产融合作赋能城市包容性绿色增长——基于双重机器学习的因果推断

Industry-finance collaboration empowers inclusive green growth in cities:Causal inference based on dual machine learning

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摘要以我国260个地级及以上城市为研究对象,综合测算2010—2022年我国城市包容性绿色增长水平。在产融合作试点政策的背景下,实证检验产融合作对城市包容性绿色增长的影响及传导机制,并进一步分析产融合作的异质性,考察产融合作赋能效果的差异。研究发现,产融合作有助于城市包容性绿色增长。产融合作从创新驱动、结构优化和就业提升三个方面赋能城市包容性绿色增长。赋能机制存在资源禀赋异质性、城市等级异质性和数字发展异质性,其中,产融合作对非资源型城市、发达城市和低数字发展水平型城市的赋能效果更为明显。基于研究结论提出政策建议,为促进产融合作发展、转变经济发展方式提供现实借鉴。 This paper takes 260 prefecture-level cities and above in China as the research object and comprehensively calculates the development level of inclusive green growth in Chinese cities from 2010 to 2022.Under the pilot policy framework for industry-finance collaboration,this study empirically examines the impact and transmission mechanisms of industry-finance collaboration on urban inclusive green growth.It is found that the level of urban inclusive green growth has shown a continuous upward trend,with a significant increase particularly after the implementation of industry-finance collaboration policies.Empirical results indicate that industry-finance cooperation facilitates the development of inclusive green growth in cities,and this conclusion remains valid after multiple robustness tests.Industry-finance cooperation empowers the development of inclusive green growth in cities through three channels:enhancing technological innovation,optimizing industrial structure,and improving employment quality.The enabling effects of industry-finance cooperation on inclusive green growth exhibit heterogeneity across resource endowments,urban tiers,and digital development levels.Specifically,the enabling effects of industry-finance collaboration are more pronounced in non-resource-based cities,developed cities,and cities with low digital development levels.

作者尹春凤张利庠周海川 YIN Chun-feng;ZHANG Li-xiang;ZHOU Hai-chuan

机构地区中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院国家发展改革委习近平经济思想研究中心

出处《城市问题》北大核心 2025年第8期73-83,共11页 Urban Problems

基金国家社会科学基金重点项目(23AMZ018)——“协同理论视角下民族地区乡村振兴的典型调查研究” 国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJY215)——“饲料粮供给安全的联动效应与风险治理能力提升研究”。

关键词产融合作包容性绿色增长双重机器学习因果推断赋能机制 industry-finance collaboration inclusive green growth Dual Machine Learning causal inference enabling mechanisms

分类号 F832.51 [经济管理—金融学] F299.27 [经济管理—国民经济] X321 [环境科学与工程—环境工程]

作者简介尹春凤(1998一),女,山东泰安人,中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院博士研究生,主要研究方向为农业经济;通讯作者:张利庠(1966一),男,山东济宁人,中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院教授,博士研究生导师,博士,主要研究方向为乡村振兴;周海川(1983—),男,山西晋中人,国家发展改革委习近平经济思想研究中心副研究员,博士,主要研究方向为产业经济组织理论。