摘要
以2011—2022年30个省(自治区、直辖市)的面板数据为基础,通过建立数字经济和农业农村现代化的评价指标体系,采用熵权法计算数字经济和农业农村现代化的发展指数,再分别构建面板回归模型,检验数字经济与农业农村现代化之间的关系和可能存在的异质性,最后检验农村创业活跃度可能发挥的调节效应。研究结果表明:首先,数字经济和农村现代化发展水平逐年提高,并且表现出明显的东高西低、南高北低的趋势;其次,数字经济显著促进了农业农村现代化效率,其中在东部地区表现为显著的促进作用,西部地区不显著,数字经济对农业现代化的促进作用要明显大于农村现代化;最后,创业活跃度在数字经济促进农业农村现代化的过程中发挥了明显的调节效应,并且存在双门槛效应,即合理的创业活跃度区间有助于发挥数字经济对农业农村现代化的促进作用。
Based on panel data from 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities directly under the central government)from 2011 to 2022,an evaluation index system for digital economy and agricultural and rural modernization was established.The entropy weight method was used to calculate the development index of digital economy and agricultural and rural modernization.Then,panel regression models were constructed to test the relationship and possible heterogeneity between digital economy and agricultural and rural modernization.Finally,the potential moderating effect of rural entrepreneurial activity was examined.The research results indicate that firstly,the level of digital economy and rural modernization development has been increasing year by year,and it shows a clear trend of high in the east and low in the west,and high in the south and low in the north;Secondly,the digital economy has significantly promoted the efficiency of agricultural and rural modernization,with a significant promoting effect in the eastern region and not significant in the western region.The promoting effect of the digital economy on agricultural modernization is significantly greater than that on rural modernization;Finally,entrepreneurial activity has played a significant regulatory role in the process of promoting agricultural and rural modernization through the digital economy,and there is a double threshold effect,that is,a reasonable range of entrepreneurial activity can help to play a promoting role of the digital economy in agricultural and rural modernization.
作者
李云鹏
何叶荣
LI Yunpeng;HE Yerong(School of Economic and Management,Anhui University of Science and Technology,Huainan Anhui,232001;School of Economics and Management,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei Anhui,230601)
出处
《山西大同大学学报(自然科学版)》
2024年第2期37-45,共9页
Journal of Shanxi Datong University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
教育部人文社科基金项目[21YJA630027]
安徽省自然科学基金项目[2108085MG241]。
关键词
数字经济
农业农村现代化
农村创业活跃度
调节效应
digital economy
agricultural and rural modernization
rural entrepreneurial activity
regulating effect
作者简介
李云鹏(1996-),江苏南通人,硕士研究生,研究方向:安全管理、数字经济;通信作者:何叶荣(1971-),女,安徽霍邱人,教授,博士,E-mail:2021201497@aust.edu.cn。