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An Estimation Method for Kill Probability Based on Random Residence Time Series
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作者 刘超 王军 郭治 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第4期229-234,共6页
Relations between statistical residence time series and effective shooting are analyzed in accordance with the properties of the random residence time of maneuver targets crossing shot area in a given time. An estimat... Relations between statistical residence time series and effective shooting are analyzed in accordance with the properties of the random residence time of maneuver targets crossing shot area in a given time. An estimation method for kill probability is proposed, which solves the probability of number of residence times satisfied effective shooting in given time. Some expressions and their approximate formulae of kill probability are derived, under known the distribution of residence time series. Theoretical analysis and simulation results show that this method is suitable for evaluating the hit ability of fire system for maneuver targets in random shooting. 展开更多
关键词 probability theory kill probability shooting area residence time Poisson process Gamma distribution
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Vulnerability assessment of UAV engine to laser based on improved shotline method
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作者 Le Liu Chengyang Xu +3 位作者 Changbin Zheng Sheng Cai Chunrui Wang Jin Guo 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期588-600,共13页
Laser anti-drone technology is entering the sequence of actual combat,and it is necessary to consider the vulnerability of typical functional parts of UAVs.Since the concept of"vulnerability"was proposed,a v... Laser anti-drone technology is entering the sequence of actual combat,and it is necessary to consider the vulnerability of typical functional parts of UAVs.Since the concept of"vulnerability"was proposed,a variety of analysis programs for battlefield targets to traditional weapons have been developed,but a comprehensive assessment methodology for targets'vulnerability to laser is still missing.Based on the shotline method,this paper proposes a method that equates laser beam to shotline array,an efficient vulnerability analysis program of target to laser is established by this method,and the program includes the circuit board and the wire into the vulnerability analysis category,which improves the precision of the vulnerability analysis.Taking the UAV engine part as the target of vulnerability analysis,combine with the"life-death unit method"to calculate the laser penetration rate of various materials of the UAV,and the influence of laser weapon system parameters and striking orientation on the killing probability is quantified after introducing the penetration rate into the vulnerability analysis program.The quantitative analysis method proposed in this paper has certain general expansibility,which can provide a fresh idea for the vulnerability analysis of other targets to laser. 展开更多
关键词 Laser weapon Laser damage VULNERABILITY UAV ENGINE killing probability
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A Variational Method for the Fuse-Warhead Coordination Design of an Air-Faced Missile 被引量:2
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作者 Gao Peiwang(Department of Engineering Safety, Beijing Institute of Technology, 100081, P. R. China)Miao Ligong(Beijing Institute of Electronic System Engineering, 100854, P. R. China)Yao Cuiyou & Ma Xiaoqing(Department of Engineering Safety, Beijing Insti 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1999年第4期72-80,共9页
This paper presents a variational method for the fuse-warhead coordination design of an air-faced missile, which takes the distribution density of fragments for a variable and the totalprobability of kill of single mi... This paper presents a variational method for the fuse-warhead coordination design of an air-faced missile, which takes the distribution density of fragments for a variable and the totalprobability of kill of single missile against an air-target for an objective function. 展开更多
关键词 Air-faced missile Fuse-warhead coordination Kill probability of single against an airtarget Variational calculus
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