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Small-time scale network traffic prediction based on a local support vector machine regression model 被引量:10
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作者 孟庆芳 陈月辉 彭玉华 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第6期2194-2199,共6页
In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the... In this paper we apply the nonlinear time series analysis method to small-time scale traffic measurement data. The prediction-based method is used to determine the embedding dimension of the traffic data. Based on the reconstructed phase space, the local support vector machine prediction method is used to predict the traffic measurement data, and the BIC-based neighbouring point selection method is used to choose the number of the nearest neighbouring points for the local support vector machine regression model. The experimental results show that the local support vector machine prediction method whose neighbouring points are optimized can effectively predict the small-time scale traffic measurement data and can reproduce the statistical features of real traffic measurements. 展开更多
关键词 network traffic small-time scale nonlinear time series analysis support vector machine regression model
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Support vector regression modeling in recursive just-in-time learning framework for adaptive soft sensing of naphtha boiling point in crude distillation unit 被引量:4
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作者 Venkata Vijayan S Hare Krishna Mohanta Ajaya Kumar Pani 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第4期1230-1239,共10页
Prediction of primary quality variables in real time with adaptation capability for varying process conditions is a critical task in process industries.This article focuses on the development of non-linear adaptive so... Prediction of primary quality variables in real time with adaptation capability for varying process conditions is a critical task in process industries.This article focuses on the development of non-linear adaptive soft sensors for prediction of naphtha initial boiling point(IBP)and end boiling point(EBP)in crude distillation unit.In this work,adaptive inferential sensors with linear and non-linear local models are reported based on recursive just in time learning(JITL)approach.The different types of local models designed are locally weighted regression(LWR),multiple linear regression(MLR),partial least squares regression(PLS)and support vector regression(SVR).In addition to model development,the effect of relevant dataset size on model prediction accuracy and model computation time is also investigated.Results show that the JITL model based on support vector regression with iterative single data algorithm optimization(ISDA)local model(JITL-SVR:ISDA)yielded best prediction accuracy in reasonable computation time. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive soft sensor Just in time learning regression support vector regression Naphtha boiling point
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Improvement of the prediction performance of a soft sensor model based on support vector regression for production of ultra-low sulfur diesel 被引量:2
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作者 Saeid Shokri Mohammad Taghi Sadeghi +1 位作者 Mahdi Ahmadi Marvast Shankar Narasimhan 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第1期177-188,共12页
A novel data-driven, soft sensor based on support vector regression (SVR) integrated with a data compression technique was developed to predict the product quality for the hydrodesulfurization (HDS) process. A wid... A novel data-driven, soft sensor based on support vector regression (SVR) integrated with a data compression technique was developed to predict the product quality for the hydrodesulfurization (HDS) process. A wide range of experimental data was taken from a HDS setup to train and test the SVR model. Hyper-parameter tuning is one of the main challenges to improve predictive accuracy of the SVR model. Therefore, a hybrid approach using a combination of genetic algorithm (GA) and sequential quadratic programming (SQP) methods (GA-SQP) was developed. Performance of different optimization algorithms including GA-SQP, GA, pattern search (PS), and grid search (GS) indicated that the best average absolute relative error (AARE), squared correlation coefficient (R2), and computation time (CT) (AARE = 0.0745, R2 = 0.997 and CT = 56 s) was accomplished by the hybrid algorithm. Moreover, to reduce the CT and improve the accuracy of the SVR model, the vector quantization (VQ) technique was used. The results also showed that the VQ technique can decrease the training time and improve prediction performance of the SVR model. The proposed method can provide a robust, soft sensor in a wide range of sulfur contents with good accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Soft sensor support vector regression Hybrid optimization method vector quantization Petroleum refinery Hydrodesulfurization process Gas oil
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Fault diagnosis of power-shift steering transmission based on multiple outputs least squares support vector regression 被引量:2
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作者 张英锋 马彪 +2 位作者 房京 张海岭 范昱珩 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2011年第2期199-204,共6页
A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function (RBF) as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict t... A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function (RBF) as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict the future state of the power-shift steering transmission (PSST). A prediction model of PSST was gotten with multiple outputs LS-SVR. The model performance was greatly influenced by the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter σ2 which were optimized using cross validation method. The training and prediction of the model were done with spectrometric oil analysis data. The predictive and actual values were compared and a fault in the second PSST was found. The research proved that this method had good accuracy in PSST fault prediction, and any possible problem in PSST could be found through a comparative analysis. 展开更多
关键词 least squares support vector regression(LS-svr) fault diagnosis power-shift steering transmission (PSST)
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Prediction of protein binding sites using physical and chemical descriptors and the support vector machine regression method 被引量:1
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作者 孙重华 江凡 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第11期1-6,共6页
In this paper a new continuous variable called core-ratio is defined to describe the probability for a residue to be in a binding site, thereby replacing the previous binary description of the interface residue using ... In this paper a new continuous variable called core-ratio is defined to describe the probability for a residue to be in a binding site, thereby replacing the previous binary description of the interface residue using 0 and 1. So we can use the support vector machine regression method to fit the core-ratio value and predict the protein binding sites. We also design a new group of physical and chemical descriptors to characterize the binding sites. The new descriptors are more effective, with an averaging procedure used. Our test shows that much better prediction results can be obtained by the support vector regression (SVR) method than by the support vector classification method. 展开更多
关键词 protein binding site support vector machine regression cross-validation neighbour residue
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Prediction of Henry Constants and Adsorption Mechanism of Volatile Organic Compounds on Multi-Walled Carbon Nanotubes by Using Support Vector Regression 被引量:1
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作者 程文德 蔡从中 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第4期143-146,共4页
Support vector regression (SVR) combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWNTs)... Support vector regression (SVR) combined with particle swarm optimization for its parameter optimization is employed to establish a model for predicting the Henry constants of multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWNTs) for adsorption of volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The prediction performance of SVR is compared with those of the model of theoretical linear salvation energy relationship (TLSER). By using leave-one-out cross validation of SVR test Henry constants for adsorption of 35 VOCs on MWNTs, the root mean square error is 0.080, the mean absolute percentage error is only 1.19~, and the correlation coefficient (R2) is as high as 0.997. Compared with the results of the TLSER model, it is shown that the estimated errors by SVR are ali smaller than those achieved by TLSER. It reveals that the generalization ability of SVR is superior to that of the TLSER model Meanwhile, multifactor analysis is adopted for investigation of the influences of each molecular structure descriptor on the Henry constants. According to the TLSER model, the adsorption mechanism of adsorption of carbon nanotubes of VOCs is mainly a result of van der Waals and interactions of hydrogen bonds. These can provide the theoretical support for the application of carbon nanotube adsorption of VOCs and can make up for the lack of experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 of is in svr Prediction of Henry Constants and Adsorption Mechanism of Volatile Organic Compounds on Multi-Walled Carbon Nanotubes by Using support vector regression VOCs MWNTS by on
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High-rise building fire pre-warning model based on the support vector regression 被引量:1
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作者 张立宁 张奇 安晶 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2015年第3期285-290,共6页
Aiming at reducing the deficiency of the traditional fire pre-warning algorithms and the intelligent fire pre-warning algorithms such as artificial neural network,and then to improve the accuracy of fire prewarning fo... Aiming at reducing the deficiency of the traditional fire pre-warning algorithms and the intelligent fire pre-warning algorithms such as artificial neural network,and then to improve the accuracy of fire prewarning for high-rise buildings,a composite fire pre-warning controller is designed according to the characteristic( nonlinear,less historical data,many influence factors),also a high-rise building fire pre-warning model is set up based on the support vector regression( SV R). Then the wood fire standard history data is applied to make empirical analysis. The research results can provide a reliable decision support framework for high-rise building fire pre-warning. 展开更多
关键词 high-rise buildings fire composite fire pre-warning systemdesign the support vector regression pre-warning model
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Improved Scheme for Fast Approximation to Least Squares Support Vector Regression
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作者 张宇宸 赵永平 +3 位作者 宋成俊 侯宽新 脱金奎 叶小军 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2014年第4期413-419,共7页
The solution of normal least squares support vector regression(LSSVR)is lack of sparseness,which limits the real-time and hampers the wide applications to a certain degree.To overcome this obstacle,a scheme,named I2FS... The solution of normal least squares support vector regression(LSSVR)is lack of sparseness,which limits the real-time and hampers the wide applications to a certain degree.To overcome this obstacle,a scheme,named I2FSA-LSSVR,is proposed.Compared with the previously approximate algorithms,it not only adopts the partial reduction strategy but considers the influence between the previously selected support vectors and the willselected support vector during the process of computing the supporting weights.As a result,I2FSA-LSSVR reduces the number of support vectors and enhances the real-time.To confirm the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm,experiments on benchmark data sets are conducted,whose results support the presented I2FSA-LSSVR. 展开更多
关键词 support vector regression kernel method least squares SPARSENESS
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Fusion of multi-spectral image and panchromatic image based on support vector regression
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作者 胡根生 梁栋 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2012年第2期269-277,共9页
In our study, support vector value contourlet transform is constructed by using support vector regression model and directional filter banks. The transform is then used to decompose source images at multi-scale, multi... In our study, support vector value contourlet transform is constructed by using support vector regression model and directional filter banks. The transform is then used to decompose source images at multi-scale, multi-direction and multi-resolution. After that, the super-resolved multi-spectral image is reconstructed by utilizing the strong learning ability of support vector regression and the correlation between multi-spectral image and panchromatic image. Finally, the super-resolved multi- spectral image and the panchromatic image are fused based on regions at different levels. Our experi- ments show that, the learning method based on support vector regression can improve the effect of super-resolution of multi-spectral image. The fused image preserves both high space resolution and spectrum information of multi-spectral image. 展开更多
关键词 image processing image fusion support vector regression SUPER-RESOLUTION
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Research on Uniform Array Beamforming Based on Support Vector Regression
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作者 林关成 李亚安 金贝利 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2010年第4期439-444,共6页
An approach was proposed for optimizing beamforming that was based on Support Vector Regression (SVR). After studying the mathematical principal of the SVR algorithm and its primal cost function, the modified cost fun... An approach was proposed for optimizing beamforming that was based on Support Vector Regression (SVR). After studying the mathematical principal of the SVR algorithm and its primal cost function, the modified cost function was first applied to uniform array beamforming, and then the corresponding parameters of the beamforming were optimized. The framework of SVR uniform array beamforming was then established. Simulation results show that SVR beamforming can not only approximate the performance of conventional beamforming in the area without noise and with small data sets, but also improve the generalization ability and reduce the computation burden. Also, the side lobe level of both linear and circular arrays by the SVR algorithm is improved sharply through comparison with the conventional one. SVR beamforming is superior to the conventional method in both linear and circular arrays, under single source or double non-coherent sources. 展开更多
关键词 array beamforming support vector regression OPTIMIZATION FRAMEWORK cost function
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基于PSO−SVR的掘进工作面风温预测
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作者 李延河 万志军 +6 位作者 于振子 苟红 赵万里 周嘉乐 师鹏 甄正 张源 《煤炭科学技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期183-191,共9页
随着我国浅部煤炭资源的逐渐枯竭,矿井开采深度日益增大,热害问题也随之加剧。采掘作业空间是井下的主要热害场所,对其进行热害防治是矿井安全高效生产的重要基础。矿井热害治理的前提是明确其冷负荷,因此对采掘作业空间风温进行精准预... 随着我国浅部煤炭资源的逐渐枯竭,矿井开采深度日益增大,热害问题也随之加剧。采掘作业空间是井下的主要热害场所,对其进行热害防治是矿井安全高效生产的重要基础。矿井热害治理的前提是明确其冷负荷,因此对采掘作业空间风温进行精准预测意义重大。建立了基于PSO-SVR(基于粒子群的支持向量回归)的掘进工作面风温预测模型,利用模型中的惩罚因子C和核函数参数g对模型进行了寻优。通过现场实测及文献调研,建立了掘进工作面风温预测训练样本集。通过与最小二乘法估计MLR模型和经“试错法”标定参数的常规SVR模型进行对比,分析了PSO-SVR算法的优势。将PSO-SVR算法模型应用于平煤十矿己-24120保护层风巷风温预测,并依据风温预测结果,指导了制冷机组的选型和降温方案设计。结果表明:PSO-SVR模型预测性能最优,模型绝对误差百分比仅为1.85%,较常规SVR模型减小了55.9%,可见PSO优化模型参数对于提高SVR拟合度、泛化性及预测精度具有重要作用。巷道每掘进100m,工作面风流平均温升0.16℃,掘进至2000m时巷道迎头风温升至35.8℃。己-24120保护层风巷需冷量为1083.28kW,设计制冷机组总制冷量为1085 kW。己-24120保护层风巷实施降温后,工作面平均温降8.6℃,降温效果显著,表明了PSO-SVR掘进工作面风温预测模型的可靠性和可行性。 展开更多
关键词 掘进工作面 风温预测 粒子群 支持向量回归 矿井降温
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基于PSO-SVR算法的钢板-混凝土组合连梁承载力预测
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作者 田建勃 闫靖帅 +2 位作者 王晓磊 赵勇 史庆轩 《振动与冲击》 北大核心 2025年第7期155-162,共8页
为准确预测钢板-混凝土组合(steel plate-RC composite,PRC)连梁承载力,本文分别通过支持向量机回归算法(support vector regression,SVR)、极端梯度提升算法(XGBoost)和粒子群优化的支持向量机回归(particle swarm optimization-suppor... 为准确预测钢板-混凝土组合(steel plate-RC composite,PRC)连梁承载力,本文分别通过支持向量机回归算法(support vector regression,SVR)、极端梯度提升算法(XGBoost)和粒子群优化的支持向量机回归(particle swarm optimization-support vector regression,PSO-SVR)算法进行了PRC连梁试验数据的回归训练,此外,通过使用Sobol敏感性分析方法分析了数据特征参数对PRC连梁承载力的影响。结果表明,基于SVR、极端梯度提升算法(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)和PSO-SVR的预测模型平均绝对百分比误差分别为5.48%、7.65%和4.80%,其中,基于PSO-SVR算法的承载力预测模型具有最高的预测精度,模型的鲁棒性和泛化能力更强。此外,特征参数钢板率(ρ_(p))、截面高度(h)和连梁跨高比(l_(n)/h)对PRC连梁承载力影响最大,三者全局影响指数总和超过0.75,其中,钢板率(ρ_(p))是对PRC连梁承载力影响最大的单一因素,一阶敏感性指数和全局敏感性指数分别为0.3423和0.3620,以期为PRC连梁在实际工程中的设计及应用提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 钢板-混凝土组合连梁 机器学习 粒子群优化的支持向量机回归(PSO-svr)算法 承载力 敏感性分析
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基于DWD-SVR模型的锂离子电池剩余使用寿命预测
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作者 王小明 何叶 +3 位作者 王路路 吴红斌 徐斌 赵文广 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期52-59,共8页
针对锂离子电池容量退化特性的非线性和多尺度特性,提出一种基于离散小波分解(DWD)和支持向量回归(SVR)模型的锂离子电池RUL预测方法。首先,利用DWD对容量时间序列进行多尺度解耦,以降低局部再生和波动现象对预测结果的影响;其次,利用K... 针对锂离子电池容量退化特性的非线性和多尺度特性,提出一种基于离散小波分解(DWD)和支持向量回归(SVR)模型的锂离子电池RUL预测方法。首先,利用DWD对容量时间序列进行多尺度解耦,以降低局部再生和波动现象对预测结果的影响;其次,利用K-均值聚类方法将各尺度信号中样本熵与排列熵相近的子序列进行聚类,根据聚类结果将复杂度与随机性相近的子序列进行重构,以减少建模次数,提高预测效率;最后,通过SVR预测模型精确捕捉不同尺度下容量信号的变化情况,实现电池RUL准确预测。实验结果表明,提出的基于DWD-SVR模型的锂离子电池RUL预测方法能在保证全局退化趋势预测准确性的同时对波动进行及时地响应,可提高预测性能。 展开更多
关键词 锂离子电池 支持向量回归 K-均值聚类 剩余使用寿命 离散小波分解
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Improved Twin Support Vector Machine Algorithm and Applications in Classification Problems
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作者 Sun Yi Wang Zhouyang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第5期261-279,共19页
The distribution of data has a significant impact on the results of classification.When the distribution of one class is insignificant compared to the distribution of another class,data imbalance occurs.This will resu... The distribution of data has a significant impact on the results of classification.When the distribution of one class is insignificant compared to the distribution of another class,data imbalance occurs.This will result in rising outlier values and noise.Therefore,the speed and performance of classification could be greatly affected.Given the above problems,this paper starts with the motivation and mathematical representing of classification,puts forward a new classification method based on the relationship between different classification formulations.Combined with the vector characteristics of the actual problem and the choice of matrix characteristics,we firstly analyze the orderly regression to introduce slack variables to solve the constraint problem of the lone point.Then we introduce the fuzzy factors to solve the problem of the gap between the isolated points on the basis of the support vector machine.We introduce the cost control to solve the problem of sample skew.Finally,based on the bi-boundary support vector machine,a twostep weight setting twin classifier is constructed.This can help to identify multitasks with feature-selected patterns without the need for additional optimizers,which solves the problem of large-scale classification that can’t deal effectively with the very low category distribution gap. 展开更多
关键词 FUZZY ordered regression(OR) relaxing variables twin support vector machine
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基于HBA-SVR混合模型的斜式轴流泵变角性能预测
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作者 郑海生 周佩剑 +3 位作者 肖刚 牟介刚 项春 钱亨 《计量学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期190-197,共8页
针对斜式轴流泵不同叶片角度下性能曲线获取难、耗费成本高的问题,提出了基于混合蝙蝠算法-支持向量回归模型(HBA-SVR)斜式轴流泵性能预测方法。在标准蝙蝠算法中加入方向加速策略和变异策略优化支持向量回归,利用斜30°轴流泵运行... 针对斜式轴流泵不同叶片角度下性能曲线获取难、耗费成本高的问题,提出了基于混合蝙蝠算法-支持向量回归模型(HBA-SVR)斜式轴流泵性能预测方法。在标准蝙蝠算法中加入方向加速策略和变异策略优化支持向量回归,利用斜30°轴流泵运行数据训练模型,并应用于斜式轴流泵变角性能预测。扬程、效率平均相对误差分别为1.49%、0.41%,收敛时间分别为15.47 s、18.78 s,相较于标准蝙蝠优化支持向量回归预测结果,收敛时间分别减少了122.11%、103.62%。对比PSO、GA、BA优化SVR,扬程预测误差分别降低了29.53%,70.46%,131.54%,效率预测误差分别降低了7.31%,9.75%,19.51%。结果表明所提出模型能快速、有效预测斜式轴流泵变角性能。 展开更多
关键词 流量计量 斜式轴流泵 支持向量回归 蝙蝠算法 叶片安放角 变角性能预测
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基于SVR的船舶简化分离型模型水动力系数辨识研究
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作者 宋利飞 王毓清 +3 位作者 彭伟 李培勇 刘禹杉 张永峰 《中国舰船研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期65-75,共11页
[目的]为解决船舶分离型(MMG)模型水动力系数辨识存在的共线性和参数漂移问题,提出一种基于支持向量回归(SVR)的三自由度简化分离型模型建模方法。[方法]首先,在样本数据的基础上提出一种数据预处理策略,以提升样本的有效性;然后,通过La... [目的]为解决船舶分离型(MMG)模型水动力系数辨识存在的共线性和参数漂移问题,提出一种基于支持向量回归(SVR)的三自由度简化分离型模型建模方法。[方法]首先,在样本数据的基础上提出一种数据预处理策略,以提升样本的有效性;然后,通过Lasso回归算法筛选对模型影响较显著的水动力系数,以减小多重共线性的程度;接着,针对分离型模型推导水动力系数辨识的回归模型,通过SVR进行水动力系数辨识;最后,采用差分法和数据中心化重构回归模型,以削弱参数漂移对水动力辨识误差的影响。[结果]试验结果显示,水动力系数预报值与数值模拟结果吻合较好,均方根误差(RMSE)和相关系数(CC)的计算结果均在良好范围内。[结论]通过SVR算法可以成功辨识出分离型模型的水动力导数,辨识得到的水动力系数精度较高,并且所建立的模型具有较好的预报能力和鲁棒性。 展开更多
关键词 船舶 操纵性 水动力学 数学模型 参数辨识 支持向量回归 白箱建模
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基于支持向量回归(SVR)的马尾松木材脱脂率预测
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作者 郭佳伦 钟浩珉 +1 位作者 赵俊博 陈瑶 《北京林业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期151-161,共11页
【目的】脱脂处理是提升松木制品性能的重要手段,但传统脱脂率检测方法耗时且破坏试样。本研究旨在探索一种快速、无损的脱脂率检测方法,基于木材表面颜色变化,利用支持向量回归(SVR)构建脱脂率预测模型。【方法】采用氨气-水蒸气在高... 【目的】脱脂处理是提升松木制品性能的重要手段,但传统脱脂率检测方法耗时且破坏试样。本研究旨在探索一种快速、无损的脱脂率检测方法,基于木材表面颜色变化,利用支持向量回归(SVR)构建脱脂率预测模型。【方法】采用氨气-水蒸气在高温条件下对马尾松木材进行处理,分析不同条件对木材表面颜色参数和脱脂率的影响,探讨其相关性。利用3种不同的核函数(多项式核函数、Sigmoid核函数、径向基函数)构建基于SVR的脱脂率预测模型,并通过比较选择最优模型。【结果】经氨气-水蒸气热处理脱脂后,马尾松表面明度(L^(*))和黄蓝指数(b^(*))低于未处理木材,红绿指数(a^(*))则高于未处理木材。随着氨水质量分数和处理温度的增加,L^(*)、a^(*)和b^(*)呈逐渐降低趋势,总色差(ΔE^(*))逐渐增大,脱脂率随之提高。在180℃、较高氨水质量分数的处理条件下,ΔE^(*)达到最大值58.89,脱脂率达到最高值70.00%。颜色参数与脱脂率呈局部二次函数关系,相关系数最高为0.713。在以径向基函数为核函数的SVR模型中,预测含脂率和脱脂率的均方根误差分别为0.523和4.315,决定系数分别为0.847和0.823,该预测模型可应用于脱脂率检测的前期筛选。【结论】本研究成功构建了基于SVR的马尾松木材脱脂率预测模型。该模型在脱脂率检测的前期筛选中具有一定的应用价值,能够在一定程度上实现检测过程的快速、简便和无损化。本研究为马尾松木材脱脂率检测的效率提升和质量改进提供了一种新的方法。 展开更多
关键词 支持向量回归 机器学习 预测模型 脱脂 马尾松 颜色参数
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基于IPOA-SVR模型的边坡安全系数预测
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作者 张佳琳 王孝东 +4 位作者 吴雅菡 水宽 张玉 程玥淞 杜青文 《有色金属(矿山部分)》 2025年第1期115-123,共9页
安全系数是用来评估边坡稳定性的重要指标之一,复杂的边坡系统导致安全系数预测存在不确定性。因此,为了获得更加可靠的安全系数,同时解决鹈鹕算法(POA)随着迭代次数的增加易陷入局部最优的缺点,提出了一种融合多策略的鹈鹕算法(IPOA)... 安全系数是用来评估边坡稳定性的重要指标之一,复杂的边坡系统导致安全系数预测存在不确定性。因此,为了获得更加可靠的安全系数,同时解决鹈鹕算法(POA)随着迭代次数的增加易陷入局部最优的缺点,提出了一种融合多策略的鹈鹕算法(IPOA)与支持向量机(SVR)结合的回归模型来预测边坡安全系数。首先,融合多策略将原始的鹈鹕算法进行改进;再运用改进的鹈鹕算法与支持向量机结合,选取六个影响因素作为IPOA-SVR模型的输入层指标并对模型进行训练,得到IPOA-SVR边坡稳定性预测模型;最后,分别与KNN、RF和Adaboost模型对比,并计算各个模型在训练集和测试集上的均方误差(MSE),以此来验证IPOA-SVR模型的优越性。实验结果显示:与其他模型相比,IPOA-SVR模型寻优性能强,在测试集上的均方误差为0.030 9、相关系数为0.91,说明本文对POA算法所用策略的有效性,IPOA-SVR模型可以为边坡失稳灾害的相关预测提供坚实的技术基础。 展开更多
关键词 安全系数 鹈鹕算法 支持向量机 边坡稳定性 均方误差
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基于SPA-GA-SVR模型的土壤水分及温度预测 被引量:7
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作者 朱成杰 汪正权 《中国农村水利水电》 北大核心 2024年第1期30-36,共7页
土壤湿度和温度是影响水文循环和气候变化的重要参数,在农业实践活动和生态平衡中起着重要作用。为及时、准确地监测土壤含水量(Soil Moisture Content,SMC)及温度,提出了一种基于高光谱数据的预测方法。实验数据集来自为期5天的实地测... 土壤湿度和温度是影响水文循环和气候变化的重要参数,在农业实践活动和生态平衡中起着重要作用。为及时、准确地监测土壤含水量(Soil Moisture Content,SMC)及温度,提出了一种基于高光谱数据的预测方法。实验数据集来自为期5天的实地测量,所获得的高光谱数据包含大量的噪声及冗余信息,因此首先用Savitzky-Golay卷积平滑对光谱数据进行降噪处理,利用连续投影算法(Successive Projection Algorithm,SPA)提取数据特征波长,然后通过遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)对支持向量机回归(Support Vector Regression,SVR)的超参数权值和偏置进行优化,构建SPA-GASVR混合算法模型对土壤水分和温度进行预测,并与BP神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network,BPNN)、SPA-BP、SVR、SPA-SVR、GA-SVR这5种模型的预测性能进行比较。实验结果表明:各模型在土壤湿度低于30%的情况下,表现出的预测能力差异并不显著。但整体上,复合模型相比于单一的神经网络或机器学习模型具有明显的优势,且经过连续投影算法优化的模型进一步的提高其预测能力,最终SPA-GA-SVR算法在各项指标上均优于其他模型,土壤水分预测模型的R^(2)=0.981、RMSE=0.473%,土壤温度预测模型R^(2)=0.963、RMSE=0.883℃。实验证明基于高光谱数据,经过SPA和GA优化的SVR模型能实现对土壤湿度和温度精准的预测。该方法具有一定的应用价值和现实意义,可应用于便携式高光谱仪和无人机上,实现对土壤水分和温度的实时监测,为今后的播种及灌溉提供理论参考。 展开更多
关键词 土壤水分 土壤温度 高光谱 连续投影算法(SPA) 遗传算法-支持向量机回归(GA-svr)
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基于SARIMA和SVR组合模型的转向架系统寿命评估 被引量:1
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作者 师蔚 范乔 +2 位作者 杨洋 胡定玉 廖爱华 《铁道机车车辆》 北大核心 2024年第1期157-163,共7页
随着地铁运营时间和里程的增加,地铁车辆逐渐接近其理论寿命,为确保车辆运行安全性,需对其重要子系统进行健康状态及剩余寿命评估。文中选取车辆转向架系统作为研究对象,提出了一种基于协方差优选法的季节性回归移动平均(SARIMA)和支持... 随着地铁运营时间和里程的增加,地铁车辆逐渐接近其理论寿命,为确保车辆运行安全性,需对其重要子系统进行健康状态及剩余寿命评估。文中选取车辆转向架系统作为研究对象,提出了一种基于协方差优选法的季节性回归移动平均(SARIMA)和支持向量回归(SVR)的组合模型对转向架寿命进行评估。首先,将车辆转向架系统历史故障率转化为健康指数,然后基于协方差优选法将SARIMA和SVR进行赋权组合,根据转向架系统历史健康指数进行预测,最后建立历史和预测的健康指数与运行时间的数学模型,分析得到转向架系统的剩余寿命。以某地铁车辆转向架系统为例进行算例分析及验证,结果表明组合模型可更准确地预测其健康状态,为有关维修部门开展维修维护策略提供理论依据,估计得出其剩余寿命,为车辆寿命后期退役及延寿决策提供理论数据分析支撑。 展开更多
关键词 转向架系统 寿命预测 季节性回归移动平均和支持向量回归(SARIMA和svr) 组合模型 协方差优选法
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