Production optimization has gained increasing attention from the smart oilfield community because it can increase economic benefits and oil recovery substantially.While existing methods could produce high-optimality r...Production optimization has gained increasing attention from the smart oilfield community because it can increase economic benefits and oil recovery substantially.While existing methods could produce high-optimality results,they cannot be applied to real-time optimization for large-scale reservoirs due to high computational demands.In addition,most methods generally assume that the reservoir model is deterministic and ignore the uncertainty of the subsurface environment,making the obtained scheme unreliable for practical deployment.In this work,an efficient and robust method,namely evolutionaryassisted reinforcement learning(EARL),is proposed to achieve real-time production optimization under uncertainty.Specifically,the production optimization problem is modeled as a Markov decision process in which a reinforcement learning agent interacts with the reservoir simulator to train a control policy that maximizes the specified goals.To deal with the problems of brittle convergence properties and lack of efficient exploration strategies of reinforcement learning approaches,a population-based evolutionary algorithm is introduced to assist the training of agents,which provides diverse exploration experiences and promotes stability and robustness due to its inherent redundancy.Compared with prior methods that only optimize a solution for a particular scenario,the proposed approach trains a policy that can adapt to uncertain environments and make real-time decisions to cope with unknown changes.The trained policy,represented by a deep convolutional neural network,can adaptively adjust the well controls based on different reservoir states.Simulation results on two reservoir models show that the proposed approach not only outperforms the RL and EA methods in terms of optimization efficiency but also has strong robustness and real-time decision capacity.展开更多
The traditional tangent impulse interception problem does not consider the influence of actual deviation.However,by taking the actual state deviation of the interceptor into the orbit design process,an interception or...The traditional tangent impulse interception problem does not consider the influence of actual deviation.However,by taking the actual state deviation of the interceptor into the orbit design process,an interception orbit that is more robust than the nominal orbit can be obtained.Therefore,we study the minimum time interception problem and the minimum terminal interception error problem under tangent impulse conditions and give an orbit optimization method that considers the interception time and the interception uncertainty.First,we express the interceptor's transfer time equation as a form of flight path angle,establish a global optimization model for solving the minimum time tangent impulse interception and give a hybrid optimization algorithm based on Augmented Lagrange Genetic Algorithm-Sequential Quadratic Programming(ALGA-SQP).Secondly,we use the universal time equation and Bootstrap resampling technology to calculate the interceptor's terminal error distribution and establish the relevant global optimization model by using the circumscribed cuboid volume of the interceptor's terminal position error ellipsoid as the optimization index.Finally,we combined the above two singleobjective optimization models to establish a global multi-objective optimization model that considers interception time and interception uncertainty and gave a hybrid multi-objective optimization algorithm based on Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm Ⅱ-Goal Achievement Method(NSGA2-GAM).The simulation example verifies the effectiveness of this method.展开更多
To reduce the high computational cost of the uncertainty analysis, a procedure is proposed for the aerodynamic optimization under uncertainties, in which the surrogate model is used to simplify the computation of the ...To reduce the high computational cost of the uncertainty analysis, a procedure is proposed for the aerodynamic optimization under uncertainties, in which the surrogate model is used to simplify the computation of the uncertainty analysis. The surrogate model is constructed by using the Latin Hypercube design and the Kriging model. The random parameters are used to account for the small manufacturing errors and the variations of operating conditions. Based on the surrogate model, an uncertainty analysis approach, called the Monte Carlo simulation, is used to compute the mean value and the variance of the predicated performance. The robust optimization for aerodynamic design is formulated, and solved by the genetic algorithm. And then, an airfoil optimization problem is used to test the proposed procedure. Results show that the optimal solutions obtained from the uncertainty-based optimization formulation are less sensitive to uncertainties. And the design constraints are still satisfied under the uncertainties.展开更多
Drilling and blasting are the two most significant operations in open pit mines that play a crucial role in downstream stages. While previous research has focused on optimizing these operations as two separate parts o...Drilling and blasting are the two most significant operations in open pit mines that play a crucial role in downstream stages. While previous research has focused on optimizing these operations as two separate parts or merely in a specific parameter, this paper proposes a system dynamic model(SDM) for drilling and blasting operations as an interactive system. In addition, some technical and economic uncertainties such as rock density, uniaxial compressive strength, bit life and operating costs are considered in this system to evaluate the different optimization results. For this purpose, Vensim simulation software is utilized as a powerful dynamic tool for both modelling and optimizing under deterministic and uncertain conditions. It is concluded that an integrated optimization as opposed to the deterministic approach can be efficiently achieved. This however is dependent on the parameters that are considered as uncertainties.展开更多
To achieve high-efficiency operation of the highgain free-electron laser(FEL),the electron beams and radiated photon beams need to be overlapped precisely and pass through the entire undulator section.Therefore,a high...To achieve high-efficiency operation of the highgain free-electron laser(FEL),the electron beams and radiated photon beams need to be overlapped precisely and pass through the entire undulator section.Therefore,a high-resolution beam-position monitor(BPM)is required.A cavity BPM(CBPM)with a resonant cavity structure was developed and used in the Shanghai Soft X-ray FEL(SXFEL)test facility and can achieve a position resolution of<1μm.The construction and operation of the SXFEL user facility also bring about higher requirements for beamposition measurement.In this case,the factors that affect the performance of the CBPM system were further analyzed.These included the amplitude and phase stability of the local oscillator,stability of the trigger signal,performance of the radio frequency front-end,signal processing electronics,and signal processing algorithms.Based on the upgrade and optimization of the system,a beam test platform was built at the end of the linear acceleration section of the SXFEL,and the experimental results show that the position resolution of the system can reach 177 nm at a bunch charge of 500 pC,and the dynamic range is controlled within±300μm,and the relative measurement uncertainty of the bunch charge can reach 0.021%,which are significant improvements compared to the attributes of the previous system.展开更多
Searching for the optimal cabin layout plan is an efective way to improve the efciency of the overall design and reduce a ship’s operation costs.The multitasking states of a ship involve several statuses when facing ...Searching for the optimal cabin layout plan is an efective way to improve the efciency of the overall design and reduce a ship’s operation costs.The multitasking states of a ship involve several statuses when facing diferent missions during a voyage,such as the status of the marine supply and emergency escape.The human fow and logistics between cabins will change as the state changes.An ideal cabin layout plan,which is directly impacted by the above-mentioned factors,can meet the diferent requirements of several statuses to a higher degree.Inevitable deviations exist in the quantifcation of human fow and logistics.Moreover,uncontrollability is present in the fow situation during actual operations.The coupling of these deviations and uncontrollability shows typical uncertainties,which must be considered in the design process.Thus,it is important to integrate the demands of the human fow and logistics in multiple states into an uncertainty parameter scheme.This research considers the uncertainties of adjacent and circulating strengths obtained after quantifying the human fow and logistics.Interval numbers are used to integrate them,a two-layer nested system of interval optimization is introduced,and diferent optimization algorithms are substituted for solving calculations.The comparison and analysis of the calculation results with deterministic optimization show that the conclusions obtained can provide feasible guidance for cabin layout scheme.展开更多
A robust topology optimization design framework is developed to solve lightweight structural design problems under uncertain conditions. To enhance the calculation accuracy and flexibility of the statistical moments o...A robust topology optimization design framework is developed to solve lightweight structural design problems under uncertain conditions. To enhance the calculation accuracy and flexibility of the statistical moments of robust analysis, number theory integral method is applied to sample point selection and weight assignment. Both the structure topology optimization and number theory integral methods are combined to form a new robust topology optimization method. A suspension control arm problem is provided as a demonstration of robust topology optimization methods under loading uncertainties. Based on the results of deterministic and robust topology optimization, it is demonstrated that the proposed robust topology optimization method can produce a more robust design than that obtained by deterministic topology optimization. It is also found that this new approach is easy to apply in the existing commercial topology optimization software and thus feasible in practical engineering problems.展开更多
A larger number of uncertain factors in energy systems influence their evolution.Owing to the complexity of energy system modeling,incorporating uncertainty analysis to energy system modeling is essential for future e...A larger number of uncertain factors in energy systems influence their evolution.Owing to the complexity of energy system modeling,incorporating uncertainty analysis to energy system modeling is essential for future energy system planning and resource allocation.This study focusses on long-term energy system optimization model.The important uncertain parameters in the model are analyzed and divided into policy,economic,and technical factors.This study specifically addresses the challenges related to carbon emission reduction and energy transition.It involves collecting and organizing relevant research on uncertainty analysis of long-term energy systems.Various energy system uncertainty modeling methods and their applications from the literature are summarized in this review.Finally,important uncertainty factors and uncertainty modeling methods for long-term energy system modeling are discussed,and future research directions are proposed.展开更多
Intensity-modulated particle therapy(IMPT)with carbon ions is comparatively susceptible to various uncertainties caused by breathing motion,including range,setup,and target positioning uncertainties.To determine relat...Intensity-modulated particle therapy(IMPT)with carbon ions is comparatively susceptible to various uncertainties caused by breathing motion,including range,setup,and target positioning uncertainties.To determine relative biological effectiveness-weighted dose(RWD)distributions that are resilient to these uncertainties,the reference phase-based four-dimensional(4D)robust optimization(RP-4DRO)and each phase-based 4D robust optimization(EP-4DRO)method in carbon-ion IMPT treatment planning were evaluated and compared.Based on RWD distributions,4DRO methods were compared with 4D conventional optimization using planning target volume(PTV)margins(PTV-based optimization)to assess the effectiveness of the robust optimization methods.Carbon-ion IMPT treatment planning was conducted in a cohort of five lung cancer patients.The results indicated that the EP-4DRO method provided better robustness(P=0.080)and improved plan quality(P=0.225)for the clinical target volume(CTV)in the individual respiratory phase when compared with the PTV-based optimization.Compared with the PTV-based optimization,the RP-4DRO method ensured the robustness(P=0.022)of the dose distributions in the reference breathing phase,albeit with a slight sacrifice of the target coverage(P=0.450).Both 4DRO methods successfully maintained the doses delivered to the organs at risk(OARs)below tolerable levels,which were lower than the doses in the PTV-based optimization(P<0.05).Furthermore,the RP-4DRO method exhibited significantly superior performance when compared with the EP-4DRO method in enhancing overall OAR sparing in either the individual respiratory phase or reference respiratory phase(P<0.05).In general,both 4DRO methods outperformed the PTV-based optimization in terms of OAR sparing and robustness.展开更多
能源站互联协同通过构建多区域能源站点之间的互联管道,让不同区域的能源需求和供应能够高效对接,来打造一个能源互联互通的平台,与分布式能源站(distributed energy system,DES)单站规划相比更有优势。首先在DES单站规划模型基础上增...能源站互联协同通过构建多区域能源站点之间的互联管道,让不同区域的能源需求和供应能够高效对接,来打造一个能源互联互通的平台,与分布式能源站(distributed energy system,DES)单站规划相比更有优势。首先在DES单站规划模型基础上增加互联管线的传输模型并对其互联运行过程中传输方式和容量进行了讨论和分析并建立相应模型;其次,采用合理的不确定性场景合成方法构建不确定性场景来模拟实际系统中能源不确定性;然后构建低碳分布式能源站互联协同优化配置模型,在生成的不确定性场景下对模型进行求解,通过分析对比对所提方法的合理性和可实施性进行了验证。展开更多
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52274057,52074340 and 51874335the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNPC under Grant ZD2019-183-008the Science and Technology Support Plan for Youth Innovation of University in Shandong Province under Grant 2019KJH002,111 Project under Grant B08028.
文摘Production optimization has gained increasing attention from the smart oilfield community because it can increase economic benefits and oil recovery substantially.While existing methods could produce high-optimality results,they cannot be applied to real-time optimization for large-scale reservoirs due to high computational demands.In addition,most methods generally assume that the reservoir model is deterministic and ignore the uncertainty of the subsurface environment,making the obtained scheme unreliable for practical deployment.In this work,an efficient and robust method,namely evolutionaryassisted reinforcement learning(EARL),is proposed to achieve real-time production optimization under uncertainty.Specifically,the production optimization problem is modeled as a Markov decision process in which a reinforcement learning agent interacts with the reservoir simulator to train a control policy that maximizes the specified goals.To deal with the problems of brittle convergence properties and lack of efficient exploration strategies of reinforcement learning approaches,a population-based evolutionary algorithm is introduced to assist the training of agents,which provides diverse exploration experiences and promotes stability and robustness due to its inherent redundancy.Compared with prior methods that only optimize a solution for a particular scenario,the proposed approach trains a policy that can adapt to uncertain environments and make real-time decisions to cope with unknown changes.The trained policy,represented by a deep convolutional neural network,can adaptively adjust the well controls based on different reservoir states.Simulation results on two reservoir models show that the proposed approach not only outperforms the RL and EA methods in terms of optimization efficiency but also has strong robustness and real-time decision capacity.
文摘The traditional tangent impulse interception problem does not consider the influence of actual deviation.However,by taking the actual state deviation of the interceptor into the orbit design process,an interception orbit that is more robust than the nominal orbit can be obtained.Therefore,we study the minimum time interception problem and the minimum terminal interception error problem under tangent impulse conditions and give an orbit optimization method that considers the interception time and the interception uncertainty.First,we express the interceptor's transfer time equation as a form of flight path angle,establish a global optimization model for solving the minimum time tangent impulse interception and give a hybrid optimization algorithm based on Augmented Lagrange Genetic Algorithm-Sequential Quadratic Programming(ALGA-SQP).Secondly,we use the universal time equation and Bootstrap resampling technology to calculate the interceptor's terminal error distribution and establish the relevant global optimization model by using the circumscribed cuboid volume of the interceptor's terminal position error ellipsoid as the optimization index.Finally,we combined the above two singleobjective optimization models to establish a global multi-objective optimization model that considers interception time and interception uncertainty and gave a hybrid multi-objective optimization algorithm based on Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm Ⅱ-Goal Achievement Method(NSGA2-GAM).The simulation example verifies the effectiveness of this method.
文摘To reduce the high computational cost of the uncertainty analysis, a procedure is proposed for the aerodynamic optimization under uncertainties, in which the surrogate model is used to simplify the computation of the uncertainty analysis. The surrogate model is constructed by using the Latin Hypercube design and the Kriging model. The random parameters are used to account for the small manufacturing errors and the variations of operating conditions. Based on the surrogate model, an uncertainty analysis approach, called the Monte Carlo simulation, is used to compute the mean value and the variance of the predicated performance. The robust optimization for aerodynamic design is formulated, and solved by the genetic algorithm. And then, an airfoil optimization problem is used to test the proposed procedure. Results show that the optimal solutions obtained from the uncertainty-based optimization formulation are less sensitive to uncertainties. And the design constraints are still satisfied under the uncertainties.
文摘Drilling and blasting are the two most significant operations in open pit mines that play a crucial role in downstream stages. While previous research has focused on optimizing these operations as two separate parts or merely in a specific parameter, this paper proposes a system dynamic model(SDM) for drilling and blasting operations as an interactive system. In addition, some technical and economic uncertainties such as rock density, uniaxial compressive strength, bit life and operating costs are considered in this system to evaluate the different optimization results. For this purpose, Vensim simulation software is utilized as a powerful dynamic tool for both modelling and optimizing under deterministic and uncertain conditions. It is concluded that an integrated optimization as opposed to the deterministic approach can be efficiently achieved. This however is dependent on the parameters that are considered as uncertainties.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFA0401903)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12175293)+1 种基金the Young and Middle-Aged Leading ScientistsEngineers and Innovators through the Ten Thousand Talent Program。
文摘To achieve high-efficiency operation of the highgain free-electron laser(FEL),the electron beams and radiated photon beams need to be overlapped precisely and pass through the entire undulator section.Therefore,a high-resolution beam-position monitor(BPM)is required.A cavity BPM(CBPM)with a resonant cavity structure was developed and used in the Shanghai Soft X-ray FEL(SXFEL)test facility and can achieve a position resolution of<1μm.The construction and operation of the SXFEL user facility also bring about higher requirements for beamposition measurement.In this case,the factors that affect the performance of the CBPM system were further analyzed.These included the amplitude and phase stability of the local oscillator,stability of the trigger signal,performance of the radio frequency front-end,signal processing electronics,and signal processing algorithms.Based on the upgrade and optimization of the system,a beam test platform was built at the end of the linear acceleration section of the SXFEL,and the experimental results show that the position resolution of the system can reach 177 nm at a bunch charge of 500 pC,and the dynamic range is controlled within±300μm,and the relative measurement uncertainty of the bunch charge can reach 0.021%,which are significant improvements compared to the attributes of the previous system.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.51879023.
文摘Searching for the optimal cabin layout plan is an efective way to improve the efciency of the overall design and reduce a ship’s operation costs.The multitasking states of a ship involve several statuses when facing diferent missions during a voyage,such as the status of the marine supply and emergency escape.The human fow and logistics between cabins will change as the state changes.An ideal cabin layout plan,which is directly impacted by the above-mentioned factors,can meet the diferent requirements of several statuses to a higher degree.Inevitable deviations exist in the quantifcation of human fow and logistics.Moreover,uncontrollability is present in the fow situation during actual operations.The coupling of these deviations and uncontrollability shows typical uncertainties,which must be considered in the design process.Thus,it is important to integrate the demands of the human fow and logistics in multiple states into an uncertainty parameter scheme.This research considers the uncertainties of adjacent and circulating strengths obtained after quantifying the human fow and logistics.Interval numbers are used to integrate them,a two-layer nested system of interval optimization is introduced,and diferent optimization algorithms are substituted for solving calculations.The comparison and analysis of the calculation results with deterministic optimization show that the conclusions obtained can provide feasible guidance for cabin layout scheme.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFB0103704)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51675044)
文摘A robust topology optimization design framework is developed to solve lightweight structural design problems under uncertain conditions. To enhance the calculation accuracy and flexibility of the statistical moments of robust analysis, number theory integral method is applied to sample point selection and weight assignment. Both the structure topology optimization and number theory integral methods are combined to form a new robust topology optimization method. A suspension control arm problem is provided as a demonstration of robust topology optimization methods under loading uncertainties. Based on the results of deterministic and robust topology optimization, it is demonstrated that the proposed robust topology optimization method can produce a more robust design than that obtained by deterministic topology optimization. It is also found that this new approach is easy to apply in the existing commercial topology optimization software and thus feasible in practical engineering problems.
基金supported by Global Energy Interconnection Group Co.,Ltd.:Assessment of China’s carbon neutrality implementation path and simulation research on policy tool combination(SGGEIG00JYJS2200059).
文摘A larger number of uncertain factors in energy systems influence their evolution.Owing to the complexity of energy system modeling,incorporating uncertainty analysis to energy system modeling is essential for future energy system planning and resource allocation.This study focusses on long-term energy system optimization model.The important uncertain parameters in the model are analyzed and divided into policy,economic,and technical factors.This study specifically addresses the challenges related to carbon emission reduction and energy transition.It involves collecting and organizing relevant research on uncertainty analysis of long-term energy systems.Various energy system uncertainty modeling methods and their applications from the literature are summarized in this review.Finally,important uncertainty factors and uncertainty modeling methods for long-term energy system modeling are discussed,and future research directions are proposed.
基金supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2022YFC2401503)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.11875299,61631001,U1532264,and 12005271).
文摘Intensity-modulated particle therapy(IMPT)with carbon ions is comparatively susceptible to various uncertainties caused by breathing motion,including range,setup,and target positioning uncertainties.To determine relative biological effectiveness-weighted dose(RWD)distributions that are resilient to these uncertainties,the reference phase-based four-dimensional(4D)robust optimization(RP-4DRO)and each phase-based 4D robust optimization(EP-4DRO)method in carbon-ion IMPT treatment planning were evaluated and compared.Based on RWD distributions,4DRO methods were compared with 4D conventional optimization using planning target volume(PTV)margins(PTV-based optimization)to assess the effectiveness of the robust optimization methods.Carbon-ion IMPT treatment planning was conducted in a cohort of five lung cancer patients.The results indicated that the EP-4DRO method provided better robustness(P=0.080)and improved plan quality(P=0.225)for the clinical target volume(CTV)in the individual respiratory phase when compared with the PTV-based optimization.Compared with the PTV-based optimization,the RP-4DRO method ensured the robustness(P=0.022)of the dose distributions in the reference breathing phase,albeit with a slight sacrifice of the target coverage(P=0.450).Both 4DRO methods successfully maintained the doses delivered to the organs at risk(OARs)below tolerable levels,which were lower than the doses in the PTV-based optimization(P<0.05).Furthermore,the RP-4DRO method exhibited significantly superior performance when compared with the EP-4DRO method in enhancing overall OAR sparing in either the individual respiratory phase or reference respiratory phase(P<0.05).In general,both 4DRO methods outperformed the PTV-based optimization in terms of OAR sparing and robustness.
文摘能源站互联协同通过构建多区域能源站点之间的互联管道,让不同区域的能源需求和供应能够高效对接,来打造一个能源互联互通的平台,与分布式能源站(distributed energy system,DES)单站规划相比更有优势。首先在DES单站规划模型基础上增加互联管线的传输模型并对其互联运行过程中传输方式和容量进行了讨论和分析并建立相应模型;其次,采用合理的不确定性场景合成方法构建不确定性场景来模拟实际系统中能源不确定性;然后构建低碳分布式能源站互联协同优化配置模型,在生成的不确定性场景下对模型进行求解,通过分析对比对所提方法的合理性和可实施性进行了验证。
