城镇化与物流业发展的时空耦合研究——以中国大陆31个省市区为例被引量：22

Research on Coupling of Time and Space Between Urbanization and Logistics Development——A Case Study of 31 Provinces in China

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摘要基于2006—2016年省级层面的相关统计数据,构建城镇化与物流业发展水平的评价指标体系,采用熵值法对两者的发展水平进行动态评估,利用耦合协调度模型定量测度城镇化与物流业发展的耦合协调水平。结果表明:(1)2006—2016年,我国城镇化发展水平提升了12.8%,物流业发展水平提高了10.6%,呈现出东高西低的梯度型发展格局。(2)城镇化发展起点较高地区的发展速率相对缓慢,城镇化发展水平较低地区则经历了起点低和速度快的发展历程,物流业发展水平较高和较低地区具有较大的发展潜力。(3)城镇化与物流业发展的耦合协调度逐渐提高,初级协调水平以上的省市区占比提高了约16%,耦合协调水平的空间收敛效应显著,空间关联性不断增强。 Based on the relevant statistical data at the provincial level from 2006 to 2016,an evaluation index system of urbanization and logistics industry development level was constructed,and the entropy method was used to evaluate the development level of both urban and rural logistics. Based on the coupled coordination degree model,the level of coupling and coordination between urbanization and logistics development was quantitatively measured. The results showed that：（1）From 2006 to 2016,China＇ s urbanization level increased by 12. 8% and its logistics industry increased by 10. 6%,all showed a gradient-type development pattern with high east-west growth.（2）The regions with relatively high starting point of urbanization had a relatively slow pace of development and those with low levels of urbanization experienced low-speed and fast development. The logistics industry with higher and lower levels had a larger development potential.（3）Coupling degree between urbanization and logistics industry gradually increased. The proportion of provinces above the level of primary coordination increased by about 16%. The spatial convergence effect of coupling and coordination level was significant and the spatial correlation was continuously enhanced.

作者陆欢戢晓峰陈方 LU Huan1,2 ,JI Xiao- feng1,2 ,CHEN Fang2(1. Faculty of Traffic Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650504, China ; 2. Yunnan Integrated Transport Development and Regional Logistics Management Think Tank, Kunming 650504, Chin)

机构地区昆明理工大学交通工程学院云南综合交通发展与区域物流管理智库

出处《资源开发与市场》 CAS CSSCI 2018年第6期807-812,共6页 Resource Development & Market

基金云南省社科重大项目(编号:ZDZB201708) 云南省交通科技创新示范研究项目(编号:2017A14)

关键词城镇化物流业耦合协调度模型时空耦合特征 urbanization logistics industry coupling coordination model temporal and spatial coupling characteristics

分类号 F299.21 [经济管理—国民经济] F259.22 [经济管理—国民经济]

作者简介陆欢（1994-），男，江苏省启东人，硕士研究生，主要从事城镇化与区域物流经济研究。;通讯作者：戢晓峰（1982-），男，湖北省随州人，教授，博士生导师，主要从事城镇化与区域物流经济研究。