利用实况资料和再分析资料,结合WRF(weather research and forecasting)模式对南通一次极端大风过程进行诊断分析及数值模拟。分析了该个例发生的天气形势背景和系统的水平、垂直结构,探究大风天气成因,并进一步对比不同参数化方案的模...利用实况资料和再分析资料,结合WRF(weather research and forecasting)模式对南通一次极端大风过程进行诊断分析及数值模拟。分析了该个例发生的天气形势背景和系统的水平、垂直结构,探究大风天气成因,并进一步对比不同参数化方案的模拟效果。结果表明:1)大风过程发生在高空深厚冷涡和地面强暖湿低压的环流背景下,上空存在不稳定层结和不稳定能量的累积;雷暴大风在12—13时经历了发展、成熟、消散3个阶段,飑线以碎块型的方式形成。2)3种微物理方案中,MG方案模拟出更大面积的层云、强回波和极端大风,模拟的最大地面阵风为44.47 m·s^(-1)。Lin方案较好地模拟出飑线的演变过程和垂直结构特征,模拟的最强上升气流达23.55 m·s^(-1),下沉气流达-13.21 m·s^(-1)。3)水平方向上,雷暴大风附近存在成熟的飑线地面中尺度系统,地面存在深厚冷池出流、变压梯度大值区和冷锋过境,它们共同促进了地面大风的生成。4)垂直方向上,对流单体上空高层辐散、低层辐合,存在强上升气流和水汽潜热释放;后侧的干空气蒸发和粒子的拖曳加强下沉运动,配合地面冷池出流和辐散气流,造成了极端大风天气。展开更多
A conflict of three players, including an attacker, a defender, and a target with bounded control is discussed based on the differential game theories in which the target and the defender use an optimal pursuit strate...A conflict of three players, including an attacker, a defender, and a target with bounded control is discussed based on the differential game theories in which the target and the defender use an optimal pursuit strategy. The current approach chooses the miss distance as the outcome of the conflict. Different optimal guidance laws are investigated, and feasible conditions are analyzed for the attacker to accomplish an attacking task. For some given conditions, the attacker cannot intercept the target by only using a one-to-one optimal pursuit guidance law; thus, a guidance law for the attacker to reach a critical safe value is investigated.Specifically, the guidance law is divided into two parts. Before the engagement time between the defender and the attacker, the attacker uses this derived guidance law to guarantee that the evasion distance from the defender is safe, and that the zero-effort-miss(ZEM) distance between the attacker and the target is the smallest.After that engagement time, the attacker uses the optimal one-toone guidance law to accomplish the pursuit task. The advantages and limited conditions of these derived guidance laws are also investigated by using nonlinear simulations.展开更多
文摘利用实况资料和再分析资料,结合WRF(weather research and forecasting)模式对南通一次极端大风过程进行诊断分析及数值模拟。分析了该个例发生的天气形势背景和系统的水平、垂直结构,探究大风天气成因,并进一步对比不同参数化方案的模拟效果。结果表明:1)大风过程发生在高空深厚冷涡和地面强暖湿低压的环流背景下,上空存在不稳定层结和不稳定能量的累积;雷暴大风在12—13时经历了发展、成熟、消散3个阶段,飑线以碎块型的方式形成。2)3种微物理方案中,MG方案模拟出更大面积的层云、强回波和极端大风,模拟的最大地面阵风为44.47 m·s^(-1)。Lin方案较好地模拟出飑线的演变过程和垂直结构特征,模拟的最强上升气流达23.55 m·s^(-1),下沉气流达-13.21 m·s^(-1)。3)水平方向上,雷暴大风附近存在成熟的飑线地面中尺度系统,地面存在深厚冷池出流、变压梯度大值区和冷锋过境,它们共同促进了地面大风的生成。4)垂直方向上,对流单体上空高层辐散、低层辐合,存在强上升气流和水汽潜热释放;后侧的干空气蒸发和粒子的拖曳加强下沉运动,配合地面冷池出流和辐散气流,造成了极端大风天气。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11672093)
文摘A conflict of three players, including an attacker, a defender, and a target with bounded control is discussed based on the differential game theories in which the target and the defender use an optimal pursuit strategy. The current approach chooses the miss distance as the outcome of the conflict. Different optimal guidance laws are investigated, and feasible conditions are analyzed for the attacker to accomplish an attacking task. For some given conditions, the attacker cannot intercept the target by only using a one-to-one optimal pursuit guidance law; thus, a guidance law for the attacker to reach a critical safe value is investigated.Specifically, the guidance law is divided into two parts. Before the engagement time between the defender and the attacker, the attacker uses this derived guidance law to guarantee that the evasion distance from the defender is safe, and that the zero-effort-miss(ZEM) distance between the attacker and the target is the smallest.After that engagement time, the attacker uses the optimal one-toone guidance law to accomplish the pursuit task. The advantages and limited conditions of these derived guidance laws are also investigated by using nonlinear simulations.
