The Soil Conservation Monitorins Information System (SCMIS) presented in this paper is oriented to soil erosion control, resources exploitation, utilization, planning and management for a small watershed (about 10 sq....The Soil Conservation Monitorins Information System (SCMIS) presented in this paper is oriented to soil erosion control, resources exploitation, utilization, planning and management for a small watershed (about 10 sq. km.) on the Loess Plateau. It sums up Remote sensing (RS), Geographical Information System (GIS) and Expert System (ES) and consists of a integrated system. As a basic level information system of Loess Plateau, its perfection and psreading will bring about a great advance in resources exploitation and management of Loess Plateau.展开更多
Most earth-dam failures are mainly due to seepage,and an accurate assessment of the permeability coefficient provides an indication to avoid a disaster.Parametric uncertainties are encountered in the seepage analysis,...Most earth-dam failures are mainly due to seepage,and an accurate assessment of the permeability coefficient provides an indication to avoid a disaster.Parametric uncertainties are encountered in the seepage analysis,and may be reduced by an inverse procedure that calibrates the simulation results to observations on the real system being simulated.This work proposes an adaptive Bayesian inversion method solved using artificial neural network(ANN)based Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation.The optimized surrogate model achieves a coefficient of determination at 0.98 by ANN with 247 samples,whereby the computational workload can be greatly reduced.It is also significant to balance the accuracy and efficiency of the ANN model by adaptively updating the sample database.The enrichment samples are obtained from the posterior distribution after iteration,which allows a more accurate and rapid manner to the target posterior.The method was then applied to the hydraulic analysis of an earth dam.After calibrating the global permeability coefficient of the earth dam with the pore water pressure at the downstream unsaturated location,it was validated by the pore water pressure monitoring values at the upstream saturated location.In addition,the uncertainty in the permeability coefficient was reduced,from 0.5 to 0.05.It is shown that the provision of adequate prior information is valuable for improving the efficiency of the Bayesian inversion.展开更多
文摘The Soil Conservation Monitorins Information System (SCMIS) presented in this paper is oriented to soil erosion control, resources exploitation, utilization, planning and management for a small watershed (about 10 sq. km.) on the Loess Plateau. It sums up Remote sensing (RS), Geographical Information System (GIS) and Expert System (ES) and consists of a integrated system. As a basic level information system of Loess Plateau, its perfection and psreading will bring about a great advance in resources exploitation and management of Loess Plateau.
基金Project(202006430012)supported by the China Scholarship Council。
文摘Most earth-dam failures are mainly due to seepage,and an accurate assessment of the permeability coefficient provides an indication to avoid a disaster.Parametric uncertainties are encountered in the seepage analysis,and may be reduced by an inverse procedure that calibrates the simulation results to observations on the real system being simulated.This work proposes an adaptive Bayesian inversion method solved using artificial neural network(ANN)based Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation.The optimized surrogate model achieves a coefficient of determination at 0.98 by ANN with 247 samples,whereby the computational workload can be greatly reduced.It is also significant to balance the accuracy and efficiency of the ANN model by adaptively updating the sample database.The enrichment samples are obtained from the posterior distribution after iteration,which allows a more accurate and rapid manner to the target posterior.The method was then applied to the hydraulic analysis of an earth dam.After calibrating the global permeability coefficient of the earth dam with the pore water pressure at the downstream unsaturated location,it was validated by the pore water pressure monitoring values at the upstream saturated location.In addition,the uncertainty in the permeability coefficient was reduced,from 0.5 to 0.05.It is shown that the provision of adequate prior information is valuable for improving the efficiency of the Bayesian inversion.
