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Early prediction cardiac arrest in intensive care units:the value of laboratory indicator trends
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作者 Wentao Sang Jiaxin Ma +8 位作者 Xuan Zhang Shuo Wu Chang Pan Jiaqi Zheng Wen Zheng Qiuhuan Yuan Jian Zhang Jingjing Ma Feng Xu 《World Journal of Emergency Medicine》 2025年第1期67-70,共4页
The incidence of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) has increased over the past decade,with more than half occurring in intensive care units (ICUs).^([1])ICU cardiac arrest (ICU-CA)presents unique challenges,with worse... The incidence of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) has increased over the past decade,with more than half occurring in intensive care units (ICUs).^([1])ICU cardiac arrest (ICU-CA)presents unique challenges,with worse outcomes than those in monitored wards,highlighting the need for early detection and intervention.^([2])Up to 80%of patients exhibit signs of deterioration hours before IHCA.^([3])Although early warning scores based on vital signs are useful,their eff ectiveness in ICUs is limited due to abnormal physiological parameters.^([4])Laboratory markers,such as sodium,potassium,and lactate,are predictive of poor outcomes,^([5])but static measurements may not capture the patient’s trajectory.Trends in laboratory indicators,such as variability and extremes,may offer better predictive value.^([6])This study aimed to evaluate ICU-CA predictive factors,with a focus on vital signs and trends of laboratory indicators. 展开更多
关键词 prediction SIGNS ARREST
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Physics-informed battery degradation prediction:Forecasting charging curves using one-cycle data
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作者 Aihua Tang Yuchen Xu +2 位作者 Jinpeng Tian Xing Shu Quanqing Yu 《Journal of Energy Chemistry》 2025年第2期825-836,I0018,共13页
Accurately predicting battery degradation is crucial for battery system management.However,due to the complexities of aging mechanisms and limitations of historical data,comprehensively indicating battery degradation ... Accurately predicting battery degradation is crucial for battery system management.However,due to the complexities of aging mechanisms and limitations of historical data,comprehensively indicating battery degradation solely through maximum capacity loss assessment is challenging.While machine learning offers promising solutions,it often overlooks domain knowledge,resulting in reduced accu racy,increased computational burden and decreased interpretability.Here,this study proposes a method to predict the voltage-capacity(V-Q) curve during battery degradation with limited historical data.This process is achieved through two physically interpretable components:a lightweight interpretable physical model and a physics-informed neural network.These components incorporate domain knowledge into machine learning to improve V-Q curve prediction performance and enhance interpretability.Extensive validation was conducted on 52 batteries of different types under different testing conditions.The proposed method can accurately predict future V-Q.curves for hundreds of cycles using only one-present-cycle V-Q curve,with root mean square error and mean absolute error basically less than 0.035 Ah and R^(2) basically less than 98.5%.This means that incremental capacity curves can be extracted from the predicted results for a more comprehensive and accurate battery degradation analysis.Furthermore,the method can flexibly adjust prediction length and density to cater to the practical needs of long-cycle prediction and data generation.This study provides a viable method for rapid degradation prediction and is expected to be generalized to in-vehicle implementations. 展开更多
关键词 BATTERY prediction CURVES
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A Review of MAX Series Materials:From Diversity,Synthesis,Prediction,Properties Oriented to Functions
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作者 Jian Zhang Ru Jia +5 位作者 Kar Ban Tan Jiaming Li Shichong Xu Guobing Ying Wenjuan Han Ming Lu 《Nano-Micro Letters》 2025年第7期410-451,共42页
MAX series materials,as non-van der Waals layered multi-element compounds,contribute remarkable regulated properties and functional dimension,combining the features of metal and ceramic materials due to their inherent... MAX series materials,as non-van der Waals layered multi-element compounds,contribute remarkable regulated properties and functional dimension,combining the features of metal and ceramic materials due to their inherently laminated crystal structure that Mn+1Xn slabs are intercalated with A element layers.Oriented to the functional requirements of information,intelligence,electrification,and aerospace in the new era,how to accelerate MAX series materials into new quality productive forces?The systematic enhancement of knowledge about MAX series materials is intrinsic to understanding its low-dimensional geometric structure characteristics,and physical and chemical properties,revealing the correlation of composition,structure,and function and further realizing rational design based on simulation and prediction.Diversity also brings complexity to MAX materials research.This review provides substantial tabular information on(Ⅰ)MAX’s research timeline from 1960 to the present,(Ⅱ)structure diversity and classification convention,(Ⅲ)synthesis route exploration,(Ⅳ)prediction based on theory and machine learning,(Ⅴ)properties,and(Ⅵ)functional applications.Herein,the researchers can quickly locate research content and recognize connections and differences of MAX series materials.In addition,the research challenges for the future development of MAX series materials are highlighted. 展开更多
关键词 MAX materials DIVERSITY Synthetic strategy prediction Function
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Efficient Spatio-Temporal Predictive Learning for Massive MIMO CSI Prediction
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作者 CHENG Jiaming CHEN Wei +1 位作者 LI Lun AI Bo 《ZTE Communications》 2025年第1期3-10,共8页
Accurate channel state information(CSI)is crucial for 6G wireless communication systems to accommodate the growing demands of mobile broadband services.In massive multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO)systems,traditiona... Accurate channel state information(CSI)is crucial for 6G wireless communication systems to accommodate the growing demands of mobile broadband services.In massive multiple-input multiple-output(MIMO)systems,traditional CSI feedback approaches face challenges such as performance degradation due to feedback delay and channel aging caused by user mobility.To address these issues,we propose a novel spatio-temporal predictive network(STPNet)that jointly integrates CSI feedback and prediction modules.STPNet employs stacked Inception modules to learn the spatial correlation and temporal evolution of CSI,which captures both the local and the global spatiotemporal features.In addition,the signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)adaptive module is designed to adapt flexibly to diverse feedback channel conditions.Simulation results demonstrate that STPNet outperforms existing channel prediction methods under various channel conditions. 展开更多
关键词 massive MIMO deep learning CSI prediction CSI feedback
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Disruption prediction and mitigation strategies in the EHL-2 spherical torus
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作者 Jianqing CAI Yunfeng LIANG +6 位作者 Zhongyong CHEN Wei ZHENG Di HU Lei XUE Zhifang LIN Xiang GU the EHL-2 Team 《Plasma Science and Technology》 2025年第2期143-152,共10页
EHL-2 is a compact,high-field spherical tokamak designed to explore the potential of an advanced p-11B nuclear fusion reactor.Due to its high plasma current and thermal energy,it is crucial to mitigate the impact asso... EHL-2 is a compact,high-field spherical tokamak designed to explore the potential of an advanced p-11B nuclear fusion reactor.Due to its high plasma current and thermal energy,it is crucial to mitigate the impact associated with disruptions to ensure the safe operation of EHL-2.This paper evaluates the performance requirements of the disruption prediction system on EHL-2,with a particular focus on applying generalizable knowledge transfer from existing devices to future ones.Furthermore,the key characteristics of disruption mitigation strategies are analyzed,and their overall mitigation performance on EHL-2 is assessed.This insight provides valuable guidance for optimizing the engineering design of EHL-2 and identifying its optimal operational regime. 展开更多
关键词 spherical tokamak EHL-2 disruption mitigation disruption prediction neural network
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Model-free prediction of chaotic dynamics with parameter-aware reservoir computing
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作者 Jianmin Guo Yao Du +3 位作者 Haibo Luo Xuan Wang Yizhen Yu Xingang Wang 《Chinese Physics B》 2025年第4期143-152,共10页
Model-free,data-driven prediction of chaotic motions is a long-standing challenge in nonlinear science.Stimulated by the recent progress in machine learning,considerable attention has been given to the inference of ch... Model-free,data-driven prediction of chaotic motions is a long-standing challenge in nonlinear science.Stimulated by the recent progress in machine learning,considerable attention has been given to the inference of chaos by the technique of reservoir computing(RC).In particular,by incorporating a parameter-control channel into the standard RC,it is demonstrated that the machine is able to not only replicate the dynamics of the training states,but also infer new dynamics not included in the training set.The new machine-learning scheme,termed parameter-aware RC,opens up new avenues for data-based analysis of chaotic systems,and holds promise for predicting and controlling many real-world complex systems.Here,using typical chaotic systems as examples,we give a comprehensive introduction to this powerful machine-learning technique,including the algorithm,the implementation,the performance,and the open questions calling for further studies. 展开更多
关键词 chaos prediction time-series analysis bifurcation diagram parameter-aware reservoir computing
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Integration of a hybrid vibration prediction model for railways into noise mapping software:methodology,assumptions and demonstration
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作者 Pieter Reumers Geert Degrande +5 位作者 Geert Lombaert David JThompson Evangelos Ntotsios Pascal Bouvet Brice Nélain Andreas Nuber 《Railway Engineering Science》 2025年第1期1-26,共26页
Within the SILVARSTAR project,a user-friendly frequency-based hybrid prediction tool has been developed to assess the environmental impact of railway-induced vibration.This tool is integrated in existing noise mapping... Within the SILVARSTAR project,a user-friendly frequency-based hybrid prediction tool has been developed to assess the environmental impact of railway-induced vibration.This tool is integrated in existing noise mapping software.Following modern vibration standards and guidelines,the vibration velocity level in a building in each frequency band is expressed as the sum of a force density(source term),line source transfer mobility(propagation term)and building correction factor(receiver term).A hybrid approach is used that allows for a combination of experimental data and numerical predictions,providing increased flexibility and applicability.The train and track properties can be selected from a database or entered as numerical values.The user can select soil impedance and transfer functions from a database,pre-computed for a wide range of parameters with state-of-the-art models.An experimental database of force densities,transfer functions,free field vibration and input parameters is also provided.The building response is estimated by means of building correction factors.Assumptions within the modelling approach are made to reduce computation time but these can influence prediction accuracy;this is quantified for the case of a nominal intercity train running at different speeds on a ballasted track supported by homogeneous soil of varying stiffness.The paper focuses on the influence of these parameters on the compliance of the track–soil system and the free field response.We also demonstrate the use and discuss the validation of the vibration prediction tool for the case of a high-speed train running on a ballasted track in Lincent(Belgium). 展开更多
关键词 Railway-induced vibration Hybrid vibration prediction model Experimental validation Low-speed approximation
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Hypersonic glide vehicle trajectory prediction based on frequency enhanced channel attention and light sampling-oriented MLP network
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作者 Yuepeng Cai Xuebin Zhuang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第4期199-212,共14页
Hypersonic Glide Vehicles(HGVs)are advanced aircraft that can achieve extremely high speeds(generally over 5 Mach)and maneuverability within the Earth's atmosphere.HGV trajectory prediction is crucial for effectiv... Hypersonic Glide Vehicles(HGVs)are advanced aircraft that can achieve extremely high speeds(generally over 5 Mach)and maneuverability within the Earth's atmosphere.HGV trajectory prediction is crucial for effective defense planning and interception strategies.In recent years,HGV trajectory prediction methods based on deep learning have the great potential to significantly enhance prediction accuracy and efficiency.However,it's still challenging to strike a balance between improving prediction performance and reducing computation costs of the deep learning trajectory prediction models.To solve this problem,we propose a new deep learning framework(FECA-LSMN)for efficient HGV trajectory prediction.The model first uses a Frequency Enhanced Channel Attention(FECA)module to facilitate the fusion of different HGV trajectory features,and then subsequently employs a Light Sampling-oriented Multi-Layer Perceptron Network(LSMN)based on simple MLP-based structures to extract long/shortterm HGV trajectory features for accurate trajectory prediction.Also,we employ a new data normalization method called reversible instance normalization(RevIN)to enhance the prediction accuracy and training stability of the network.Compared to other popular trajectory prediction models based on LSTM,GRU and Transformer,our FECA-LSMN model achieves leading or comparable performance in terms of RMSE,MAE and MAPE metrics while demonstrating notably faster computation time.The ablation experiments show that the incorporation of the FECA module significantly improves the prediction performance of the network.The RevIN data normalization technique outperforms traditional min-max normalization as well. 展开更多
关键词 Hypersonic glide vehicle Trajectory prediction Frequency enhanced channel attention Light sampling-oriented MLP network
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Data driven prediction of fragment velocity distribution under explosive loading conditions
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作者 Donghwan Noh Piemaan Fazily +4 位作者 Songwon Seo Jaekun Lee Seungjae Seo Hoon Huh Jeong Whan Yoon 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第1期109-119,共11页
This study presents a machine learning-based method for predicting fragment velocity distribution in warhead fragmentation under explosive loading condition.The fragment resultant velocities are correlated with key de... This study presents a machine learning-based method for predicting fragment velocity distribution in warhead fragmentation under explosive loading condition.The fragment resultant velocities are correlated with key design parameters including casing dimensions and detonation positions.The paper details the finite element analysis for fragmentation,the characterizations of the dynamic hardening and fracture models,the generation of comprehensive datasets,and the training of the ANN model.The results show the influence of casing dimensions on fragment velocity distributions,with the tendencies indicating increased resultant velocity with reduced thickness,increased length and diameter.The model's predictive capability is demonstrated through the accurate predictions for both training and testing datasets,showing its potential for the real-time prediction of fragmentation performance. 展开更多
关键词 Data driven prediction Dynamic fracture model Dynamic hardening model FRAGMENTATION Fragment velocity distribution High strain rate Machine learning
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Classifying rockburst with confidence:A novel conformal prediction approach 被引量:3
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作者 Bemah Ibrahim Isaac Ahenkorah 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期51-64,共14页
The scientific community recognizes the seriousness of rockbursts and the need for effective mitigation measures.The literature reports various successful applications of machine learning(ML)models for rockburst asses... The scientific community recognizes the seriousness of rockbursts and the need for effective mitigation measures.The literature reports various successful applications of machine learning(ML)models for rockburst assessment;however,a significant question remains unanswered:How reliable are these models,and at what confidence level are classifications made?Typically,ML models output single rockburst grade even in the face of intricate and out-of-distribution samples,without any associated confidence value.Given the susceptibility of ML models to errors,it becomes imperative to quantify their uncertainty to prevent consequential failures.To address this issue,we propose a conformal prediction(CP)framework built on traditional ML models(extreme gradient boosting and random forest)to generate valid classifications of rockburst while producing a measure of confidence for its output.The proposed framework guarantees marginal coverage and,in most cases,conditional coverage on the test dataset.The CP was evaluated on a rockburst case in the Sanshandao Gold Mine in China,where it achieved high coverage and efficiency at applicable confidence levels.Significantly,the CP identified several“confident”classifications from the traditional ML model as unreliable,necessitating expert verification for informed decision-making.The proposed framework improves the reliability and accuracy of rockburst assessments,with the potential to bolster user confidence. 展开更多
关键词 ROCKBURST Machine learning Uncertainty quantification Conformal prediction
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Development and validation of a model integrating clinical and coronary lesion-based functional assessment for longterm risk prediction in PCI patients 被引量:1
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作者 Shao-Yu WU Rui ZHANG +5 位作者 Sheng YUAN Zhong-Xing CAI Chang-Dong GUAN Tong-Qiang ZOU Li-Hua XIE Ke-Fei DOU 《Journal of Geriatric Cardiology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第1期44-63,共20页
OBJECTIVES To establish a scoring system combining the ACEF score and the quantitative blood flow ratio(QFR) to improve the long-term risk prediction of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).METH... OBJECTIVES To establish a scoring system combining the ACEF score and the quantitative blood flow ratio(QFR) to improve the long-term risk prediction of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).METHODS In this population-based cohort study, a total of 46 features, including patient clinical and coronary lesion characteristics, were assessed for analysis through machine learning models. The ACEF-QFR scoring system was developed using 1263consecutive cases of CAD patients after PCI in PANDA Ⅲ trial database. The newly developed score was then validated on the other remaining 542 patients in the cohort.RESULTS In both the Random Forest Model and the Deep Surv Model, age, renal function(creatinine), cardiac function(LVEF)and post-PCI coronary physiological index(QFR) were identified and confirmed to be significant predictive factors for 2-year adverse cardiac events. The ACEF-QFR score was constructed based on the developmental dataset and computed as age(years)/EF(%) + 1(if creatinine ≥ 2.0 mg/d L) + 1(if post-PCI QFR ≤ 0.92). The performance of the ACEF-QFR scoring system was preliminarily evaluated in the developmental dataset, and then further explored in the validation dataset. The ACEF-QFR score showed superior discrimination(C-statistic = 0.651;95% CI: 0.611-0.691, P < 0.05 versus post-PCI physiological index and other commonly used risk scores) and excellent calibration(Hosmer–Lemeshow χ^(2)= 7.070;P = 0.529) for predicting 2-year patient-oriented composite endpoint(POCE). The good prognostic value of the ACEF-QFR score was further validated by multivariable Cox regression and Kaplan–Meier analysis(adjusted HR = 1.89;95% CI: 1.18–3.04;log-rank P < 0.01) after stratified the patients into high-risk group and low-risk group.CONCLUSIONS An improved scoring system combining clinical and coronary lesion-based functional variables(ACEF-QFR)was developed, and its ability for prognostic prediction in patients with PCI was further validated to be significantly better than the post-PCI physiological index and other commonly used risk scores. 展开更多
关键词 PATIENTS CORONARY prediction
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Ground threat prediction-based path planning of unmanned autonomous helicopter using hybrid enhanced artificial bee colony algorithm 被引量:2
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作者 Zengliang Han Mou Chen +1 位作者 Haojie Zhu Qingxian Wu 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期1-22,共22页
Unmanned autonomous helicopter(UAH)path planning problem is an important component of the UAH mission planning system.Aiming to reduce the influence of non-complete ground threat information on UAH path planning,a gro... Unmanned autonomous helicopter(UAH)path planning problem is an important component of the UAH mission planning system.Aiming to reduce the influence of non-complete ground threat information on UAH path planning,a ground threat prediction-based path planning method is proposed based on artificial bee colony(ABC)algorithm by collaborative thinking strategy.Firstly,a dynamic threat distribution probability model is developed based on the characteristics of typical ground threats.The dynamic no-fly zone of the UAH is simulated and established by calculating the distribution probability of ground threats in real time.Then,a dynamic path planning method for UAH is designed in complex environment based on the real-time prediction of ground threats.By adding the collision warning mechanism to the path planning model,the flight path could be dynamically adjusted according to changing no-fly zones.Furthermore,a hybrid enhanced ABC algorithm is proposed based on collaborative thinking strategy.The proposed algorithm applies the leader-member thinking mechanism to guide the direction of population evolution,and reduces the negative impact of local optimal solutions caused by collaborative learning update strategy,which makes the optimization performance of ABC algorithm more controllable and efficient.Finally,simulation results verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed ground threat prediction path planning method. 展开更多
关键词 UAH Path planning Ground threat prediction Hybrid enhanced Collaborative thinking
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Prediction of treatment response to antipsychotic drugs for precision medicine approach to schizophrenia:randomized trials and multiomics analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Liang-Kun Guo Yi Su +24 位作者 Yu-Ya-Nan Zhang Hao Yu Zhe Lu Wen-Qiang Li Yong-Feng Yang Xiao Xiao Hao Yan Tian-Lan Lu Jun Li Yun-Dan Liao Zhe-Wei Kang Li-Fang Wang Yue Li Ming Li Bing Liu Hai-Liang Huang Lu-Xian Lv Yin Yao Yun-Long Tan Gerome Breen Ian Everall Hong-Xing Wang Zhuo Huang Dai Zhang Wei-Hua Yue 《Military Medical Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第1期19-33,共15页
Background:Choosing the appropriate antipsychotic drug(APD)treatment for patients with schizophrenia(SCZ)can be challenging,as the treatment response to APD is highly variable and difficult to predict due to the lack ... Background:Choosing the appropriate antipsychotic drug(APD)treatment for patients with schizophrenia(SCZ)can be challenging,as the treatment response to APD is highly variable and difficult to predict due to the lack of effective biomarkers.Previous studies have indicated the association between treatment response and genetic and epigenetic factors,but no effective biomarkers have been identified.Hence,further research is imperative to enhance precision medicine in SCZ treatment.Methods:Participants with SCZ were recruited from two randomized trials.The discovery cohort was recruited from the CAPOC trial(n=2307)involved 6 weeks of treatment and equally randomized the participants to the Olanzapine,Risperidone,Quetiapine,Aripiprazole,Ziprasidone,and Haloperidol/Perphenazine(subsequently equally assigned to one or the other)groups.The external validation cohort was recruited from the CAPEC trial(n=1379),which involved 8 weeks of treatment and equally randomized the participants to the Olanzapine,Risperidone,and Aripiprazole groups.Additionally,healthy controls(n=275)from the local community were utilized as a genetic/epigenetic reference.The genetic and epigenetic(DNA methylation)risks of SCZ were assessed using the polygenic risk score(PRS)and polymethylation score,respectively.The study also examined the genetic-epigenetic interactions with treatment response through differential methylation analysis,methylation quantitative trait loci,colocalization,and promoteranchored chromatin interaction.Machine learning was used to develop a prediction model for treatment response,which was evaluated for accuracy and clinical benefit using the area under curve(AUC)for classification,R^(2) for regression,and decision curve analysis.Results:Six risk genes for SCZ(LINC01795,DDHD2,SBNO1,KCNG2,SEMA7A,and RUFY1)involved in cortical morphology were identified as having a genetic-epigenetic interaction associated with treatment response.The developed and externally validated prediction model,which incorporated clinical information,PRS,genetic risk score(GRS),and proxy methylation level(proxyDNAm),demonstrated positive benefits for a wide range of patients receiving different APDs,regardless of sex[discovery cohort:AUC=0.874(95%CI 0.867-0.881),R^(2)=0.478;external validation cohort:AUC=0.851(95%CI 0.841-0.861),R^(2)=0.507].Conclusions:This study presents a promising precision medicine approach to evaluate treatment response,which has the potential to aid clinicians in making informed decisions about APD treatment for patients with SCZ.Trial registration Chinese Clinical Trial Registry(https://www.chictr.org.cn/),18 Aug 2009 retrospectively registered:CAPOC-ChiCTR-RNC-09000521(https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=9014),CAPEC-ChiCTRRNC-09000522(https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=9013). 展开更多
关键词 SCHIZOPHRENIA Antipsychotic drug Treatment response prediction model GENETICS EPIGENETICS
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An adaptive physics-informed deep learning method for pore pressure prediction using seismic data 被引量:3
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作者 Xin Zhang Yun-Hu Lu +2 位作者 Yan Jin Mian Chen Bo Zhou 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期885-902,共18页
Accurate prediction of formation pore pressure is essential to predict fluid flow and manage hydrocarbon production in petroleum engineering.Recent deep learning technique has been receiving more interest due to the g... Accurate prediction of formation pore pressure is essential to predict fluid flow and manage hydrocarbon production in petroleum engineering.Recent deep learning technique has been receiving more interest due to the great potential to deal with pore pressure prediction.However,most of the traditional deep learning models are less efficient to address generalization problems.To fill this technical gap,in this work,we developed a new adaptive physics-informed deep learning model with high generalization capability to predict pore pressure values directly from seismic data.Specifically,the new model,named CGP-NN,consists of a novel parametric features extraction approach(1DCPP),a stacked multilayer gated recurrent model(multilayer GRU),and an adaptive physics-informed loss function.Through machine training,the developed model can automatically select the optimal physical model to constrain the results for each pore pressure prediction.The CGP-NN model has the best generalization when the physicsrelated metricλ=0.5.A hybrid approach combining Eaton and Bowers methods is also proposed to build machine-learnable labels for solving the problem of few labels.To validate the developed model and methodology,a case study on a complex reservoir in Tarim Basin was further performed to demonstrate the high accuracy on the pore pressure prediction of new wells along with the strong generalization ability.The adaptive physics-informed deep learning approach presented here has potential application in the prediction of pore pressures coupled with multiple genesis mechanisms using seismic data. 展开更多
关键词 Pore pressure prediction Seismic data 1D convolution pyramid pooling Adaptive physics-informed loss function High generalization capability
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The prediction of projectile-target intersection for moving tank based on adaptive robust constraint-following control and interval uncertainty analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Cong Li Xiuye Wang +2 位作者 Yuze Ma Fengjie Xu Guolai Yang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期351-363,共13页
To improve the hit probability of tank at high speed,a prediction method of projectile-target intersection based on adaptive robust constraint-following control and interval uncertainty analysis is proposed.The method... To improve the hit probability of tank at high speed,a prediction method of projectile-target intersection based on adaptive robust constraint-following control and interval uncertainty analysis is proposed.The method proposed provides a novel way to predict the impact point of projectile for moving tank.First,bidirectional stability constraints and stability constraint-following error are constructed using the Udwadia-Kalaba theory,and an adaptive robust constraint-following controller is designed considering uncertainties.Second,the exterior ballistic ordinary differential equation with uncertainties is integrated into the controller,and the pointing control of stability system is extended to the impact-point control of projectile.Third,based on the interval uncertainty analysis method combining Chebyshev polynomial expansion and affine arithmetic,a prediction method of projectile-target intersection is proposed.Finally,the co-simulation experiment is performed by establishing the multi-body system dynamic model of tank and mathematical model of control system.The results demonstrate that the prediction method of projectile-target intersection based on uncertainty analysis can effectively decrease the uncertainties of system,improve the prediction accuracy,and increase the hit probability.The adaptive robust constraint-following control can effectively restrain the uncertainties caused by road excitation and model error. 展开更多
关键词 Tank stability control Constraint-following Adaptive robust control Uncertainty analysis prediction of projectile-target intersection
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Prediction and driving factors of forest fire occurrence in Jilin Province,China 被引量:1
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作者 Bo Gao Yanlong Shan +4 位作者 Xiangyu Liu Sainan Yin Bo Yu Chenxi Cui Lili Cao 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期58-71,共14页
Forest fires are natural disasters that can occur suddenly and can be very damaging,burning thousands of square kilometers.Prevention is better than suppression and prediction models of forest fire occurrence have dev... Forest fires are natural disasters that can occur suddenly and can be very damaging,burning thousands of square kilometers.Prevention is better than suppression and prediction models of forest fire occurrence have developed from the logistic regression model,the geographical weighted logistic regression model,the Lasso regression model,the random forest model,and the support vector machine model based on historical forest fire data from 2000 to 2019 in Jilin Province.The models,along with a distribution map are presented in this paper to provide a theoretical basis for forest fire management in this area.Existing studies show that the prediction accuracies of the two machine learning models are higher than those of the three generalized linear regression models.The accuracies of the random forest model,the support vector machine model,geographical weighted logistic regression model,the Lasso regression model,and logistic model were 88.7%,87.7%,86.0%,85.0%and 84.6%,respectively.Weather is the main factor affecting forest fires,while the impacts of topography factors,human and social-economic factors on fire occurrence were similar. 展开更多
关键词 Forest fire Occurrence prediction Forest fire driving factors Generalized linear regression models Machine learning models
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Geophysical prediction of organic matter abundance in source rocks based on geochemical analysis:A case study of southwestern Bozhong Sag,Bohai Sea,China 被引量:2
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作者 Xiang Wang Guang-Di Liu +5 位作者 Xiao-Lin Wang Jin-Feng Ma Zhen-Liang Wang Fei-Long Wang Ze-Zhang Song Chang-Yu Fan 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期31-53,共23页
The Bozhong Sag is the largest petroliferous sag in the Bohai Bay Basin,and the source rocks of Paleogene Dongying and Shahejie Formations were buried deeply.Most of the drillings were located at the structural high,a... The Bozhong Sag is the largest petroliferous sag in the Bohai Bay Basin,and the source rocks of Paleogene Dongying and Shahejie Formations were buried deeply.Most of the drillings were located at the structural high,and there were few wells that met good quality source rocks,so it is difficult to evaluate the source rocks in the study area precisely by geochemical analysis only.Based on the Rock-Eval pyrolysis,total organic carbon(TOC)testing,the organic matter(OM)abundance of Paleogene source rocks in the southwestern Bozhong Sag were evaluated,including the lower of second member of Dongying Formation(E_(3)d2L),the third member of Dongying Formation(E_(3)d_(3)),the first and second members of Shahejie Formation(E_(2)s_(1+2)),the third member of Shahejie Formation(E_(2)s_(3)).The results indicate that the E_(2)s_(1+2)and E_(2)s_(3)have better hydrocarbon generative potentials with the highest OM abundance,the E_(3)d_(3)are of the second good quality,and the E_(3)d2L have poor to fair hydrocarbon generative potential.Furthermore,the well logs were applied to predict TOC and residual hydrocarbon generation potential(S_(2))based on the sedimentary facies classification,usingΔlogR,generalizedΔlogR,logging multiple linear regression and BP neural network methods.The various methods were compared,and the BP neural network method have relatively better prediction accuracy.Based on the pre-stack simultaneous inversion(P-wave impedance,P-wave velocity and density inversion results)and the post-stack seismic attributes,the three-dimensional(3D)seismic prediction of TOC and S_(2)was carried out.The results show that the seismic near well prediction results of TOC and S_(2)based on seismic multi-attributes analysis correspond well with the results of well logging methods,and the plane prediction results are identical with the sedimentary facies map in the study area.The TOC and S_(2)values of E_(2)s_(1+2)and E_(2)s_(3)are higher than those in E_(3)d_(3)and E_(3)d_(2)L,basically consistent with the geochemical analysis results.This method makes up the deficiency of geochemical methods,establishing the connection between geophysical information and geochemical data,and it is helpful to the 3D quantitative prediction and the evaluation of high-quality source rocks in the areas where the drillings are limited. 展开更多
关键词 Total organic carbon(TOC) Residual hydrocarbon generation potential(S_(2)) Geophysical prediction Seismic attribute Bozhong Sag Bohai Bay Basin
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Note on:“Ballistic model for the prediction of penetration depth and residual velocity in adobe:A new interpretation of the ballistic resistance of earthen masonry”
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作者 Andreas Heine Matthias Wickert 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期607-609,共3页
A recently published modeling approach for the penetration into adobe and previous approaches implicitly criticized are reviewed and discussed.This article contains a note on the paper titled“Ballistic model for the ... A recently published modeling approach for the penetration into adobe and previous approaches implicitly criticized are reviewed and discussed.This article contains a note on the paper titled“Ballistic model for the prediction of penetration depth and residual velocity in adobe:A new interpretation of the ballistic resistance of earthen masonry”(DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dt.2018.07.017).Reply to the Note from Li Piani et al is linked to this article. 展开更多
关键词 ADOBE prediction earth
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Cardiovascular computed tomography in cardiovascular disease:An overview of its applications from diagnosis to prediction
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作者 Zhong-Hua SUN 《Journal of Geriatric Cardiology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第5期550-576,共27页
Cardiovascular computed tomography angiography(CTA)is a widely used imaging modality in the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease.Advancements in CT imaging technology have further advanced its applications from high di... Cardiovascular computed tomography angiography(CTA)is a widely used imaging modality in the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease.Advancements in CT imaging technology have further advanced its applications from high diagnostic value to minimising radiation exposure to patients.In addition to the standard application of assessing vascular lumen changes,CTA-derived applications including 3D printed personalised models,3D visualisations such as virtual endoscopy,virtual reality,augmented reality and mixed reality,as well as CT-derived hemodynamic flow analysis and fractional flow reserve(FFRCT)greatly enhance the diagnostic performance of CTA in cardiovascular disease.The widespread application of artificial intelligence in medicine also significantly contributes to the clinical value of CTA in cardiovascular disease.Clinical value of CTA has extended from the initial diagnosis to identification of vulnerable lesions,and prediction of disease extent,hence improving patient care and management.In this review article,as an active researcher in cardiovascular imaging for more than 20 years,I will provide an overview of cardiovascular CTA in cardiovascular disease.It is expected that this review will provide readers with an update of CTA applications,from the initial lumen assessment to recent developments utilising latest novel imaging and visualisation technologies.It will serve as a useful resource for researchers and clinicians to judiciously use the cardiovascular CT in clinical practice. 展开更多
关键词 DIAGNOSIS CARDIOVASCULAR prediction
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Privacy-Preserving Federated Mobility Prediction with Compound Data and Model Perturbation Mechanism
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作者 Long Qingyue Wang Huandong +4 位作者 Chen Huiming Jin Depeng Zhu Lin Yu Li Li Yong 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第3期160-173,共14页
Human mobility prediction is important for many applications.However,training an accurate mobility prediction model requires a large scale of human trajectories,where privacy issues become an important problem.The ris... Human mobility prediction is important for many applications.However,training an accurate mobility prediction model requires a large scale of human trajectories,where privacy issues become an important problem.The rising federated learning provides us with a promising solution to this problem,which enables mobile devices to collaboratively learn a shared prediction model while keeping all the training data on the device,decoupling the ability to do machine learning from the need to store the data in the cloud.However,existing federated learningbased methods either do not provide privacy guarantees or have vulnerability in terms of privacy leakage.In this paper,we combine the techniques of data perturbation and model perturbation mechanisms and propose a privacy-preserving mobility prediction algorithm,where we add noise to the transmitted model and the raw data collaboratively to protect user privacy and keep the mobility prediction performance.Extensive experimental results show that our proposed method significantly outperforms the existing stateof-the-art mobility prediction method in terms of defensive performance against practical attacks while having comparable mobility prediction performance,demonstrating its effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 federated learning mobility prediction PRIVACY
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