A Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)analysis of a power is important and useful in clinical trials.A Classical Conditional Power(CCP)is a probability of a classical rejection region given values of true treatment ...A Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)analysis of a power is important and useful in clinical trials.A Classical Conditional Power(CCP)is a probability of a classical rejection region given values of true treatment effect and interim result.For hypotheses and reversed hypotheses under normal models,we obtain analytical expressions of the ROC curves of the CCP,find optimal ROC curves of the CCP,investigate the superiority of the ROC curves of the CCP,calculate critical values of the False Positive Rate(FPR),True Positive Rate(TPR),and cutoff of the optimal CCP,and give go/no go decisions at the interim of the optimal CCP.In addition,extensive numerical experiments are carried out to exemplify our theoretical results.Finally,a real data example is performed to illustrate the go/no go decisions of the optimal CCP.展开更多
A knowledge-based network for Section Yidong Bridge,Dongyang River,one tributary of Qiantang River,Zhejiang Province,China,is established in order to model water quality in areas under small data.Then,based on normal ...A knowledge-based network for Section Yidong Bridge,Dongyang River,one tributary of Qiantang River,Zhejiang Province,China,is established in order to model water quality in areas under small data.Then,based on normal transformation of variables with routine monitoring data and normal assumption of variables without routine monitoring data,a conditional linear Gaussian Bayesian network is constructed.A "two-constraint selection" procedure is proposed to estimate potential parameter values under small data.Among all potential parameter values,the ones that are most probable are selected as the "representatives".Finally,the risks of pollutant concentration exceeding national water quality standards are calculated and pollution reduction decisions for decision-making reference are proposed.The final results show that conditional linear Gaussian Bayesian network and "two-constraint selection" procedure are very useful in evaluating risks when there is limited data and can help managers to make sound decisions under small data.展开更多
为了进一步提高汽车乘员舱空调系统的智能化和舒适性水平,本文提出了一种基于热舒适理论的个性化智能空调决策系统设计方案。首先,针对汽车乘员舱改进了基于PMV(predicted mean vote)和PPD(predicted percentage of dissatisfaction)理...为了进一步提高汽车乘员舱空调系统的智能化和舒适性水平,本文提出了一种基于热舒适理论的个性化智能空调决策系统设计方案。首先,针对汽车乘员舱改进了基于PMV(predicted mean vote)和PPD(predicted percentage of dissatisfaction)理论的热舒适性计算方法;进一步,利用人体画像技术实现了乘员舱驾乘人员的热舒适性特征提取,并在专家经验知识的基础上构建了具有理论计算依据的乘员舱热舒适数据集;然后,利用机器学习算法搭建了个性化热舒适空调系统随机森林决策模型,以此满足个性化热舒适智能决策需求;最后,给出了完整的系统框架和设计。测试结果显示所提出的系统模型决策准确率在90%以上,实车测试结果表明:本文系统能够识别驾乘人员特征,实时进行个性化热舒适性参数推荐,验证了本研究决策方法的有效性和实用价值。展开更多
基金supported by the National Social Science Fund of China(Grand No.21XTJ001).
文摘A Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)analysis of a power is important and useful in clinical trials.A Classical Conditional Power(CCP)is a probability of a classical rejection region given values of true treatment effect and interim result.For hypotheses and reversed hypotheses under normal models,we obtain analytical expressions of the ROC curves of the CCP,find optimal ROC curves of the CCP,investigate the superiority of the ROC curves of the CCP,calculate critical values of the False Positive Rate(FPR),True Positive Rate(TPR),and cutoff of the optimal CCP,and give go/no go decisions at the interim of the optimal CCP.In addition,extensive numerical experiments are carried out to exemplify our theoretical results.Finally,a real data example is performed to illustrate the go/no go decisions of the optimal CCP.
基金Project(50809058)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘A knowledge-based network for Section Yidong Bridge,Dongyang River,one tributary of Qiantang River,Zhejiang Province,China,is established in order to model water quality in areas under small data.Then,based on normal transformation of variables with routine monitoring data and normal assumption of variables without routine monitoring data,a conditional linear Gaussian Bayesian network is constructed.A "two-constraint selection" procedure is proposed to estimate potential parameter values under small data.Among all potential parameter values,the ones that are most probable are selected as the "representatives".Finally,the risks of pollutant concentration exceeding national water quality standards are calculated and pollution reduction decisions for decision-making reference are proposed.The final results show that conditional linear Gaussian Bayesian network and "two-constraint selection" procedure are very useful in evaluating risks when there is limited data and can help managers to make sound decisions under small data.
文摘为了进一步提高汽车乘员舱空调系统的智能化和舒适性水平,本文提出了一种基于热舒适理论的个性化智能空调决策系统设计方案。首先,针对汽车乘员舱改进了基于PMV(predicted mean vote)和PPD(predicted percentage of dissatisfaction)理论的热舒适性计算方法;进一步,利用人体画像技术实现了乘员舱驾乘人员的热舒适性特征提取,并在专家经验知识的基础上构建了具有理论计算依据的乘员舱热舒适数据集;然后,利用机器学习算法搭建了个性化热舒适空调系统随机森林决策模型,以此满足个性化热舒适智能决策需求;最后,给出了完整的系统框架和设计。测试结果显示所提出的系统模型决策准确率在90%以上,实车测试结果表明:本文系统能够识别驾乘人员特征,实时进行个性化热舒适性参数推荐,验证了本研究决策方法的有效性和实用价值。
