Target maneuver trajectory prediction plays an important role in air combat situation awareness and threat assessment.To solve the problem of low prediction accuracy of the traditional prediction method and model,a ta...Target maneuver trajectory prediction plays an important role in air combat situation awareness and threat assessment.To solve the problem of low prediction accuracy of the traditional prediction method and model,a target maneuver trajectory prediction model based on phase space reconstruction-radial basis function(PSR-RBF)neural network is established by combining the characteristics of trajectory with time continuity.In order to further improve the prediction performance of the model,the rival penalized competitive learning(RPCL)algorithm is introduced to determine the structure of RBF,the Levenberg-Marquardt(LM)and the hybrid algorithm of the improved particle swarm optimization(IPSO)algorithm and the k-means are introduced to optimize the parameter of RBF,and a PSR-RBF neural network is constructed.An independent method of 3D coordinates of the target maneuver trajectory is proposed,and the target manuver trajectory sample data is constructed by using the training data selected in the air combat maneuver instrument(ACMI),and the maneuver trajectory prediction model based on the PSR-RBF neural network is established.In order to verify the precision and real-time performance of the trajectory prediction model,the simulation experiment of target maneuver trajectory is performed.The results show that the prediction performance of the independent method is better,and the accuracy of the PSR-RBF prediction model proposed is better.The prediction confirms the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed method and model.展开更多
Considering multi-factor influence, a forecasting model was built. The structure of BP neural network was designed, and immune algorithm was applied to optimize its network structure and weight. After training the dat...Considering multi-factor influence, a forecasting model was built. The structure of BP neural network was designed, and immune algorithm was applied to optimize its network structure and weight. After training the data of power demand from the year 1980 to 2005 in China, a nonlinear network model was obtained on the relationship between power demand and the factors which had impacts on it, and thus the above proposed method was verified. Meanwhile, the results were compared to those of neural network optimized by genetic algorithm. The results show that this method is superior to neural network optimized by genetic algorithm and is one of the effective ways of time series forecast.展开更多
文摘Target maneuver trajectory prediction plays an important role in air combat situation awareness and threat assessment.To solve the problem of low prediction accuracy of the traditional prediction method and model,a target maneuver trajectory prediction model based on phase space reconstruction-radial basis function(PSR-RBF)neural network is established by combining the characteristics of trajectory with time continuity.In order to further improve the prediction performance of the model,the rival penalized competitive learning(RPCL)algorithm is introduced to determine the structure of RBF,the Levenberg-Marquardt(LM)and the hybrid algorithm of the improved particle swarm optimization(IPSO)algorithm and the k-means are introduced to optimize the parameter of RBF,and a PSR-RBF neural network is constructed.An independent method of 3D coordinates of the target maneuver trajectory is proposed,and the target manuver trajectory sample data is constructed by using the training data selected in the air combat maneuver instrument(ACMI),and the maneuver trajectory prediction model based on the PSR-RBF neural network is established.In order to verify the precision and real-time performance of the trajectory prediction model,the simulation experiment of target maneuver trajectory is performed.The results show that the prediction performance of the independent method is better,and the accuracy of the PSR-RBF prediction model proposed is better.The prediction confirms the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed method and model.
基金Project(70373017) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Considering multi-factor influence, a forecasting model was built. The structure of BP neural network was designed, and immune algorithm was applied to optimize its network structure and weight. After training the data of power demand from the year 1980 to 2005 in China, a nonlinear network model was obtained on the relationship between power demand and the factors which had impacts on it, and thus the above proposed method was verified. Meanwhile, the results were compared to those of neural network optimized by genetic algorithm. The results show that this method is superior to neural network optimized by genetic algorithm and is one of the effective ways of time series forecast.
