摘要
从物理域、信息域到认知域,重新定义了宏观尺度指挥与控制(command and control,C2)活动过程描述的机理模型——筹划(planning)-准备(readiness)-执行(execution)-评估(assessment)(PREA)环概念内涵.在物理域上,遵循宏观体系演化规律,定义体系的4种状态:设计、构建、运行与评估;在信息域上,遵循战争迷雾逐渐消散的过程,定义4种态势:不可预测的演绎态势、可预测态势、实时态势和复盘态势.在认知域上,遵循指挥主体渐进决策收敛的规律,对应4种态势建立4种决策方式:基于意图和演绎态势的周密决策、基于预案和可预测态势的审慎决策、基于规则和实时态势的快速决策、基于效果和复盘态势的转换决策.概括PREA 4个环节的内涵为谋势、布势、控势和度势.对比分析PREA环与观察(observe)-判断(orient)-决策(decide)-行动(act)(OODA环),反映了东西方两种不同的思维和哲学,PREA环强调全局整体的连续与稳定,而OODA环强调快速和介入.
T he mechanism model of macro-scale command and control(C2)activity process description,the conceptual connotation of PREA loop is redefined from physical domains,information domains to cognitive domains.In physical domains,the evolutionary law of micro system is followed,four states of system are defined:design,construction,tunning and evaluation.In information domains,the process of gradually dissipating the fog of war is followed.Four kinds of situation are defined:inpredicatable deductive situation,predictable situation,real-time situation and retrospective situation.In cognitive domains the law of the gradual convergence of the decision-making of commander is followed,then four kinds of decision-making methods are established according to four situations:careful decision-making based on intention and deductive situation,prudent decision-making based on pre-plan and predictable situation,rapid decision-making based on rules and real-time situation,and effect-based conversion decision-making based on effects and retrospective situation.The connotation of the four stage of PREA are summarized including:stratagem,deployment,control and evaluation of situation.The comparative analysis of the PREA loop and the OODA loop is done,reflecting the two different thinking and philosophies of the East and the West.The PREA coop emphasizes the continuity and stability of the entirety,while the OODA loop emphasizes quickness and intervention.
作者
阳东升
李强
刘玉超
朱承
修保新
张维明
王飞跃
YANG Dongsheng;LI Qiang;LIU Yuchao;ZHU Cheng;XIU Baoxin;ZHANG Weiming;WANG Feiyue(School of Public Management/Emergency Management(The Laboratory for Military-civilian Integration Emergency Command and Control),Jinan University,Guangzhou Guangdong 510632,China;Science and Technology Innovation Center of Army Research Institute,Beijing 100012,China;National Engineering Laboratory for Integrated Command and Dispatch Technology,Beijing 100192,China;The Key Laboratory for Information Systems Engineering,National University of Defense Technology,Changsha Hunan 410073,China;Prea Technologies Co.Ltd,Guangzhou Guangdong 510630,China;The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems,Institute of Automation,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China)
出处
《指挥与控制学报》
CSCD
2022年第4期389-401,共13页
Journal of Command and Control
基金
国家重点研发计划基金(2018AAA0101502)
国家自然科学基金(72101059)
广东省自然科学基金(2020A1515010924)资助。
作者简介
通信作者:阳东升(1975-),男,博士,教授,主要研究方向为指挥控制基础理论与方法、指挥控制组织设计、体系与体系工程、应急指挥与智慧应急、海上合成编队作战指挥.E-mail:ydsh chsh@163.com;李强(1979-),男,博士,高级工程师,主要研究方向为平行指挥与控制、平行情报和未来网络信息与电子技术;朱承(1976-),男,博士,研究员,主要研究方向为指挥控制理论与方法和智能决策技术;刘玉超(1980-),男,博士,研究员,主要研究方向为指挥控制、无人系统;张维明(1962-),男,博士,教授,主要研究方向为体系工程理论与方法和指挥控制方法;修保新(1977-),男,博士,副研究员,主要研究方向为体系认知分析和指挥控制组织设计;王飞跃(1961-),男,博士,研究员,主要研究方向为智能控制、平行智能、社会计算和知识自动化.
