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A study of the early warning signals of abrupt change in the Pacific decadal oscillation 被引量:1
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作者 吴浩 侯威 +2 位作者 颜鹏程 张志森 王阔 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第8期662-673,共12页
In recent years, the phenomenon of a critical slowing down has demonstrated its major potential in discovering whether a complex dynamic system tends to abruptly change at critical points. This research on the Pacific... In recent years, the phenomenon of a critical slowing down has demonstrated its major potential in discovering whether a complex dynamic system tends to abruptly change at critical points. This research on the Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO) index has been made on the basis of the critical slowing down principle in order to analyze its early warning signal of abrupt change. The chaotic characteristics of the PDO index sequence at different times are determined by using the largest Lyapunov exponent(LLE). The relationship between the regional sea surface temperature(SST) background field and the early warning signal of the PDO abrupt change is further studied through calculating the variance of the SST in the PDO region and the spatial distribution of the autocorrelation coefficient, thereby providing the experimental foundation for the extensive application of the method of the critical slowing down phenomenon. Our results show that the phenomenon of critical slowing down, such as the increase of the variance and autocorrelation coefficient, will continue for six years before the abrupt change of the PDO index. This phenomenon of the critical slowing down can be regarded as one of the early warning signals of an abrupt change. Through calculating the LLE of the PDO index during different times, it is also found that the strongest chaotic characteristics of the system occurred between 1971 and 1975 in the early stages of an abrupt change(1976), and the system was at the stage of a critical slowing down, which proves the reliability of the early warning signal of abrupt change discovered in 1970 from the mechanism. In addition, the variance of the SST,along with the spatial distribution of the autocorrelation coefficient in the corresponding PDO region, also demonstrates the corresponding relationship between the change of the background field of the SST and the change of the PDO. 展开更多
关键词 abrupt climate change critical slowing down early warning signals largest Lyapunov exponent sea surface temperature
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Detection and attribution of abrupt climate changes in the last one hundred years 被引量:3
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作者 张文 万仕全 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第6期2311-2316,共6页
Based on physical backgrounds, the four time series of the Guliya (Tibetan plateau) ice core (GIC) 5180, and three natural factors, i.e. the rotation rate of earth, sunspots, and E1 Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENS... Based on physical backgrounds, the four time series of the Guliya (Tibetan plateau) ice core (GIC) 5180, and three natural factors, i.e. the rotation rate of earth, sunspots, and E1 Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signals, are decomposed into two hierarchies, i.e. more and less than 10-year hierarchies respectively, and then the running t-test is used to reanalyse the data before and after filtering with the purpose of investigating the contribution of natural factors to the abrupt climate changes in the last one hundred years. The results show that the GIC 5180 evolved with a quasi-period of 7-9 years, and the abrupt climate changes in the early 1960s and in the period from the end of the 1970s to the beginning of the 1980s resulted from the joint effect of the two hierarchies, in other words, the two interdecadal abrupt changes of climate in the last one hundred years were global. The interannual variations of ENSO and sunspots were the important triggering factors for the abrupt climate changes in the last one hundred years. At the same time, the method of Information Transfer (IT) is employed to estimate the contributions of ENSO signals and sunspots activities to the abrupt climate changes, and it is found that the contribution of the interannual variation of ENSO signals is relatively large. 展开更多
关键词 abrupt climate change time series analysis running t-Test
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Early warning signals of abrupt temperature change in different regions of China over the past 50 years 被引量:2
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作者 仝纪龙 吴浩 +2 位作者 侯威 何文平 周杰 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第4期723-731,共9页
In this paper, the early warning signals of abrupt temperature change in different regions of China are investigated. Seven regions are divided on the basis of different climate temperature patterns, obtained through ... In this paper, the early warning signals of abrupt temperature change in different regions of China are investigated. Seven regions are divided on the basis of different climate temperature patterns, obtained through the rotated empirical orthogonal function, and the signal-to-noise temperature ratios for each region are then calculated. Based on the concept of critical slowing down, the temperature data that contain noise in the different regions of China are preprocessed to study the early warning signals of abrupt climate change. First, the Mann-Kendall method is used to identify the instant of abrupt climate change in the temperature data. Second, autocorrelation coefficients that can identify critical slowing down are calculated. The results show that the critical slowing down phenomenon appeared in temperature data about 5-10 years before abrupt climate change occurred, which indicates that the critical slowing down phenomenon is a possible early warning signal for abrupt climate change, and that noise has less influence on the detection results of the early warning signals. Accordingly, this demonstrates that the model is reliable in identifying the early warning signals of abrupt climate change based on detecting the critical slowing down phenomenon, which provides an experimental basis for the actual application of the method. 展开更多
关键词 abrupt climate change critical slowing down rotated empirical orthogonal function early warning signal
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Comparison of performance between rescaled range analysis and rescaled variance analysis in detecting abrupt dynamic change 被引量:2
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作者 何文平 刘群群 +1 位作者 姜允迪 卢莹 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第4期581-588,共8页
In the present paper, a comparison of the performance between moving cutting data-rescaled range analysis (MC- R/S) and moving cutting data-rescaled variance analysis (MC-V/S) is made. The results clearly indicate... In the present paper, a comparison of the performance between moving cutting data-rescaled range analysis (MC- R/S) and moving cutting data-rescaled variance analysis (MC-V/S) is made. The results clearly indicate that the operating efficiency of the MC-R/S algorithm is higher than that of the MC-V/S algorithm. In our numerical test, the computer time consumed by MC-V/S is approximately 25 times that by MC-R/S for an identical window size in artificial data. Except for the difference in operating efficiency, there are no significant differences in performance between MC-R/S and MC-V/S for the abrupt dynamic change detection. Mc-R/s and MC-V/S both display some degree of anti-noise ability. However, it is important to consider the influences of strong noise on the detection results of MC-R/S and MC-V/S in practical application 展开更多
关键词 moving cutting data-rescaled range analysis moving cutting data-rescaled variance analysis abrupt dynamic change
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Effect of climate change and land use on stream flow in the upper and middle reaches of the Taoer River,northeastern China 被引量:1
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作者 LI Li-juan LI Bin +2 位作者 LIANG Li-qiao LI Jiu-yi LIU Yu-mei 《Forestry Studies in China》 CAS 2010年第3期107-115,共9页
The upper and middle reaches of the Taoer River, a representative ecologically sensitive area, has experienced great climate change and rapid agricultural and industrial development since 1961. There is therefore an u... The upper and middle reaches of the Taoer River, a representative ecologically sensitive area, has experienced great climate change and rapid agricultural and industrial development since 1961. There is therefore an urgent need to evaluate the impact of climate change and human activities on stream flows to serve better the water resource management in this region. The nonparamet- ric Mann-Kendall test and moving t-test were used to identify trends and change points in stream flow, precipitation and potential evapotranspiration data series. A significant upward trend has been found in annual stream flow, with an abrupt change identified in 1985 at the Taonan station which is the station that controls the entire study area. The stream flow data was divided into a baseline period and a period of change. Both Fu and Zhang's functions were employed to evaluate the impacts of variation in climate and human activities on mean annual stream flow, based on precipitation and potential evaporation. Analysis of the increase in mean annual stream flow between the baseline and the period of change indicated that climate change accounted for about 45% of the total increase and human activities were responsible for about 55%. 展开更多
关键词 stream flow climate change human activity Budyko curve abrupt change
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Simulation of Phase-Change Random Access Memory with Ring-Type Contactor for Low Reset Current by Finite Element Modelling 被引量:2
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作者 龚岳峰 凌云 +1 位作者 宋志棠 封松林 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第9期3455-3458,共4页
A three-dimensional finite element models for phase change random access memory (PCRAM) is established to simulate thermal and electrical behaviours during RESET operation. The RESET behaviours of the conventional s... A three-dimensional finite element models for phase change random access memory (PCRAM) is established to simulate thermal and electrical behaviours during RESET operation. The RESET behaviours of the conventional structure (CS) and the ring-type contact in bottom electrode (RIB) are compared with each other. The simulation results indicate that the RIB cell has advantages of high heat efficiency for melting phase change material in cell, reduction of contact area and lower RESET current with maintaining good resistance contrast. The RESET current decreases from 1.26mA to 1.2mA and the heat consumption in CST material during programming increases from 12% to 37% in RIB structure. Thus the RIB structure PCRAM cell is suitable for future device with high heat efficiency and smaller RESET current. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents precipitation durative abrupt precipitation change
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High Speed and Ultra-Low-Power Phase Change Line Cell Memory Based on SiSb Thin Films with Nanoscale Gap of Electrodes Less Than 100 nm
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作者 吕士龙 宋志棠 +1 位作者 张挺 封松林 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第11期4174-4176,共3页
Si16Sbs4-based line cell phase change random access memory (PCRAM), in which the Si16Sbs4 phase change line is contacted by TiN electrodes with a nanoscale gap, is fabricated by electron beam lithography. The lowest... Si16Sbs4-based line cell phase change random access memory (PCRAM), in which the Si16Sbs4 phase change line is contacted by TiN electrodes with a nanoscale gap, is fabricated by electron beam lithography. The lowest current and measured pulse width for RESET operation are 115 μA and 18 ns, respectively. The measured shortest pulse width for recrystallization is 110ns, with applied pulse amplitude of 1.5 V. SET and RESET currents for line cells with different line lengths are determined. Endurance of 106 cycles with a resistance ratio of above 800 has been achieved. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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DiStinguishing Structure Change of Cells Based on Analysis of Light Scattering Patterns
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作者 金永龙 杨芳 +2 位作者 王孟 张宇 顾宁 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第11期4013-4015,共3页
We develop a new method to distinguish structural change of cells based on light scattering and Fourier spectra analysis. The light scattering detection system is composed of a laser source, an optical microscope, a C... We develop a new method to distinguish structural change of cells based on light scattering and Fourier spectra analysis. The light scattering detection system is composed of a laser source, an optical microscope, a CCD with high resolution and low distortion. After the scattering patterns of cells are recorded by the CCD, the Fourier spectra are obtained by the intensity distribution of scattered light. In the experiment, the change of cell structure is designed by sonication treatment. It is found that different typical peaks can be shown in the Fourier spectra of MCF7 cells with and without sonication treatment, which indicates that this method can be used to distinguish the structural change of cells. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Phase Diagram of Antiferromagnetically Exchange-Coupled Bilayer
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作者 郭光华 张光福 +1 位作者 孙李媛 Peter A. J. de Groot 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第7期2634-2637,共4页
Magnetic hysteresis properties of antiferromagnetically exchange-coupled bilayer structures, in which the two magnetic layers have different magnetic parameters and thicknesses, are studied within the framework of the... Magnetic hysteresis properties of antiferromagnetically exchange-coupled bilayer structures, in which the two magnetic layers have different magnetic parameters and thicknesses, are studied within the framework of the Stoner-Wohlfarth model. Analytical expressions for the switching fields corresponding to the linear magnetic states are obtained. By adjusting the magnetic parameters or thicknesses of layers, nine different types of easy-axis hysteresis loops may exist. The phase diagram of easy-axis hysteresis loops is mapped in the k1 and k2 plane, where k1 and k2 are the ratios of magnetic anisotropy to the interlayer exchange coupling of the two magnetic layers, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents precipitation durative abrupt precipitation change
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Fabrication and Characterization of SmCo5/Fe65Co35 and SmCo5/Fe Composite Spring Exchange Magnets
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作者 F. Shahzad S. A. Siddiqi J. Zhou 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第7期2642-2644,共3页
SmCo5/Fe65Co35 and SmCo5/Fe spring exchange magnets are fabricated by dc magnetron sputtering on MgO substrates and 100-nm-thick Si3N4 membranes, respectively. The base pressure of sputtering chamber is kept below 10^... SmCo5/Fe65Co35 and SmCo5/Fe spring exchange magnets are fabricated by dc magnetron sputtering on MgO substrates and 100-nm-thick Si3N4 membranes, respectively. The base pressure of sputtering chamber is kept below 10^-7 Tort, and Ar pressure is 3 to 8mTorr. The samples are characterized by an x-ray diffractometer, a superconducting quantum interference magnetometer, and high resolution magnetic soft x-ray microscopy. We obtain the complete exchange coupling and single phase behaviour of composite magnets. The (BH)max value achieved is 28.8 MGOe. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Trend of extreme precipitation events over China in last 40 years 被引量:10
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作者 章大全 封国林 胡经国 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第2期736-742,共7页
Using the daily precipitation data of 740 stations in China from 1960 to 2000, the analysis on the variations and distributions of the frequency and the percentage of extreme precipitation to the annual rainfall have ... Using the daily precipitation data of 740 stations in China from 1960 to 2000, the analysis on the variations and distributions of the frequency and the percentage of extreme precipitation to the annual rainfall have been performed in this paper. Results indicate that the percentage of heavy rains (above 25mm/day) in the annual rainfall has increased, while on average the day number of heavy rains has slightly reduced during the past 40 years. In the end of 1970s and the beginning of 1980s, both the number of days with extreme precipitation and the percentage of extreme precipitation abruptly changed over China, especially in the northern China. By moving t test, the abrupt change year of extreme precipitation for each station and its spatial distribution over the whole country are also obtained. The abrupt change years concentrated in 1978-1982 for most regions of northern China while occurred at various stations in southern China in greatly different/diverse years. Besides the abrupt change years of extreme precipitation at part stations of Northwest China happened about 5 years later in comparison with that of the country's average. 展开更多
关键词 extreme precipitation events FREQUENCY abrupt change extreme events
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Bianisotropy Picture of Higher Permeability at Higher Frequencies 被引量:17
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作者 薛德胜 李发伸 +1 位作者 范小龙 温福昇 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第11期4120-4123,共4页
With an effective bianisotropy picture, high-frequency behaviours of different magnetic materials can be reconciled, and the higher permeability and higher resonance frequencies are achieved even in the GHz range. The... With an effective bianisotropy picture, high-frequency behaviours of different magnetic materials can be reconciled, and the higher permeability and higher resonance frequencies are achieved even in the GHz range. The validity of the bianisotropy picture is quantitatively verified by the in-plane anisotropic Fe34Co55Zr11 thin films. A prolate elliptical precession of the magnetization about its equilibrium direction is the key point, which can be induced by an artificial or an intrinsic bianisotropy system. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents precipitation durative abrupt precipitation change
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Similarity Reductions and Similarity Solutions of the (3+1)-Dimensional Kadomtsev-Petviashvili Equation 被引量:14
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作者 刘娜 刘希强 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第10期3527-3530,共4页
Employing the compatibility method, we obtain the symmetries of the (3+1)-dimensional Kadomtsev Petviashvili (KP) equation. Four types of similarity reductions of the KP equation are obtained by solving the corre... Employing the compatibility method, we obtain the symmetries of the (3+1)-dimensional Kadomtsev Petviashvili (KP) equation. Four types of similarity reductions of the KP equation are obtained by solving the corresponding characteristic equations associated with symmetry equations. In addition, a lot of similarity solutions to the KP equation are obtadned. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Conserved Quantities and Conformal Mechanico-Electrical Systems 被引量:14
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作者 傅景礼 王显军 谢凤萍 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第7期2413-2416,共4页
The conformal meehanico-electrical systems are presented by infinitesimal point transformations of time and generalized coordinates. The necessary and suflleient conditions that the eonformal meehanieo-eleetrieal syst... The conformal meehanico-electrical systems are presented by infinitesimal point transformations of time and generalized coordinates. The necessary and suflleient conditions that the eonformal meehanieo-eleetrieal systems possess Lie symmetry are given. The Noether conserved quantities of the eonformal meehanieo-eleetrieal systems are obtained from Lie symmetries. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Optical Emission Spectroscopy Investigation of a Surface Dielectric Barrier Discharge Plasma Aerodynamic Actuator 被引量:9
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作者 李应红 吴云 +3 位作者 贾敏 周章文 郭志刚 蒲以康 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第11期4068-4071,共4页
The optical emission spectroscopy of a surface dielectric barrier discharge plasma aerodynamic actuator is investigated with different electrode configurations, applied voltages and driving frequencies. The rotational... The optical emission spectroscopy of a surface dielectric barrier discharge plasma aerodynamic actuator is investigated with different electrode configurations, applied voltages and driving frequencies. The rotational temperature of N2 (C^3 Ⅱu) molecule is calculated according to its rotational emission band near 380.5 nm. The average electron energy of the discharge is evaluated by emission intensity ratio of first negative system to second positive system of N2. The rotational temperature is sensitive to the inner space of an electrode pair. The average electron energy shows insensitivity to the applied voltage, the driving frequency and the electrode configuration. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Viscoelastic BISQ Model for Low-Permeability Sandstone with Clay 被引量:9
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作者 聂建新 杨顶辉 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第8期3079-3082,共4页
A modified BISQ (Blot/Squirt) model for wave propagation in low-permeability sandstone is developed by introducing the viscoelastic mechanism of a porous skeleton into Dvorkin's model. The linear viscoelasticity of... A modified BISQ (Blot/Squirt) model for wave propagation in low-permeability sandstone is developed by introducing the viscoelastic mechanism of a porous skeleton into Dvorkin's model. The linear viscoelasticity of the Kelvin Voigt constitutive law is employed to describe the stress-strain relation of a solid frame with clay while the ultrasonic waves propagate through the fluid-saturated sandstone. The phase velocity and attenuation of two p-waves are given based on the present BISQ model. The comparisons between numerical results and experimental data indicate that our viscoelastic model is more realistic and feasible for wave propagation in the low-permeability sandstone, especially with clay, than traditional BISQ models. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Experimental Investigations on Leading-Edge Vortex Structures for Flow over Non-Slender Delta Wings 被引量:9
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作者 王晋军 张旺 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第7期2550-2553,共4页
The dye injection and hydrogen bubble visualization techniques are used to investigate the dual-vortex structure including its development, breakdown and the spatial location of vortex core over nonslender delta wings... The dye injection and hydrogen bubble visualization techniques are used to investigate the dual-vortex structure including its development, breakdown and the spatial location of vortex core over nonslender delta wings. It is concluded that the dual-vortex structure can be affected significantly by sweep angle and Reynolds number, and generated only at small angle of attack. The angle between the projection of outer vortex core on delta wing surface and the root chord line has nothing to do with the Reynolds Number and angle of attack, but has simple linear relation with the sweep angle of the model tested. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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Challenge on the Astrophysical R-Process Calculation with Nuclear Mass Models 被引量:8
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作者 孙保华 孟杰 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第7期2429-2431,共3页
Our understanding of the rapid neutron capture nucleosynthesis process in universe depends on the reliability of nuclear mass predictions. Initiated by the newly developed mass table in the relativistic mean field the... Our understanding of the rapid neutron capture nucleosynthesis process in universe depends on the reliability of nuclear mass predictions. Initiated by the newly developed mass table in the relativistic mean field theory (RMF), we investigate the influence of mass models on the r-process calculations, assuming the same astrophysical conditions. The different model predictions on the so far unreachable nuclei lead to significant deviations in the calculated ^-process abundances. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents precipitation durative abrupt precipitation change
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High-Breakdown-Voltage Submicron InGaAs/InP Double Heterojunction Bipolar Transistor with ft=170 GHz and fmax=253 GHz 被引量:8
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作者 金智 苏永波 +3 位作者 程伟 刘新宇 徐安怀 齐鸣 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第7期2686-2689,共4页
The layer structure of InGaAs/InP double heterojunction bipolar transistor (DHBT) is designed to enhance the frequency performance and breakdown voltage. The composition-graded base structure is used to decrease the... The layer structure of InGaAs/InP double heterojunction bipolar transistor (DHBT) is designed to enhance the frequency performance and breakdown voltage. The composition-graded base structure is used to decrease the base transit time. The InGaAs setback layer and two highly doped InGaAsP layers are used to eliminate the conduction band spike of the collector. The submicron-emitter InGaAs/InP DHBT is fabricated successfully. The base contact resistance is greatly decreased by optimization of contact metals. The breakdown voltage is more than 6 V. The current gain cutoff frequency is as high as 170 GHz and the maximum oscillation frequency reached 253 GHz. The DHBT with such high performances can be used to make W-band power amplifier. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents precipitation durative abrupt precipitation change
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Experimental Investigation of Quality of Lensless Ghost Imaging with Pseudo-Thermal Light 被引量:8
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作者 沈夏 白艳锋 +1 位作者 秦涛 韩申生 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第11期3968-3971,共4页
Factors influencing the quality of lensless ghost imaging are investigated. According to the experimental results, we find that the imaging quality is determined by the number of independent sub light sources on the i... Factors influencing the quality of lensless ghost imaging are investigated. According to the experimental results, we find that the imaging quality is determined by the number of independent sub light sources on the imaging plane of the reference arm. A qualitative picture based on advanced wave optics is presented to explain the physics behind the experimental phenomena. The present results will be helpful to provide a basis for improving the quality of ghost imaging systems in future works. 展开更多
关键词 the power-law exponents PRECIPITATION durative abrupt precipitation change
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