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基于PEST-SWOT模型的我国竹建筑产业发展策略 被引量:1
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作者 肖慧娟 肖虹雁 彭聪聪 《世界竹藤通讯》 2025年第1期127-132,共6页
竹建筑在我国应用历史悠久,产业基础良好,具备多重优势。在全球倡导绿色、低碳和可持续发展的背景下,竹建筑产业正逐步成为我国建筑行业发展新质生产力的重要阵地。文章运用PEST-SWOT模型从政治(P)、经济(E)、社会(S)和技术(T)4个维度,... 竹建筑在我国应用历史悠久,产业基础良好,具备多重优势。在全球倡导绿色、低碳和可持续发展的背景下,竹建筑产业正逐步成为我国建筑行业发展新质生产力的重要阵地。文章运用PEST-SWOT模型从政治(P)、经济(E)、社会(S)和技术(T)4个维度,系统剖析了竹建筑产业发展的优势(S)、劣势(W)、机会(O)和威胁(T),提出了我国竹建筑产业发展的4大策略,即:加强政策宣传鼓励产品创新,促进国际合作推动技术推广;加强产业集群品牌建设,构建数字平台提升科技创新能力;掌握行业需求提供精准服务,多方参与促进协同创新;保障资金加强监管,提升产品特色促进产业转型。这些策略可为促进竹建筑产业高质量发展提供有益参考。 展开更多
关键词 竹建筑 竹产业 pest-swot模型 高质量发展 中国
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基于24Model的动火作业事故致因文本挖掘
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作者 牛茂辉 李威君 +1 位作者 刘音 王璐 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期151-158,共8页
为探究工业动火作业事故的根源,提出一种基于“2-4”模型(24Model)的文本挖掘方法。首先,收集整理220篇动火作业事故报告,并作为数据集,构建基于来自变换器的双向编码器表征量(BERT)的24Model分类器,使用预训练模型训练和评估事故报告... 为探究工业动火作业事故的根源,提出一种基于“2-4”模型(24Model)的文本挖掘方法。首先,收集整理220篇动火作业事故报告,并作为数据集,构建基于来自变换器的双向编码器表征量(BERT)的24Model分类器,使用预训练模型训练和评估事故报告数据集,构建分类模型;然后,通过基于BERT的关键字提取算法(KeyBERT)和词频-逆文档频率(TF-IDF)算法的组合权重,结合24Model框架,建立动火作业事故文本关键词指标体系;最后,通过文本挖掘关键词之间的网络共现关系,分析得到事故致因之间的相互关联。结果显示,基于BERT的24Model分类器模型能够系统准确地判定动火作业事故致因类别,通过组合权重筛选得到4个层级关键词指标体系,其中安全管理体系的权重最大,结合共现网络分析得到动火作业事故的7项关键致因。 展开更多
关键词 “2-4”模型(24model) 动火作业 事故致因 文本挖掘 指标体系
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基于PEST-SWOT分析的梧州六堡茶产业高质量发展研究
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作者 玉泉 梁劲捷 胡婷婷 《福建茶叶》 2025年第6期55-57,共3页
六堡茶是国家地理标志保护农产品,梧州六堡茶产业是广西重点培育发展的特色优势产业。为做大做强本土特色茶产业,带动提升六堡茶在全国的影响力和竞争力,助力乡村振兴,本文在介绍广西梧州六堡茶产业发展现状的基础上,构建了PEST-SWOT综... 六堡茶是国家地理标志保护农产品,梧州六堡茶产业是广西重点培育发展的特色优势产业。为做大做强本土特色茶产业,带动提升六堡茶在全国的影响力和竞争力,助力乡村振兴,本文在介绍广西梧州六堡茶产业发展现状的基础上,构建了PEST-SWOT综合分析模型矩阵,科学评价分析六堡茶产业的内外竞争环境,找到当下影响六堡茶产业发展的关键因素及根本原因,提出推动广西六堡茶产业高质量发展的总体思路及策略建议。 展开更多
关键词 六堡茶 pest-swot 产业分析 发展策略
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Comparative study on the oblique water-entry of high-speed projectile based on rigid-body and elastic-plastic body model 被引量:1
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作者 Xiangyan Liu Xiaowei Cai +3 位作者 Zhengui Huang Yu Hou Jian Qin Zhihua Chen 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第4期133-155,共23页
To examine the similarities and differences in the evolution of cavity,wetting and dynamics of a highspeed,oblique water-entry projectile with different positive angles of attack,a comparative analysis has been conduc... To examine the similarities and differences in the evolution of cavity,wetting and dynamics of a highspeed,oblique water-entry projectile with different positive angles of attack,a comparative analysis has been conducted based on the numerical results of two mathematical models,the rigid-body model and fluid-structure interaction model.In addition,the applicable scope of the above two methods,and the structural response characteristics of the projectile have also been investigated.Our results demonstrate that:(1) The impact loads and angular motion of the projectile of the rigid-body method are more likely to exhibit periodic variations due to the periodic tail slap,its range of positive angles of attack is about α<2°.(2) When the projectile undergone significant wetting,a strong coupling effect is observed among wetting,structural deformation,and projectile motion.With the applied projectile shape,it is observed that,when the projectile bends,the final wetting position is that of Part B(cylinder of body).With the occu rrence of this phenomenon,the projectile ballistics beco me completely unstable.(3) The force exerted on the lower surface of the projectile induced by wetting is the primary reason of the destabilization of the projectile traj ectory and structu ral deformation failure.Bending deformation is most likely to appear at the junction of Part C(cone of body) and Part D(tail).The safe angles of attack of the projectile stability are found to be about α≤2°. 展开更多
关键词 Fluid-structure interaction Rigid-body model Elastic-plastic model Structural deformation Impact loads Structural safety of projectile
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教育家精神引领高校辅导员队伍建设的PEST-SWOT矩阵分析
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作者 林惠英 《学校党建与思想教育》 北大核心 2025年第8期83-86,共4页
教育家精神是以教育家和优秀教师为代表的广大教师群体在长期教育实践中形成的宝贵精神,集中体现了教育工作者的理想信念、育人使命和责任担当,为高校辅导员队伍建设提供了重要的思想引领和实践指导。文章运用PEST-SWOT矩阵分析框架,从... 教育家精神是以教育家和优秀教师为代表的广大教师群体在长期教育实践中形成的宝贵精神,集中体现了教育工作者的理想信念、育人使命和责任担当,为高校辅导员队伍建设提供了重要的思想引领和实践指导。文章运用PEST-SWOT矩阵分析框架,从政治、经济、社会、技术四个外部环境维度和辅导员队伍建设内部优势、劣势、机会和威胁的辩证关系展开深度分析,系统探讨并提出教育家精神引领高校辅导员队伍建设的实践策略。 展开更多
关键词 教育家精神 高校辅导员 pest-swot矩阵分析 队伍建设
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Solubility and Thermodynamic Modeling of 3⁃Nitro⁃1,2,4⁃triazole⁃5⁃one(NTO)in Different Binary Solvents 被引量:1
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作者 GUO Hao-qi YANG Yu-lin 《含能材料》 北大核心 2025年第3期295-303,共9页
Using a dynamic laser monitoring technique,the solubility of 3-nitro-1,2,4-triazole-5-one(NTO)was investigated in two different binary systems,namely hydroxylamine nitrate(HAN)-water and boric acid(HB)-water ranging f... Using a dynamic laser monitoring technique,the solubility of 3-nitro-1,2,4-triazole-5-one(NTO)was investigated in two different binary systems,namely hydroxylamine nitrate(HAN)-water and boric acid(HB)-water ranging from 278.15 K to 318.15 K.The solubility in each system was found to be positively correlated with temperature.Furthermore,solubility data were analyzed using four equations:the modified Apelblat equation,Van’t Hoff equation,λh equation and CNIBS/R-K equations,and they provided satisfactory results for both two systems.The average root-mean-square deviation(105RMSD)values for these models were less than 13.93.Calculations utilizing the Van’t Hoff equation and Gibbs equations facilitated the derivation of apparent thermodynamic properties of NTO dissolution in the two systems,including values for Gibbs free energy,enthalpy and entropy.The%ζ_(H)is larger than%ζ_(TS),and all the%ζ_(H)data are≥58.63%,indicating that the enthalpy make a greater contribution than entropy to theΔG_(soln)^(Θ). 展开更多
关键词 3-nitro-l 2 4-triazole-5-one(NTO) SOLUBILITY thermodynamic models apparent thermodynamic analysis
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Investigation on the Ice Load on a Cylinder Vertically Breaking through Model Ice Sheet from Underneath
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作者 ZHAO Wei−hang TIAN Yu−kui +3 位作者 JI Shao−peng GANG Xu−hao YU Chao−ge KONG Shuai 《船舶力学》 北大核心 2025年第6期964-975,共12页
Ice load on underwater vehicles breaking through ice covers from underneath is a significant concern for researchers in polar exploration,and the research on this problem is still in its early stages.Both mechanical e... Ice load on underwater vehicles breaking through ice covers from underneath is a significant concern for researchers in polar exploration,and the research on this problem is still in its early stages.Both mechanical experimental measurement and numerical simulation pose research challenges.This study focuses on the ice load of a cylinder structure breaking upward through the ice sheet form underneath in the Small Ice Model Basin of China Ship Scientific Research Center(CSSRC SIMB).A high-speed camera system was employed to observe the ice sheet failure during the tests,in which,with the loading position as center,local radial cracks and circumferential cracks were generated.A load sensor was used to measure the overall ice load during this process.Meanwhile,a numerical model was developed using LS-DYNA for validation and comparison.With this model,numerical simulation was conducted under various ice thicknesses and upgoing speeds to analyze the instantaneous curves of ice load.The calculation results were statistically analyzed under different working conditions to determine the influence of the factors on the ice load of the cylinder.The study explores the measurement method about ice load of objects vertically breaking through model ice sheet and is expected to provide some fundamental insights into the safety design of underwater structures operating in ice waters. 展开更多
关键词 CYLINDER model test failure mode crack propagation ice load numerical modeling
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Dynamics of a Stochastic Epidemic Model with Age-group
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作者 LAN Xiaomin CHEN Guangmin +5 位作者 ZHOU Ruiyang ZHENG Kuicheng CAI Shaojian WEI Fengying JIN Zhen MAO Xuerong 《应用数学》 北大核心 2025年第1期294-307,共14页
A stochastic epidemic model with two age groups is established in this study,in which the susceptible(S),the exposed(E),the infected(I),the hospitalized(H)and the recovered(R)are involved within the total population,t... A stochastic epidemic model with two age groups is established in this study,in which the susceptible(S),the exposed(E),the infected(I),the hospitalized(H)and the recovered(R)are involved within the total population,the aging rates between two age groups are set to be constant.The existence-and-uniqueness of global positive solution is firstly showed.Then,by constructing several appropriate Lyapunov functions and using the high-dimensional Itô’s formula,the sufficient conditions for the stochastic extinction and stochastic persistence of the exposed individuals and the infected individuals are obtained.The stochastic extinction indicator and the stochastic persistence indicator are less-valued expressions compared with the basic reproduction number.Meanwhile,the main results of this study are modified into multi-age groups.Furthermore,by using the surveillance data for Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Fuzhou COVID-19 epidemic is chosen to carry out the numerical simulations,which show that the age group of the population plays the vital role when studying infectious diseases. 展开更多
关键词 Epidemic model Age groups PERSISTENCE EXTINCTION
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Modeling and sliding mode control based on inverse compensation of piezo-positioning system
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作者 LI Zhi-bin XIN Yuan-ze +1 位作者 ZHANG Jian-qiang SUN Chong-shang 《中国光学(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第1期170-185,共16页
In order to enhance the control performance of piezo-positioning system,the influence of hysteresis characteristics and its compensation method are studied.Hammerstein model is used to represent the dynamic hysteresis... In order to enhance the control performance of piezo-positioning system,the influence of hysteresis characteristics and its compensation method are studied.Hammerstein model is used to represent the dynamic hysteresis nonlinear characteristics of piezo-positioning actuator.The static nonlinear part and dynamic linear part of the Hammerstein model are represented by models obtained through the Prandtl-Ishlinskii(PI)model and Hankel matrix system identification method,respectively.This model demonstrates good generalization capability for typical input frequencies below 200 Hz.A sliding mode inverse compensation tracking control strategy based on P-I inverse model and integral augmentation is proposed.Experimental results show that compared with PID inverse compensation control and sliding mode control without inverse compensation,the sliding mode inverse compensation control has a more ideal step response and no overshoot,moreover,the settling time is only 6.2 ms.In the frequency domain,the system closed-loop tracking bandwidth reaches 119.9 Hz,and the disturbance rejection bandwidth reaches 86.2 Hz.The proposed control strategy can effectively compensate the hysteresis nonlinearity,and improve the tracking accuracy and antidisturbance capability of piezo-positioning system. 展开更多
关键词 piezo-positioning system hysteresis nonlinearity Hammerstein model Prandtl-Ishlinskii(P-I)model system identification sliding mode control
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仙游嘉宝果产业发展的PEST-SWOT分析及策略选择
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作者 吴雨杨 《特产研究》 2025年第3期229-235,共7页
嘉宝果作为一种新兴名优水果,在我国拥有广阔的市场前景,但目前仍未得到充分推广。本文基于PEST和SWOT分析法,系统评估了福建省仙游县的嘉宝果产业发展所面临的内外部环境因素,构建了PEST-SWOT矩阵模型,提出了仙游嘉宝果产业的策略选择... 嘉宝果作为一种新兴名优水果,在我国拥有广阔的市场前景,但目前仍未得到充分推广。本文基于PEST和SWOT分析法,系统评估了福建省仙游县的嘉宝果产业发展所面临的内外部环境因素,构建了PEST-SWOT矩阵模型,提出了仙游嘉宝果产业的策略选择:政治方面,应优化政策环境,将嘉宝果打造为“一村一品”的特色产业;经济方面,应深化嘉宝果与当地文旅产业的融合;社会方面,应利用嘉宝果的“新奇”特征及其多元价值,聚焦兴趣消费、实施品牌战略;技术方面,应加强保鲜、运输、加工等技术攻关,完善全产业链发展。仙游嘉宝果产业拥有充满潜力的社会经济价值,采取恰当的发展路径有利于助力乡村振兴伟大目标的实现。 展开更多
关键词 嘉宝果 产业发展 pest-swot分析 特色农业
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乡村振兴视阈下农耕文化博物馆开发的PEST-SWOT分析——以河南信阳为例
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作者 王子良 蓝黎明 +1 位作者 龚凤萍 竹玮 《农业展望》 2025年第2期113-121,共9页
文化振兴是引领乡村振兴的深层动力和铸魂工程,是乡村振兴的关键领域。农耕文化是千百年劳动人民生产生活的积累和沉淀,是中国宝贵的农业文化遗产。对农耕文化资源进行科学、系统、合理的开发和利用,建设农耕文化博物馆,既是展示农业文... 文化振兴是引领乡村振兴的深层动力和铸魂工程,是乡村振兴的关键领域。农耕文化是千百年劳动人民生产生活的积累和沉淀,是中国宝贵的农业文化遗产。对农耕文化资源进行科学、系统、合理的开发和利用,建设农耕文化博物馆,既是展示农业文化、培育文明风气、促进乡土文化复育的重要载体,又是传承优秀传统文化、增强民族文化自信、实现乡村文化振兴的有力抓手。本研究以河南省信阳市为例,立足其践行产业融合发展、加速绿色崛起、实现“两个更好”的现实需要,结合其农耕文化、农业发展、文博资源、社会经济等情况,运用PEST-SWOT分析法对信阳农耕文化博物馆开发的条件和价值进行分析,从政府引领、产业融合、挖掘内涵、科技创新等方面初步提出了开发农耕文化博物馆的路径策略。 展开更多
关键词 农耕文化 乡村振兴 博物馆 pest-swot分析 信阳市
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Design and validation of RLC equivalent circuit model based on long-wave infrared metamaterial absorber
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作者 ZHAO Ji-Cong DANG Yan-Meng +3 位作者 HOU Hai-Yang LIN Ye-Fan SUN Hai-Yan ZHANG Kun 《红外与毫米波学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期129-137,共9页
In this paper,we propose an RLC equivalent circuit model theory which can accurately predict the spectral response and resonance characteristics of metamaterial absorption structures,extend its design,and characterize... In this paper,we propose an RLC equivalent circuit model theory which can accurately predict the spectral response and resonance characteristics of metamaterial absorption structures,extend its design,and characterize the parameters of the model in detail.By employing this model,we conducted computations to characterize the response wavelength and bandwidth of variously sized metamaterial absorbers.A comparative analysis with Finite Difference Time Domain(FDTD)simulations demonstrated a remarkable level of consistency in the results.The designed absorbers were fabricated using micro-nano fabrication processes,and were experimentally tested to demonstrate absorption rates exceeding 90%at a wavelength of 9.28μm.The predicted results are then compared with test results.The comparison reveals good consistency in two aspects of the resonance responses,thereby confirming the rationality and accuracy of this model. 展开更多
关键词 METAMATERIAL surface plasmons magnetic dipoles RLC circuit model
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A literature review and outlook of advertising avoidance:An integrated theoretical framework based on the SOMR model
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作者 Shengliang Zhang Jianhui Jin Xiaodong Li 《中国科学技术大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期2-16,1,I0001,共17页
Advertising avoidance is resistance to advertising intrusion.This issue has been the subject of much academic research in recent years.To guide scholars to better carry out relevant research and promote enterprises to... Advertising avoidance is resistance to advertising intrusion.This issue has been the subject of much academic research in recent years.To guide scholars to better carry out relevant research and promote enterprises to better implement advertising activities,this study intends to summarize the relevant research on advertising avoidance in recent years.The specific method is to use the core literature meta-analysis method to identify,filter,and screen relevant literature published in core journals from 1997 to 2020 with the keywords advertising avoidance and advertising resistance.We review the collected articles from the following perspectives:the definition and classification,external stimulating factors,internal perception factors,and moderating factors of advertising avoidance.On this basis,the SOMR model of advertising avoidance is constructed according to the SOR model.Finally,some prospects for future related research are presented. 展开更多
关键词 ADVERTISING advertising avoidance SOMR model perceived value perceived infringement
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Numerical Simulation of the Model Ice Flexural Strength Based on Tsai-Wu Failure Criterion
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作者 GUO Chun−yu ZHANG Cheng−sen +1 位作者 WANG Chao WANG Chun−hui 《船舶力学》 北大核心 2025年第6期976-985,共10页
In the past few decades,the navigation performance of ships and structures in ice-covered waters has not been fully studied,especially the influence of ice mechanical properties on icebreaking ability.Ice bending stre... In the past few decades,the navigation performance of ships and structures in ice-covered waters has not been fully studied,especially the influence of ice mechanical properties on icebreaking ability.Ice bending strength is a key ice parameter for predicting ship ice loads,and accurate ice bending strength is also the key to scaling model tests results to real ship.However,numerical simulation studies on model ice bending strength of ice tanks are often neglected.In this paper,an explicit finite element method model is used to simulate the ice cantilever beam test,and the failure load and bending strength of the ice are obtained.In this model,the Tsai-Wu failure criterion is used as the material constitutive model,and the required simulation parameters are obtained from the model ice test in ice tank.Parameter sensitivity analysis shows that the cantilever beam size of the model ice has a significant effect on the flexural strength.The results show that proper rounding at the root of the cantilever beam is beneficial to reduce stress concentration and obtain more accurate bending strength;the thickness,width and length of the cantilever beam should conform to a certain ratio,and consistent with the ITTC recommended reference.Therefore,the results of this study can promote model ice experiments and numerical studies and provide ice strength data support for ship design and polar ship maneuvering. 展开更多
关键词 model ice LS-DYNA Tsai-Wu failure criterion cantilever beam test
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A comprehensive comparison of hydro-elastoplastic-damage and capelastoplastic-damage material models for concrete subjected to impact and blast loadings
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作者 Shufeng Shi Xiangzhen Kong +2 位作者 Junyu Fan Yong Peng Qin Fang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第5期83-104,共22页
Concrete material model plays an important role in numerical predictions of its dynamic responses subjected to projectile impact and charge explosion.Current concrete material models could be distinguished into two ki... Concrete material model plays an important role in numerical predictions of its dynamic responses subjected to projectile impact and charge explosion.Current concrete material models could be distinguished into two kinds,i.e.,the hydro-elastoplastic-damage model with independent equation of state and the cap-elastoplastic-damage model with continuous cap surface.The essential differences between the two kind models are vital for researchers to choose an appropriate kind of concrete material model for their concerned problems,while existing studies have contradictory conclusions.To resolve this issue,the constitutive theories of the two kinds of models are firstly overviewed.Then,the constitutive theories between the two kinds of models are comprehensively compared and the main similarities and differences are clarified,which are demonstrated by single element numerical examples.Finally,numerical predictions for projectile penetration and charge explosion experiments on concrete targets are compared to further demonstrate the conclusion made by constitutive comparison.It is found that both the two kind models could be used to simulate the dynamic responses of concrete under projectile impact and blast loadings,if the parameter needed in material models are well calibrated,although some discrepancies between them may exist. 展开更多
关键词 Concrete material model Hydro-elastoplastic-damage material model Cap-elastoplastic-damage model Projectile impact Charge explosion
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Drivable generalized NeRF-based head model
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作者 Yue Wang Yudong Guo 《中国科学技术大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期46-57,45,I0001,I0002,共15页
In recent years,the concept of digital human has attracted widespread attention from all walks of life,and the modelling of high-fidelity human bodies,heads,and hands has been intensively studied.This paper focuses on... In recent years,the concept of digital human has attracted widespread attention from all walks of life,and the modelling of high-fidelity human bodies,heads,and hands has been intensively studied.This paper focuses on head modelling and proposes a generic head parametric model based on neural radiance fields.Specifically,we first use face recognition networks and 3D facial expression database FaceWarehouse to parameterize identity and expression semantics,respectively,and use both as conditional inputs to build a neural radiance field for the human head,thereby improving the head model’s representation ability while ensuring editing capabilities for the identity and expression of the rendered results;then,through a combination of volume rendering and neural rendering,the 3D representation of the head is rapidly rendered into the 2D plane,producing a high-fidelity image of the human head.Thanks to the well-designed loss functions and good implicit representation of the neural radiance field,our model can not only edit the identity and expression independently,but also freely modify the virtual camera position of the rendering results.It has excellent multi-view consistency,and has many applications in novel view synthesis,pose driving and more. 展开更多
关键词 neural radiance fields head parametric model semantic disentanglement novel view synthesis
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Intelligent modeling method for OV models in DoDAF2.0 based on knowledge graph
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作者 ZHANG Yue JIANG Jiang +3 位作者 YANG Kewei WANG Xingliang XU Chi LI Minghao 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2025年第1期139-154,共16页
Architecture framework has become an effective method recently to describe the system of systems(SoS)architecture,such as the United States(US)Department of Defense Architecture Framework Version 2.0(DoDAF2.0).As a vi... Architecture framework has become an effective method recently to describe the system of systems(SoS)architecture,such as the United States(US)Department of Defense Architecture Framework Version 2.0(DoDAF2.0).As a viewpoint in DoDAF2.0,the operational viewpoint(OV)describes operational activities,nodes,and resource flows.The OV models are important for SoS architecture development.However,as the SoS complexity increases,constructing OV models with traditional methods exposes shortcomings,such as inefficient data collection and low modeling standards.Therefore,we propose an intelligent modeling method for five OV models,including operational resource flow OV-2,organizational relationships OV-4,operational activity hierarchy OV-5a,operational activities model OV-5b,and operational activity sequences OV-6c.The main idea of the method is to extract OV architecture data from text and generate interoperable OV models.First,we construct the OV meta model based on the DoDAF2.0 meta model(DM2).Second,OV architecture named entities is recognized from text based on the bidirectional long short-term memory and conditional random field(BiLSTM-CRF)model.And OV architecture relationships are collected with relationship extraction rules.Finally,we define the generation rules for OV models and develop an OV modeling tool.We use unmanned surface vehicles(USV)swarm target defense SoS architecture as a case to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the intelligent modeling method. 展开更多
关键词 system of systems(SoS)architecture operational viewpoint(OV)model meta model bidirectional long short-term memory and conditional random field(BiLSTM-CRF) model generation systems modeling language
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Comparative analysis of machine learning and statistical models for cotton yield prediction in major growing districts of Karnataka,India
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作者 THIMMEGOWDA M.N. MANJUNATHA M.H. +4 位作者 LINGARAJ H. SOUMYA D.V. JAYARAMAIAH R. SATHISHA G.S. NAGESHA L. 《Journal of Cotton Research》 2025年第1期40-60,共21页
Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,su... Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies. 展开更多
关键词 COTTON Machine learning models Statistical models Yield forecast Artificial neural network Weather variables
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空间非均匀TOPMODEL与陆面模式SSiB4的耦合及流域水文模拟
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作者 王倩 丹利 邓慧平 《气候与环境研究》 北大核心 2025年第3期311-321,共11页
为了寻求合理简化的流域地形指数水文模型TOPMODEL(Topographic Index model)用于大尺度的陆面模式,推导了土壤表层饱和导水率k0、衰减因子f和地下水补给速率R空间都可变的扩展的TOPMODEL,并将f空间非均匀分布的TOPMODEL与陆面模式SSiB... 为了寻求合理简化的流域地形指数水文模型TOPMODEL(Topographic Index model)用于大尺度的陆面模式,推导了土壤表层饱和导水率k0、衰减因子f和地下水补给速率R空间都可变的扩展的TOPMODEL,并将f空间非均匀分布的TOPMODEL与陆面模式SSiB4耦合(SSiB4/GTOP)。通过耦合模型在f空间非均匀条件下进行实际流域的水文模拟,分析f空间非均匀对流域土壤湿度、蒸散发、地表径流、基流和总径流的影响。主要结论有:(1)k0和R的空间变化并不改变经典TOPMODEL原有关系式,只要定义新的地形指数,k0和R空间非均匀TOPMODEL与空间均匀的TOPMODEL并无区别;(2) f空间变化条件下由于局地的地下水埋深还与局地的f值有关,地形指数相同的区域具有水文相似性这一结论不再成立;(3)与f空间均匀的模拟结果相比较,f随海拔高度h i增加而线性减小使模拟的流域土壤湿度、地表径流和流域蒸散减小但使基流和总径流增加;(4) f空间非均匀对流域水文模拟结果有影响,但其影响明显小于流域地形因子的影响。 展开更多
关键词 空间非均匀性 扩展的TOPmodel推导 耦合模型SSiB4/GTOP 流域水文模拟 f空间非均匀影响
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Assessing fiber quality variability among modern upland cotton cultivars and incorporating it into the GOSSYM-based fiber quality simulation model
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作者 BEEGUM Sahila HASSAN Muhammad Adeel +2 位作者 REDDY Krishna N. REDDY Vangimalla REDDY Kambham Raja 《Journal of Cotton Research》 2025年第2期213-227,共15页
Background GOSSYM is a mechanistic,process-based cotton model that can simulate cotton crop growth and development,yield,and fiber quality.Its fiber quality module was developed based on controlled experiments explici... Background GOSSYM is a mechanistic,process-based cotton model that can simulate cotton crop growth and development,yield,and fiber quality.Its fiber quality module was developed based on controlled experiments explicitly conducted on the Texas Marker^(-1)(TM1)variety,potentially making its functional equations more aligned with this cultivar.To assess the model’s broader applicability,this study analyzed fiber quality data from 40 upland cotton cultivars,including TM1.The measured fiber quality from all cultivars was then compared with the modelsimulated fiber quality.Results Among the 40 upland cultivars,fiber strength varied from 28.4 cN·tex^(-1) to 34.6 cN·tex^(-1),fiber length ranged from 27.1 mm to 33.3 mm,micronaire value ranged from 2.7 to 4.6,and length uniformity index varied from 82.3%to 85.5%.The model simulated fiber quality closely matched the measured values for TM1,with the absolute percentage error(APE)being less than 0.92%for fiber strength,fiber length,and length uniformity index and 4.7%for micronaire.However,significant differences were observed for the other cultivars.The Pearson correlation coefficient(r)between the measured and simulated values was negative for all fiber quality traits,and Wilmotts’s index of agreement(WIA)was below 0.45,indicating a strong model bias toward TM1 without incorporating cultivar-specific parameters.After incorporating cultivar-specific parameters,the model’s performance improved significantly,with an average r-value of 0.84 and WIA of 0.88.Conclusions The adopted methodology and estimated cultivar-specific parameters improved the model’s simulation accuracy.This approach can be applied to newer cotton cultivars,enhancing the GOSSYM model’s utility and its applicability for agricultural management and policy decisions. 展开更多
关键词 COTTON GOSSYM Crop modeling Fiber quality Cultivar-specific parameter
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