The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to elimin...The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to eliminate the random fluctuations or errors of the observational data of all variables, and the combined prediction model together with the multiple linear regression is established in order to improve the simulation and prediction accuracy of the combined model. Finally, a combined model of the MGM（1,2） with optimized background value and the binary linear regression is constructed by an example. The results show that the model has good effects for simulation and prediction.展开更多
Three forecasting models are set up: the auto\|regressive moving average model, the grey forecasting model for the rate of qualified products P t, and the grey forecasting model for time intervals of the quality cata...Three forecasting models are set up: the auto\|regressive moving average model, the grey forecasting model for the rate of qualified products P t, and the grey forecasting model for time intervals of the quality catastrophes. Then a combined forewarning system for the quality of products is established, which contains three models, judgment rules and forewarning state illustration. Finally with an example of the practical production, this modeling system is proved fairly effective.展开更多
针对横置轴流滚筒长度受限和脱出物在清选筛入口一角堆积严重的问题,设计了以同轴差速脱粒滚筒、圆锥形清选风机、双层振动筛和螺旋板齿式复脱器为主要工作部件的横置差速轴流式脱分选系统。为了提升横置差速轴流脱分选系统工作性能,设...针对横置轴流滚筒长度受限和脱出物在清选筛入口一角堆积严重的问题,设计了以同轴差速脱粒滚筒、圆锥形清选风机、双层振动筛和螺旋板齿式复脱器为主要工作部件的横置差速轴流式脱分选系统。为了提升横置差速轴流脱分选系统工作性能,设计了喂入量为2 kg/s的试验台,采用二次正交旋转组合设计法进行工作性能试验,考察差速滚筒转速组合、圆锥形风机叶片锥度、差速滚筒高低速段长度配比3个因素对损失率、破碎率、含杂率和脱粒功耗4个性能指标的影响。建立了损失率、破碎率、含杂率、脱粒功耗的回归数学模型,利用Matlab优化工具箱对回归数学模型进行了多目标优化计算。结果表明:影响横置差速轴流脱分选系统损失率、含杂率的3个因素主次顺序依次为差速滚筒转速组合、圆锥形风机叶片锥度、差速滚筒高低速段长度配比;影响横置差速轴流脱分选系统破碎率、脱粒功耗的3个因素主次顺序依次为差速滚筒转速组合、差速滚筒高低速段长度配比、圆锥形风机叶片锥度;最优参数组合为:差速滚筒转速组合750、850 r/min,风机叶片锥度3.8°,高速段比例30%;对应工作性能指标为:损失率1.57%、破碎率0.71%、含杂率0.38%,脱粒功耗6.67 k W/kg。田间试验结果表明,横置差速轴流脱分选系统工作性能指标优于行业标准。展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71071077)the Ministry of Education Key Project of National Educational Science Planning(DFA090215)+1 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(20100481137)Funding of Jiangsu Innovation Program for Graduate Education(CXZZ11-0226)
文摘The construction method of background value is improved in the original multi-variable grey model （MGM（1,m）） from its source of construction errors. The MGM（1,m） with optimized background value is used to eliminate the random fluctuations or errors of the observational data of all variables, and the combined prediction model together with the multiple linear regression is established in order to improve the simulation and prediction accuracy of the combined model. Finally, a combined model of the MGM（1,2） with optimized background value and the binary linear regression is constructed by an example. The results show that the model has good effects for simulation and prediction.
文摘Three forecasting models are set up: the auto\|regressive moving average model, the grey forecasting model for the rate of qualified products P t, and the grey forecasting model for time intervals of the quality catastrophes. Then a combined forewarning system for the quality of products is established, which contains three models, judgment rules and forewarning state illustration. Finally with an example of the practical production, this modeling system is proved fairly effective.
文摘针对横置轴流滚筒长度受限和脱出物在清选筛入口一角堆积严重的问题,设计了以同轴差速脱粒滚筒、圆锥形清选风机、双层振动筛和螺旋板齿式复脱器为主要工作部件的横置差速轴流式脱分选系统。为了提升横置差速轴流脱分选系统工作性能,设计了喂入量为2 kg/s的试验台,采用二次正交旋转组合设计法进行工作性能试验,考察差速滚筒转速组合、圆锥形风机叶片锥度、差速滚筒高低速段长度配比3个因素对损失率、破碎率、含杂率和脱粒功耗4个性能指标的影响。建立了损失率、破碎率、含杂率、脱粒功耗的回归数学模型,利用Matlab优化工具箱对回归数学模型进行了多目标优化计算。结果表明:影响横置差速轴流脱分选系统损失率、含杂率的3个因素主次顺序依次为差速滚筒转速组合、圆锥形风机叶片锥度、差速滚筒高低速段长度配比;影响横置差速轴流脱分选系统破碎率、脱粒功耗的3个因素主次顺序依次为差速滚筒转速组合、差速滚筒高低速段长度配比、圆锥形风机叶片锥度;最优参数组合为:差速滚筒转速组合750、850 r/min,风机叶片锥度3.8°,高速段比例30%;对应工作性能指标为:损失率1.57%、破碎率0.71%、含杂率0.38%,脱粒功耗6.67 k W/kg。田间试验结果表明,横置差速轴流脱分选系统工作性能指标优于行业标准。
