In order to construct the data mining frame for the generic project risk research, the basic definitions of the generic project risk element were given, and then a new model of the generic project risk element was pre...In order to construct the data mining frame for the generic project risk research, the basic definitions of the generic project risk element were given, and then a new model of the generic project risk element was presented with the definitions. From the model, data mining method was used to acquire the risk transmission matrix from the historical databases analysis. The quantitative calculation problem among the generic project risk elements was solved. This method deals with well the risk element transmission problems with limited states. And in order to get the limited states, fuzzy theory was used to discrete the historical data in historical databases. In an example, the controlling risk degree is chosen as P(Rs≥2) ≤0.1, it means that the probability of risk state which is not less than 2 in project is not more than 0.1, the risk element R3 is chosen to control the project, respectively. The result shows that three risk element transmission matrix can be acquired in 4 risk elements, and the frequency histogram and cumulative frequency histogram of each risk element are also given.展开更多
When analyze the uncertainty of the cost and the schedule of the spaceflight project, it is needed to know the value of the schedule-cost correlation coefficient. This paper deduces the schedule distribution, consider...When analyze the uncertainty of the cost and the schedule of the spaceflight project, it is needed to know the value of the schedule-cost correlation coefficient. This paper deduces the schedule distribution, considering the effect of the cost, and proposes the estimation formula of the correlation coefficient between the in(schedule) and the cost. On the basis of the fact and Taylor expansion, the relation expression between the schedule-cost correlation coefficient and the in-schedule-cost correlation coefficient is put forward. By analyzing the value features of the estimation formula of the in-schedule-cost correlation coefficient, the general rules are proposed to ascertain the value of the schedule-cost correlation coefficient. An example is given to demonstrate how to approximately amend the schedule-cost correlation coefficient based on the historical statistics, which reveals the traditional assigned value is inaccurate. The universality of this estimation method is analyzed.展开更多
This paper is devoted to study the multiobjective system programming under the assumption that some of the problem parameters are random variables. A method called Interactive Reference Goal Satisfied Degree and Feasi...This paper is devoted to study the multiobjective system programming under the assumption that some of the problem parameters are random variables. A method called Interactive Reference Goal Satisfied Degree and Feasible Degree (IRGSD-FD) is developed to solve stochastic multiobjective problems. It is an interactive method providing a so-called `dialogue' between the user and the model, the decision maker having the option conducting the search process for the (α, β)-efficient solutions by modifying the initial conditions according to the partial results obtained. During the iterations, the decision maker can improve upon the reference goal or called aspiration level already attained by one objective function as well as upon the probability of reaching the corresponding objective or called satisfied degree (or both), or/and the probability of satisfying the constraint or called feasible degree already attained by the constraint. Finally, the application of IRGSD-FD method in the resource allocation problem is discussed with a case study for project investment management.展开更多
Project assessment of accomplishment is a complicated process of system engineering management. This paper is based on the examination of project management achievement. A system analysis of accomplishment examination...Project assessment of accomplishment is a complicated process of system engineering management. This paper is based on the examination of project management achievement. A system analysis of accomplishment examination has been made from the implication, content, style, method, aim, principle, procedure, kind to restriction, psychology effect of accomplishment examination. The purpose of aforementioned all is for the establishment of whole system and thought in the study, foundation and implement of project accomplishment assessment.展开更多
The crowdsourcing, as a service pattern in cloud environment, usually aims at the cross-disciplinary cooperation and creating value together with customers and becomes increasingly prevalent. Software process, as a ki...The crowdsourcing, as a service pattern in cloud environment, usually aims at the cross-disciplinary cooperation and creating value together with customers and becomes increasingly prevalent. Software process, as a kind of software development and management strategy, is defined as a series of activities implemented by software life cycle and provides a set of rules for various phases of the software engineering to achieve the desired objectives. With the current software development cycle getting shorter, facing more frequent needs change and fierce competition, a new resource management pattern is proposed to respond to these issues agilely by introducing the crowdsourcing service to agile software development for pushing the agility of software process. Then, a user-oriented resource scheduling method is proposed for rational use of various resources in the process and maximizing the benefits of all parties. From the experimental results, the proposed pattern and resources scheduling method reduces greatly the resource of project resource manager and increases the team resource utilization rate, which greatly improves the agility of software process and delivers software products quickly in crowdsourcing pattern.展开更多
基金Project(70572090) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In order to construct the data mining frame for the generic project risk research, the basic definitions of the generic project risk element were given, and then a new model of the generic project risk element was presented with the definitions. From the model, data mining method was used to acquire the risk transmission matrix from the historical databases analysis. The quantitative calculation problem among the generic project risk elements was solved. This method deals with well the risk element transmission problems with limited states. And in order to get the limited states, fuzzy theory was used to discrete the historical data in historical databases. In an example, the controlling risk degree is chosen as P(Rs≥2) ≤0.1, it means that the probability of risk state which is not less than 2 in project is not more than 0.1, the risk element R3 is chosen to control the project, respectively. The result shows that three risk element transmission matrix can be acquired in 4 risk elements, and the frequency histogram and cumulative frequency histogram of each risk element are also given.
基金This project was supported by Weapon System Advanced Research Foundation(51419010204KG01) and National ScienceFoundation of China(70272002).
文摘When analyze the uncertainty of the cost and the schedule of the spaceflight project, it is needed to know the value of the schedule-cost correlation coefficient. This paper deduces the schedule distribution, considering the effect of the cost, and proposes the estimation formula of the correlation coefficient between the in(schedule) and the cost. On the basis of the fact and Taylor expansion, the relation expression between the schedule-cost correlation coefficient and the in-schedule-cost correlation coefficient is put forward. By analyzing the value features of the estimation formula of the in-schedule-cost correlation coefficient, the general rules are proposed to ascertain the value of the schedule-cost correlation coefficient. An example is given to demonstrate how to approximately amend the schedule-cost correlation coefficient based on the historical statistics, which reveals the traditional assigned value is inaccurate. The universality of this estimation method is analyzed.
文摘This paper is devoted to study the multiobjective system programming under the assumption that some of the problem parameters are random variables. A method called Interactive Reference Goal Satisfied Degree and Feasible Degree (IRGSD-FD) is developed to solve stochastic multiobjective problems. It is an interactive method providing a so-called `dialogue' between the user and the model, the decision maker having the option conducting the search process for the (α, β)-efficient solutions by modifying the initial conditions according to the partial results obtained. During the iterations, the decision maker can improve upon the reference goal or called aspiration level already attained by one objective function as well as upon the probability of reaching the corresponding objective or called satisfied degree (or both), or/and the probability of satisfying the constraint or called feasible degree already attained by the constraint. Finally, the application of IRGSD-FD method in the resource allocation problem is discussed with a case study for project investment management.
文摘Project assessment of accomplishment is a complicated process of system engineering management. This paper is based on the examination of project management achievement. A system analysis of accomplishment examination has been made from the implication, content, style, method, aim, principle, procedure, kind to restriction, psychology effect of accomplishment examination. The purpose of aforementioned all is for the establishment of whole system and thought in the study, foundation and implement of project accomplishment assessment.
基金Projects(61304184,61672221)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2016JJ6010)supported by the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The crowdsourcing, as a service pattern in cloud environment, usually aims at the cross-disciplinary cooperation and creating value together with customers and becomes increasingly prevalent. Software process, as a kind of software development and management strategy, is defined as a series of activities implemented by software life cycle and provides a set of rules for various phases of the software engineering to achieve the desired objectives. With the current software development cycle getting shorter, facing more frequent needs change and fierce competition, a new resource management pattern is proposed to respond to these issues agilely by introducing the crowdsourcing service to agile software development for pushing the agility of software process. Then, a user-oriented resource scheduling method is proposed for rational use of various resources in the process and maximizing the benefits of all parties. From the experimental results, the proposed pattern and resources scheduling method reduces greatly the resource of project resource manager and increases the team resource utilization rate, which greatly improves the agility of software process and delivers software products quickly in crowdsourcing pattern.