A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper.Both vexing birth rate, the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate areconsidered in this model. We prove that the global ...A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper.Both vexing birth rate, the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate areconsidered in this model. We prove that the global dynamics is completely determined bythe basic reproductive number R（ψ）（ψ denotes per capita vaccination rate）. If R（0） 〈 1,the disease-free equilibrium is a global attractor; If R（ψ） 〈： 1, the disease-free equilibriumis locally asymptotically stable; If R（ψ） ：〉 1, an unique endemic equilibrium exists and islocally asymptotically stable under certain condition.展开更多
A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are in...A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are investigated.展开更多
In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction rat...In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction ratios for this model.展开更多
The COVID-19 outbreak has significantly disrupted the lives of individuals worldwide.Following the lifting of COVID-19 interventions,there is a heightened risk of future outbreaks from other circulating respiratory in...The COVID-19 outbreak has significantly disrupted the lives of individuals worldwide.Following the lifting of COVID-19 interventions,there is a heightened risk of future outbreaks from other circulating respiratory infections,such as influenza-like illness(ILI).Accurate prediction models for ILI cases are crucial in enabling governments to implement necessary measures and persuade individuals to adopt personal precautions against the disease.This paper aims to provide a forecasting model for ILI cases with actual cases.We propose a specific model utilizing the partial differential equation(PDE)that will be developed and validated using real-world data obtained from the Chinese National Influenza Center.Our model combines the effects of transboundary spread among regions in China mainland and human activities’impact on ILI transmission dynamics.The simulated results demonstrate that our model achieves excellent predictive performance.Additionally,relevant factors influencing the dissemination are further examined in our analysis.Furthermore,we investigate the effectiveness of travel restrictions on ILI cases.Results can be used to utilize to mitigate the spread of disease.展开更多
基金Supported by the NSF of China（10371105） Supported by the Youth Science Foundation of Xinyang Normal University（20060202）
文摘A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper.Both vexing birth rate, the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate areconsidered in this model. We prove that the global dynamics is completely determined bythe basic reproductive number R（ψ）（ψ denotes per capita vaccination rate）. If R（0） 〈 1,the disease-free equilibrium is a global attractor; If R（ψ） 〈： 1, the disease-free equilibriumis locally asymptotically stable; If R（ψ） ：〉 1, an unique endemic equilibrium exists and islocally asymptotically stable under certain condition.
基金This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (10171106)the Special Fund for Major State Basic Research Projects (G1999032805)
文摘A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are investigated.
文摘In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction ratios for this model.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.62373197)Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.KYCX18_0892).
文摘The COVID-19 outbreak has significantly disrupted the lives of individuals worldwide.Following the lifting of COVID-19 interventions,there is a heightened risk of future outbreaks from other circulating respiratory infections,such as influenza-like illness(ILI).Accurate prediction models for ILI cases are crucial in enabling governments to implement necessary measures and persuade individuals to adopt personal precautions against the disease.This paper aims to provide a forecasting model for ILI cases with actual cases.We propose a specific model utilizing the partial differential equation(PDE)that will be developed and validated using real-world data obtained from the Chinese National Influenza Center.Our model combines the effects of transboundary spread among regions in China mainland and human activities’impact on ILI transmission dynamics.The simulated results demonstrate that our model achieves excellent predictive performance.Additionally,relevant factors influencing the dissemination are further examined in our analysis.Furthermore,we investigate the effectiveness of travel restrictions on ILI cases.Results can be used to utilize to mitigate the spread of disease.
