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中国不同干湿区植被变化及其与气候因子的关系 被引量:5
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作者 韩云环 马柱国 +1 位作者 李明星 张安凝知 《大气科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第6期1680-1692,共13页
中国各区植被覆盖和气候特征多样,植被覆盖变化和气候变化及植被对气候因子的响应存在明显的区域差异,研究不同气候区植被变化及其与气候变化的关系可以为各区针对性地应对气候变化、制定植物保护和生态环境修复政策提供科学依据。本文... 中国各区植被覆盖和气候特征多样,植被覆盖变化和气候变化及植被对气候因子的响应存在明显的区域差异,研究不同气候区植被变化及其与气候变化的关系可以为各区针对性地应对气候变化、制定植物保护和生态环境修复政策提供科学依据。本文首先基于中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)的土地覆盖数据,根据植被带的分布确定了划分中国干湿区的指标,其次利用归一化植被指数(NDVI)分析不同干湿区域NDVI的时空变化特征,最后探讨了NDVI变化与温度、降水的关系。结果表明:(1)中国区域200 mm、500 mm和800 mm年降水量等值线分别与荒漠/草地、草地/农田、农田(草地)/森林植被带的分界线吻合,气候过渡带对应着植被过渡带,这些等值线作为划分干湿气候区的指标比较合理。(2)中国年平均NDVI从东南向西北递减,从小到大依次为干旱区(0.11)、半干旱区(0.35)、半湿润区(0.57)、湿润区(0.68)。1982~2015年中国大部分区域NDVI呈显著的增加趋势,区域平均的NDVI在干旱区、半干旱区分别以0.002(10 a)^(-1)、0.008(10 a)^(-1)的趋势显著增加,在半湿润区和湿润区也呈现增加趋势,但不显著。(3)四个干湿区的年平均温度和NDVI均呈显著正相关,仅干旱区、半干旱区年降水和NDVI呈显著正相关,半湿润区和湿润区的年降水与NDVI呈微弱负相关。决定系数表明气候因子变化对NDVI变异的解释比例,温度对四个干湿区NDVI时间变化的解释率相差不大,均在30%左右;降水对NDVI时间变化的解释率低于温度,降水对干旱区(18%)和半干旱区(20%)NDVI时间变化的解释率较大,降水主要影响着北方地区植被的生长。(4)月平均NDVI随着温度和降水的增加都有显著的增加趋势,半湿润区的NDVI随温度升高增长的速率(0.026/℃)最快,半干旱区的NDVI对降水最敏感,随降水增多增加的速率为0.027/mm。 展开更多
关键词 中国区域 干湿区 植被变化 NDVI(Normalized Difference vegetation index) 气候因子
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Study on Rice Yield Estimation Model Based on Quantile Regression
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作者 Su Zhong-bin Yan Yu-guang +3 位作者 Jia Yin-jiang Sun Hong-min Dong Shou-tian Cao Yu-ying 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2020年第2期136-143,共8页
An airborne multi-spectral camera was used in this study to estimate rice yields.The experimental data were achieved by obtaining a multi-spectral image of the rice canopy in an experimental field throughout the joint... An airborne multi-spectral camera was used in this study to estimate rice yields.The experimental data were achieved by obtaining a multi-spectral image of the rice canopy in an experimental field throughout the jointing stage(July,2017)and extracting five vegetation indices.Vegetation indices and rice growth parameter data were compared and analyzed.Effective predictors were screened by using significance analysis and quantile and ordinary least square(OLS)regression models estimating rice yields were constructed.The results showed that a quantile regression model based on normalized difference vegetation indices(NDVI)and rice yields performed was best forτ=0.7 quantile.Thus,NDVI was determined as an effective variable for the rice yield estimation during the jointing stage.The accuracy of the quantile regression estimation model was then assessed using RMES and MAPE test indicators.The yields by this approach had better results than those of an OLS regression estimation model and showed that quantile regression had practical applications and research significance in rice yields estimation. 展开更多
关键词 quantile regression multispectral image rice yield vegetation index
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