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新质生产力驱动下中国地区经济追赶空间缩减的机制研究

A Study on the Mechanisms of China’s Regional Economic Catch-Up Space Reduction Driven by New Quality Productive Forces
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摘要 发展不平衡不充分的现实背景下,统筹“量增”与“质升”的高质量追赶型经济模式成为后发地区缩小发展差距的必然选择。构建面向高质量发展的生产技术前沿,以产出差距定义地区经济追赶空间,系统探究新质生产力对中国地区经济追赶空间的影响及内在作用机理。研究发现:地区经济追赶空间呈递减趋势,北方地区缩减幅度较南方地区更大;南北地区新质生产力水平均实现了显著增长,但北方地区增长仍显滞后;新质生产力对地区经济追赶空间的影响呈倒U型,影响效果在南方地区更为突出;投入要素结构效率在新质生产力与地区经济追赶空间之间的关系中起到了完全中介作用;传统生产力对南方地区的驱动效应有弱化趋势。据此提出完善区域协调发展政策体系,释放后发地区经济追赶潜力,因地制宜分类推进新质生产力发展,优化要素结构配置促进生产关系适配新质生产力,协同推进传统生产力转型与新兴生产力培育等政策建议。 In the context of unbalanced and inadequate development,a high-quality catch-up economic growth model that coordinates“quantity growth”and“quality upgrading”has become an inevitable choice for late-developing regions to narrow the gap.Although existing studies have conducted in-depth discussions on regional economic development gaps,they have rarely focused on the north-south gap,an issue that has become increasingly prominent in the current pattern of regional imbalance,and in particular,there is a lack of systematic research analyzing its growth dynamic mechanism from the perspective of“late-development catch-up”.As the cultivation of new quality productive forces has risen to become the core direction of current and future regional economic development,exploring its mechanism of action in the process of economic catch-up in late-developing regions not only provides a key analytical dimension for solving the problems of structural reform but also offers a new theoretical entry point for analyzing the underlying logic of regional development imbalance.This paper uses provincial panel data from 2010 to 2022,constructs a production technology frontier oriented toward high-quality development,defines regional economic catch-up space based on output gaps,systematically explores the impact of new quality productive forces on China’s regional economic catch-up space,and verifies its internal mechanism of action.The findings are as follows:Regional economic catch-up space shows a decreasing trend,with the reduction level of economic catch-up space in northern regions being more significant than that in southern regions;the level of new quality productive forces in both northern and southern regions has achieved significant growth,yet growth in the north still lags behind that in the south;the impact of new quality productive forces on regional economic catch-up space presents an“inverted U”shape,and the impact effect is more prominent in southern regions;the structural efficiency of input factors plays a complete mediating role in the relationship between new quality productive forces and regional economic catch-up space;the effect of new quality productive forces on regional economic catch-up space is primarily determined by its inherent“new-quality”attributes,which have a particularly prominent impact on regional economic catch-up space,and its internal coordination mechanism has a positive role in reducing regional economic catch-up space;the driving effect of traditional productive forces in southern regions tends to weaken,and compared to the northern regions,the sustainability of its economic catch-up momentum appears slightly insufficient.Compared with previous studies,the contributions of this paper are mainly reflected in the following aspects:(1)In terms of research perspective,it innovatively transforms China’s regional economic development differences into the specific concept of economic catch-up space,adopts a relative perspective to conduct in-depth analysis of regional economic development trends,especially the evolutionary trends of southern and northern regions,providing a more intuitive and clear target orientation for the economic growth of late-developing regions.(2)In terms of research framework,it integrates economic catch-up effects,factor structural efficiency,and new quality productive forces into a“total factor”analytical framework,conducts in-depth and systematic discussions on their organic connections and internal influence mechanisms,enriching and expanding the theoretical framework of regional coordinated development.(3)In terms of research content,it focuses on the dual dimensions of“quantitative growth”and“qualitative upgrading”in economic catch-up,systematically evaluates the in-depth impact of new quality productive forces on regional economic catch-up;carries out a dual deconstruction of“traditional”and“new-quality”attributes of new quality productive forces,deeply analyzes their impact effects on economic catch-up space,and systematically demonstrates the core theoretical characteristics of new quality productive forces,thus providing substantial supplementation and deepening to the existing theoretical system.This paper verifies the key role of new quality productive forces in reducing China’s regional economic catch-up space,and provides empirical evidence and policy implications for fully releasing their economic effectiveness.
作者 杨万平 黄若滢 YANG Wanping;HUANG Ruoying(School of Economics and Finance,Xi’an Jiaotong University,Xi’an 710049,China)
出处 《当代经济科学》 2025年第5期52-66,共15页 Modern Economic Science
基金 国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“经济高质量发展诉求下中国资源配置结构效率的协调演化与提升路径研究”(22FJLB028) 全国统计科学研究重点项目“基于双层分配模式下的中国区域碳配额分配体系研究”(2022LZ33)。
关键词 经济追赶空间 经济发展差距 南北差距 新质生产力 要素配置结构 地区经济增长 区域协调发展 economic catch-up space economic development gap north-south gap new quality productive forces factor allocation structure regional economic growth coordinated regional development
作者简介 杨万平,男,西安交通大学经济与金融学院教授,博士生导师,研究方向为区域可持续发展;通信作者:黄若滢,女,西安交通大学经济与金融学院博士研究生,研究方向为区域可持续发展,电子邮箱为ruoying_huang@stu.xjtu.edu.cn。

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