摘要
【目的】通过对新疆昌吉市182个番茄种植户的实地调查,分析农户不同时期番茄种植选择行为及影响因素。【方法】采用统计分析和Multinomial Logit多元选择计量模型。【结果】农户选择种植不同时期番茄面临不同的产出、价格及风险因素,农户基本特征、农户家庭基本特征和番茄种植基本特征使得农户选择种植不同时期的番茄。【结论】相比种植晚期番茄而言,户主年龄、文化程度、种植规模等因素对农户选择种植早期番茄有负向显著影响;而户主年龄、种田经验年数、番茄采用灌溉方式、是否参加番茄订单等因素对农户选择种植中期番茄有正向显著影响。
[ Objective ] This paper analyzed different periods of choosing behavior and influencing factors of farmers＇ tomato planting on the basis of investigation data of 182 farmers in Changji, Xinjiang. [ Method ] Statistical analysis and muhinomial Logit Model were used. [ Result] The regression results indicate that farm- ers make different planting choices in the face of different output, price and risking factors. The basic charac- teristics of farmers, households and tomato planting make them to choose different periods to plant tomatoes. [ Conclusion ] Compared with the late - maturity tomato planting, farmers＂ ages, their educational levels and factors of planting scale have significantly negative impact on farmers＇choosing behavior in planting early - ma- turity tomatoes. Whereas farmers＇ ages, planting experience, irrigation technology, whether or not to join to- mato order and other factors have significantly positive impact on farmers＇ choosing behavior in planting inter- mediate -maturity tomato compared with the former.
出处
《新疆农业科学》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第2期362-370,共9页
Xinjiang Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家"十一五"科技支撑计划项目(2008BAD96B09)
关键词
农户
番茄
选择行为
影响因素
peasant household
tomato
choosing behavior
influencing factor
作者简介
余国新（1965-），男，河南人，副教授，博士，研究方向为投资与管理，（E—mail）ygxwxxj@126．com
