of APS forecasting for one hour time period can be reduced from 83.1 to 27.1(in a parking building with 492 berths) by using largest LEs method instead of WNN and further reduced to 19.0 by conducted the new method.
